XAUUSD Gold Short Trade For Swing TradersEvery day, the market sets new highs. According to the study, we should expect a good corrective move in the next days.
We have SL in the last two transactions. We intend to execute a swing sell trade with a risk-reward ratio of 1-10; if this fails, we will proceed with a 1-12 risk-reward ratio.
The market is at a point where a correction should occur, but the outlook for gold remains favorable.
Because the market is already at an all-time high, preparing a long trade now may be riskier, thus in order to be active in long trades this month, we must wait for at least 70-100 points of price correction.
You are all respectfully requested to use proper risk management when following these assessments and executing the suggested trades.
Feb
XAU/USD Short Trade for swing tradersThe market is reaching an all-time high every day. According to the analysis, we should see a good corrective move in the coming days.
We have SL in the past two trades. We are planning a swing sell trade with a 1-10 risk-reward ratio; if this fails, we will plan the next swing trade with a 1-12 risk-reward ratio.
The market is at levels where a corrective move should occur, but the view on gold is still bullish.
Because the market is already at an all-time high, planning a long trade, for now, can be more risky, so to be active in long trades for this month, we need to wait for at least 70-100 points of correction in price.
you are all kindly requested to follow proper risk management to follow these analyses and execute the provided trades.
XAU/USD Analysis for this week 3rd-Feb-2025 to 7th-Feb-2025According to our last analysis, gold was preparing to reach a new all-time high, which we achieved only last week. The expectation is to get a good correction from the 2830 area to 2759-2764 or 2728-2733. Both can be good long entries. The 2760 zone is good for intraday trading, but the 2730 zone can be good for swing trading with at least 1-5 RRR.
This post is for weekly analysis. Meanwhile, if a good trade is activated, I'll post it here at the same time.
kind request to all while using our analysis please do your risk calculation always.
NAS100 pepperstone [M]update feb-mar 2023
Continuation short, fibs are based off NQs 2200(price) gain back in 2010'
Very, very long timeframe fib retrace in play.
Supporting narratives? capital crunch from boomers exiting capital + deglobalisation pushes due to conflicts based on demographic declines, deglobalisation pushes due to growing reluctance to freely share Intellectual Property or freely secure transportation or cooperate with international maritime laws and standards.
Free capital shortage until millennials reach the production class stage, (large generation to provide capital again)(maybe 10-15 years)
Why I chose to short NQ? being the most speculative and averaging higher than reasonable p/es its safe to assume that capital will exit these asset classes before more productive or illiquid assets could. Less ballsy then shorting Bitcoin, but I think i've found a sweetspot
Tech stocks are quiet literally based on assumed sustained exponential rates of development, while in general investors ignore the luxuries that have provided the tech industries foundations. I.e cheap capital, unhindered outsourcing/subsidisation, and unhindered free trade (subsidised trade).
If you can't secure resources or their transportation
If you can't secure cheap capital indefinity
If you can't secure cooperation with multiple countries and multiple supply chains
Then the system will need to go through a phase of Darwinian re-exploration to re-define efficiency. Its the most logical outcome which will conclude with a period of lower valuations until capital becomes more readily available atleast.
Things to watch?
Nations will be reindustrialising and renationalising because it will be mandatory. Periods of higher inflation will be evident, maybe akin to something more 'natural' without subsidiation abroad. (higher than the past 20 year average). Higher inflation is normal because a. reindustrialisation is the most inflationary stage of economic development because you are quiet literally rebuilding the road.
Redesigning an efficient, self sustaining path will cost in the short term, but in the long term it will create a much more secure environment, that's why i say its darwinian.
BUT, yes all we need to do is wait for the millennials to come into the production stages of their lives (40s-50s) and economic booms should follow (so late 50s earlys 60s will be their wealthiest). It will be the same for their offspring, so capital booms will arise when the millennials reach their early 60s, and when their offspring reaches their early 60s and so on. One thing to note is if we continue down the path of smaller and smaller generations, we could very well be living right now (or the past 5 years) in the most capital rich (relatively) era in recorded history.
Coming from.. well i believe I'm a zoomer right? (24 this year) its quiet daunting to think about, but this play is literally the only 'invest for the long-term' play that I have.
Want to thank Peter Zeihan for his continued works, and for his astute insights on current affairs, and for providing a great outline or general trend on where the world is going in the years to come.
DXY 19th FEBFirst DXY breakdown we have posted, overall we wanted to show you the correlation between the other USD pairs that we posted today and overall how you can use this as a correlated trading pair.
For anyone that doesn't know, the dollar index directly correlates to any pairs with the US dollar... If you look at this chart matched with any of the US dollar charts and their correlated pairs, you will see a reverse correlation. This allows us to anticipate certain trades for indexes and currency pairs.
using direct correlations can bring much more accuracy to your trades that correlate with this index.
Right here you can see we created a clear bullish movement to the upside. We have also put in a range which is also bullish. We have clear areas of demand that we are sitting above currently I'm expecting the price to continue bullish from these areas of demand. If the price does not hold and we break lower, until we take out the major low highlighted with the green dot we are still bullish overall.
Remember guys, if you like this idea, hit that boost button. Drop us a comment down below. Let us know what you think.
As always guys trade safe, stick to your trading plan.
I hope you all have an amazing trading week.
Smart Money is buying Real Bitcoin, selling USD and fake BitcoinPretty easy to see as a full time crypto trader wall street and smart money is trading in paper air Bitcoin bears with bulls here. $100K and $200K this year. Easy.
It's not real estate or Bitcoin or other real assets going up, it's FIAT going down faster that we can tell because governement backed currencies are bankrupt and without a floor. Inflation will continue to rampant except in economies that peg on a fix and verifiable central reserve currency. Bitcoin from 2008, has proven itself.
Inflation Rate Roundups Trade Safe - Trade Well
Regards,
Michael Harding 😎 Chief Technical Strategist @ LEFTURN Inc.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Information and opinions contained with this post are for educational purposes and do not constitute trading recommendations. Trading Forex on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to invest in Forex you should consider your knowledge, investment objectives, and your risk appetite. Only trade/invest with funds you can afford to lose.