Fiatcurrency
IS VIX LAGGING OR WARNING!EQUITIES ARE MAKING NEW HIGHS, HAVING ERASED ALL PREVIOUS LOSSES, YET S&P VOLATILITY REMAINS AT A HIGHER LEVEL THAN BEFORE THE CRASH!
IS VIX HEADING EVEN LOWER AS EQUITIES MELT-UP, HAVE WE ENTERED A 70s-LIKE KANGAROO MARKET OR IS ANOTHER CRASH IMMINENT?
REGARDLESS, HEADING INTO AN ELECTION PERIOD, A VIX SPIKE IS PROBABLE WITHIN THE COMING MONTHS!
CREDIT: JGM0706
IS VIX LAGGING OR WARNING?EQUITIES ARE MAKING NEW HIGHS, HAVING ERASED ALL PREVIOUS LOSSES, YET S&P VOLATILITY REMAINS AT A HIGHER LEVEL THAN BEFORE THE CRASH!
IS VIX HEADING EVEN LOWER AS EQUITIES MELT-UP, HAVE WE ENTERED A 70s-LIKE KANGAROO MARKET OR IS ANOTHER CRASH IMMINENT?
REGARDLESS, HEADING INTO AN ELECTION PERIOD, A VIX SPIKE IS PROBABLE WITHIN THE COMING MONTHS!
CREDIT: JGM0706
WORSE THAN 2008!THE FED'S HOLDINGS OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES IS GROWING FASTER THAN DURING THE 2008 GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS!
QUARTERLY MORTGAGE DELINQUENCIES JUST SMASHED THE PREVIOUS RECORD FROM 2008!
THE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL MORTGAGE MARKET IS IMPLODING!
MARKETS ARE COMPLETELY IGNORING THIS FACT!
WORSE THAN 2008!THE FED'S HOLDINGS OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES IS GROWING FASTER THAN DURING THE 2008 GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS!
QUARTERLY MORTGAGE DELINQUENCIES JUST SMASHED THE PREVIOUS RECORD FROM 2008!
THE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL MORTGAGE MARKET IS IMPLODING!
MARKETS ARE COMPLETELY IGNORING THIS FACT!
WHY IS GOLD GOING UP?PAUL KRUGMAN, AN INFAMOUS (((KEYNESIAN))), RECENTLY CLAIMED THAT THE PRICE OF GOLD WAS RISING DUE TO A FALL IN REAL YIELDS, NOT BECAUSE OF INFLATION!
HIS BELIEF IS THAT INTEREST RATE YIELDS ON TREASURIES AND OTHER SAFE ASSETS BEING NEGATIVE ADJUSTED FOR INFLATION IS THE PRIMARY FACTOR OF DEMAND FOR GOLD, AN ASSET THAT HAS NO YIELD, ONLY CARRYING COSTS! HE DOES NOT BELIEVE THE DEMAND FOR GOLD IS FUELED BY A DESIRE TO SEEK PROTECTION FROM INFLATION!
HIS POSITION CONTAINS MANY FLAWS, TOO MANY, IN FACT TO LIST IN ONE TRADING VIEW POST, BUT HERE ARE THE MOST FLAGRANT:
1) THE FALL IN REAL YIELDS IS DUE TO INFLATION OF THE MONEY SUPPLY, WHICH INEVITABLY LEADS TO PRICE INFLATION! A FALL IN INTEREST RATES IS CAUSED BY AN INCREASE IN AVAILABLE LENDABLE FUNDS, WHICH IS THE MOST DIRECT CONSEQUENCE OF FINANCIAL INFLATION! THIS IS INDICATED BY THE VELOCITY OF MONEY, AS THE VAST MAJORITY OF CURRENCY CREATED BY THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM AND THE CENTRAL BANK IMMEDIATELY FLOW INTO INTEREST-BEARING ASSETS, LOWERING THEIR YIELDS!
2) THE TRUE PRICE INFLATION RATE IS SEVERAL TIMES HIGHER THAN WHAT IS OFFICIALLY DECLARED, AND EXTRAPOLATING THIS FACT TO THE PAST HALF-CENTURY OF DATA, REAL YIELDS WERE INCREASINGLY NEGATIVE DURING THE 1980s AND 1990s, WHILE THE PRICE OF GOLD FELL, INVALIDATING HIS THEORY!
3) AS THE MONEY SUPPLY, RESPONSIBLE FOR PRICE INFLATION, HAS INCREASED FAR MORE THAN NOMINAL YIELDS HAVE DECREASED, THE FALL IN REAL YIELDS IS NECESSARILY MORE OF A CONSEQUENCE OF INFLATION THAN OF A LOW-GROWTH, LOW-YIELDING ENVIRONMENT!
