EUR/USD Trade IdeaToday (24/01/2023) we saw E/U retrace ~70% of yesterday's range with a large institutional sponsored move to the upside during the London close. Looking at daily objectives for this pair, they have not yet been met so I expect bullish E/U. We may see swing to the upside during London Open to take Asia highs then a drop retracing ~70% of yesterday's low before going higher and possibly taking out the major high.
Fiberanalysis
Weekly Analysis of September 25-30, 2022The importance of annotating the previous week is immeasurable.
This gives you the proper perspective of where price has been and will likely go the following week.
As Snipers in the Markets we rely heavily on past price action because it is indicative of future price action.
Often times equal lows will get swept, imbalances aka FVG will get filled and equal highs and lows will get smashed.
These are all areas that the algorithm that delivers price to the market reaches for at specific times of the day; every day in this multi TRILLION dollar space we know as FOREX.
By studying your weekly analysis you are studying YOUR map of Price action on the asset that you are trading. You then get in sync how it moves, when it moves, and what levels of liquidity it will reach for.
This chart is an example of the POWER of annotating the asset you trade and identifying the different times it moves. When you capitalize on these movements you capitalize on the PIP$!
Never over leverage. This keeps your head in the game and allows your perspective to stay objective when draw downs will inevitably happen. You won't pull the trade early, and you'll allow the trade to manifest.
Trust your set up. You wrote the script. You took the time to study price and where it has a high probability chance of going. Give price time to get there. Often times it will.
Have Fun! This is the only space where you can make as much money as you want every day of the week!
I AM Pro Trading Made Simple. Master Jedi-Sensi of #SniperGang
Everybody Eat$
MET (Mount Everest Trade)This signature trade doesn't happen everyday.
But when it does it's a beautiful thing!
It's like catching a sighting of the Infamous Lockness Monster :)
They do exist:) I digress....
This chart illustrates the play.
Price has exhausted the average 30 Pip Stop hunt the algorithm does daily and now is on it's decent to give us the full 88pip ADR of EURUSD.
the DXY is confirming this play going Long Heavy/
Price could even go further to its extreme 101 Pip ADR range. But after 88 Pip$ no need to be greedy lol
Never over leverage.
Trust your trade set up.
Have fun!
I Am Pro Trading Made Simple/
We are #SniperGang
EVERYBODY EATS!!!
The Break DownLet's break this trade down:
12AM NEW DAY.
Overall Bias Trend was UP on EURUSd the DXY WAS Down.
The mindset therefor is LONG for the day.
The algorithm that delivers price attacked sell side liquidity taking out all LONGS before it then 52 Faked out and continued the original trend long.
The key to this set up if you're early never over leverage.
You over leverage you can't stay in this set up.
3am Now The Bias is Set.
The DXY is breaking South.
EURUSD has at least 60 pips to Range once she breaks this morning zone which as of 3:02am it's BROKEN.
Now we ride this rocket to the extremes before the next set up presents itself. #TradingMadeSimple
MET MOUNT EVEREST TRADEWanna see a trade set up that gives you the WHOLE ADR sometime TWO OF THEM in one trade entry?
This chart will prove it can be done and I know the formula.
When price breaks to the low of the Morning zone 12am it will then Give us that MONEY SWING $ (for approx 30 pips we don't trade this move we wait for it as confirmation of the real move south.)
So the algorithm will jam traders up looking to go long at 12 AM.
2am the Money Swing will happen and the MET trade will present.
Snipe it without hesitation and watch price melt.
If price touches your entry the set up is void. ///////
TIME is the most valuable asset in LIFE and FOREX.
This strategy simply exploits the routes that the software makes at specific times of the day. I call it the FOREX SCHEDULE.
When you master the route of the asset you trade daily that asset becomes your personal ATM Machine or Broken Slot Machine that gives out daily.
Learn these routes then you can objectively create your own strategies and formulas to exploit the INTERBANK PRICE DELIVERY Algorithm that runs on TIME.
TIME & PRICE are the only two indicators you need. Then add the confluence of market Structure beyond simple Support Resistance ; TRUE STRUCTURE are areas of Liquidity in the market.
This is the TRUE Structure that Institutional banks and us SNIPERS TARGET DAILY.
Now lets see if price follows the Program:)
The Market Does This Move EVERYDAY! The Narrative for this trade set up is called 'The Daily Sniper Heist'
End of Asian Session The High or Low is taken out before the start of London Session. Look for your favorite bearish or bullish candle patterns they will appear.
Then The Low or High is set by 10am.
10am the market reaches for buy side liquidity (London payout) DBP PLAY Straight into Structure. (PULL)
Consolidates then raids the rest of buy or sell side liquidity. (Entry Second DBP)
Then finally sweeping the low or high to continue for liquidity and imbalances.
The key to trading the Forex Market is learning the Market Mechanics.
What are the two things that make the market move? .... Liquidity & Imbalance.
Add that to price and time confluence. Price + Time produce STRUCTURE.
Liquidity is often above the body of the candles and extends to the wicks. These are great areas to formulate trade strategies and set ups.
Now lets see if price follows the script!
As always never over leverage.
Trust your Trade Set up.
Have Fun!
EurUsd/Fiber Short Term To Intermediate Term OutlookOANDA:EURUSD
Piggy Backing Of The DXY_Idea, This is the Short Term To Intermediate Term Swing For EurUsd.
DXY is the barometer for Foreign Currencies Movements. With That,
Anticipating a short term bullish price swing to the "1.2080" level.(Would love to see previous weeks low swept to hit the "1.1770" figure before the short term bullish price swing)
Then we can look out to see the intermediate bearish price swing to the Weekly bearish price Target of "1.1450".
