SILVER - Catch This Continuation Trade!Last time we analysed Silver, we identified that we were in a new bullish phase. A bullish wave consists of 5 waves. Waves 1, 3 and 5 are impulse waves and wave 2 and 4 are corrective waves.
We are now in wave 2 of the bullish impulse, which is a correction. The correction we're getting is a 535 correction, which is also known as a zigzag. Wave A has 5 waves, wave B has 3 waves and finally, wave C has 5 waves.
We anticipate that wave B is almost over and looking to catch wave C.
Trade Idea:
- Looking for price to push a little higher before reversing
- Safe entry on break of red trendline
- Risk entry using a lower timeframe risk trendline once we push up a little more
- Stops above price once the red trendline breaks
- Targets: 22.8, 21.5, 20.6
See our last analysis below.
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
Fed
DXY - Ready to skyrocket buying!This is DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) MONTHLY ANAYLSIS..
DXY Imminent Skyrocket
Price is buying from Panic Zone (0 -382%) INSIDE MONTHLY DEMAND ZONE (PREVIOUSLY SUPPLY ZONE)
We expect price BREAK 0% AREA (WEEKLY SUPPLY ZONE) and continue buying to TP1 A AND TP 2 B AREAS.
TRIGGER: WAIT PRICE BREAK 0% AREA (104.620)
When it's triggered, I suggest to open BUY POSITIONS on USD parallel pairs (USD/JPY, USD/CAD, USD/CHF)
and SELL POSITIONS on opposite (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, BTC/USD)
BULLISH INTERNAL CYCLE - WEEKLY ANALYSIS.
- TP 1 - AREA A: 50 - 61.8 % (109.719 - 110.923)
- TP 2 - AREA B: 100 % (114.819)
- FINAL DESTINATION: MONTHLY SUPPLY ZONE (RED AREA ABOVE)
QQQ | EU | AJ | BTC | DECRYPTERS Hi welcome to Team Decrypters
Here is our Analysis of 4 pairs On how we are expecting the market to Move
1 - BITCOIN
2- NASDAQ
3- AUDJPY
4 - EUR USD
THIS IS OVER AL LBIAS ONLY WE TRADE WHEN THERE WILL BE SETUP , ITS ONLY TO BE TAKEN AS TRADING PLANS
1- NASDAQ is on good level to sell
2- AUDJPY Good levels to Sell
3- Bitcoins good levels to Sell is Near 27k ( US is coming Hard on crypto , Time for the End of Bear market Rally )
4- Aud jpy we wait for this pair to give us Trade ( JPY MONETRY policy will soon be in Favor of currency thats our chance to Enter )
Personal View :- Plz refer to last post description about FED and its Relation to Nasdaq , I Really Think we will go Down but some More Damage is Needed First
I Even Think we will see Crash on NASDAQ sooner or later
XAUUSD | GOLD | DECRYPTERS HI Welcome to Team Decrypters
First of keep this in MIND this analysis is on Daily
Now for this week :-
This Week we have FED meetings + Press conference
This Meeting + Press conference will be the Most important Meeting for this whole year in my opinion so
There are 2 scenarios
1- Either FED Skip JUNE and Increase Rate in next Month -
2- They incre4ase This month and Keep Higher Rate till first quarter of 2024-
Either way they have to Increase Rates as 6 out of 7 of the Fed’s inflation measures are flashing Red
Both will push Recession which is Also immanent in my opinion
MY PERSONAL OPINION:- we see DXY down till FOMC and than we see RIDE to the Up side
In OUR VIP we trade Any thing long / Short what ever Market Gives
EITHER WE GO UP AND THAN DOWN LEVELS |OR| WE GO DIRECTLY DOWN FROM THIS RANGE
DOGECOIN - Big Move Coming!We can see that Dogecoin is giving us a perfect example of an impulse. We are currently in wave 4 and looking for a breakout. For confirmation, we are waiting for the break of the red trendline.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for breakout using the red trendline as confirmation
- price to stay above blue structure = invalidation level below blue structure
- Targets: 0.75, 1, swing target 4
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
FED Rate Hike Speculation; BOJ Maintains Accommodative StanceMay Inflation Data Release to Heighten Expectations of Rate Hike
