Corona Crash Fear Index Super VolatileOn a weekly chart, the VIX Volatility Index has surpassed the dotcom crash of 2000 and will in the next week probably surpass 2007/8. Contrary to what Marketwatch.com says, it is not yet higher than in 2008. But it soon will be.
Extreme fear is gripping the markets.
We shall survive, well probably 95% of us.
Deepest respect and prayers go out to anyone affected, take care of your family, friends, and neighbors.
The world is going biblical. Massive locust swarms in Africa, huge wildfires in Australia, Disease sweeping the world. WTF. I am going to start building an Arc ready for the frickin flood.
Fear
What does a market reaction to the Fed's decision say?Since yesterday, by and large, was the first full day of working out the Fed’s emergency decision to lower the rate by 0.5%, today some results can be summed up. And they are generally disappointing for optimists. In theory, stock markets should have perked up and provoked a sharp increase in stock indices. But this did not happen, that is, there was growth, but not at the scale that could be expected. In theory, the pressure on the dollar should have intensified. But yesterday, the Dollar Index rose. In theory, the Fear Index was to drop significantly. But according to the results of yesterday, the decrease was insignificant.
What are all these signals talking about? The magic of Central banks no longer works the way it used to. Lower rates no longer automatically resolve existing problems. And this is a very alarming signal for stock market buyers, gold sellers, and other optimists. It seems that the bubble is nevertheless broken and the air, despite all the efforts of its creators, is gradually coming out. In general, monetary policy has exhausted itself and this is an extremely alarming signal: if the situation worsens, it will not be possible to resolve the situation with the usual methods.
The consequences of the coronavirus have not even begun to appear, and Nasdaq is quoted 10% below the maximum and, it seems, can no longer grow with the certainty with which it was literally a couple of weeks ago.
So in everything that happens, we see the strongest confirmation of our basic investment ideas: sales on world stock markets, and especially on the US stock market; gold purchases and sales of risky assets (such as the Russian ruble).
But back to the events of yesterday, which was very full of news. The Bank of Canada lowered the rate immediately by 0.5%. The Canadian dollar obediently worked this out, losing about 100 points paired with the dollar. But in general, the reaction was relatively calm at such a massive reduction in rates.
US employment data from ADP turned out to be quite good: +183K with a forecast of +170K. What sets in a positive mood against the dollar ahead of Friday's official statistics. The ISM Index in the non-productive sphere also pleasantly surprised: 57.3 points with a forecast of 54.8 points. But the Eurozone indices traditionally fell short of expectations and for the most part, came out worse than forecasts.
Well, the results of super-Tuesday played into the hands of the dollar, on which Biden won quite unexpectedly, who is considered a more adequate option from the Democrats as opposed to the “left” Sanders.
In general, our desire to sell a pair of EURUSD intensified up to the recommendation to sell the pair from the current ones with the addition of any attempt to grow.
Oil stocks in the United States have grown quite slightly, but all the attention of oil market participants has been riveted to the OPEC meeting and OPEC+ decisions. It is very likely that today some specific information will appear that could provoke strong movements in the oil market. If OPEC+ decides on additional reductions (ideally about 1 million b/d), oil has a chance of growth. The main stumbling block is Russia and its unwillingness to scale up the reduction.
VIX - fear index analysisHello traders,
Description of the analysis:
Vix is currently in extreme resistance +-50 to strong resistance but there is room for its further growth to 90. The unpredictable coronavir fundament can cause further declines. Be careful, but there is slowly room to build your long positions from the long term.
About me:
Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF ). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume , expected volatility , advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPM index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e mini futures (NQ, ES). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fund (700 000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades.
Jacob Kovarik
Nasdaq Rising WedgeRising wedge w bearish divergence, this can be attributed to the drop that has occurred in the past weeks. Fear may be intimidating when looking for an entry into a market like this but history has shown consistent returns for the nasdaq composite and price will most likely produce a reversal at one of this MA's, EMA's. Unless the dip can be associated with the RISE of cryptocurrency which is my personal bias opinion.
USDJPY: optimistic long scenarioDue to fear around coronavirus japanese yen as safe-haven currency is strengthening...
...however Japanese economy is technically in recession and USDJPY has been moving north.
Entering the market between 110.1-109.23 price zone with 113 T/P level provides decent opportunity for joining bulls.
//
Feel free to share your opinion/position via comment and follow me to stay updated.
Spot to buy some protection? AMEX:VXX , derivative on CBOE:VIX index suggests that we are in good spot to buy some protection. Market participants are very optimistic in recent days, but coronavirus risks still unresolved. In fact, data from China continues to be rather worrying. If we to start another leg lower in equities, today is a good day for it.
