🎓✨ FXProfessor's Insights: Bracing for the Fed's Pivotal Move 🎓✨Some of you were laughing last year when i posted this at BTC 18K: but I had done my analysis right. Both technical (breakout) and Fundamental (just read what i was saying about rates and how market is 6 months ahead!).
In a similar manner i had explained why 45k is closer than most were thinking: (read it! understand it! learn from it!) 🎓✨
Now:
🙋♂️ Apologies for the brief hiatus - I've been deeply immersed in my latest AI token project. 🤖🌐 Though it's been taking up much of my time, I'm still keenly observing the crypto charts, especially Bitcoin. 📉💡
Last we spoke, we dove into Bitcoin's significant support levels, backed by Fibonacci analysis. 📈🧮 We saw an intriguing pattern: Bitcoin, after a dip, rebounded almost perfectly in line with our predictions. 🎯🔄 This critical support level, a focus since early last year, continues to be a key player. 🗝️💥 We watched Bitcoin approach this level, only to face rejection, nearly a year after we initially spotted it. 🛑⏳
Currently, Bitcoin's vital level is nestled between $47,800 and $49,300, with a more specific aim around $48,400. 🔍💲 Additionally, we've pinpointed a new support at $43,091. 🆕📉 Our foresight from last year proved accurate, as Bitcoin indeed rallied to this major resistance level and faced rejection. 🎉🎢
Our "sell the news or buy the breakout at 48" strategy hit the mark. 👍📈 When the anticipated ETF breakout didn't materialize, I shared my first short idea on Bitcoin in two years, timing it almost impeccably. ⏰🔽
As we chart this course, the upcoming Federal Reserve decisions are pivotal. 🏛️🔮 Despite a flood of articles and predictions, I'm staying laser-focused on the market's reactions. 💻🧐 With elections looming, we might see a more cautious approach from the Federal Reserve, which could significantly sway Bitcoin's path. 🗳️📉
Let's remain alert and see how these events play out. 🕵️♂️💬 If you've been riding the wave of my long-term analysis, I hope it keeps steering you right. 🌊🏄♂️ The market always has surprises up its sleeve, but with meticulous analysis and an eye on the fundamentals, we're well-equipped to navigate these thrilling times. 🌐🚀
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙🎓
Feds
NFP: Jobs cool off but is Inflation knocking on the Fed's door? Long story short:
it's a video, watch it!
BTC LONG
USD SHORT
Learn why in this video.
NFP:
Jobs are ok, still good new jobs in the basket but less than previous month (cool off).
AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS:
Nobody talks about this but it means wages are rising, labor is going higher, services and products might become more expensive on expensive labor = INFLATION
FEDS DUAL PURPOSE:
To create jobs and to control prices (stability through monetary and other policies).
Will the FEDS hike again?
I think yes, they will but i also think that NOBODY CARES MUCH!!
We almost done with rate hikes but are we done with systemic risks? Are banks ok now that real estate is not favored?
I will finish the same way this started:
BTC LONG
USD SHORT
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR
Jerome Powell- From 🤠to 😰(What's next?)Hi everyone,
quite a great day yesterday as FEDS hike 0,25% and Jerome switches tone to more 'dovish' and worried.
From cowboy Jerome 'i will hike you to death' to ' let's take it easier'.
Charts never lie and this level lost by Dollar was key for our trading yesterday:
Same with Gold and Silver entries:
Watch the video, it explains how Powell speach played out and what to expect next.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR
⚠️ 🔥 No Time to FOMO!!!! ⚠️ 🔥⚠️ 🔥 NO TIME TO FOMO!!!! ⚠️ 🔥
Goodday for the markets and Crypto as the news came out being ok:
US inflation slows to 6% annual rate amid looming banking crisis
Let me rephrase it: the worst news where avoided, inflation did not rise. Look at CPI chart maybe:
SP-5OO gets rejected despite the predictions for a 'softer more dovish' monetary policy:
In the meantime bank charts look pretty bad to me:
What i called 'good scenario' level did work as support for BKX but it will be retested:
Also, Credit Swiss is nothing but bad news:
www.bloomberg.com
Lastly , i really don't like this rejection on Wells Fargo:
In a few words: let's be careful...
No love these days, just volatility.
The FXPROFESSOR
🧯 There is WAR on Bitcoin 💣🔥I will remain Long no-matter what. That's a personal opinion that won't change.
In the video i talk news, inflation, job report today. Let me know yourthoughts.
Links:
1. Biden war on BTC miners: cointelegraph.com
2. Powell war on Bitcoin: decrypt.co
3. SEC failure to safeguard the Crypto industry which i cover earlier this week (Silvergate and FTX):
Combine the 3 and we have this: OPEN WAR! They hate it and they need the money to go elsewhere. that's their interest...not necessarily mine interest or yours.
DATA/METRICS:
NFP was positive today but unemployment rose so it evens it out. Dollar failed to rise and was a good day for Gold: www.fxstreet.com
Nobody talks about average hourly earnings report today which for me is important: 'wages inflation was lower' if I can say it in a simple way: wages cool www.ft.com
Wage price spiral avoided..Great news www.investopedia.com
As data came out, the CME revised the possibility of a 0.50% rate hike to lower: www.cmegroup.com
At the same time banks taking a beating: twitter.com
CPI next week will be HUGE! I expect lower inflation, since energy prices did not pump and wages did not rise. Hopefully next week we have good news..pray!
When Banks take a beating I like to hold Bitcoin. personal opinion and experience:
Can we revisit 18k? Yes, it's possible now
Can BTC go to zero? That also is a possibility
Will some ALTS got o zero? For sure some will!
Will some ALTS succeed? Again, for sure some will!
Do I remain Bullish on BTC? That is a personal statement and mu humble opinion.
After all i can wait.... it looks like the Feds and the US government can't.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR
PS. Thank GOD i have a forex account...got saved by Gold this week. Still, very unhappy and FED up with people. Never fed up with Bitcoin.
What's worse: The Federal Reserve or the Niagara Falls?🍁🌈
Niagara falls happened the minute we lost the key levels. . good news is that we are finally close to support again...the area close to 2017 ATHs and also 19700 technical support
Usually after the falls we have a 'lake' but hey, this is Bitcoin:
Can it rebound now? a bit
Can it rebound tonight? Yes, if rates are not increased by 0,75% but only 0,50%
Can it break lower? it can go to 12k but personally i don't expect anything less than 18k.
Tonight could be a great dip to buy..unless Powel decides to go extreme.
In the video we give you prime education about rates and you should watch it.
One Love,
the FXPROFESSOR
we could see a nice rainbow later today
USDCAD Will Price respect Support? This is a full breakdown of my perception of Price action on higher time frames! I take my entries using smaller time frame confirmation and you should too. If you have any questions about this trade or my strategies feel free to ask them in the comment section below!
Good Luck!!!!!!!!!!!