The TREND is your FRIEND 21 $Trillion incoming. #Fiat #dxyM2 is a classification of money supply. It includes M1 – which is comprised of cash outside of the private banking system plus current account deposits – while also including capital in savings accounts, money market accounts and retail mutual funds, and time deposits of under $100,000.
Governments are not shying away from negative rates and printing money.
This is akin to a Financially Transmitted Disease.
As a result of this incredible money printing in the United States, the U.S. dollar is under siege.
Commercial traders are net short nearly 26 thousand contracts
the most since 2019.
This means that investors are betting against the US Dollars at levels not seen in years.
Fiat
EURUSD to 1.1 per dollar??Another one for the forex traders or fiat currency traders.
EURUSD is bullish on weekly as we are currently at Entry for Long Orders,
Then based on this Timeframe, you can execute long orders at current price, i took my entries early but market might correct a bit back to entry.
We have just finished or completed correction, and about to continue going up from here, Initial target is 1.1 dollars, then lock and let the big boy run to new Highs.
NFA as always, awesome trading, Enjoy.
Analyzing Potential EUR Movements: Channel Pattern SVM OverviewD ear Esteemed TradingView Community,
I trust this idea finds you well. In the intricate world of trading, where decisions are often rooted in data and analysis, I'd like to share my recent findings regarding the EURUSD market. Please note that this is not financial advice but rather a reflection of my analytical perspective.
In October, my focus zeroed in on a noteworthy development in the EUR market: the emergence of a demand zone around the $1.05 level. Leveraging advanced tools like AI and Kernel SVMs, I identified this zone as pivotal support, opening the door to intriguing possibilities for both short and long positions.
The demand zone, acting as a robust support, fueled a successful long trade as the price reached the projected target. However, the current scenario introduces the prospect of a short position, with potential entry points highlighted by the bottom purple line, a resistance level identified by SVMs.
As we navigate the intricate dance between support and resistance, it's crucial to acknowledge the uncertainty inherent in market dynamics. The potential breakout from the resistance is not guaranteed, and the price might trace its steps back, especially if it encounters resistance at the identified purple line. In the event of a reversal, the previous long entry point (demand zone) could serve as a short target.
Bearish scenarios envision the price consolidating below the resistance, possibly entering a downtrend. Yet, the journey to the demand zone may not be immediate, as additional chart patterns could manifest between the resistance and the demand zone, either reinforcing or challenging the short thesis.
A significant surge in sell volume on 13-14 November raises the probability of a bearish scenario. This surge, aligned with the preceding rally, suggests a potential exit strategy for investors capitalizing on heightened market activity. The existence of a parallel resistance trendline, derived from historical peaks, adds another layer of complexity to the analysis.
While indications of a breakout are not definitive, the possibility of the price returning to the rising channel between trendlines cannot be dismissed, especially considering the impact of unforeseen news events. Though technically less probable, the practice of markets often defies technical norms.
In conclusion, I've marked this analysis as 'short,' considering the potential bearish patterns associated with rising channels. However, it's essential to approach these insights with a discerning eye, recognizing the dynamic nature of financial markets. Your attention to these nuances is greatly appreciated.
Kind Regards,
Ely
Keep an eye on USDT/USD pair I have been checking USDT/USD pair since last weeks, and already had some thoughts that something is coming, before the news came out about Huobi. Honestly, I was expecting that something will happen to Binance, but...
Currently, Important price level on USDT is 0.9898$
Breaking below, may lead the price lower.
Ofcourse this will affect negative on Crypto Market.
FTX crash dropped USDT to 0.97$
I believe that it will be another negative move to scare people.
BEFORE 1971 u could acquire 1 #Gold Oz for 10 hours of labourThe erosion of wealth via #fiat debasement is clear for you to see on this chart
With the price of gold denominated us avg salary per hour
* The BLS actually has a higher number of $32 ... but the data on that price has less historical data.
NOW it takes nearly two weeks of labour to acquire 1 oz
(pre tax and living expenses obviously)
But this chart also perilously points how painful the end of US dollar dominance could be.
Pointing to an astronomical level of over 500 hours of work to get one gold ounce.
Clearly adding #PreciousMetals to your portfolio could be one the great wealth builders in the coming years.
Dollar / Real (Brazil) possible targetting higher levelsTarget one is reached. Usually after a beautiful cup and handle like this one, we see further upward price actions. Fundamentally, I don't think Real will sustain this trend of being valued, since the current president is a former prisioner charged for corruption and recently has been seen in Dubai with his 30y younger spouse in a hotel costing 60,000 reais per person by night, using public money to afford the expenses. Taxation is going nuts all over the country again, the previous president had cut them all, and now they are all being reinstalled. Inflation will hit and it's interesting to watch the DXY chart. I am keeping my earning in dollars as long as I follow the continuation here.
DXYHey everyone waaaSUP,
so here is another idea on the DXY.