The Point is to try and keep it as simple as possible!
Good Luck & Good Trading
Potential HUGE tradeBased on my price action, currently, it's a nice retest of the broken TL, a pretty excellent risk-reward ratio. I predicted it would reach the final target by the end of July or the beginning of August. I would wait for the confirmation candle, enter the trade, set SL / TP, and forget about it since the analysis is base on the daily time frame.
We had a similar entry price zone on February 25, 2021 (link attached). The market rejected 1.224 zones at that time and fell deep to 1.170.
Invalidation:
This analysis fails if the price breakout and closes above 1.236.
Catalyst:
- ECB Financial Stability Review
- EU CPI
- FOMC
- US Unemployment claims
- EU PMI
- ECB Press Conference
- NFP
Fiber PERFECT trade - Follow up analysisClick the link in the "Red circle" to see the previous analysis.
Finally, it reached the "Potential target 2". I reckon if it can break the "Potential target 2" zone, EUR will keep climbing to the next targets, long-term plan.
This analysis is only based on the price action. Please do your research regarding the Fundamentals.
$EURUSD - Hit Equal Highs - Retrace - Buy into the Swing SellWaiting for EURUSD to retrace (If it does) to buy. Espeially if the 100% Symetry is around the 1.85000 level. That is the spot I'm looking for the swing sell on the way down. But only if this happens before London close. If we sit in consolidation or I don't see a sharp rejection soon, I may rethink my entire idea. Just trying to read price action at them moment to determine the best solution.
Didn't reject.
Scratch the buy opportunity.. it's pushing to hard, I'm just looking for the swing sell into the order blocks.
$EURUSD - I'm Being a BearDue to the major shift yesterday, my daily bias is to be bearish. And even though we have not made a lower low, we have yet to create a higher high so I'm being a little aggressive with a bearish call since I don't have as many confirmations as I would like to have.
I pulled fibs across a few situations and entered on each three of those situations shown and 3 different take profits for all 3. I've entered at 1.17724, 1.17635, and 1.17543. First Goal is 1.17250, Second is 1.17075, Third is the 1.16860. These are the 0. -27%, and -62% extensions. If it makes it to -100% at 1.16615 that would be great.
1.1800 is serving as a major resistance. And when overlaying bond yields, the German yield (conducive of the Euro), it steadily declined during the hours of 6 a.m. and 8 a.m. (CST U.S.). However since 8 a.m., they've both shifted toward more positive yields and the German yield is a bit more aggressive, so that is a little worrisome.
I could be completely wrong. We may need a higher retracement before we start seeing the seasonality of the fall of the EU. I'm just hoping it's sooner than later.
Side note #1 - I'm in the positive on my last position I took. Crossing my fingers it stays that way.
Side note #2 - I don't believe in trendlines.
Side note #3 - I use the Dollar Sign ($) in front of the symbol because I post these to twitter and it will tag $EURUSD like a hashtag except. And it can be searchable like a hashtag.
$EURUSD - Long Term (6 Months?) - Rethinking Retracementi use the CoT Report for a lot of guidance. If you know how the commercial/central banks are trading, then you have a pretty goof idea as to where the market is going to go. As mentioned in many of my ideas, they started shorting back in March. My belief if they stacked a lot of orders at that March high, know it would eventually get lower than that point.
The First week of September is when EURUSD made it's most recent high, and so far, high of the year, which is typical for about this time of the year if you look at yearly cycles. The commercials were at the deepest in shorts at this time and started lessening the shorts shortly after. Just two weeks ago we did see the massive sell off. Last week we started to see the retracement, more longs were added.
Now what I did whas draw a fib from the highest point in September to the High point in March, these are the times the commercials switch from longs to shorts (March) to the height of their short positions (September). I threw in a few ideas here on trading view that we would probably see more aggressive shorting, not seeing the foresight of what the ultimate achievement of the central banks are trying to do. So now I throw another fib on top of the current ont, this fib is from the highest high (September) to the most recent low that we've had since that high in March which was just about a week/2weeks ago.
There's a confluence overlap of the new 62% retracement that is sitting on top of the 70.5% retracement of both of these fibs at the institutional level of 1.18600.
As I can't see the future, this could easily make it's way back to the 1.2000 level, just to draw enough retail buyers in to go long at the opportunistic moment. But I digresss.
I believe that near the 1.18600 level will be the kill zone to go short, for all of those shorts that have been building will finally take off and make a run for the original March-Sept fib to hit their extensions -27% to -62%. And just prior the -62% of the March to Sept fib is the pivot, -100%, for the September to September 25 fib. These institutional levels are 1.12000 and 1.17000. And the 1.17000 level is where we find a major support zone.
As price typically chases 10 year bond yields, you can see a clear divergence in the the US 10 Year yield (Blue) vs. the Euro 10 year yields (Yellow, Top Down it goes Italy, Spain, France, Germany) While the U.S. yield is currently making a higher high since August 27, the rest of the Euro countries are slipping in yield prices. Just another tidbit to support my claim.
Yes. A lot is going to happen between now and then. As for my related idea to short this week, I'm not so sure, I think we'll be seeing more bullishness. But I believe this is the framework of this pair that we should see play out until next spring when we start to see a bullish move once again.
I'll try to call the day trades when I see them in this pair because they've been forming around 6a.m. - 8 a.m. CST U.S. But as for now, This is my current and final skeleton of the EURUSD.
Final note, I don't believe in trend lines. Sorry, not sorry.