Vix: a tool to anticipate potential market tops & bottomsThis is just a guide for human psychology.
Buy some when VIX is between 30 & 40 (FEAR phase). Sell some when VIX is between 15 & 20 (GREED phase).
Vix the fear index is currently on an wide upchannel creating a lot of market volatility. However, we can use this channel range to anticipate temporary tops & bottoms until this channel breaks up or down.
See chart for all the possible tops & bottoms & where this channel may possibly break down downward (stocks will rise in the last Quarter2022 before a STA CLAUS rally unless another black swan happens). Recession if it will happen may come after a year or 2 when unemployment starts to rise again & inflation/demand starts to plummet. Right now unemployment is very low & inflation is still rising. The action of FED to fight inflation by forcefully raising rates & reducing demand may risk sending US economy into STAGFLATION (slowing economy with rising inflation is very bad for stocks).
Not trading advice.
Hope this helps someone to understand the power of FEAR & GREED.
Fearindex
Our Fear & Greed Index shows "Greed" - Sell Greed, Buy FearOur Fear & Greed Index shows "Greed" - Sell Greed, Buy Fear
Our version of Fear & Greed Index shows "Greed".
The values on Fear and Greed Index range from -1000 000 (extreme fear) to 1000 000 (extreme greed).
The zones are separated as follows:
-500 000 = Extreme Fear
-500 000 - 0 = Fear
0 - 500 000 = Greed
500 000+ = Extreme Greed
It can be argued that when the market approaches or is in the "extreme greed" zone, traders are becoming overly greedy and the market is overdue for a correction.
Similarly, it can be argued that when the market is in the "extreme fear" zone, traders are being overly cautious and the market will soon reverse.
Our Fear and Greed Index gets updated every nanosecond.
In order to calculate the fear and greed index, we gather data from 5 different sources:
Volume
Open Interest
Social Media (Reddit & Twitter)
Search Data (Google & Bing)
AI opinion
AI painted the chart using TradingView's native charting tools.
Analysis: we used Google ML "Firebase" Toolkit, OXYBITS Space Invariant Artificial Neural Networks.
100% bots, zero humans, DYO before investment.
Bitcoin - Here's the zone I expect for the next few weeksTraders,
The week has ended and Bitcoin has thrown us a bit of a curveball. But should we have expected this drop? And is it a healthy sign. I am of the persuasion that it is! I feel that as long as the Bitcoin price remains above the 50/100 day moving average intersection (which coincides with a .618 Fibonacci retracement level), Bitcoin remains bullish and I, myself, will become even more of a bull than I currently am! Let's review the chart data together.
⛓️ 🔗 Useful Links 🔗 ⛓️
Last Bitcoin Post and Update (non-video version):
Bitcoin FUD Update - Support has Broken! Will it be Confirmed?Traders,
Quick evening update.
Ya'll know I don't do this unless something unusual has occurred or is occurring. In my last video update on Monday , I mentioned that we needed to be a bit cautious this week because BTC loves to throw us a wicked curve ball every now and then. And that is exactly what seems to be occurring here.
Recapping that video with a BLUF, I would state quickly that I was hoping for more of a retest of our support (which we did get). However, I was hoping that support would hold and that we'd move sideways through Friday. My cautionary flag, if you remember, was that everything seemed to be playing out precisely as expected for the last several weeks and when that happens, experience has taught me, be prepared for something new and different. And here we have it. A strong dip below support as the shorts go on the prowl for all those leveraged longs.
Now, remember, I stated that we needed some good test of that support for me to really become more bullish. This dip below support is even better that I could have asked for. And I am super excited to see what is occurring here as it causes me to become even more bullish than even I expected to become (and I am a strong bull above that BLACK ascending trend line as you all know).
So, here are a couple of things to note on my noisy chart:
#1 - Doing Fibonacci from the wick low on March 14th to the wick high on March 22nd gives us some good levels.
#2 - .618 Fib retracement intersect exactly with the 100 day ma which is also intersecting with the 50 day ma. This is huge! And this area of confluence provides us with such a strong support that it as if it almost repels the price above it from coming down to touch it. It will be difficult for the bears to get that contact but if they do, it will act as a trampoline of sorts to propel us upwards rapidly.
#3 - .618 is a common retracement level and is often reached in a drawback. However, %50 retracement is also common and we have currently reached that level which is intersecting with an already drawn support level I had at around $43,000. Will this hold?
Here are my expectations:
#1 - We are back in the FUD zone. I don't know what happened news wise as I have been on a bit of a vacation around here, but I did see that the VIX spiked quite drastically:
This spike in fear has obviously carried over, whatever it's cause is?
But my charts are showing me that this fear my be quick lived.
#2 - The dollar has done the expected and become even more bullish (as I already outline in the last video). When the VIX is up and the dollar is up, it's almost a 100% guarantee everything else will drop. And that is what has happened.
Really, I don't expect us to spend too much time back in this "FUD ZONE" area. When I say "too much time" I mean that it won't be months again like it was last time. The bulls have signaled that they want to move higher with our break above $45,000 resistance last week. Liquidity is drying up (another reason for the quick drop) - a very bullish sign. And long term hodl'er wallets are at an all time high as $$$ moves off of exchanges to hard wallets.
If I had to guess, I'd say were probably already almost done with this current drawback. Smoked out most of those leveraged longs and now we can proceed once again according to game plan. Maybe another day or two (a week at the most) is my best guess and we'll be on our way up and back over that support zone again!