1 hr timeframe suggests to me that the dxy could hit the 200 SMA at around 101.4 range, it may grab the liquidity in them red vectors at around 101.6 maybe even 102.00
This would hit the trendlines coming down to then grab the liquidity below and major dump to either a double bottom or dump.
There is probability of breaking out but we will see.
Stoch Rsi is curling down for a retrace, i reckon wont reach no where near the bottom bounce up then drop.
MACD looks like it wants to roll over.
Peace and love everyone
BTC USDT Bearish Bias to 15,000we see big bearish signals as we see a bearish gartley from 47,200.
If Bitcoin crashes, it will be a the greatest buying opportunity.
This may play out from 10-99 Days.
and we may see a slow but sustained reversal.
Bearish Target: 24,000-14,999
Bull Target 54,000-69,000.
Trade Safe.
Mad Love to all.
EURUSD & DXY: A BEAUTIFUL INVERSE RELATIONSHIP / FIAT / FIBDESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have included a MACRO analysis & side by side comparison of EURUSD & DXY.
POINTS:
1. DEVIATION of 0.075, found with HIGHEST HIGH & LOWEST LOW & then dividing by 2 to find a MEDIAN & so on for remaining points in between.
2. EURUSD price action is in a current downtrend getting ready to test 1ST TARGET.
3. NOTICE how TARGETS for DXY & EUROUSD coincide.
4. RSI is currently over extended for EUROUSD & has seen its squeeze from previous oversold levels.
*IMPORTANT: When both price actions come to touch they either float in same channel before separating again or completely blow through one another.
SCENARIO: With DXY's current bearish momentum this can be a bullish factor for EURUSD as they have a clear inverse behavior and vice versa.
FULL CHART LINK : www.tradingview.com
FOREXCOM:EURUSD
TVC:DXY
For Crypto to "Win", it Has to Solve its Own ProblemsThe idea of "smart investing" comes with the assumption that the market rewards reason and punishes irrationality in the long-term. What they don't tell you, though, is that the opposite is often true in the short-term. If you want to make money, more often than not you do have to have the discipline to move contrary to what most are doing.
It's been almost a decade since I started getting into this stuff but the above still seems to hold true. Crypto has been mostly flat for about 6 months now, but has stayed mostly stable. The last bull run had a similar pattern where it climbed to new highs (BTC $4000→$16000, ETH $100→$1400) then went back down to where it was prior. (And stayed that way for a few years.)
The projects that were diligently working on their product even after the dip ended up reaping the rewards of the 2020 rally and did very well for themselves. The rivalries between Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, Tezos, Cardano, Ripple, EOS, etc. were there even back in 2018, but the arguments were mostly about technical differences and felt less “personal”. This time, a lot of arguments you see on social media have more personal, political, ideological slants - a sign of the irrationality of mainstream money having arrived, perhaps.
For what it’s worth, despite the FTX scandals and the very negative media coverage of crypto in recent weeks, the price hasn't really moved all that much. Chances are good that the ones that were going to leave are already gone and we're only left with the ones who are in it for the long-haul. While the talking heads gripe about their losses in public, the builders will continue to build, pushing the industry where it needs to be for the future to come. That is the hope, anyway.
--
Long-term strategies only work if you're willing to wait at least one market cycle since the system needs time to work itself out - and I haven’t seen any exceptions to this rule, thus far. But having been through 3 crypto winters already, I’m starting to wonder what’s really taking so long for us to get to where we need to be - the “big ideas” in crypto (transparency, accountability, partnership automation) can already be done with distributed ledgers, but the industry has been slow to adapt to it, to say the least. The problem is that we're not really utilizing blockchain technologies the way we should be: case in point, when you look at all the people in the media and social media talking about how much money they’re making, how do we know if what they’re saying is actually true? We have no idea - we’re just taking their word for it, and now we’re finding out that many of them we’re just trying to lie and grift their way to the top. Whatever happened to "verify, not trust"?
Having gotten too used to low interest rates, the fiat markets are poised to be in big trouble over the next few years - if not more. The trends do say that when an economic system goes into disarray, crypto adoption tends to go up. But in order for that to happen, the crypto community does need to convince the world that it's safer to park their money in coins rather than fiat - which, if we're being honest - we're not quite there yet.
But unlike fiat institutions that are saddled with legacy and protectionist frameworks, crypto has the tools to fix itself if it wanted to - the advantage of being a new industry that has the energy and flexibility to adapt. The current irony is that crypto is suffering from the very problems it poised to solve - but a lot of it is holdovers of bad habits from Web2 and traditional fiat. You could probably argue the SBF's actions was a product of the fiat world, not crypto - there's a reason why there are those on the “inside” trying to protect him now. But FTX is also a preview, in a way, of what's to come to the fiat worlds as we head further into the recession - what they do to SBF could be them next - which is why they feel like they need to protect him at all costs, despite the blatancy of his misdeeds.