Next Tuesday, the United States is set to unveil its May inflation figures, impacting the Federal Reserve's upcoming monetary policy decision. Market forecasts anticipate a year-on-year increase of 4.2% in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), while the core annual CPI is expected to rise to 5.6%, surpassing the previous 5.5%. These figures, if realized, are likely to intensify speculation of an imminent rate hike prior to the Fed's announcement on Wednesday. Should the outcome exceed expectations, substantial volatility across the foreign exchange market is expected. Concurrently, the Federal Reserve's decision will contribute to market noise, with a pause in rates expected but accompanied by a hawkish message signaling the possibility of further rate hikes in the near future. In the event that the Fed confirms its commitment to monetary tightening, fears could trigger a stock market collapse while bolstering the US dollar.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Maintains Accommodative Stance Amid Economic Uncertainties
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) recently signaled that inflation has exceeded initial projections. However, this observation does not automatically trigger an interest rate increase. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda emphasized the need to maintain highly accommodative policies until sustainable wage growth accompanies rising prices. Consequently, the BOJ is anticipated to maintain its current target short-term interest rate of -0.1% and a 0% cap on the 10-year bond yield, consistent with its yield curve control (YCC) policy. Furthermore, the BOJ is expected to adopt a slightly pessimistic view on exports and production due to weakened demand from the United States and China. In April 2023, the BOJ highlighted stagnation in exports and production. Nonetheless, as the central bank of the world's third-largest economy, the BOJ remains optimistic that the country will experience a moderate recovery driven by increased post-pandemic consumption, offsetting the impact of weak exports.
Inflation is projected to surpass the BOJ's initial expectations. Analysts warn of the risks posed by rising inflation and the potential economic slowdown in Japan due to a severe overseas recession. While the BOJ will not issue new inflation projections next week, it is likely to signal during Governor Ueda's briefing session that inflation is exceeding initial projections. Analysts anticipate that the BOJ will revise its inflation forecast upward during its next quarterly review, considering the persistent price increases by many companies. However, the BOJ's forecast of core consumer inflation for the current fiscal year, at 1.8%, remains below analysts' projection of 2.6%.
USDJPY Technical Analysis: Bullish Consolidation Amidst Channel, Watch for MFI Indicator and Resistance Bounce
The USDJPY pair is currently experiencing a period of consolidation within a bullish channel, indicating a potential continuation of the upward trend. However, traders should closely monitor the Money Flow Index (MFI) indicator for a reading of 80, as it could signal a possible shift in market sentiment. Until the MFI remains below 80, the price has the potential to sustain its bullish trajectory. Nevertheless, caution is advised as a pullback towards the bearish direction may occur if the price encounters resistance and subsequently bounces off that level. In such a scenario, a bearish phase could ensue, with the price targeting the support line of the bullish channel.
Global Economy RecapGood day traders. International news recap. This recap has a high probability of influencing the international economic trends for the next six months.
First, let us look at the trade balance of Mainland China, which stands at 452.3 billion yuan, compared to the previous value of 618.4 billion yuan (decreased by 26%).
Furthermore, the trade balance in terms of the US dollar is 65.8 billion dollars, compared to the previous value of 90.2 billion dollars (decreased by 27%). From this, we can see a weakening in Mainland China's trade volume by a quarter. It's a big decline!
Moving on to the United States, the trade balance for April is negative 74.6 billion dollars, compared to the previous value of negative 64.2 billion dollars. Declined by 16%! This indicates a weakening in US trade as well. I sense signs of an economic recession.
However, Mainland China is quick to act. Today, they have lowered the deposit interest rates by 10-15 basis points, injecting liquidity into the market to stimulate the economy.
Today is the 9th, and next week we should pay attention to the US CPI data (inflation data), as well as Wednesday's interest rate decision. According to CME's assessment of the probability of the Federal Reserve not raising interest rates on the 14th June stands at 78%.
