Fear
VIX pushing higher as VOL returns As Stocks & Crypto push higher, even yields ticking up with a hint of a Gold rally.
It is my opinion that stocks simply can't be this inflated for long. Yes we need to wait for the Fed to reduce QE pace. However, one needs to get Volatility while it's cheap.
Looking for a short term bounce in the #VIX to $24 with this beautiful double bottom / W pattern.
SELL YOUR BITCOINS Because...Hello Dear Crypto Traders or Holders.
How much you know about BTC Fear & Greed index?
Do you know when the market is in Extreme Fear or Greed what will happen?
I am here to learn you a little this type of market analysis .
Well, if you see this idea, congratulations, you are far ahead of many in this market who understand the use of Trading View.
You can tell the difference between analysis and good prediction.
let's get to the point
Not all tools are always used to analyze the market more accurately, and you need to integrate them properly according to your own strategy.
For example, indicators are not used alone, you have to combine the technical with it or ...
I am here to tell you that bitcoin will not go higher than its own ATH at this time, as many expect, you ask why?
I combined the technical and classic RSI indicator and another useful tool called BTC Fear & Greed index.
Well, you know that markets often react to their own past
What does this market tell us now?
He says that whenever the BTC Fear & Greed chart penetrates above 80 and reaches Extreme Greed mode, most of the whales and big ones in the market start selling their possessions when simple people are greedy, and look back at the market in this situation. crash and experience deep shaving
Or vice versa, when people are in deep fear and this tool goes to the numbers 30 and below, whales use people's fear and get their property cheaper than they grab.
Conclusion:
1. Bitcoin has reached its greatest resistance.
2. The RSI indicator from 6 OCT 2021 shows a negative divergence.
3. The BTC fear & Greed index tool has reached over 80.
4. People who bought bitcoin for 64,000 are selling.
5. In the lower time frames formed a twin hills (Double Top).
6. In the 4-hour candlelight we see that the candlesticks do not have the power to break this important level at the moment.
7. And more importantly, the whales are thinking of trapping traders.
You can save your profits and wait for lower prices.
Now you ask what if he did not correct and BTC hit the ATH ? Because in this market, nothing is 100%. In my opinion, if 10% of this happens, after hit the ATH btc will return to 64000 and when the pullback completed you can enter again.
BE SAFE
CTS - #TAIEXThis analysis is designed to provide information that CTS believes to be accurate on the subject matter, but is shared with the understanding that the author is NOT offering individualized advice tailored to any specific portfolio or the particular needs of any individual.
The author of the analysis specifically disclaims any responsibility for any personal or other loss or risk incurred as a consequence, directly or indirectly, of the use and application of any of the contents of this analysis.
BTCUSD "Economic Bubble"?Thought it fitting to sketch Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue "Economic Bubble"model over BTCUSD Weekly TF.
Imagine how fast this would move once "FEAR" was to properly set in.
Thoughts on price action over the next month?
"DISCLAIMER: NO ADVICE. The information presented here is general in nature and is for education purposes only. Nothing should be considered to be advice. You should consult with an appropriate professional for specific advice tailored to your situation."
Just an observation on VIX for this yearSo far January has been the most volatile month, followed by Feb, Mar and May. September, at times felt like, might really do some damage - but we lacked in volume to do any real damage. But check out the natural curve thats forming for this whole year. We are now towards the tail end of it - maybe we end September on a mild note, and then Oct, Nov, December - we see some extreme volatility rise along with the curve.
FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) Biggest problem with beginner tradersHi Everyone, today I wanted to ramble a little more on something that I struggled a lot with and still do to this day, that is the fear of missing that one big trade that your one hundred percent sure that this is the one that will make you a millionaire. This is where the problem comes in many people think of trading as such a simple thing but also over complicate it at the same time. When you ask another trader they may be using ten different indicators on their chart at once they will tell you that it helps them time the market better and is their way of approaching the market, this approach is perfectly fine if that your personal style. But, on the flip side if you ask that same trader if they are willing to create a simple trading plan to make sure that their emotions are in check before taking the trade and this is the trade they really want to be taking. A simple trading plan can really make a difference in anyone's trading career but this is not the main focus for today, I will be posting more on a strict trading plan to do exactly that, keep you in check and allow for your edge in the market to really reveal itself.
