FEDERALBNKNSE:FEDERALBNK
One Can Enter Now !
Or Wait for Retest of the Trendline (BO) !
Or wait For better R:R ratio !
Note :
1.One Can Go long with a Strict SL below the Trendline or Swing Low.
2. R:R ratio should be 1 :2 minimum
3. Plan as per your RISK appetite and Money Management.
Disclaimer : You are responsible for your Profits and loss, Shared for Educational purpose
Federalbank
FEDERAL BANK Soars with Q2 Profit Rise! Targets in SightFEDERAL BANK Analysis:
Federal Bank (FEDERALBNK) is showing strong bullish momentum on the 15-minute chart using Risological swing trader, setting up for a promising long trade with an entry at ₹195.22. Following a notable 7% surge in response to rising consolidated net profits in fiscal Q2, all eyes are on potential gains as the stock aims to reach its take-profit levels.
Technical Setup:
Entry: ₹195.22
Stop Loss (SL): ₹188.61
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: ₹203.39
TP 2: ₹216.61
TP 3: ₹229.83
TP 4: ₹238.00
Market Sentiment:
The recent earnings report has driven significant buying interest, suggesting Federal Bank’s financial health is on the upswing. This strong performance could fuel continued upward momentum as the stock looks to reach each target level.
With volume still robust, traders are advised to monitor price action as the stock progresses through these levels.
Federal Bank Symmetrical Triangle FormationSymmetrical Triangle Formation: The chart displays a symmetrical triangle pattern, where the price is consolidating with lower highs and higher lows. This pattern often indicates a potential breakout, but the direction is uncertain until it occurs.
Price Action: The price is currently at 187.50, with recent highs around 188.59. The consolidation within the triangle suggests indecision in the market.
Federal Bank Breakout: Strong Bullish MomentumFederal Bank has been following an ascending trend line, indicating a consistent upward movement. Recently, the stock has broken out above this trend line with significant volume, confirming a bullish momentum. Breakouts from such patterns typically signal strong potential for further upward movement.
Trade Setup:
SL: 177
TP: 195
This setup provides a strategic entry with well-defined risk management to capitalize on the bullish trend in Federal Bank.
Fundamental Picks - Stock PE < 20 (NIFTY BANK)📊 Script: BANKBARODA
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 254
🎯 PE 🏆 - 6.98
📊 Script: FEDERALBNK
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 159
🎯 PE 🏆 - 9.33
📊 Script: BANDHANBNK
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 187
🎯 PE 🏆 - 10.12
📊 Script: SBIN
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 817
🎯 PE 🏆 - 11.43
📊 Script: INDUSINDBK
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 1410
🎯 PE 🏆 - 12.66
📊 Script: HDFCBANK
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 1437
🎯 PE 🏆 - 16.07
📊 Script: IDFCFIRSTB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 76
🎯 PE 🏆 - 17.13
📊 Script: PNB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 123
🎯 PE 🏆 - 17.89
📊 Script: ICICIBANK
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 1117
🎯 PE 🏆 - 18.44
📊 Script: KOTAKBANK
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 1627
🎯 PE 🏆 - 18.49
Formula to calculate PE = MVP/EPS
MVP - Market Value Per Share (Stock Price)
EPS - Earning Per Share
Industry(NIFTYBANK) PE - 15.7
Always Compare Stock PE with Industry PE for Better Understanding.
LOWER THE PE MORE ATTRACTIVE THE COMPANY.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
🇺🇸 US2M - QE To buy the US Debt again ? 💎Here's an intriguing observation I'd like to discuss. The increasing number of diamond 💎💎 alerts serves as a warning sign indicating an imminent significant market move.
- What is the US2M?
The M2 money supply is a measure of the total amount of money in circulation within an economy that includes cash, checking deposits, savings deposits, and other liquid assets. It's broader than M1, which only includes cash and checking deposits. M2 is important because it gives a more comprehensive picture of the available money for spending and investment within an economy.
- Does quantitative easing add to the money supply?
Quantitative easing expands the money supply by enlarging the central bank's balance sheet and introducing fresh cash into the economy. This process boosts banks' reserves held at the central bank, effectively increasing the overall money available for circulation and lending.
So what does it imply ?