Conclusion:
If next Tuesday's CPI data meets expectations or is lower than expected, coupled with no interest rate hike at 2PM on Wednesday, then gold, stock markets, and the cryptocurrency market will experience a short-term increase. However, in the medium to long term, we should be mentally prepared. The yield spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury bonds has reached 0.775%. Both Mainland China and the United States are experiencing a decrease in their trade balances, indicating signs of economic weakness. Recession MAY happen.
For reference.
AUDJPY - Massive Breakdown Coming!AUDJPY setting up for a massive move lower. We are anticipating a move similar to wave W, which was over 1000pips.
We are currently in a WXY correction. We've almost completed wave X. Looking for a rejection around the 618 fibonacci level.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for rejection or lower timeframe trendline break for a risk entry
- For a safe entry, watch for a break of red trendline
- Stops above price after red trendline breaks
- Targets: 88 (600pips), 85 (900pips), 82.5 (1150pips)
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
Canadian dollar calm ahead of BoC rate announcementThe Canadian dollar is unchanged, trading at 1.3400 in the North American session.
The Bank of Canada meets later today, and the money markets are expecting another pause, which would leave the benchmark rate at 4.5%. The BoC's rate-tightening cycle has been on a "conditional pause", which is another way of saying that rate decisions are data-dependent, especially on inflation and employment reports.
The Bank has kept rates on hold since March and is expected to follow suit today, but there have been signals that the rate-hike cycle may not be over. First, April inflation report surprised on the upside after it ticked upwards to 4.4%, up from 4.3% annually, and rose from 0.3% to 0.7% month-to-month. The upswing will be of concern to BoC policy makers, as the central bank is intent on wrestling inflation back to the 2% target.
The second concern is GDP, which hit 3.1% y/y in the first quarter, beating the BoC's forecast of 2.3% growth. Consumer spending has been stronger than anticipated, as many households have sizeable savings from the pandemic which they are spending now that the economy has reopened. BoC policy makers are concerned about the rise in inflation and GDP, and we could see hints about future rate hikes even if the Bank opts to pause at today's meeting.
The Fed meets next week and with a blackout period in place on Fed public engagements, the markets are hunting for clues. Market pricing has been on a roller-coaster as divisions within the Fed over rate policy have made it difficult to determine what the Fed has planned. Currently, the markets are predicting a 78% chance of a pause, which would mark the first hold in rates after 10 straight rate increases.
1.3375 is a weak support line, followed by 1.3250
1.3496 and 1.3585 are the next resistance lines
USDCAD Potential Forecast | 7th June 2023 Fundamental Backdrop
BOC monetary policy statement today, expected to maintain.
Potential bearish pressure coming into USDCAD if BOC hikes.
Technical Confluences
Near term resistance level at 1.36374.
Near term support level 1.33166.
Idea
We believe that the BOC will maintain interest rates and this will solidify the notion that USDCAD will remain in a range-bound market.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
AUDUSD Potential Forecast | 6th June 2023 Fundamental Backdrop
RBA hike rates by 0.25bps today, resulting in strong bullish momentum.
RBA hiking rates highlights the stubborn level of inflation that AUD faces.
Technical Confluences
Near term resistance level at 0.67066 where price can potentially react to.
0.67066 will serve as a point of target.
Idea
Will wait for retracement before entering onto longs.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
S&P500 and US stock marketThe medium- and long-term forecast of a serious fall remains in force , but so far there is no confirmation of its beginning, we are focusing on the above levels. Technically, we can still show a small increase, fundamentally the situation is unstable and the fall can begin at any moment. There are serious problems in the banking sector , the prospects of a recession . In previous reviews, the inversion of the yield curve (US government bonds) was mentioned more than once, at the moment the situation is only getting worse. Sooner or later, it will begin to return to a "normal state", which will be the beginning of an sharp phase of the crisis.
US T-Bill issuance - measure the liquidity drain on TradingViewIn this video we look at the impending $800b T-bill issuance from the US Treasury to rebuild its cash levels at the TGA – will this lead to higher volatility in financial markets as reserves are taken out of the system?
Will concerns on bank credit kick back up, or will this prove to be a non-event?
