Fibextensions
EURUSD 1 Hr Chart Possible Flag Short Term Idea for a short position
I have a overall Short Bias on the longer time frames, looking at possible places to get involved we have this potential bear flag/breakout set up.
The 382 retracement of the recent move down lines up with lots of previous structure looking at the fib extension and iversions we have some levels lining up with one of my weekly key levels
NZDUSD The coming weeksAs its a new Week I have been reviewing the weekly chart to get a better idea of the overall move.
On the lower time frames my Initial thoughts were short but looking here I think we could see a rise.
Short term I do think we may see a retest of 0.70000 area the fib retracement on the most recent Daily impulse leg up gives us a 618 at one of my weekly key levels of 0.68745, this is the area id be looking for Bullish signs to buy, we could see a move before this but this would give the best RR.
Longer term we have got a Bullish Flag pattern forming on the Weekly chart. Using the Fib inversion on the recent pull back it gives us the 1.618 up at previous structure, the fib extension also gives us a 1.27 at this area, one last bit of confluence is the fib retracement on the big impulse leg down gives us a 618 at this same level.
would use the lower time frames for entry and would be watching the 0.73000 level for possible resistance.
AUD/USD potential inverted head and shoulders - Short term sellAUD/USD did not play out how we predicted last week! Trump's press conference gave USD a chance to correct and give this pair a push higher to break support and this descending trendline. AUD/USD is currently sitting at key weekly support which price reacted off nicely recently. We will be looking for a pullback to the 50 fib/next support at 0.7350 to form a right shoulder of this potential inverted head and shoulders, then longs continue past the neckline at 0.7500 to hit the 61.8 extension at 0.7700 to complete the pattern. Due to such a strong bullish weekly candle the bulls could easily keep pushing and not give a pullback so we will watch this one closely
EURUSD Daily Short Idea Bear Flag, 618 /382 retracements from recent highs where we have rejected.
Fib extention and inversions lines us up the 1.27 and 1.618 at a new low which hasn't been touched since 2002 looking back at the monthly charts
1.3789 will be the first real barrier but if we break see further downside
couple of risk rewards, more aggressive and more conservative
Bullish Flag on the Daily GBPJPYHere are my Thoughts for the coming weeks.
Lots of good Fibonacci confluence, to many levels lining up to be ignored imo.
So to start we have some basic patterns forming
Bullish Flag, we have had out impulse leg up and come back to the 382 retracement which lines up with previous structure resistance which could turn support.
The flag could do a, a,b,c,d Harmonic move which does line up with the 1.618 of a fib extension. The 1.27 level of this extension also lines up with the 1.618 of the fib inversion.
looking at the weekly highs and doing some fib retracements we have a 618 and 786 also line up with the 1.618 and 1.27. This general area was a previous are of structure support.
We are also in the Oversold area RSI
Lost yet? for me lots of little bits lining up which is building a strong case to the upside
There are a couple of key levels In Blue which are going to be areas to watch if price moves up.
Of course it could retrace further to the downside.
Good luck and Trade Safe
EURJPY Outlook for the week 26/12/16Firstly Looking at the Weekly and Daily Charts we have come into an Area of resistance.
We have started to see a bit of a bearish move on the Daily, looking on the 4 hr we have a few levels lining up.
We have had a 618 retracement, looking at the Fib Extension of the first impulse leg down and the Fib Inversion of the pull back. The 1.27 and 1.414 levels all fall in an area of previous structure resistance on the Daily.
We have a possible Bear Cypher forming its C completion at the 121.10 level and the C to D leg of a cypher would see us back up to my weekly Key level.
Will watch on the lower time frames to see what happens and for possible entries
USDJPY possible 170 Pip (+/-) movelooking at a classic wedge pattern here and an Elliott wave abcde correction pattern. We will see but I think it should push to the upside to the 2.618 extension based on previous time and price patterns. 16 bars 16 hrs band about 1.45% move each time.
My only issue with this chart is that I am looking at the Dollar hitting possible time and price resistance right now. see linked idea below.
USDJPY possible 150 Pip move upFundamentally I have the USDJPY valued at 115-118. that's a conservative valuation and also a short term valuation. I think the USDJPY will consolidate at this level until the newyear and be somewhat range bound comparative to the GBPUSD.
technically:
I have a bearish bat forming at what I have the termination of wave 3 from my EW analysis. This also lines up with my time and price analysis.
I am long until about 115.20 where I think it will retrace slightly until a push to the upper 115 range and then consolidate.
This is just my humble forecast and we will see if I'm somewhat right. I'm not stuck to this in any way and will always trade the right side of the chart based off of price action!!!!
AUDUSD SELLPrior to the 11th of December this pair was trading in an upwards trend with key resistance around the 0.78000 level. After the break of this market structure, there has been a number of minor re-tracements, and price is currently trading around the 61.8% re-tracement inside a daily supply & demand zone and coincides perfectly with the 0.74600 support/turned resistance level. Stop loss will be placed above the last significant high and first take profit will be in the next supply and demand zone around 0.72000.
EURJPY - ABCD Harmonic MoveIn case you trade harmonics and don't bother a risk above 50 pips, this might be an interesting trade setup for you.
Pair is pulling a harmonic move to the upside and might reach 1618 Fib extension, which will align with previous level of structure looking left.
Pretty decent Risk Reward ratio on this trade.
We are not getting involved because the trade violates our rules for maximum risk in terms of pips.