📈 When we say quantitative easing increases the money supply, it means that it adds more money into circulation within the economy. This can lead to more available funds for spending, investment, and lending, which can stimulate economic activity. ( + the US Dollar often goes down in this case)
📉 On the other hand, if we say quantitative easing decreases the money supply, it would mean the opposite: the central bank is reducing the amount of money in circulation. This could be done to control inflation or to address other economic concerns where too much money in circulation might cause problems like rising prices. (+ the US Dollar often goes up in this case)
Do not forget to check this US2M Chart, it is very important.
I wish you a great day.
ILT 💎
FEDERALBNK::Analysis A strong move is identified in this stock movement.
later a gap down is observed, neckline at 140 level failed to push the price upside,
then price test the support at 124 levels soon.
A left shoulder is detected at 156 levels, keep in bearish side as long as price is below the head section...
no long side is possible in this stock.
neckline is acting as support multiple times, if liquidity grab below these levels be finished soon, keep looking for long once
Gold forecast: Crazy to expect rate cut tomorrow? Gold forecast: Crazy to expect rate cut tomorrow?
Mostly yes. Market consensus leans towards the U.S. central bank maintaining current interest rates following the conclusion of its two-day meeting tomorrow. However, the potential impact on the U.S. dollar and gold is likely to hinge on statements from Fed Chair Jerome Powell regarding expectations for a rate cut.
While there is an anticipation of a somewhat dovish shift from Fed officials in the market, the robust January data and the positive JOLTS job report this morning present a case for the possibility of a sustained hawkish stance,
The JOLTS report revealed that U.S. job openings in December surged to 9.026 million, surpassing the expected 8.750 million and marking the highest figure in three months.
XAU/USD was trading in the green for a second consecutive day before the JOLTS report. Gold is currently above a mildly bearish 20 Simple Moving Average for the first time in over two weeks, with longer moving averages situated significantly below the current level.
Still, gold has breached its minor downtrend line originating from the early January high raises the possibility of a bullish target towards $2055, presumably reliant on the possibility of a Fed rate cut (or not).
How the Fed affects long Bond YieldsInverse chart of US10Y Yield to show changes in Bond prices.
Overlayed with the following:
Fed Funds Rate
US Treasury Deposits to Federal Reserve Banks
Increase/Decrease Rate of change to Fed Balance Sheet
Balance Sheet Total in separate pane below
The USCBBS Percentage Change shows the money raining down :-D
It's clear to see the relationship between the Fed buying Treasuries, i.e. Quantitative Easing (QE) and the increase in US10Y prices.
Quantitative Tightening (QT) is the name of the game now. There is A LOT of QT left to do, we're at most 25% into QT since the Fed has only rolled off roughly 1Trillion. They likely have 3+ Trillion to go. Expect US10Y to be under continued pressure as long as QT is in effect. Even when Fed Funds rates are lowered it will have little effect on US10Y while the biggest buyer of Treasuries is on hiatus.
TMV Treasuries Leveraged 3X Short Inverse LongTMV is an ETF Shorting the Treasuries. On the 2H chart, price is rising as the treasuries are
suffering value contraction while interest rates are steady or projected to rise. The chart shows
rising volumes, upwards volatility as well as a PV Trend demonstrating trend strength. I see
these all as confirmatory for bullish momentum. I will take a long trade into the next round
of federal news. The employment data showing strength in new jobs and low unemployment
will likely lead to another rate hike as the fed continues to try to beat down inflation and
will not relent in face of those data pieces. CPI and PPI may add fuel to the fire this week
and TMV may continue to rise.
FEDERAL BANK LONG SWING TRADE | 10% UPSIDE POTENTIAL I am bullish on banking sector.
FEDERAL BANK looks interesting.
The price reached the daily support area around 125 and firstly, gave a BEAR TRAP and then formed MORNING STAR CANDLESTICK PATTERN. Both of these are bullish signals.
Expecting price to rise till:
1. 131
2.136
3.140
Stop loss can be below 124.
Let me know in comments section if you want me to analyse any other stock/crypto/forex pair/commodity.
Relationship of the Fed interest rate + SP 500 index Logarithm. The time frame on both charts is 1 month. It is worth considering as an indicator of large market cycles in general.