In a way, SBF did the industry a favor in getting the skeletons out of the closer earlier than later. For fiat, the tide is only just starting to pull. Crypto will either set the new standards for transparency, accountability, and decentralized governance - or it’s going to fall into old habits again and go to 0. (There is no reason for people to use crypto if it’s just going to be Web2.1 - the incumbents have that covered already.) It’s going to be an interesting ride over the next few years, either way.
November 1 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart
According to the latest CoinShares report, digital asset investment products saw a net inflow of $6.1 million last week. Bitcoin is down 0.68% over the last 24 hours and fell to an intraday low of $20,240.00. The volatility of Bitcoin has reduced since Saturday, as markets prepared for the latest U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting. The Fed is expected to hike rates by 75 basis points this week, as core inflation remains at historical highs. Investors will look for any signals the Fed may be considering a deceleration in interest rate hikes in the future. If the Fed pivots from its hawkish interest rate hikes, we could witness all risk assets rise in the future.
Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline
Singapore Pilots Tokenized Fiat with Smart Contract Capabilities
Singapore-based financial services group DBS is partnering with Open Government Products, a tech team within the Singapore government, to pilot the tokenization of the digital Singapore dollar. The pilot is part of the MAS-led CBDC technology exploration project “Project Orchid” launched last year to enable a programmable digital Singapore dollar. DBS will issue digital Singapore dollars, while Open Government Products will enable smart contract capabilities in the future.
Disclaimer: BingX does not endorse and is not responsible for or liable for any content, accuracy, quality, advertising, products, or other materials on this page. Readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company. BingX is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in the article.
Weakness in DXY ---> Strength in crypto, or no?| Your time is precious so I write concise and precise, feel free to ask for more |
We see good weakness sign in DXY which gives great signal for cryptocurrencies TO UP!
So let's keep eye if the resistance does its job or not
| Your time is precious so I write concise and precise, feel free to ask for more |
BTC OutlookBitcoin will eventually hit $30 billion by the year 2064, according to my estimation. There is an enormous passion behind the blockchain technology. Many laugh, some underestimate and some enter. The ones who enter (for long, not short) will win. If one Bitcoin reaches $30 billion, its market cap will be $400 quadrillion which comes against the total amount of current fiat by $29 trillion. Some people then invalidate the idea of Bitcoin hitting that number; but, the question is: Why is there even that $29 trillion? Why not more or less? For many centuries, govts did what they wanted. Printing an unlimited amount of notes. Now, the decentralised system of blockchain is here.
DXY gearing up again or new short term down trend?Our calls on $DXY having issue @ 113 area are standing
Doesn't mean uptrend over
$DXY formed lower high but now fighting to go ^
Is new trend forming or going back up?
Blue circles are possible areas DXY can reach
1 kind of hit already
$BTC WEAK
#DXY #stocks #BTC #ETH
It's called the world reserveGold investors have taken a pummeling so far this year.
The SPDR Gold Shares exchange-traded fund, which tracks the price of bullion, is down 5.3% in the year.
Many precious metals investors would have found that disappointing especially given that there is widespread belief that gold is believed to be a long term hedge against inflation. And yes, inflation has been rising this year, hitting a recent high of 9.1% in June and falling to 8.5% in July.
Gold continued its recent struggles on Friday to set a new two-year low after a slew of central banks followed the US Federal Reserve in raising interest rates to cool inflation.
Gold’s decline comes on the back of a rallying US dollar, which touched a 20-year high, curbing demand for the greenback-priced metal. Benchmark 10-year yields also jumped to their highest since April 2010, further dampening demand for bullion.
“We’re seeing relentless dollar strength here and that’s going to keep gold vulnerable in the short term,” Edward Moya
Bitcoin Long VS Dollar pullbackEasy idea... Long against the DXY pullback... should we not get it then i'm out before stops but thinking 28-30k and or 200 day MA easy targets if it can get above trend lines.
DXY could easily make another pop to around 114.40 IMO but that would be the top for me... that is my line in the sand to remain in long positions: $BTC $MARA $ARBK $BTCM $ZIM
More Dollar Strength in the Short to MediumThis Dollar rally is not unprecedented, look at the trend and historical RSI. We've been here before and its a buyers market for anything tangible, "just need housing to join the party".
This Dollar strength could last a few months or a few years longer, "maybe good for the next presidential cycle", 2024 headlines, "equities, stocks, crypto see new ATH's thanks to this current administration...vote for me!"
We will see...
British Pound / U.S Dollar 4hr gbp/usdtarget 1.19 bullish case, we are in down trend, although falling wedges tend to break to the upside 68% of the time. looking for a bounce of the trend line, hit resistance, then test, slight downside before a break of resistance to 1.19. could take couple weeks to play out,
Day's Range 1.1602 - 1.1694
52 Week Range 1.1602 - 1.3913
Ask 1.1648
long term we could see alot of downside for gbp as dire forecast from Citigroup, which expects UK inflation to reach 18.6% next year for the first time since 1976 as energy prices rocket amid the cost of living crisis.