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Fdax

Dax daily: 09 Jul 2019 Yesterday's session was very nice from our point of view. As we highlighted, Dax first went up to close the gap at the resistance level of 12 564. The price then reversed exemplarily and the high intra-day swing was formed as well. Today, Dax opens with a descending gap and so far, the momentum indicates the retest of the support level laying at 12 391. Important zones Resistance: 12 504 Support: 12 391, 12 329 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application Macroeconomic releases NIL Today's session hypothesis Right now, we are in the gap territory formed between 28 Jun and 01 Jul. For this reason, we anticipate a move towards 12 391 where we could find some buyers. If the support level of 12 391 doesn't hold bearish momentum, then another suitable buy zone is at 12 326. On the other hand, if bulls dominate the market from the beginning, it is likely the price will bounce off the 12 504 for some nice correction. If that doesn't happen, the probability of breaking yesterday's high is still least likely, with only 9% chance of this happening.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by FTMO
Dax daily: 08 Jul 2019 Welcome to the first session analysis of a new week. Friday's price action has been quite fruitful. For a major session duration, Dax was dropping towards a consolidation zone from 02 July, where we found buyers and the price closed somewhere mid-range session trading. The US NFP was released at 14:30, but besides one volatile candle, no major reaction was seen. Today, the price opens with a significant short gap. Important zones Resistance: 12 564, 12 607 Support: 12 391 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application Macroeconomic releases NIL Today's session hypothesis Today we could see the price ascending and closing the gap at 12 564. On this level, reversal or correction is very likely. Our major target in the upcoming days is very clear and this is the retest of the unclosed gap laying at 12 391. Should the price go below 12 469, it is likely the downside momentum might accelerate. If we don't see aggressive sellers at 12 564, we might rather see a slow-down inside Friday's range.
EUREX:FDAX1!Long
by FTMO
1
Dax daily: 04 Jul 2019 Welcome to the last analysis of this week. Tomorrow's analysis will be skipped due to a national holiday. Yesterday's statistics for breaking Tuesday's high was successfully passed. Dax rose all day and closed near its intra-day high. Today, we open with a smaller descending gap. Important zones Resistance: NIL Support: 12 597, 12 543 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application The statistical probability of breaking yesterday's high is 90% Macroeconomic releases USA - National holiday of Independence day Today's session hypothesis Today's plan is pretty straight forward. Just as yesterday, we have an increased statistical probability of breaking yesterday's high, hence all the trades have a clear target. We could find some buyers at 12 597 or even lower at 12 543. In case bulls are aggressive enough, it is likely they will start aiming higher right from the beginning of the session.
EUREX:FDAX1!Long
by FTMO
Dax daily: 03 Jul 2019 Yet another session without a gap. Sellers attempted to retest prices from the last week, yet to no avail. It was just around 12 475 when Dax turned around from its slight downward correction and eventually closed where it opened the daily session. Important zones Resistance: 12 600 Support: 12 391, 12 428 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application The statistical probability of breaking yesterday's high is 83% Macroeconomic releases 09:15 - 10:00 CEST - Eurozone PMIs Today's session hypothesis We'll base our today's analysis on the fact we have a higher statistical probability of breaking yesterday's high. Thanks to yesterday's close, the odds incline the price might go higher, beyond yesterday's high. Our statistical application indicates that such situation happened in 83% of historical occurrences. This is a strong indication that plays for bull traders. Should this scenario happen, we estimate that 12 600 could be targeted as well. If not, the price decline towards 12 475 or even lower towards 12 428 is likely in a reverse situation.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by FTMO
2
Dax daily: 02 Jul 2019 The resistance zone at 12 601 we mentioned yesterday turned out to function perfectly. After retesting the 12 601 level, Dax went sloping down. The weekend gap has been filled from it's third only and today the price opens without a gap. Important zones Resistance: NIL Support: 12 385, 12 428, 12 508 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application Macroeconomic releases NIL Today's session hypothesis There are quite a few support zones today, yet no resistance. The magnet on the lower prices is still 12 385. On the way down, buyers could enter around 12 428 and 12 385. The support zone at 12 508 could function as a bumper to head for further higher levels. At 12 428, we might see a correction, whereas the 12 385 level might function as a reversal signal. Thanks to a good distance towards 12 385, this hypothesis can be a multiple-day plan.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by FTMO
