FCX potential buy setupReasons for bullish bias:
- Price has given triangle breakout
- Previously a bullish trend, it most likely would continue
- No divergence
Here are the recommended trading levels:
Entry Level(CMP): 43.46
Stop Loss Level: 35.72
Take Profit Level 1: 51.2
Take Profit Level 2: 58.94
Take Profit Level 3: Open
Fcxlong
2/27/22 FCXFreeport-McMoRan, Inc. ( NYSE:FCX )
Sector: Non-Energy Minerals (Other Metals/Minerals)
Market Capitalization: 67.415B
Current Price: $46.34
Breakout price: $46.00 (hold above)
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $44.45-$41.10
Price Target: $45.90-$46.20 (reached), $56.00-$57.60 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 100-107d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $FCX 6/17/22 60c
Trade price as of publish date: $1.16/contract
12/26/21 FCXFreeport-McMoRan, Inc. ( NYSE:FCX )
Sector: Non-Energy Minerals (Other Metals/Minerals)
Market Capitalization: 60.381B
Current Price: $41.13
Breakout price: $41.60
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $39.00-$36.75
Price Target: $45.90-$46.20
Estimated Duration to Target: 71-80d
Contract of Interest: $FCX 3/18/22 45c
Trade price as of publish date: $1.93/contract
Copper - Just the BeginningCopper futures broke out of their wedge this week, with per tonne prices breaking the $10,000 milestone. Names such as Freeport-McMoran (FCX) are benefitting from this, while TRQ is on discount due to. setback in their mining process. Despite Fed tapering, copper is strong, surprisingly. I believe that now is the time to get in "The New Oil", as stated by Goldman Sachs, who gives the commodity a 50% upside before 2025. If copper moving 10% has resulted in Freeport going from $30 to $39, think of what will happen if Goldman and the rest of the Street is right...
Thesis:
Goldman Sachs recently published a note declaring copper "the new oil," and forecasting it could reach $15,000 (50% inc.) by 2025 as the world transitions to clean energy.
As the movement to sustainability/clean energy progresses, the exponential increase in demand for copper will outrun supply due to slow mine creation, centralized property rights.
Although it may take a few years and experience some drawdown, depleted inventories and a demand spike will likely cause the price to rise significantly over the next decade, with Bank of America suggesting a possible 100% increase to $20,000 per metric ton by 2025.
Overall sentiment on the Street is extremely bullish in the mid-to-long-term.
FCX in correlation with XLB DividendHistorically NYSE:FCX has been bearish the week of or week leading into AMEX:XLB dividend. Shown here is its support and resistance, movement this summer, along with selloff in correlation to XLB dividend dating back to Dec 20, 2019. Materials and metals have popped this year with AMEX:GLD taking charge earlier this summer. FCX has beat earnings expectations all year and that if that trend could continue FCX could see more upside. After a strong finish to the week, I like FCX for to make a quick turnaround going into October along with SLV and other materials, as I believe can still serve as a strong hedge as we near elections.
FCX appraoching resitance, potential drop! FCX is approaching our first resistance at 13.62 (horizontal pullback resistance, 61.8% fibonacci extension, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop might occur below this level to our major support at 11.53 (horizontal swing low support, 50% fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price.