Which Fed speaker moves the market the most? We have another eventful week ahead with numerous Federal Reserve officials scheduled to speak publicly. Anecdotally, I seem to recall Mester and Kashkari are two of the most impactful speakers, and this week provides an excellent opportunity to see if this holds true. Kashkari recently left The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), so his impact might be lessened these days though.
Here is the lineup of Fed speakers for the week, in order of appearance:
Tuesday:
Loretta J. Mester
Neel Kashkari
Lisa D. Cook
Wednesday:
John C. Williams
Dr. Raphael W. Bostic
Thursday:
John C. Williams (second appearance)
Lorie K. Logan
Friday:
Dr. Raphael W. Bostic (second appearance)
Their speeches might offer valuable insights into the Fed's future actions and the overall economic outlook. It seems that these speeches can occasionally be more impactful than major Fed decision days. It's almost as if the market perceives these talks as a glimpse behind the curtain, potentially providing an insider perspective that may be less tightly controlled than those of Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Fedspeech
US30 Intra-Week Analysis April 23rd 2024After creating a double top at All-Time-Highs, us30 began a steady bearish correction back to the 37200 key level. Then rejecting and still maintaining the overall bearish market structure on higher timeframes. Now looking on the daily timeframe we see a strong hammer head candle formation after rejecting 37200, indicating a reversal and potential bullish move. This week if we fail to see price close above 38600 we can expect a slight pullback to 38000 before looking for continued buys.
NASDAQ potential Downsides Hey Traders, In today's trading session, our focus is on the NAS100 index as we are actively seeking a selling opportunity around the 15250 zone. NAS100 has been experiencing an upward trend, but it recently broke out of that trend. Currently, the NASDAQ is undergoing a correction phase, gradually approaching the retrace area of the trend near the 15250 zone.
To further refine our analysis and gain additional insights, it is crucial to keep a close watch on the upcoming Federal Reserve (FED) speech scheduled for tomorrow. A hawkish speech, indicating a more aggressive approach to monetary policy, could potentially strengthen the US Dollar (DXY) and subsequently exert downward pressure on the NAS100. This negative correlation between the DXY and NAS100 suggests that any strengthening of the US Dollar could impact the performance of the NASDAQ index negatively.
By considering these factors and incorporating the potential impact of the FED speech, we can enhance our analysis and make more informed trading decisions regarding the NAS100 index.
DXY Bias Week Nov. 27- Dec 2BIAS-SHORT until next level 105.40-105.00 then monitoring that area for PA.
NOTES- Currently fundamentals is against the dollar due to fed meetings on looking to slow down interest rates in the near future. Our next interest hike is on December 14. Will the feds keep up the 0.75% basis hike or will it be 0.50% this time around ? If the feds slow down interest hikes and our last final interest hike for Dec 2022 is lower than the previous hikes, we can expect the dollar will fall. Im expecting them to keep the 0.75% in December ending the year off with the dollar pushing back up to around 110.00- 112.00
Sharp fall from ATHs.Bitcoin needs to move to the upside past this downward trend channel. It broke down below the 1st support of $41.2K. Next levels of support are $29.5K, $20K, $12K.
IMO crypto market needs a washout and needs to clean out most of the junk coins in this space. Unfortunately for that to happen, BTC needs to go through some pain.