FACEBOOK Stock WILL Drop Below 200 Amid Fear CoronavirusCoronavirus has been impacted several stocks including facebook stock. As a sign of rejection, many trader losing interest to purchase the facebook stock in a current situation.
The fear among the people for the disease spread make this stock having a biggest pullback. From the price of 224 key level, trader rejected for the price to go any higher up of 250 level.
This send the price stock to test the price 201 at this moment article was published. The robust supply on the daily chart is a sign of reversal to the price of 165 or worst 161.
Meaning this disease on the fear sentiment trading will be continue until the price recover back to its rally bullish position to continue the trend.
Income from the Facebook coming from many biggest company for the advertising. For now, the biggest client of Facebook is holding the production on supply chain due to
halt export outside China. This will slow down their production and revenue. Many investor has now pull back their money out from the Facebook stock. The demand is not there and the price reject with strong rejection from 224 to 201 in a month just after the disease has been spread across nation wide countries.
Is that coincidence?
POWERS TANKING THE ECONOMY ON FAKE NEWS AND FEAR DURING ELECTIONwww.cdc.gov
The burden of influenza disease in the United States can vary widely and is determined by a number of factors including the characteristics of circulating viruses, the timing of the season, how well the vaccine is working to protect against illness, and how many people got vaccinated. While the impact of flu varies, it places a substantial burden on the health of people in the United States each year.
CDC estimates that influenza has resulted in between 9 million – 45 million illnesses, between 140,000 – 810,000 hospitalizations and between 12,000 – 61,000 deaths annually since 2010.
THE CORONAVIRUS IS A FAR CRY BELOW THESE STAGGERING FIGURES AND WE TALK ONLY US HERE AND NOONE EVER CARED ABOUT IT OR SHUT BORDERS OR TRAVELLING OR ALL TEH FUSS ALL THE COUNTRIES ARE DOING RIGHT NOW;
THE KEY QUESTION THAT COMES IN MIND IS:
WHO AND WHY SOME POWERS WANT TO DERAIL THE GLOBAL ECONOMY ESP THE US AND CHINESE ECONOMY ????? ESPECIALLY DURING AN ELECTION YEAR
what is clear is that if the economy and the stock market continues to rally like all the fundamentals and earnings are doing DONALD is going to win so I believe SOME POWERS are ready to do anything including spreading FAKE NEWS and FEAR TO PROVOKE A GLOBAL MARKET CRASH and paralyse the global economy;
Two advantage to it: 1/ THEY MAKE DONALD LOSE 2/ THEY SCOOP HEAVILY DISCOUNTED ASSETS THAT HAS PROVEN GENERATING HUGE EARNINGS like the big tech and high quality stocks
BE CAREFUL , PLEASE DONT LET THEM WIN AND STEAL OUR PROFITS !!!!!!
POWERS TANKING THE ECONOMY BY SPREADING FEAR AND SCAM YOU!!!www.cdc.gov
The burden of influenza disease in the United States can vary widely and is determined by a number of factors including the characteristics of circulating viruses, the timing of the season, how well the vaccine is working to protect against illness, and how many people got vaccinated. While the impact of flu varies, it places a substantial burden on the health of people in the United States each year.
CDC estimates that influenza has resulted in between 9 million – 45 million illnesses, between 140,000 – 810,000 hospitalizations and between 12,000 – 61,000 deaths annually since 2010.
THE CORONAVIRUS IS A FAR CRY BELOW THESE STAGGERING FIGURES AND WE TALK ONLY US HERE AND NOONE EVER CARED ABOUT IT OR SHUT BORDERS OR TRAVELLING OR ALL TEH FUSS ALL THE COUNTRIES ARE DOING RIGHT NOW
THE KET QUESTION THAT COMES IN MIND IS:
WHO AND WHY SOME POWERS WANT TO DERAIL THE GLOBAL ECONOMY ESP THE US AND CHINESE ECONOMY ????? ESPECIALLY DURING AN ELECTION YEAR
what is clear is that if the economy and the stock market continues to rally like all the fundamentals and earnings are doing DONALD is going t win so I believe SOME POWERS are ready to do anything including spreading FAKE NEWS and FEAR TO PROVOKE A GLOBAL MARKET CRASH and paralyse the global economy;
Two advantage to it: 1/ THEY MAKE DONALD LOSE 2/ THEY SCOOP HEAVILY DISCOUNTED ASSETS THAT HAS PROVEN GENERATING HUGE EARNINGS like the big tech and high quality stocks
BE CAREFUL , PLEASE DONT LET THEM WIN AND STEAL OUR PROFITS !!!!!!
