Fedpowell
NAS100 TRADE IDEANasdaq 100 began the trading week with strong sell candles and eventually enters a bullish trend at the open of the New York trading session yesterday. We have NFP on Friday so we should expect high volatility at any point in time this week and trade with strong risk management. Nasdaq 100 closed slightly Lower yesterday with bearish candles. We should see strong retracement to the upside after a retest to the downside before or after the open of the NY trade session.
DOW JONES TRADE IDEADow Jones began the trading week with strong consolidations ranging from buy candles to sell candles. We have NFP on Friday so we should expect high volatility at any point in time this week and trade with strong risk management. Dow Jones closed Lower yesterday with bearish candles. We should see strong retracement to the upside after a retest to the downside.
Price Waiting for News Releases | Tech/Fundamental Analysis Traders, today we have those news releases for Wed, 28 Jun 2023..
Buyside liquidity then sellside liquidity..
Use these news as your trigger and most importantly, confirm your entry..
This view is linked to my previous view, please review it..
Price may reprice higher than H2 FVG and into my "sell area" marked in my previous idea..
Those are areas of "possible" reversal points, and entry should be confirmed in the proper time..
I'll keep you updated ✅
GBPUSD Approaching the weekly trend ahead of CPI data.Dear Traders,
I'd like to bring your attention to the current market conditions of GBPUSD. It is currently experiencing a downtrend but is undergoing a correction phase. The price is approaching a significant resistance zone at 1.26100, which coincides with the major trend. This area is worth monitoring closely.
In addition, it's crucial to take into account the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) release this week. This economic indicator is expected to have a substantial impact on the strength of the US dollar and may provide insights into the future actions of Fed Chair Powell. If the CPI figures are higher than anticipated, it suggests that the Fed may need to continue raising interest rates, which could strengthen the dollar further. On the other hand, if the CPI falls below expectations, it is more likely that the Fed will postpone any rate hikes in their next monetary policy decision.
Remember to prioritize risk management and trade with caution.
Best regards,
Joe
USDJPY: CPI and FOMC weekHey traders!
Today, our focus is on USDJPY, where we are observing a potential buying opportunity around the 138.700 zone. USDJPY is currently in an uptrend and appears to be approaching a significant support and resistance area at 138.700.
This week, we have two key events that could impact the market. First, on Wednesday, we have the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, where the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions will be announced. However, the day before the FOMC meeting, we have the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which is important to gauge the Fed's next move and intentions.
If the CPI data shows high numbers, it may indicate the possibility of further rate hikes, signaling a bullish sentiment for the USD. However, if the CPI data comes in lower than expected, it could suggest that the Fed might delay rate hikes, potentially altering the previously anticipated long-term plan for the USD.
Therefore, keeping an eye on the CPI data before the FOMC meeting is crucial to understand the potential impact on USDJPY and adjust our trading strategy accordingly.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD Technical Analysis: Preparing for CPI and FOMC Impact.Hello Traders, In tomorrow's trading session, our focus will be on the EURUSD pair as we seek a selling opportunity around the 1.08 zone. Previously, EURUSD was experiencing an uptrend and successfully broke out of it. However, it is currently undergoing a correction phase and approaching the retrace area at the 1.08 resistance zone. It is important to also keep an eye on the CPI data scheduled for release next week, specifically on Tuesday. This data will serve as confirmation for the trade. If the CPI comes in above expectations, it suggests that the Federal Reserve still needs to work on increasing interest rates in their upcoming monetary policy by Wednesday, which could trigger further strength in the US dollar. On the other hand, if the CPI numbers are within expectations, this may lead to USD weakness as Federal Reserve Chair Powell may lean towards postponing a rate hike. Let's monitor the situation closely and trade wisely.
Trade safe, Joe.
DXY Forecast | Pre Fed Chair Powell Speaks | 19th May 2023Fundamental Backdrop
Unemployment Claims decreased from 264K to 242k, far better than the forecast of 253K. This signals an overall healthier economy.
Fed Chair Powell will be speaking later on today on the concerns around the status of the US debt ceiling.
Technical Confluences
Near-term resistance at 103.500
Next resistance at 105.000
Minor support at 102.765
Idea
If Fed Chair Powell's speech is hawkish, we could see DXY break the near-term resistance at 103.500, before heading towards the next resistance at 105.000.
Alternatively, if the speech is dovish, we could see price head back down towards the minor support at 102.765
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We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
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EURUSD:Couple of Scenarios depending on Friday's NFPHey Traders, above is a technical overview on EURUSD and the most important zones to watch, Fed yesterday have threw some hawkish comments "rates are likely to be higher than previously anticipated", but before the next FOMC we have a couple of events to consider. First of all NFP and next week CPI data.
If NFP comes again above expectations that will signal more rate hikes from the fed and thus more USD strength and EURUSD downsides. If the numbers are normal that will not be enough for fed to hike rates massively. and for CPI it's the same story. Numbers above expectations will lead to a more restrictive monetary policy and normal number will slow down the pace.
Feel free to ask any questions in the comment section.
Trade safe, Joe.
Fed Powell: we need to act strongly on inflation.Hey traders, after fed's speech today and his hawkish comments we still see a strong macro downtrend for GBPUSD to the downsides, in today's trading trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.155 zone, once we will receive any bearish confirmation the trade will be executed.
Trade safe, Joe.