Fear of missing out, this is something that many of us have personally struggled with whether we like it or not some of us including myself even struggle with it to this day. This is when you are looking at the chart and without doing a full analysis on the pair you go into it already having a bias on the pair and this will only allow you to see the market in one single way. This causes you to think there is a good trade but in reality there is nothing really even going in your favor, but you think oh no I know for a fact this thing is going down and I need to get in now for a better risk to reward ratio. This causes you to be blinded to what is actually happening in the market and leads you to taking a stupid trade that could have easily been avoided.
Some of you may be following me already and have already seen some of my analysis and post these previous few weeks, while a lot of them went against my initial analysis I did not take half of the trades on my account. For me to take a trade I want to have confirmation which would be a close above the zone of recent highs or lows and after that close confirming that there is more momentum in my favor, only then will I actually take the trade. I have this "Rule" in place to allow for better trades and try to limit me to my stupid trades due to my fear of missing out. I even started to literally sit on my hands or not even look at the charts for a while waiting to see if my trade that I would want actually lines up or if it is a false breakout, waiting for that confirmation has allowed for me to take a lot less losing trades and this is something that I would highly suggest doing in your own trading strategy as well.
You should be able to close your eyes and imagine your perfect setup right now, and that is the only conditions you should take a trade under. If you are taking trades based on emotions that is never going to go well, so many different things can happen in someone's life that can effect their personal trading routines and overall psychology. It is very very very important to have rules set in place to help better your trading and help you along that journey of becoming a break even trader and even a future profitable trader. While this will allow for a person's strategy to really thrive, risk management and the proper set up rules will really improve any trading strategy no matter how good or bad it may be.
Thank you all for the support the trading community has already showed me while I have been trying to share my trades for my own personal benefit and the benefit to whoever may take a peek at my information. Hope you all had an amazing trading week and I will be posting more about suggested topics or whatever I feel like writing about that day, hope you had a good day.
Thanks again,
KeySlot
VIX: below normality levelHi Guys,
#Evergrande
#EnergyCrisisEU
My question to you is the following:
In your view, what's the risk posed by above two factors to Stock Markets?
Are these threats sufficient to bring back uncertanty?
Thank you for your thoughts and kind regards
Cozzamara
Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
Trading in foreign exchange (“Forex”) on margins entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not an indication of future results. In this case, as well, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and for you. Before you decide to invest in foreign exchange, you should carefully assess your investment objectives, experience, financial possibilities and willingness to take risks. There is a possibility that you will lose your initial investment partially or completely. Therefore, you should not invest any funds that you cannot afford to completely lose in a worst-case scenario. You should also be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading and contact an independent financial advisor in case of doubt.
Fear leads to doubt and doubt leads to Insurance.Post pandemic workforce and travel is in constant change.
Technology innovation is an easy way to spot a long term winner.
Why should you pay for insurance on a car sitting in the driveway while you work from home?
An insurance company of the future should adapt your premiums based on your behavior in the car.
Just speculation. Not financial advice.
btc analyzecritical zone for btc and all cryptoes
watch the fear & greed index
if price break 47.0004 zone price will come down to next resistance and if the fear in the market wins the greed we will watch that price come down to next resistance in 38.000$. but this resistance is very very strong
MCDI confirm short position too
VIX Bottoming Could Signal Big Move Either Way!TVC:VIX
The VIX has lacked any true momentum break. This could be due to the frenzy buying on any dips but if dips get bought and VIX flies this would likely set a lot of new traders up for big losses.
It's always a great idea to learn ways to hedge yourself in the market and understand why that is necessary to be a successful trader.
The Hard Truth About Trading 😅
Well, that is just a joke.
Or not a joke?