Dax daily: 01 Jul 2019 Friday's session happened to be a very positive one for bull traders. As expected, Dax reached the 12 344 level, however, this didn't function as resistance at all. Buyers were strong enough to touch 12 397 and the session was closed near this level. Closing the week on a weekly high is certainly a good signal for buyers. Important zones Resistance: 12 601 Support: 12 391 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application Macroeconomic releases NIL Today's session hypothesis This new week and month have started quite unusually for Dax. We hardly see an ascending gap sized 174 points. The statistical application also doesn't count with such extreme value, hence not giving any historical reading. Considering the gap of such size (probably caused by the G20 outcomes), it is normally very common that we see a directional continuation hence it is likely that today's session might see even higher levels. On Mondays, however, the moves are not so prudent with volatility being slower than usual.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by FTMO
2
Dax daily: 28 Jun 2019Thursday's session was very nice and with reasonably volatile moves for profitable trading. Dax first climbed to hit Wednesday's high and by doing this, the statistical probability of 82% to break previous day high or low was fulfilled. A bit later, sellers took over even though we expected them to react on higher prices. The price sliced through the support zone of 12 229 all the way towards 12 191, which functioned fantastically. In the end, our analysis scored another success point as we fulfilled another statistic of price closing inside the previous day range, which had a probability of 87%. Today, we open with a small ascending gap. Important zones Resistance: 12 344 Support: 12 120 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application Macroeconomic releases G20 Meeting Today's session hypothesis For today, our chances are pretty balanced from the Price Action perspective. Nevertheless, it's important to mention that yesterday's lower price rejection was significantly vigorous. For such reason, Dax is likely to rose climb towards 12 344 where we could find some sellers and return back to yesterday's range. Due to the G20 meeting in Japan, we can expect a slower price movement and nervous markets.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by FTMO
Dax daily: 27 Jun 2019Yesterday, we've had a higher probability of 83% for breaking the previous day low. Although the odds were in our favour, the breakout of Tuesday's low didn't happen. Instead, Dax shot straight up and we've only found some sellers at the mentioned resistance zone of 12 282. Today, the price opens with an ascending gap. Important zones Resistance: 12 44 Support: 12 229, 12 191 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application The statistical probability for closing inside yesterday's range is 87% Macroeconomic releases NIL Today's session hypothesis For today, our chances are pretty balanced from the Price Action perspective. One thesis suggests finding buyers and head to a resistance level of 12 344, where the shift of powers could happen and the price to return to yesterday's range. On the other hand, we have a pretty similar scenario where sellers could push the price lower to reach the support level of 12 229, where the price is likely to bounce from that zone and retest the 12 344. Should the price reach all the way towards 12 191 and the market participants losing momentum, it is likely Dax would rather slow down.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by FTMO
Dax daily: 26 Jun 2019 We welcome all to a mid-week analysis. The support level at 12 191 we mentioned yesterday functioned perfectly as this was retested right after the open. Contrary, the resistance zone of 12 230 didn't have much significance. Dax found some bearish pressures at a higher price of 12 266 and following was a downside move to a very near intra-day low. Important zones Resistance: 12 282 Support: 12 120, 12 049 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application The statistical probability for breaking yesterday's low is 83% Macroeconomic releases NIL Today's session hypothesis For today, our major key for establishing the price projection is the high statistical probability for the breakout of yesterday's low. Hence all sell positions have a clearly defined target. Another target to keep an eye on is the support level around 12 120 where we hope to find some buyers.
