THE KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in...
Central bank bros met traders’ loftiest expectations with a half-point cut to interest rates on Wednesday. But is that too good to be true and maybe even a signal of some problems with the US economy and looming fears over at the Fed? Trading today isn’t the same as trading yesterday. Even though prices don’t really confirm it — there wasn’t a super-duper rally...
"What the Yield Curve and Fed Moves Mean for Your Next Trade." Historically, when the Federal Reserve lowers the federal funds rate while the yield spread is negative (also known as an inverted yield curve), it has often been an indicator of an impending market correction or recession. Let’s break this down: Historically, the bond market is a key indicator....
The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) cut its policy rate for the first time in four years, lowering it by 50 basis points to the range of 4.75%-5.00%. Following this decision, the decline in the dollar index accelerated. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that the decision shows increased confidence in maintaining a strong labor market while ensuring moderate growth and...
Good news on RATE CUT usually draws many attention to temporary pump. It's an opportunity that come and go every quarterly. Price shot up to 0.618 level must be observed carefully. And here are the 4H chart and 12H chart for download and reference: 4H: 12H:
SPY AMEX:SPY | RALLY AFTER FED RATE CUT - Sep. 19th, 2024 BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $552.50 - $575.00 WEAKER BULLISH ZONE (PALE GREEN): $552.50 - $540.50 Weekly: Bullish Daily: Bullish 4H: Bullish This was my analysis for the end of the day yesterday, forgot to post it. Price has already rallied fairly well today. The Fed cut rates yesterday 50bps, down from...
The next financial crisis is potentially right around the corner 11:11 The question is, has the fed lost control? Is it by design? In less than 50 Days the fed gets back together, 11/7 Election is 11/5 Veterans Day is 11/11
I see the FED going towards the ECB level to ensure the cost of capital for necessary business does not get much attraction from elsewhere. 50bps cut it is for me.
18th September DXY: Consolidate around 100.90, (if 50bps cut) needs to break 100.60 to trade down to 100 round number support. (if 25bps cut) bounce from 100.60 to bearish trendline NZDUSD: Buy 0.6220 SL 25 TP 75 (DXY weakness) AUDUSD: Buy 0.6780 SL 20 TP 70 (DXY weakness) GBPUSD: Look for test and reject of resistance area, Sell 1.32 SL 30 TP 80 (DXY...
This Wednesday is the next Interest Rate decision by the Federal Reserve. This time last September the rate got raised to 5.5% & since then rates have not been lowered at all. Markets have been pricing in a rate cut down to 5.25% this week, for the first time in the past 1 year. If the Federal Reserve don't lower rates as expected, expect some serious market...
The dollar index has been losing strength recently, falling below the 100.50 level. Following the ECB's decision to cut interest rates, expectations for a rate cut by the Fed have also increased. According to money market pricing, there is a 51% probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, and a 49% probability of a 50 basis point...
The Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate decision is teetering on a knife’s edge, with the odds of a significant cut climbing. According to the CME’s FedWatch tool, the chances of a 25 or 50-basis-point reduction are now evenly split at 50-50. The decision from the cental bank comes in on Wednesday. Former New York Fed President Bill Dudley, speaking last week,...
With the MACD having just crossed above the signal line on TVC:GOLD daily chart, there is little chance of the week starting off with any strong selling direction. I am holding and entering Buy positions. I believe any meaningful retracement this week will be before Tuesday's Core Retail data and the market will look to position itself early in anticipation of...
Previously Gold has made a new high in previous week now its all time high for the week is archived now in upcoming week gold can consolidate for the time being but as Feds rate cut is expected and gold can go for new high in upcoming week now as i am analyzing the pair we can expect a pull back to to its newly formed physiological support levels and can go...
Intel Corporation ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is setting up for an exciting squeeze potential following an anticipated rate cut. Here's why the technical landscape could be shaping up for a big move: Fibonacci Support Holding Strong The stock is currently holding well above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which is a critical area of support. Historically, holding this...
Officials at the central bank are staying tight-lipped over the magnitude of the interest rate cut. What we know so far: there will be one. What we don’t know: is it going to be 25bps or 50bps? Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell (or JPow if you’re a cool kid) is most likely having a hard time sleeping these days. Lurking in the near distance, September 18 to...
With inflation finally cooling and the Fed signaling rate cuts, it seems relief is on the horizon—until you look at the job market. As recession risks grow and Treasury yields falter, a steepening yield curve presents a compelling opportunity. Positioning in the yield curve ahead of the FOMC meeting offers a more measured way to navigate the uncertainty. ...
The only event that matters next week is the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which could result in its first rate cut in over four years PIMCO analysts, in a fresh note, outlined what could be in store for the U.S. dollar as the Fed embarks on its rate-cutting cycle. Historically, the dollar has shown a tendency to weaken, at least briefly, following...