Gold reversal at 161.80% extension? Wait for the re-testNon-Farm was lower than the last month (see last gold post) and we have filled our buy targets right on the money as Gold is now struggling as Fib extension 161.80% with a failed break and close below this level Friday.
Gold has scope to go higher however it'll need to close above Friday's high to confirm this.
Right now any failed re-test of the blue zone is a prime selling opportunity with stops above the last high.
The downside is supported by the fact the Dollar Yen finished higher so global risk sentiment is not bearish against the dollar even with the lower pay rolls read.
Fibextensions
Short 786 trade using Fibonacci. Risk Reward @ 1.5*We broke structure, now we've come back up to retest a previous level which coincides with the 786 Fib level. For these reasons along with a few other we've taken trade. Always remember to look at the bigger picture, always use higher time frame analysis!!!!
786 RETRACEMENT TREND FOLLOWING TRADEWe got a .786 retracement following break of structure to the downside. Price didn't break our previous highs so trade still valid. Looking at targets back down at structure offering us up a risk reward of close to 1:2. Probability suggests it just about wont come but the Risk reward is such that these trades are worth taking.
GBPNZD AB=CD head and shoulders patternPossible AB=CD harmonic pattern combined with a head and shoulders pattern. looking to go long at point D after candle over candle confirmation.
initial take profit @ 1.83062
stop loss @1.815 which appears to be the next level of support on a higher time frame.
comments more than welcome
Thanks for viewing
Bud
USDJPY Short Re-entryI've been watching this pair for the last week or so, following a simple set up of a bear-flag/pennant formation with a profit target of a 127 ext or a simple 1:1 ratio (trailing stop to reduce risk). This strategy yeilded 70 pips this morning alone for a decent profit and I believe there is still plenty of downside. The key here is to trade WITH the trend (identified via structure and MMA's), I notice that we're at a historical support level, but until the bulls rear their horns again I'm Bearish
GBP/JPY: structure and fib confluenceAs we go down making lower lows, the price is getting close to a very nice point of confluence at @134.000 even handle
At this point we have the following:
61,8% fib retracement
1,272% fib extension
Structure alignment: support
We think we might get filled in this trade next week
Remember Eyes on your mind, not on your trade
Cortes Team
Thanks !
AUD/CAD: APPROACHING A POTENTIAL REVERSAL ZONEFX:AUDCAD is currently in a symmetrical triangle, if the price breaks out to the upside, we are looking to short once it gets to the reversal zone, there we have a 618 fibonacci retracement plus a 1.272 extension in confluence with a very nice Supply/Demand Structure Point.
Remember: Eyes on your mind not on your trade
CORTES TEAM
NZDUSD Daily Outlook + TCT+ Bat PatternNZDUSD has been in a downtrend on the Daily chart for a very long time. We may be in the middle of another retracement giving us a great opportunity short into strength. This will be a Huge trade and would require a 350 Pip Stoploss. But the Reward is over 1,200 Pips. This is an excellent opportunity for a Position Trader as it will take months to play out.
I have made a "Kill Zone" using a variety of technical patterns.
1. We have a Bat Pattern completion @ .7565
2. ABCD Pattern (just barely makes into my kill zone) completion @ .7414 along with the 78.6% Fib Retrace
3. 1.618% Ext - Pulled from lows to B leg of Bat Pattern. It has a nice confluence with the Bat Pattern
This will be a HIGH CTS (Combined Technical Score) trade IF market will push back up there.
Best of Luck!