In every good joke, there's a sliver of truth...
So many people blew their trading accounts in a blink of an idea chasing the profits, so many people went bankrupt practicing leverage trading...
Do not be that guy in a picture.
Be a true trader!
Never forget about risk management and don't be greedy.
Never let your emotions control you.
Stay calm and humble while you trade.
Have a great weekend!
❤️Please, support these drawings with like! It really helps!
CTS- #AUDJPYThis analysis is designed to provide information that CTS believes to be accurate on the subject matter, but is shared with the understanding that the author is NOT offering individualized advice tailored to any specific portfolio or the particular needs of any individual.
The author of the analysis specifically disclaims any responsibility for any personal or other loss or risk incurred as a consequence, directly or indirectly, of the use and application of any of the contents of this analysis.
Short Of The Week My weekly position! Going to short ( buy puts I should say ) Planet Fitness
Technicals & Fundamentals support a decline in value of this stock short term and I am very excited to explain my findings, beliefs, & trading strategy.
Technical Analysis:
I. Candle stick analysis
II. MACD shows growing bearish divergence/ weakening bullish divergence
III. Elliot wave shows that the second wave has been completed & the third descending wave is about to form ( opposite could happen if stock rises which is unlikely )
IV. Guth 3x Confirm shows a sell band as well as price & volume trending downward with stronger selling to come based on the red line.
V. Visible range shows high levels of trading as low as $73 a share which is close to where our lower low could be ( $70 )
Fundamental Analysis:
With the Delta variant of Covid-19 this could increase fear and make investors weary of buying planet fitness, there is plenty of room to sell off based on the technicals and selling volume has the potential to increase significantly bringing us to the true trading range of $73.
My Plan
What I will personally do is buy my puts for PLNT to hit $72.50 expiring 9.20 & will attempt to profit off the dip in a day trade or week long hold depending on price movement and trends.
Your thoughts matter!
I love reading everyones comments on my publications and would love to see your thoughts on my analysis as well as your thoughts on the short term future of Planet Fitness. Hope to hear from you all and anyone attempting to make a trade based on this analysis take extreme caution as I have been making lots of inaccurate calls/puts lately.
I do have a track record of being right and have almost 600 followers to back me up so I am not giving up and am looking forward to taking over this market again.
A negative divergence between candlesticks and CCIDivergences play a significant role in trading. Here in the daily frame of BTC/USDT, the negative divergence is being diagnosed which can result in a sharp decrease in the following days. In addition, the Crypto Fear and Greed index is another important indicator that can indicate the amount of inflation. The amount of this indicator is 74 out of 100. It means that the market is immersed in intense greed.
Classic Wyckoff Accumulation playing out.Noticed a perfect example of a classic Wyckoff accumulation playing out on the 6H, and wanted to do an explanation of how instructional investors and whales define support and resistance zones and use them to shake out retail investors during accumulation.
The Wyckoff method plays out in every market that has institutional investors. Once defined, understanding it is a powerful card to have in your hand when you're trading. You'll notice from the volume profile on the right that the price action stays within defined support/resistance levels.
That's because the big buyers set the levels. This $31,500-$40,500 range is also the defining volume range in the distribution leading up to the ATH, making it a substantial level of support over the long term.
Reading volume is important when doing Wyckoff analysis as it will definitively tell you whether a move is false or not.
Note that the uptrend in Phase D & E are for illustration. We may still have some bear market to come, but we are at the strongest region of support since the start of the bull run, so we may be turning around.
Understanding the psychology of greed and fear is important as well. Greed is the driving force of large investors to shake out smaller retail investors during uncertain market times. It works because retail investors tend to trade on emotion, becoming fearful when a large price drop takes place. Institutional investors can ignore emotion and and simply stick to their targets as they have a much larger financial cushion and the ability to act as market makers on a larger scale.
Once you understand the psychology of fear and greed in markets and how volume can be used to confirm price action, you can stop being fearful, stick to a strategy, and begin trading with the market movers instead of against them—as more often than not this is a losing battle.