We have been bullish on Fedex for quite a while but now we are taking money off the table and walking away from it. The chart just does not look good. Actually I should say it does look good if you use the Ellliot waves because one can make a case since the 2009 low we do have a clear five waves up indicating somekind of top is at hand. We might chop our way...
FDX back at support, got bullish confirmation today.
The price channel for this security its very clear, a ressitance at $195, and a support at $187. The candlestick formation is suitable and supports out idea for the trade. We can also get some help from the inexes, which we think are going to take a resto from the bullish trendes for a couple days.The trade is pretty simple.
... for a 1.40 credit. (Earnings; Volatility Contraction Play). Metrics: Probability of Profit: 60% Max Profit: $140/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $360/contract Break Evens: 181.10/203.90 Notes: Will look to manage at 50% of max.
With fourth quarter earnings announcements trailing off majorly here, there isn't much in the way of earnings to play, with the earnings of note for premium sellers being FDX, which announces on 3/21 after market close, and NKE (same). FDX is toward the top of its implied volatility range over the past six months (85), with NKE in the 63rd percentile over that...
Ugh. Doing my weekly market review/screening and there is literally nothing high IVR/high IV to play ... . Nada ... . Zilch ... . One option is to sell puts in one of these "just high IV" underlyings: VRX: April 21st 11 goes for .56 AKS: April 21st 7 goes for .31 AMD: April 21st 13 goes for .66 WLL: April 21st 8 goes for .28 CLF April 21st 8 goes for .34 X:...
Potential inverted head and shoulders on $FDX daily into an ascending broadening wedge. Expecting a nice move up from here.
$FDX above all moving averages within descending broadening wedge.
Fedex Looking short as fundamentals are saying to sell this up right away plus it is rejecting over major resitance
This FDX weekly charts is one of my favourites. When I see a double top it is a very good indication that there will likely be significant downside. Lets see
Here's what I'm looking at for next week: VIX/VIX PRODUCTS . VIX finished last week at 16.50. I will look at VIX/VIX product setups early next week depending how the "horse does at the gate" (Monday). If we see a tight range in the S&P like we did pre-Draghi in prepation for FOMC, VIX could drift go a little lower Monday through Wednesday, in which case I will...
Strong Weekly Englufing Pattern. Additionally, MFI indicates a Bullish Divergence. It is showing continued underlying strength
Broke above trend line. Ready to move up if bulls want it bad enough from ER.
Only two earnings plays stick out to me this coming week -- FDX and ORCL, both of which announce earnings on 12/16 (Wednesday) after market close, so look to put on setups before NY close on Wednesday. Currently, FDX's 52 week IVR is at 54 (IV 34), which isn't stellar, but it's at 92 for the past six months. Moreover, there is pretty good credit to be had...