NEO BTC - Fundamental analysis + Elliott Waves + Fib Extension !Hi guys!
Fundamental analysis
NEO has a great project, team and community behind it. Some say NEO is China's Ethereum but watch this video from Da Hong Fe i (NEO's founder) which he explains on it how NEO and Ethereum are different and why NEO has a bigger vision in Blockchain Technology.
www.youtube.com
TA:
BINANCE:NEOBTC going through a ascending channel in recent days which been broken by sudden BTC price decline and whole market correction. (We're forming new ascending channel now)
According to Elliott Waves analysis in macro level we're now on 2nd wave, and we're trying to begin 3rd wave which can take us to 0.010205 price (Fib Extension level 1). potential 25% profit from this price level !
If everything goes right we can reach 0.011750 price (Fib Extension level 1.618) in 5th wave on upcoming days. potential 44% profit from this price level !
It's a complicated market situation right now, some believe alt coin season has already began but some still believe we need more time and more market correction to see new all time high price for alt coins.
P.S: I'm not your financial adviser and do your own research. I'm a newbie on TA but I'm trying to share my knowledge and helping community to grow.
Fibextensions
5 STEPS TO CHANNEL THE TARGET WAVE 5 USING ELLIOTT WAVESSTEP 1 - Once the 1 wave is completed use Fib Retracement to find out the possible wave 2 level. Usually wave 2 is 0.5 - 0.8 of wave 1. In a uptrend Fib level is close to 0.8 but its the opposite on downtrend
STEP 2- Once the wave 2 is completed use Fib Extension to find out the possible wave 3 level. Usually wave 3 is 1.618 of wave 1 or 2.618 of wave 2.
STEP 3 - Once the wave 3 is completed then you can draw a line to join 1 and 3 and then draw a parallel line on wave 2 to project the wave 4. Usually wave 4 is 0.5 - 0.618 of wave 3
STEP 4 - Once wave 4 is completed then you can draw a line to join wave 2 and 4 and then remove the previously drawn line joining wave 1 and 3
STEP 5 - Then draw a parallel lines from wave 1 and 3 and the 50% trend line of the above parallel lines to project wave 5. Usually wave 5 is 1 or 0.618 of wave 1
Bitcoin Short Term CorrectionsBitcoin appears to have completed five Elliott Waves and is exhibiting bearish divergence on the MACD and RSI. In addition, the volume is only mediocre. These factors lead me to believe that Bitcoin will experience some sort of short term correction.
Note: The lower bound of the key resistance area is based of the bottom of wave 4 plus the height of wave 1. The upper bound is based of a 2.618 fib extension of waves 1 and 2.
EOS is looking FIERCE _____________________________
Idea:
We have HEAVY bullish divergence on the RSI and a good target for the 1.618 to be the end of wave 3
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Warning:
we did hit the 1:1 extension of 1 and immediately corrected from there, I am assuming that this was only a subwave of 3 rather than the entire wave but i could be wrong on this point
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Alternative:
If 3 only went to the 1:1 extension then i would treat this as a leading diagonal and still expect another push up
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Note:
This is EOS/ETH but there shouldn't be too much of a difference between this and EOS/BTC
BTCUSD - The Weekly 50 MA - Do you remember?No voodoo here, no nonsense, just a simple possibility.
1 simple trend-based Fib, 1 simple possibility based on what happened last time we failed the Weekly 50 MA.
I am not a bear, I want nothing more than to get back on track, I am hedged with buys all the way down.
Dollar Cost Average, don't catch knives.
Long-term survival
Steady growth
High profits
In that order.
Eur/Nzd EN has broken out of consolidation and is moving down strong. Considering a lot of things, this is my projected path for it to make. I posted that buy (which turned out to be barely a scalp if you held as long as I did). I have been anticipating one last possible romp upward. At this point, considering the overall pattern and the fib extensions I think it is ready to come down. Like I said, it is breaking out on the daily. It will have the major trend line to contend with but I would anticipate a flag consolidation or further downside. I will post a short video on EN and GU on my channel and show you what I mean.