We look at the indicators you need can use in TradingView to monitor this situation effectively.
EURUSD Potential Forecast | 5th June 2023 Fundamental Backdrop
ISM Services PMI forecast at 52.6 with 51.9 previous.
EUR Services PMI along with ECB Lagarde speaking may induce volatility in the market.
Hawkish tone will result in bullish momentum in EURUSD, vice versa.
Technical Confluences
Resistance level at 1.0765 where price has rejected.
Support level at 1.0533 which could be a potential target.
Price is currently on a downtrend and we will be looking for shorts.
Idea
Will wait for retracement before entering onto shorts.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
XAUUSD Potential Forecast | 5th June 2023 Fundamental Backdrop
ISM Services PMI forecast at 52.6 with 51.9 previous.
Technical Confluences
Resistance level at 1983
Support level at 1946
Price is currently hovering around the support level and we could potentially see rejection off this level
Idea
Monday asian session, hence will wait for price to stabilise before entering onto any trade.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
USDCAD -1000pip Move Coming! ✅USDCAD is currently in wave 4, which is a WXY correction.
Wave W = 535 ZigZag Correction
Wave X = 335 Flat Correction
Wave Y = 535 ZigZag correction
We are currently in wave Y = Zigzag. We can see that wave A had 5 waves, wave B had 3 waves and now we're in wave C. We've see subwaves 1, 2 and 3. We are waiting for subwave 4 to appear and one final move lower to complete the 5th subwave for wave C.
We will then look for an entry to catch the next massive impulse higher which will likely be 1000+ pip.
Trade Idea:
- watch for subwave 4 to appear and catch the final move lower
- once 5th subwave lower appears, look for reversal patterns to indicate strength
- Targets: 1.385 (650pips), 1.4 (780pips), 1.42 (1000pips)
See linked charts for our previous analysis.
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
SPY Analysis - Market Breadth, Fed Rate Cycles, and InflationI measure the breadth in the S&P as the SPY (market cap weighted S&P) divided by RSP (equal weighted S&P ETF). The higher the ratio, the more concentrated the market, and therefore less market breadth.
As can be seen, nearly every time the ratio has neared 3.0, the Fed has ensued with an easy money policy, and the SPY subsequently turned bullish. During these times, Fed rates, as well as inflation, were relatively low.
There are several exceptions. in November and December 2021, the ratio neared 3.0 at 2.97, and the Fed ensued in early 2022 with an historic rate tightening cycle, on the heals of persistent inflation of 4.7 percent in 2021 which had resulted (and continues today) from the massive COVID stimulus program. The end result was the selloff in we experienced in 2022.
Another exception was the period from 2015 to 2019, when rates were gradually raised, but maxed out at 2.40 in a relatively low inflation environment. This is not the environment that we are in today.
Today, we have already had a 50 - 61% retrace from the low posted in October, 2022, and the market breadth is again at a low (SPY/RSP=3.00) . The Fed now has the option of pausing/easing and in effect pump a bull, but by doing so it will face a huge dilemma: with an annual inflation rate of 8 percent, and the largest budget deficit in modern history, a return to easy money will further fuel inflation.
The other option would be to continue the rate hikes, and promote an economic collapse (starting with the banking sector), which will effectively bring the breadth issue to rest (along with the entire market).
Neither of these are good options. Bitter pill...
Pivoting to Jobs, Inflation, and Interest Rates?S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 06/02
We started last trading week with our trading plans on Monday titled: "Debt Ceiling Deadline Likely to Whipsaw the Markets", and these words: "Expect the approaching debt ceiling deadline to attract both bulls and bears to heightened speculation, resulting in some whipsaw movements until the deadline passes and the dust settles".
With the Senate passing the debt ceiling bill, the curtains are now drawn on that drama. With the much hotter than expected NFP numbers, the markets could soon be pivoting to a focus on the macroeconomic factors again. Currently, our directional models indicate no bias and are in an indeterminate state.