Why I purchased some GDXJ todayWith the odds of a Fed rate hike down to 12.7%, it's looking likely that the rate environment will stay favorable for gold next Wednesday. We're also seeing a little deceleration in stocks due to the Coronavirus, with China stocks already having taken a big loss, and US travel stocks also suffering. We've now had one Coronavirus case in the US, and there are likely to be reports of more cases in the coming weeks. A significant downturn in US stocks due to Coronavirus panic could be good for gold. Thus GDXJ probably makes a good hedge against positions in the major US stock indexes moving forward.
NASDAQ: FEAR > (GREED + HOPE) ==> CORRECTION.In this screencast I set out why I think the NASDAQ is in deep trouble and uncertainty. This is truly beyond technical and fundamental analysis.
I'm looking into the psychology of markets. There is a whole lot to fear in this market. Reality is catching up on fantasy. It's been a long lovely dream and the big boys have made their killing. They will not want this to turn into a nightmare!
I explore patterns that today, are pretty similar to 2007-ish
I show why I think the market is exhausting. I say that quite possibly fear may outweigh greed and hope.
So the equation in a superheated bull market is:
FEAR > (GREED + HOPE) ==> CORRECTION.
DISCLAIMERS: This is speculative opinion only. That the post is listed as short is only an indication of probability estimate for the south. It is not intended to cause fear or to advise people on making financial decisions. Your decisions are your own as well as the risks you accept. If you lose out on profits or otherwise lose money, kindly sue yourself!
Everything I've Learnt Are...Bs lol. We live in information age where we can get any information from internet for free of cost. So why are we buying courses and learning from different sources of training materials when everything are based on same framework with differnet title name?
I can see on this chart that there are many Traps with M & W formations only occurs before breakouts which is where 90% of retails traders gets trapped before seeing a big moves up or downwards which only 10% of people that actually caught that big moves.
Why?
Interesting, charts tell alot of story.. Just have to look hard enough for a tell tale signs...
FEAR OF SELLING at SUPPORT ZONE? OANDA:XAUUSD
I'm anticipating 1 more drop for Gold on 4H chart. At least to 1460.
Confluence:
BRN
Multiple Support Retest
Confirmation Needed:
Price breakout the Support zone.
Entry:
Sell limit @ 1486, SL @ 1496 (100 pips), TP @ 1460 (240 pips)
TAYOR and let me know your thoughts :)
Another Total Market Cap Update #2Update:
A few more lines added in to show direction
Down to 190 Billion then...
Up to 212 Billion...
Most likely a dump to follow,
if we break up from 212 then we may be seeing a reversal on the market.
Hard to speculate where we will go from here.
I still seeing the details laid out in my last update panning out,
refer to my last post for relevant data.
When there is Greed in The Market be fearful ...One of many Zilliqa advocates ends up one of his videos
with one of Warren Buffett's phrases:
"When there is Greed in The Market be fearful, but
when there is fear in the Market, be Greedy.
Is this the case?
Is it here where we should be greedy
and buy our place in paradise?
Of course, this is the kind of question which
cannot have a human answer.
Now in layman's terms:
Should Zilliqa goes back
to its former price shown here by 08 Jun. Only a couple of Months ago;
greed could have eventually tripled the money invested, although
there is nothing to indicate that anything like that is
about to happen in the same length of time.
All we can see is that bears are getting their share of Fear as well.
Always make sure that you understand the risks involved whenever and wherever you invest your hard earned money.
Please, do not take this comment as financial advice or suggestion to perform any action by anybody. Don't worry..... be happy.
Crypto Fear & Greed Index can tell you when to buy BTCWhy Measure Fear and Greed?
Crypto market behavior is very emotional. People tend to get greedy when the market is rising which results in FOMO (Fear of missing out). Also, people often sell their coins in the irrational reaction of seeing red numbers. With our Fear and Greed Index, we try to save you from your own emotional overreactions. There are two simple assumptions:
Extreme fear can be a sign that investors are too worried. That could be a buying opportunity.
When Investors are getting too greedy, that means the market is due for a correction.
Therefore, alternative.me analyze the current sentiment of the Bitcoin market and crunch the numbers into a simple meter from 0 to 100. Zero means "Extreme Fear", while 100 means "Extreme Greed".
You can find the indicator in TradingView and it is quite amazing what it shows.
In a bull market, it actually shows you great buy opportunities for buying the dips or playing the swings!
Hope you will enjoy it!
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