BTC correction fib extension supportsIf wave (iv) only retraces up to the 23.60% fib retracement level, then the impulse wave (v) could come next.
Support levels for the possible wave (v), wave 5, and wave (C) are shown by the labeled fib extensions.
Bigger picture here:
The fib extensions for the possible wave (v) are only viable if wave (iv) doesn't retrace more than the 23.60% retracement level.
A bullish sign would be if BTC retraced into wave (i)'s territory.
Possible Impulse Wave (3)This is an update for my previous post here:
In case wave (2) has been completed and has since moved on to wave (3), here are some areas of resistance for the potential impulse wave.
If BTC goes below the 7720 levels, then consider that wave (2) has not fully completed yet or that there is an impulse wave failure.
A bearish scenario also remains if BTC goes below the 7240 levels, which was the wave ((2)) low.
Please ignore the arbitrary positions of the floating (3), (4), and (5) as they don't represent any price targets.
7750-7600 Levels Looking Prominent for a ReversalA reversal for the wave (2) correction could happen inside the indicated area in a bullish case. The trend-line and fib levels are labeled on the chart.
The possible bearish scenario would be if BTC retraces 100% of wave (1), going below the 7240 level. Even more bearish if BTC falls below the wave ((1)) low.
Keep in mind that any other scenario not mentioned could also take place.
Confluence ABCD great look for gold in bullish run to 2.6 i would say you can have a safe buy to the 2.6 we just had a retrace off the 38.2 and strong candle stick to form higher highs in price to break previous structure indicating that we are still in a bullish market, we have broken previous supply in the markets now they are demands so we can expect some buyers to keep pushing on to the previous 2.6 to get out at the 2.6. ill update soon
USDCAD Trade Update1 Lot Profit taken off of USDCAD LONG from March 12th @ 1.28385 and closed @ 1.30944 for a +255.9 pip gain. Not a bad haul. Still in with 1 LOT and monitoring price action, which has hit resistance at 1.31 mark corresponding with the 61.8% retracement off of the May 2017 high. Price did breach the most recent Weekly Supply area and I'll be watching how it performs if/when it re-enters here. Trailing stop 50 pips from price. RSI, MACD, and DMI are all printing divergence. I'm anticipating a brief retracement followed by a last Bull push taking out stop order above 1.31, followed by a legitimate correction.
Descending Triangle - Reversal ImmenentWaves ((1)) and ((2)) (green circle) have completed according to this wave-count.
Wave ((3)), an impulse wave, may soon follow.
An up-trend is likely if we manage to stay above the wave ((1)) low.
Fibonacci extension levels of wave ((1)) reveals areas of resistance on the way up.
Note that the third wave is usually the longest and never the shortest in a typical 5 wave impulse. So, a reasonable target for it to reach would be a 1:1 extension for a conservative approach, or a 1.618 extension for a more aggressive target.
Still, we should watch out for some other possible scenarios too. Some important ones to take note of include: an extension of the (C) wave, a breakout of the descending triangle, or a continuation of the downtrend below the wave ((1)) low.
USDCAD Outlook. Looking for High Probability LONG Re-EntryHaving pocketed +350 pips across several USDCAD lots, I'm waiting for a high-probability set-up to get back in long. For me, that would be a decisive break above current trendline, which was put in place last week as Dollar Bulls pulled profits out of the market. Currently, support is at the 1.28 mark as price action failed to break through the area of supply indicated in the red rectangle.
Signals indicating a BUY, but I do not want to jump back in prematurely as the market could easily look for areas of better price demand, especially within the dark gold retracement area I've marked on the chart.
USDCAD LONG +140 Pips in ProfitUpdate from USDCAD LONG, which I wrote about here . I was anticipating a break above the trendline which took place on the 13th. Price action has pushed through the 50.0% retracement level from the May-September bearish swing. My target is @ 1.31290, which corresponds closely to the 61.8% Fib level, which is also the 1.618% extension off the January 31st low.