I will not describe it, because I have already said a lot about it before. There is a correlation, which is logical, but not always. There are also reasons for this, which I have voiced before.
Expensive and cheap money - the regulation of the growth and decline of the U.S. economy (the whole world).
The Fed Funds rate , is the target interest rate set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on the basis of which commercial banks borrow and lend their excess reserves to each other for short periods (usually overnight).
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the monetary policy setting body of the Federal Reserve, meets eight times a year to determine the federal funds rate.
The federal funds rate can affect short-term rates on consumer loans and credit cards, as well as the stock market.
By law, banks must maintain a reserve equal to a certain percentage of their deposits in a Federal Reserve Bank account. The amount of money a bank must keep in its account at the Fed is known as the reserve requirement and is based on a percentage of the bank's total deposits.
The rate target set by the Federal Reserve is achieved through open market operations. Since the Fed cannot set the rate's exact value through such operations, the actual value may fluctuate near the target rate.
The Fed Funds rate is one of the most important interest rates in the U.S. economy because it affects monetary and financial conditions, which in turn affect critical aspects of the overall economy, including employment, economic growth and inflation.
SP 500 Index .
S&P 500 (SPX) is a stock index whose basket includes 503 stocks of the 500 selected publicly traded companies with the largest capitalization on U.S. stock exchanges. The list belongs to and is compiled by Standard & Poor's. The index is published since March 4, 1957.
Major trend (long term)
SP500 index. The entire trend. 100th Anniversary
Plot of the index during the "Great Depression."
SP500 index. Pumping before the "Great Depression" Code 372-69
DXY AT IMPORTANT RANGEHello friends, today Jerome Powell indicated that they should increase interest rates further more, they said same thing last month but it didn't give much strength enough to DXY enough, so I expect such a move which I have indicated in the chart... and J Powell speech indicates that there's loads of supply of US dollar in the market, and to make US Dollar strong, they should lower down the dollar note printing... and they have to lower the supply of US Dollar.... this indicates that US dollar supply is high, which means collapse of DXY... and I expect US dollar crash anytime soon, and I predict that it may happen after NFP report on 10 March...
Hope y'all wellness....
November Midterms + Bear Market Rally I believe we'll see a ferocious rally that will shock everyone and make everyone bullish again - but this will just be a bear market rally (this is my thinking unless we break below 800B)
There is still a very good chance we continue down towards 500B MC and sit there for the next 12-18 months but I am not leaning too heavily on the short side at the moment.
The democrats need something on their side, they don't have the market - everything comes down to whether they raise rates at the next meeting.
100bp points increase = market dump
75bp points increase = market dump
50bp points increase = market rally's hard
Even the most bearish people agree we're due for a rally - even if it is a bear market rally - if we do get this rally it'll be the last one until we go into a long bear market/depression (this will be your last chance to exit your trades in crypto/equities)
Inflation Slowing, but Still a Concern for the Federal ReserveInflation in the United States, as measured by the consumer price index (CPI), is expected to have slowed again in November. This is due in part to a weaker economy, which has reduced inflation pressures. However, the expected 0.3% increase in the CPI is not enough to ease concerns at the Federal Reserve or prevent the central bank from raising interest rates even higher to slow the economy.
Gas prices have fallen since the summer, reversing the spike in spring that sent inflation to a 40-year high. As a result, the cost of living has risen more slowly in the past four months. If the forecast is accurate, the annual rate of inflation would taper off to 7.3% from 7.7% in October and a peak of 9.1% in June.
The core rate of inflation, which excludes food and gas, is also forecast to rise 0.3% in November. This is still higher than the monthly gains that were the norm before the pandemic. The yearly rate of core inflation may fall slightly to 6.1% from 6.3% in the previous month. The rate peaked at 6.6% in November.
The increase in the cost of goods, excluding energy, has relaxed to 5% in October from 12.4% in February. However, the increase in the price of services continues to accelerate. The cost of services, excluding energy, has risen 6.8% in the past year. This is due in part to the increasing cost of labor, which is the biggest expense for most service-oriented businesses.
Rents have jumped 7.5% in the past year, marking the biggest surge since 1982. Rents are starting to decrease as the economy slows, but the Fed and Wall Street are watching for clear evidence of a reversal. Even if rents and home prices level off, the change may not immediately show up in the CPI report.