EUREX:FDAX1!Short
by FTMO
Dax daily: 25 Jun 2019 Yesterday's session met our expectations. We've had a very high probability for breaking Friday's low, which eventually happened. Dax was steadily in a slight downtrend for the whole session and the price closed near the support level of 12 219. Today, Dax opened below this zone with a descending gap. Important zones Resistance: 12 230 Support: 12 191, 12 120 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application Macroeconomic releases NIL Today's session hypothesis Today we expect the entrance of buyers right at 12 191, which is now being retested. We target closing the gap too. If there are no buyers at 12 191, the momentum could escalate towards 12 120. Should the market participants stay within yesterday's range, the price action is likely to slow down or oscillate within that range.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by FTMO
Dax daily: 24 Jun 2019 Welcome to a new trading week. Friday's session turned out as expected, but unfortunately, our zones didn't get a chance to play a role. The resistance at 12 337 and 12 373 didn't attract any sellers. They entered a bit higher at 12 409 and continued to dominate intra-day price action. Dax then closed just short of the support level laying at 12 219. Today, we open with a strong ascending candle and with a long gap. Important zones Resistance: 12 350 Support: 12 219, 12 191 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application The statistical probability of breaking Friday's low stands at 96% Macroeconomic releases 10:00 CEST - German Ifo Business Climate Today's session hypothesis Today we have a very high probability for breaking Friday's low. For this reason, every short signal has a clear target. If and once that happens, we could find some buyers at 12 219 or 12 191. Even though we have such a high probability for a certain market occurrence, don't forget to always manage your risk and don't bet too much on one card.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by FTMO
Dax daily: 21 Jun 2019Those of you who drew the resistance line at 12 433 haven’t done so in vain. Look at this luxurious reaction from that level. After a nice short move from the 12 433 level, Dax eventually found some buyers around Wednesday’s close. Today, the price opens with a significant short gap. Important zones Resistance: 12337, 12373 Support: 12219, 12191 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application Macroeconomic releases 09:15 – 10:00 CEST – Eurozone PMIs
EUREX:FDAX1!Short
by FTMO
Dax daily: 20 Jun 2019By looking at the past two sessions, it is very clear that the waiting for FOMC does indeed affect the Dax. Yesterday’s session only had a range of 70 points and most of the time, we traded sideways, slightly to the downside. The session ended at the price 13 312. Important zones Resistance: 12 433 Support: 12 281 Statistics for today 25 % gap close Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application Macroeconomic releases none Today’s session hypothesis Today’s morning gap did surprise many traders. The Dax jumped 59 points to the upside to test our long-term resistances. The probability of closing the gap is only 25%. It seems that this is a sign that we might test higher prices. Immediately this morning, we are battling with the resistance 12 378, next resistance is at 12 433, where buyers might slow down.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by FTMO
Dax daily: 18 Jun 2019Monday’s session has seen no success, mainly due to the fact Dax hasn’t moved anywhere and the price was just ranging in a narrow band of 70 points. We haven’t even seen the retest of Friday’s high or low. Today, Dax opens with a small gap which is already closed. Important zones Resistance: 12 148 Support: 11 987 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application Macroeconomic releases 11:00 CEST – German ZEW Economic Sentiment Today’s session hypothesis Due to the fact the price hasn’t gone anywhere yesterday, our hypothesis will remain intact. Just as yesterday, the gap has already been closed so we’re short of one daily target. If we find bearish momentum, the price could head lower to retest the weaker support at 11 987. Talking about higher levels, there is one weaker resistance level at 12 148, however, if the price gets all the way there, it is likely Dax will retest the Friday’s high and the zone of 12 200.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by FTMO
Dax daily: 14 Jun 2019 Thursday’s session has been considerably more active compared to the previous day. Dax first headed straight up without stopping at our first resistance zone. The second level of resistance laying at 12 194 functioned perfectly and the price even formed an intra-day high there. Following was a bounce back to our first level, now being a support zone where we found some buyers taking the price slightly up again. Today we open with the gap being already closed. Important zones Resistance: 12 264 Support: 12 121, 12 054 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application Macroeconomic releases NIL Today’s session hypothesis Today, we hope to descend towards 12 121 just to get buyers to take the price higher. In case Dax gets below 12 121, it is more likely the price will slow down in the consolidation area from Wednesday. If bulls are strong, then the first target is the swing high from 11 Jun, followed by a retest of the resistance level at 12 264.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by FTMO
1