Also worth mentioning is the significant shift in trader sentiment as retail traders are now net short at almost 3:1.
AUDUSD Update From Yesterday's CallI said, here , to pay attention to those wicks, didn't I? Well, price action was unable to break up through the Fib Confluence zone and broke below the trendline. Price is now in discussion with 50.0% Fib Retracement level. I went short @ 0.78567, currently up +43.1 pips. A definitive break below the Demand Zone & the 61.8% level will solidify the trend change. I'll be keeping an eye on price progression next week.
Alternatively, price could find support around that Demand area, putting in what could potentially be the right shoulder of a H&S pattern.
USDCHF Pullback to Bottom of ChannelAs per my last update on the USDCHF pair, price has come down and currently bouncing off of the bottom of the channel. Overall the Dollar is relatively underperforming, which I have been discussing for the past few week s. My LONG is still on and my target area is still in the green fib extension area, unless price drops out of the channel like a rock and/or fails to reach the top of the channel.
USDCHF LONG. Still in profit, looking to add a few lots.My USDCHF LONG from 02.26.18 is panning out well as I'm sitting on +90 pips at the time of this writing. Ended last week with a Spinning Top on Friday, March 9, after breaking through the previous supply zone. That zone is now being retested and if if holds will become demand. Price is currently stalling around the 0.947 mark, which was also the HIGH for February. I'm currently ~60 or so pips from my take profit zone (Green Fib Ext Rectangle). If price breaks above last weeks high I'm looking to add an additional lot or two, bank profit on the current LONG and set my stops to break even.
One technical thing to keep in mind is that price could easily retrace to the bottom of the channel, which would also correspond to the Retracement Zone from the February low to the high last Friday. If that occurs, as per my custom I'll draw in a trendline in anticipation of a break above it. All of this depends, however, on how the Dollar performs against the majors. As I mentioned in my posts on the Dollar Index from last week, we've yet to have a trend change so all USD longs are are susceptible at the moment.
DGDBTC - Possible 25% gainer with more potentialDGD is a coin that has designated itself as the stable coin of the crypto world, its use similar to precious metals in a bear market.
Viewing the chart on the 6 hour chart, we can see through VPVR that there is good support around the high .020s region, protecting DGDBTC from breaking out of its trend channel. However, what's also seen is its resistance levels above it around the 0 level Fibonacci extension. MACD is very bearish, while RSI is starting to trend up but has not made a convincing strike up.
On the 2 hour chart, the 48EMA is about to cross under the 100EMA, DGDBTC is stretched far out of the Bollinger bands, RSI/MACD aren't looking so great either.
However, it's wicked up from the -.236 Fib extension, making a double bottom on a support level. It also has not broken the Fibonacci speed resistance fan's .382 level. We may see a reversal now, but due to its the indicators I believe that the best option would be to make orders in down to the bottom of the trend channel, with a stop loss near the -.382 Fib extension level. It may also be wise to take profit at levels before the target.
SUBBTC - Possible reversal, under .236Looks quite bearish! Entry and target on chart. I'm expecting a bounce off the fib ext. and a max of .382 hit.
Indis bearish but nothing a little volume can't fix!
ENJBTC - Impending bounce off the .618 or .768 fib extThanks to a mate for this tip! FA wise, I'm super bullish on ENJ.
Safe Entry: Above the -.618 with a candle close confirmation of a reversal.
Stop loss: below previously defined support
Target: .618 as it is traditionally a hard to break resistance.
RSI 30, oversold
MACD just about to crossover. No confirmation yet! My customized settings stop false flags more often than the regular MACD indicator.
Chande Momentum indicator shows a very strong bearish movement. I strongly believe this is the perfect entry: a further breakdown of price will hit a stop loss and ENJBTC can be bought in the future. Hitting lower levels is very possible at this rate so I would suggest staggering your entries.
Black dashed lines indicate previous lows, where we could be headed. Be safe out there!
Happy trails!