Positional Trading Models: Following the trading plans published yesterday, our positional models went short at 4225.83 with a hard stop at 4242. If the stop is hit, the models indicate staying flat for the rest of the session.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Aggressive/Intraday Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans for FRI. 06/02:
For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4250, 4231, 4206, or 4197 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4247, 4227, 4194, or 4184 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit short exits on a break above 4189. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 09:46am ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #fomc, #fed, #fedspeak, #regionalbanks, #debtceiling, #china, #nfp, #jobs
Swiss franc higher as markets eye US jobs reportThe Swiss franc has moved higher on Thursday and is trading at 0.9068 in the North American session, down 0.41%. On Wednesday, the Swiss franc fell as low as 0.9147, its lowest level in two months.
The Swiss National Bank meets on June 22nd and SNB President Jordan had a warning today for the markets. Jordan said that the central bank would not allow inflation to become entrenched, adding that if core inflation remained above 2% for too long, it would be difficult to bring it back down below 2%.
Inflation remains above the Bank's 0-2% target, and Jordan has repeatedly warned that the Bank could continue tightening rates to curb inflation. The Bank is expected to raise rates by 25 basis points at the June meeting, which would bring the cash rate to 1.75%.
The Federal Reserve meets on June 14th and members appear divided as to what action the Fed will take. Fed member Mester supports another rate hike and said on Wednesday that she did not see a “compelling reason to pause”, saying there was a more compelling case to 'hike and hold' rates. On the opposite side, members Jefferson and Harker said on Wednesday that they supported a pause in June and making future rate decisions based on the data. Jefferson warned that the effects of tightening had not been fully processed by the economy and higher rates could increase stress on the banking sector.
The markets had widely expected a rate pause just a few weeks ago, but have now priced in a 25-basis point hike at 67%. US economic data has been solid, making it more difficult for the Fed to take a pause. Unless Friday's nonfarm payrolls are woefully below the forecast, it's looking likely that the Fed will be forced to hike again in June.
The US House of Representatives has approved the debt ceiling deal by a resounding vote of 314-117. The Senate will have to quickly vote on the bill, as the government could reach its spending limit as early as June 5. The debt ceiling crisis sapped risk appetite and has helped the US dollar post broad gains against the majors. Fed member Loretta said that the deal removes a “big piece of uncertainty” about the economy.
The US dollar has posted strong gains against the majors due to the debt crisis ceiling, which sapped risk sentiment. Once the debt ceiling is out of the way, it will be interesting to see if the US dollar loses some steam.
USD/CHF is testing support at 0.9103. Below, there is support at 0.9022
0.9156 and 0.9237 are the next resistance lines
EUR/USD Bounces off Two-Month Lows as Fed Expectations FlipThe EUR/USD pair recovered ground on Thursday after touching its lowest level in over two months the previous day as expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve decision shifted to dovish while investors cheered with optimism the US House of Representatives passing the debt-ceiling bill.
At the time of writing, the EUR/USD pair is trading at the 1.0750 zone, up 0.6% on the day and more than 100 pips above Wednesday's two-month low of 1.0635.
Market sentiment improved after the US House of Representatives passed the debt-ceiling bill on Wednesday, which now needs the Senate's green light.
However, the dollar took the hardest hit from dovish comments from Fed officials. Fed's Governor Philip Jefferson said a pause before more hikes later might allow the economy time to digest current tightening and avoid bank stress. His comments were echoed by Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker but defied by Cleveland Fed President, Loretta Mester, who said she saw no "compelling reason" to pause.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of future rate hikes has flipped from previously showing odds favoring a 25 bps hike in June to over 70% odds the Fed will leave rates unchanged on June 14.
On Friday, investors will be watching the US nonfarm payroll report to assess the state of the labor market.
From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair maintains a negative short-term bias according to indicators on the daily chart, although the bearish momentum has eased a tad.
The pair faces the next relevant resistance at the 1.0810-20 area, where the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) converges with the 100-day SMA, threatening to complete a death cross. Beyond that level, the EUR/USD perspective could improve, putting the 1.0900 area back on the radar.
On the other hand, the 1.0635 low stands as immediate support, followed by the 1.0600 psychological level.