KISHU -USDTthis could surprise- i don't think the first pump was anything just a big X wave , then it did a 1-2 and found a bottom and its a long way up to the next macro fib these Dog coins always seem to move round about the same time, so shib and doge moving up could be a good catalyst for apes to ape into other dog coins. defo worth a punt I reckon
Fib
GOLD LONG SET UP Hi Everyone,
Wanted to share my idea on where i think gold is heading for the next days, using price action, support and resistance zones and the Fib Levels.
We can see that Gold did a solid move downwards and now seems to be in a pullback, if we enter now i think its fair to expect a pull back to the 38 and 50 level which are our TPs. Gold also broke the resistance zone in green which is now acting as a big support.
Let me know where you guys agree or disagree on this idea and also let me know where you guys think gold is heading for the next days.
Cheers everyone!!!!!
XAUUSD with nice Fibonacci retracement.Here is an analysis of XAUUSD using a strategy based on Fib retracement.
If the 0.23 level (golden zone) confirms his stand for support to the price, the optimum target will be the 1845.00 level price.
This is just an idea, not financial advice.
If you have any observations or comments, feel free to write them down.
Regards!
Netflix short… big month aheadRising channel and uptrend back in Oct 2022 until Dec 2022. New descending channel forms with a new resistance of $294/$295. Will continue to downtrend and will test resistance, if breaks through that resistance, entry between $300-$310. If not, expect descending channel to continue until at least earnings call in late January 2023.
BTC Analysis I'll cover fibonacci, volume range, general trend, macro correlation coefficient and MA analyses.
This spread graph pins BTC against safe heaven assets, which include: Commodities (SP:SPGSCI), the U.S dollar (DXY/M2SL) and U.S Bonds (1/(TVC:US03Y+TVC:US02Y+TVC:US05Y+TVC:US10Y+TVC:US30Y)+1). Given representation of BTC's price accounts for various allocations of investors' capital to evaluate it's true intrinsic value. This favors accurate measurements.
Fib Analysis
The significant accuracy of demonstrated Fib levels confirm their precision. Current price level appears to be weakly breaking out of its fib resistance.
General Trend
Monthly:
Weekly:
BTC seems to be breaking out of the green parallel channel. In line with current economic conditions BTC's price is trading at it's lower price range.
CC & MA Ribbon
Pane above illustrates BTC's correlation coefficient with those safe heaven assets. A peak in their relationship implies a climax in BTC's short-term trend with those assets; acting as an RSI.
Volume Profile
This indicator is extremely useful, however difficult to use in long-term analysis. Through utilizing the ''free fall'' parallel channel(pink) and the indicator, evident resistance/support line intersections may be useful for evaluation.
Conclusion
Returning to the main graph, having had considered all these points, I presented an opinionated path of my prediction for BTC.
^ leave comments, questions and etc ^
I'll always reply ASAP
BTC Market Structure Changing - What to watch for
Understanding price action and market structure is one of the most valuable concepts in terms of keeping your head straight in this market. Bitcoin recently printing a couple signs of changing market structure and I wanted to share because sometimes this stuff is almost too simple that people overlook it.
The chart above is showing that after the enormous BTC drop in November, we started to print some higher highs and higher lows. In other terms, the 4hr chart was showing a bullish uptrend. This uptrend is shown by the orange line on the chart. All of this is great and wonderful, but this is where things start to change.
About a week ago, BTC price action pushed through this uptrend and closed a strong bearish candle. This was our first sign that something in the structure/trend is changing. This is an important thing, so I'll repeat it; The price action breaking through the orange trend line DOES NOT mean the market is reversing but it's a great warning sign that it's time to pay attention and be cautious with trades. This price action continued to drop far enough that we have already printed a lower low, which is also marked on the chart. And yet again, this does not mean that the market is reversed and going down, but that it's time to pay close attention to the price action coming up.
So the question is what's next? That is impossible to predict perfectly, but I'd like to share what is incredibly possible using similar market structure and ideas:
If the market structure is actually changing like the warning signs have been saying, then it's fair to expect a lower high to be printed as the market moves in waves. The question is simply where to expect a lower high. It can occur anywhere, but what I have marked on the chart is what I would consider to be a highly likely area for a lower high. This would be retesting a level of strong resistance for BTC. This also overlaps nicely with the Fibonacci golden pocket retracement that BTC loves to follow. That's really all there is to it, just support and a couple Fibonacci levels. This may change as more data comes in the next couple weeks but this is on my radar right now.
Happy trading! And keep an eye out for a lower high in the near future!
Slight word of caution: Volume will likely be very low in the coming 2 weeks due to holidays so don't get caught up too much in the noisy data and price action that occurs between now and the new year
BEARISH Bitcoin Idea ( may not happen but....)Bitcoin Weekly chart
The Vertical Red lines are Fib Time Zones and these ones are Bearish
PA got Rejection off every one and the next one is on week of 2nd Jan which also intersects with the 4.618 Fib circle,
As you can see, Previous 618's have also caused Rejection though PA may have descended before hitting the 3.618
End od Dec, Beginning of Jan has many charts pointing towards something happening but as we all know, predicting PA is often foolish
I do have Bullish charts also but mostly from projections using Fractels.....