Dax daily: 12 Jun 2019 Our analysis yesterday met our expectations. Dax did not close the gap and went right up towards the 12 207 level where we saw some sellers taking over. There was even an intra-day high formed at 12 207. Following was a descend almost to the open level and today we open with an ascending gap. Important zones Resistance: 12 144, 12 194, 12 117 Support: 12 012 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application Macroeconomic releases NIL Today’s session hypothesis Today we can expect a move upwards to close the gap, which doesn’t have the highest statistical probability and therefore we hope to find sellers as soon as around 12 117. If Dax goes above 12 144, then the breakout of yesterday’s high has a very small probability of just 7%. In case sellers dominate the market, we could potentially find buyers around a nice support level of 12 012.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by FTMO
Dax daily: 10 Jun 2019 Welcome everybody to a new trading week. Friday’s session started according to our expectation by closing the gap and the price went slowly up. At 2:30 pm we’ve had the US Non-Farm Payrolls release which caused a couple of volatile candles. Later in the afternoon session, Dax significantly slowed down as participants closed the week with the NFP moves. Today, the price opens with an ascending gap. Important zones Resistance: 12 139 Support: 12 046, trend line Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application Macroeconomic releases NIL Today’s session hypothesis Today, we could retest the resistance at 12 139 where we hope to find some sellers correcting the price back to retest the 12 046 level. If the resistance at 12 139 isn’t strong enough and buyers prove their bullish momentum, it is likely to retest the price zone of 12 207. If sellers don’t find enough reasons to be aggressive right from the 12 046 level, their appearance might be felt somewhere around the nice trend line.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by FTMO
Dax daily: 07 Jun 2019 Yesterday’s resistance at 12 064 functioned absolutely exemplary. There was even an intra-day high formed at this level and the price bounced some 170 points southward. Dax has eventually found some buyers just before the support retest at 11 861 and closed the day mid-range. Important zones Resistance: 12 139 Support: 11 861, 11 790 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application Macroeconomic releases 14:30 CEST – USD – Non-Farm Payrolls Today’s session hypothesis Today’s probabilities are quite strong to close the gap and we estimate this to happen yet in the London trading session. All our zones are relatively distanced so in the end, the price doesn’t need to reach any. From the Price Action perspective, the price is rather to continue long towards 12 139 where the shift of power is likely. Beware of today’s labour market news from the United States and Canada being released at 14:30 Central European Summer Time – CEST, as these fundamental news could trigger some volatility for Dax.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by FTMO
1
Dax daily: 05 Jun 2019 Yesterday’s session is a nice confirmation of a clear support level laying at 11 620. After the price broke out of the 11 778 level, Dax shot up to hit 11 860. The momentum was strong enough and that level didn’t slow the price at all. Bulls went even higher to close at the intra-day high at 11 985, which is btw one of the resistance levels we previously highlighted. Important zones Resistance: 12 064, 11 986 Support: 11 861, 11 778 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application Macroeconomic releases 09:15 – 10:00 CEST – Eurozone PMIs Today’s session hypothesis The price opened the day without a gap. It is very likely we see some initial correction of yesterday’s bullish momentum, followed by another upside move. If we go long, we shall target the resistance level of 12 064. This price was important in the past and this confirms the occurrence count there. If bulls are not that strong today, we estimate a sideways price action, along with the 11 860 level functioning as our support zone.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by FTMO
Dax daily: 04 Jun 2019 There was no resistance formed at Friday’s close. On the other hand, the support level laying at 11 620 that we spoke about in previous analysis functioned as expected. We found a new low here and the control was taken back by buyers who took the price towards the resistance at 11 788. This price zone was also mentioned in our yesterday’s analysis and it turned out Dax respected that very nicely too. The price bounced back from there and the session ended at 11 740. Important zones Resistance: 11 788 Support: 11 620 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application Macroeconomic releases NIL Today’s session hypothesis Today’s session got open pretty much without a gap. The price hovers just below the important resistance level at 11 788 and it appears this could be retested again. Should the price go above that, the next target will be 11 860. If the price does not break 11 788, we anticipate the action below this level in the range of 11 620 – 11 788 without any significant volatility.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by FTMO
Dax daily: 03 Jun 2019 The last session of May closed in red numbers when the price continued its drop in the descending gap direction, just as we anticipated. Those last few bearish days erased all the gains from the past two months and we are now in the territory where the price was at the beginning of April this year. This confirms the known theory that bulls walk up the stairs, while bears jump out the window. Important zones Resistance: 11 788 Support: 11 620 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application The statistical probability of closing the gap today is only 30% Macroeconomic releases 09:15 – 10:00 CEST – Eurozone PMIs Today’s session hypothesis The first trading day of June started optimistic on Dax. Bulls are in a lead it appears they might have enough power to close the weekend gap. This one is sized 70 points and doesn’t close often. It is likely there is a weaker resistance level on Friday’s close, which could be a bounce point for further sells. Should the price descend below 11 620, it is likely we see further selling pressure.
XETR:DAX
by FTMO