4) A RISE IN ALL PRICES CAN ONLY BE DUE TO INFLATION, AND THEREFORE ANY PARTICULAR INCREASE IN PRICE IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF GENERAL PRICE INFLATION IS NECESSARILY A CONSEQUENCE OF INFLATION, REGARDLESS OF THE FACTORS FUELING ITS DEMAND! GOLD HAPPENS TO BE RISING FASTER THAN OTHER ASSETS/COMMODITIES AS IT HAS CONSISTENTLY PRESERVED ITS VALUE DURING PREVIOUS INFLATIONARY EPISODES WHILE REMAINING HIGHLY LIQUID!
5) IF A FALL IN REAL YIELDS WAS RESPONSIBLE FOR INCREASED DEMAND FOR GOLD, WOULDN'T DEMAND FOR CASH BALANCES AND PHYSICAL CASH BE EQUAL TO OR GREATER THAN GOLD, AS THERE IS WAY LESS CARRYING COST? YET THIS IS NOT THE CASE, EVIDENCED BY INCREASES IN VIRTUALLY ALL PRICES RELATIVE TO INCREASES IN M0/M1, A FALL IN THE DXY, AND, IRONICALLY, A RISE IN THE PRICE OF GOLD.
6) WHY IS THE PRICE OF SILVER AND METALS RISING AT A GREATER RATE THAN GOLD? THESE ASSETS ARE FAR LESS LIQUID AND ARE HISTORICALLY PERCEIVED AS VOLATILE PLAYS ON INFLATION!
www.shadowstats.com
www.zerohedge.com
TURKEY HYPERINFLATION!THIS IS EXACTLY WHAT HYPERINFLATIONS LOOK LIKE!
CAPITAL CONTROLS, RESERVE SELLING, MONETARY TIGHTENING ALL FAIL!
WITHIN 6 MONTHS-1 YEAR YOU WILL SEE A MASSIVE ECONOMIC CRISIS IN TURKEY!
THIS SHOULD SERVE AS A WARNING TO ALL OF YOU WHO BELIEVE INTEREST RATES WILL REMAIN LOW IN WESTERN COUNTRIES FOR A LONG TIME!
WHEN THEY RISE, IT WILL BE AT AN EXPONENTIAL PACE!
THE FED WON'T BAIL OUT YOUR CREDIT CARD!THESE CHARTS ARE VERY SIMILAR!
REAL ESTATE IS FAR DOWNSTREAM FROM FED POLICY, WITH MANY ECONOMIC ACTORS IN BETWEEN, ESPECIALLY COMPARED TO LARGE CORPORATIONS WHO HAVE ACCESS TO FINANCIAL DARK POOLS AND THE MANY FED PROGRAMS!
THIS MAKES IT MUCH HARDER FOR THE FED TO PROP UP REAL ESTATE VALUES AND MUCH EASIER TO PROP UP THE VALUE OF CORPORATE STOCK AND DEBT!
THIS IS SIMILAR TO THE SMALLER COMPANIES IN THE RUT, WHO MUST ACCESS CONVENTIONAL CREDIT MEANS, AND THUS ARE SUFFERING MUCH MORE THAN THEIR TECH COUNTERPARTS IN THE NDX!
LENDING STANDARDS ARE TIGHTENING FOR MAIN STREET, AND IT IS ONLY A MATTER OF TIME BEFORE THIS TIGHTENING REACHES ALL LEVELS OF THE ECONOMY! THE FED WILL NOT BAIL OUT YOUR AUTO LOAN OR CREDIT CARD, AND EVENTUALLY BANKS WILL TIGHTEN LENDING CONDITIONS FOR EVEN THE LARGEST OF ENTITIES, IF THEY HAVEN'T ALREADY BEGUN TO....
www.nbcnewyork.com
HI-HO SILVER!THE PARABOLIC MOVE COMING IN GOLD AND SILVER WILL SCARE BOTH INVESTMENT ROOKIES AND VETERANS!
THERE WILL BE ANOTHER LARGE CORRECTION TO SCARE THE SMALL FISH AWAY AND REWARD THE PRIMARY DEALER BANKS WITH MORE CHEAP MONETARY METALS!
AFTER THIS, THEY WILL SOAR!
THREE BLACK CROWS!RETAIL TRADERS WERE ALL FOOLED BY THE BOGUS DOLLAR MILKSHAKE THEORY AND WERE PUNISHED FOR THEIR HERD MENTALITY!
CAPITAL IS FLOWING OUT OF U.S. DOLLARS AND INTO OTHER CURRENCIES AND PRECIOUS METALS!
THOSE WITH AN UNDERSTANDING OF AUSTRIAN ECONOMICS HAVE SEEN THE WRITING ON THE WALL, THE DOLLAR IS FAR FROM THE CLEANEST DIRTY SHIRT IN THE HAMPER OR A SAFE HAVEN, IT IS RADIOACTIVE!
STOP LISTENING TO SHILLS WHO ARE DOING THE OPPOSITE OF WHAT THEY TELL YOU AND GO STUDY FOR YOURSELF!