Take care my fellow traders,
-Stewdam.us
VIX-S&P 500 FEAR INDEX-LESS FEAR, MARKETS CORRECTINGThe VIX measures the fear in the S&P 500. Even if you only trade or invest in crypto or stocks watching the VIX is critical in learning how to measure the sentiment of the general market regardless of what you are trading or investing. I use the VIX for even crypto trading and suits me well. It does the complete opposite of the what other stocks or cryptos do. Master understanding this chart and you will be better prepared at making successful trading entries and exits in the market. So despite the Russian Ukranian invasion the markets are correcting slowly and beginning to show promise once again. For details watch this video and give me a thumbs up and please subscribe to show support for my channel.
Thank You
Astreaus otherwise know as Cryptobuzzanalyst
Disclaimer
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post.
BTC Love, Hate & the SPXSounds like it should be a Gil Bellows movie. I've had good times scalping BTC but haven't posted on it for a while. It's messy but so are the regulatory issues underpinning all of crypto right now.
Fear / Greed Index = 10 at the time of this post and people holding their breath long and short. I personally avoid trading "the middle" and prefer setting outlier buys / sells for those flash wicks, a strategy that's worked well over time.
The SPX seems to have some bearing on the action for Bitcoin so I'm going to post an SPX chart here as well, look for the parity.
As always, DYOR and don't take this as "investment advice".
Good luck!
calls on the VXX Betting on a spike in the vix tomorrow after the CPI number comes in hot. Too many signs of inflation to ignore, there's no way the CPI comes in softly. I think the markets will have a slight reaction which should spike the "fear index" for a brief period of time, long enough to sell the calls in-the-money
Strategy to profit from this possibility:
VXX expiration June 11th $33 strike calls (ITM)
VXX expiration June 11th $34 strike calls (OTM)
Vix spikes are usually short-lived and this is playing off a specific catalyst, specifically, the CPI being reported at 8:30 am June 10th.
$40 million bet on Vix going to 25, then to 40"One or more traders laid out a roughly $40 million bet that the Cboe Volatility Index - often called Wall Street's fear gauge - will break above the 25 level and rise towards 40 by mid-July," finance.yahoo.com
Try to play it with VXX for 1x leverage to the vix and UVXY for 1.5x leverage to the vix. It is a good way to have some volatility protection.
☢️ 💣Market Volmadeggon: VIX – sky is the limitHi guys, is this VIX chart is like „deja vu“??
At last financial crisis at 2008 the simmilar pattern created like recent months. Treasury spread yields telling the same story again in lower pane. After first cross of its 12-month MA it takes 5 months to firs bigger surge in TVC:VIX . Then it takes 13 bars to yield spread approach to 2%, then volmadeggon begun….
The situation on chart looks familiar now...
If history repeats this time not be different but much bigger than 2008
After first cross 12 month MA of Yields spread it takes 3 bars to new higher high on TVC:VIX 37.5 in 2008. This month its 12 bars from TVC:VIX new higher high 85.5 when COVID-19 pandemy started.You can observe same massive vix squeeze as in 2008.
So its looks like this year 2021 will be EPIC & LEGENDARY in financial markets
As you notice in chart, my target is at 2.61 Fibbonacci retracement level because this level was reached at 2008 too.
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VIX is getting ready for another HUGE PUMP UP!Another volatility spike is coming soon.Athought stock market indicies CME_MINI:ES1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! CME_MINI:NQ1! rising another all time high CBOE:VIX sitting on its support at 20 very stubbornly. That indicatates there are still doubts about market a and global economy recovery...
What is TVC:VIX ?
Its realtime market index calculated by CBOE and its derived from price of put options of TVC:SPX . Its represent "market" expectation of 30-day forward volatility. By TVC:VIX you can measure market risk, fear and stress in the stockmarket. That is why it is also called "Fear index" and you can observe inverse correlation with TVC:SPX
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Back to the moon with UVXY! 🌑 Volatility burts in 3...2...1 🔥Hi mates! Another big move on AMEX:UVXY is coming! Last week there was huge buying in orderflow on AMEX:UVXY . Now 10 - 9.95 its very strong supply zone. We could observe TVC:VIX is rising in tandem with CME_MINI:ES1! AMEX:SPY its not good sign for equities for coming week.
My target for this week on AMEX:UVXY is 12.46. Risk / Reward is very favorable on this trade.
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Leave a comment that is helpful or encouraging. Let's master the markets together.
short the vix via VXX, buy puts or sell callsAs uncertainty leaves the market, the Vix should stabilize. I would buy a long put or sell a long call, as it could take a while for it to check down to the lower trend line.
Keep in mind, there is always the possibility of a catastrophic or unforeseen event that could send it through the roof so don't risk too much. Always keep your side bets to less than 5% of your overall account value, 10% at the most for extremely high conviction plays.
VXX is the perfect way to play volatility. For instance, if you expect a period of heightened uncertainty and volatile days where the market is churning, you could buy some VXX as short-term protection against high volume sell-off days.
Volatility next door! 🚪 Expecting volatility rise today 📈Hi mates, higher volatility is expected for today. Just sharing my setup for volatility trade.
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Knock, Knock, who’s there??? Volatility rise!! 📈 Long on UVXYHi fellows, as many of us expecting stock market correction on main indicies, finally there are some signs of rising volatility in near future. Yesterday strong rebound of TVC:VIX is some fresh air in my face :)
AMEX:UVXY is one of instruments you can participate on rising volatility or hedge your portfolio in risk off days. Today and next few days will be risk off very likely.
So here is my idea.
Yesterday price action on AMEX:UVXY was pretty strong. Its rebounded from strong supply area 10.20-10.60 and bounce back to rising trendline. Now sitting at key support 11.05. You can see rebound is supported by very clear defined divergence on long term CCI indicator.
Here is my trade:
------------------------Trade setup ---------------------------
Entry: 11.05
Stop Loss: 10.77
Profit target: 12.22
Time stop: 5 days
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