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FOMC 26th JulyFOMC is upon us once again which means a high volatility event to prepare for. BTC has fallen out of its 32 day mini range and is looking to close below its local low of ~29.5k. This gets the alarm bells ringing as there is a large FVG waiting below to be filled. A high volatility event such as FOMC can often help in achieving this but it's important to plan for each eventuality. You must plan for what the market does, not what you want it to do. In green we have the bullish buying opportunities I have established, one is a simple range midpoint reaction play. I would like to see a wick below and a reclaim before targeting those range highs once more. If that is not the case another bullish buying opportunity would be the daily bullish OB at 26.5k. This would allow the vast majority of the FVG to be filled and BTC could continue a rally towards local highs and potentially beyond. For a bearish scenario, if price were to continue the downtrend past the midpoint with no significant reaction, this would prompt me to target either the bullish OB, or the range low. These are the key areas for me, there really isn't a lot of good R:R trades in-between in my opinion. At least on the 1D timeframe.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ProR35
VERY Bearish momentum for 2 NOV after FED FOMCHi Everyone, why am i telling you this? this is the 3rd time FED will hiking the 75bps interest rate we have been through the 1st and 2nd one, the gold got much pressure after the hike interest rate announcement FED aiming 4,75 - 5,00 % for the 2022 , but it dont sure yet for the december hike , because they need to see the market reaction and the data that will release about the end of november until the middle of december but we can surely about more than 90% the fed will raise on 2 November 2022 about 75bps or maybe 100bps because they want to bring inflation down at least near the level (normally 1,25 -2,25 % inflation is great) if the inflation going down to at least 7,5% and the interest rates will become 4%, and then interest rates 5% at the end of december its very clear the FED will pivot to make sure they got softlanding probability it will start slowing down on Q1 2023. some news you can check it out: www.youtube.com www.youtube.com www.youtube.com the price will be very fluctuative / volatile , you should watch your risk management, dont risk more than 1%, there is chance to high then drop please watch 1722 level, and for me i can see the bottom is around 1532 -1564 . (please dont risk more than 1% in this trade) watch your risk management. Good Luck. i try to always we will keep you all updated . Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, i really appreciate you support ! Goodluck i'll help you to have a great trade. Please using good money management. dont take any emotional trade. Note: Dont risk more than 0.2% on trending market Dont risk more than 1% on ranging market Wish good luck for all people. Please help support me by Clicking like button, and if you like my ideas please follow me and support me. i Relly Appreciate it! i'll make more and more great analysis if this chanel grows. on Gold , Oil , Nasdaq, SP500 , and some American, China, Japan, Indonesia stocks. Best luck for you. Cheers mate! Thankyou.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LaurentWilvyne
3
GOLD vs Fed Rate Hikes. How does the metal reacts historically?This is a cross-asset analysis of Gold (black trend-line) and the Effective Federal Funds Rate (green trend-line). Following the aggressive rate hiking by the Fed since the start of the year in an attempt to battle an out of hand rise on inflation, the idea of this study is to see how Gold historically reacts to raises on the Fed Interest Rates. The Red Shapes are periods when Gold declines while the Rate is rising. The Green Shapes represent periods when Gold and the Rate rise together while the Blue Shapes are when Gold stays neutral amid Rate rises. It is easy to see that the Red periods dominate the chart since 1980, which means that most of the times, when the Fed has risen the Rates, the precious metal is getting sold. 2022 so far seems no different as, excluding a March flash rise due to the Russian invasion in Ukraine, Gold has lost value since the start of the year and would probably be even lower if it weren't for the war. How low it can go is anybody's guess, but this chart shows that normally during rate hike periods, Gold loses much more value than it has currently done so. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
6