TBT- an ETF bearish on bondsTBT on the one hour chart demonstrates a clear round bottom reversal in late June
with a good trend up this past week. Price rose above the POC line of the volume profile
on July 3th showing bullish momentum dominating. Price has continued to ascend above
the Chris Moody sling shot indicator affirming that momentum. Given the current fed posture
hawkish for another rate increase fixed rate bonds will suffer yet again. Other indicators
show rising upward volatility and relative volume which further support the strength of the
trend. Time is ripe for a swing trade in TBT.
Fedtightening
USDCHF: Tastefully BullishFundmentals :
See previous analysis of the US dollar....
Technicals :
Horizontal support
Divergence
Rising RSI and other indicators
Rising Trendline
a-b-c extension fulfillment
Possible Wave 2
61.8% support confluence with horizontal support
Target :
Upper part of the rising daily channel @ 0.9415 to 0.96, where I believe the minimum limits of wave 3 starts to end if there is a push toward that level from where price is now on the daily chart.
***This thesis is barring that forth coming macroeconomic data releases confirm a durable and resilient economy in NFP if not forward guidance and/or positive market speculation on the pace and size of US Fed tightening by March 2022 or April 2022.***