Be ready to react is the only thing I will say
Apart from Happy Christmas and a Merry New Year...I think BTC will recover in '23
BTCUSDT - Fib 0.618 & Weekly SupportCurrently favouring upside based on fib low to high on Fib 0.618 and weekly support level. Target to the upside Fib drawn from High to Low at 0.618 fib extension above. Key level not to lose 16500 Weekly. A negative point is the price is being tested 2nd time, which lowers the probability and shows indecision and possible weakness.
Trading Idea for Ethereum💸In this idea, I'm going to share my own short-term trading plan on Ethereum . So this one is not an analysis it is an action plan with calculations.
As you can see on the chart (1H time-frame), ETH has reached a PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) around $1310. This is the high of the last bullish wave on our ascending trend (you can see the yellow trend-line to find my bullish trend). I came to this conclusion because of four reasons:
1. RSI bullish trend-line is broken downwards
2. There is a bearish divergence on MACD
3. The price has reached the level 1 Fibonacci Extension
4. The Red (sales) volumes are rising, and the Green (buys) volumes are decreasing
So it is time for a correction now, to find to size of the correction I've used to Fibonacci retracements on the last bullish wave. The "green box" is our strongest support area on the Fibonacci. But also if I want to make my support area stronger I'll pick the area that my green box overlaps with the yellow bullish trendline. This will be the area for me to buy Ethereum if the price hit it, it is somewhere between $1210 - $1220.
Here is the trading trick, this strong support area, is a good place for me to buy. But what will happen if things go wrong?!! Before anything else I'm going to plan to setup my stop-loss . There are two good stop-losses here:
1. Somewhere around $1190, it is our lower low from our previous low
2. When the yellow bullish trend-line is broken
So we have our stop-loss, it's time to calculate our take profit area . With drawing two Fibonacci extensions, from our two last bullish waves to our green box (if the price hit that area as the end of the correction), we'll get two level 1 Fibonacci Extension. First one around $1368 and second one around $1446. My tow take profit points will be below these levels. The good thing about this trading idea is its great R/R ration that you can see on the chart!
I will definitely update this trading idea as the market proceed, so make sure you follow my account and stay tuned.
As always feel free to ask any question you have about my idea and share your own thoughts on the comment section. And if you like this idea make sure you hit the BOOST button.
Probability for 15/12/22 No trade for me today. It seems that price is stuck between Buyside liquidity and Sellside liquidity. Innitially I knew price will retrace to 50% on fib but not right away, it took a while. Now we know it's there and I would expect to start to go down today and make way to 164.400 or even 164.000 but to me is 50/50 = no trades.
Please let me know your thoughts.
NQ1!: CONFIRMED CHANNELS & OVERSUPPLY MOVE ON 12/13Note: In the chart above I have provided a clear distinction between what I would consider to be CONFIRMED CHANNELS that have been held for a considerable amount of time.
Points:
1. With todays trading day on 12/13 we moved back into oversupply territory where price action failed to hold.
2. Oversupply move confirms a rejection of the 200 EMA Line.
3. Key Level for NQ1! to hold is 11,600 or we can be set to see new lows and lower highs.
4. Current channel we are resting on will collapse if NQ1! decides to break past 10,600 this would be the equivalent of $SPY breaking 350.
Short BTC from 17,5 K Harmonic is not really nice due to the lack off symmetry .
Just hit the naked point of control @ 17.28, with a nice reaction for a scalp.
The level 17.55 looks decent with a daily.
also it is the lowest point of the former range from juni till november this year.
Let's see if it plays out.
Bullish GOLD / 6M FIB AnalysisThe Graph presents DXY/GOLD = Inverse price of gold. Given Fibonacci levels have acted as great resistance/support lines, therefore might predict the next bull-run for gold. DXY/Gold is retesting its 2.414 Fibonacci resistance to break down; which is a bullish signal for gold.
Fundamentally (refer to main graph)
- Gold is a great inflation hedge
- Currently massively undervalued
- Falling returns or/and outlook on substitute investmentment instruments
Technically (these 2 graphs)
- Previous retests from Fib levels have shown a 100% accuracy on the 6M timeframe
(breakouts represented by red circules and current by the blue circule)
- The diagonal blue resistance line (which rejected 100% breakouts) has been reached with a significant rebound below the fib level.
- The MA is extremely close to both the FIB and blue line resistance levels.
Fun fact: These fib levels have been determined through price history between the years 1969-1976.
1M timeframe:
1W timeframe:
Thanks for your time!
MATIC / USDT 1D chart Targets and StoplossHello everyone, let's look at the 1D MATIC to USDT chart. As you can see, the price is moving above the local downtrend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can take into account:
T1 = $0.9158
T2 = $0.9619
T3 = $1.0112
T4 = $1.0759
and
T5 = $1.1616
Now let's move on to the stop loss in case the market goes down further:
SL1 = $0.8502
SL2 = $0.7964
SL3 = $0.7643
SL4 = $0.7393
and
SL5 = $0.6911
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that there is still a lot of energy for the next move on the 1D interval, while the MACD indicator indicates a downtrend.
Short Term Price Regression before upwards movement Splitit has fallen beyond 90% from all time highs. In respect to fibbonacci re-tracement and extension going downwards, I'm hoping to add more positions at 15c and 9c.