Apple Elliott Wave analysis with Fibonacci ratiosHello again,
This time I'm taking a look at AAPL chart.
It has shown an unbelievable move to the upside since god knows when.
But what concerns traders in these situation is, when they see tremendous moves in a direction, they get both scared (that it might end and reverse) and greedy (that they're missing out all these huge profit).
Now I've done an elliott wave analysis starting from the weekly chart and I gotta tell you, it was pretty straight forward.
We ARE bullish right now and my long term target for AAPL is 125.00.
But as of right now, we're going to end our latest rally which was the 1st wave in the 3rd wave (according to google earth!).
Now it's the time to see retracements. Maybe just a simple abc as I drew.
I'm not going to be greedy looking at the fact that we are heavily bearish, so my target would be at 90.75 which is the classic 38.2% retracement of the upmove.
You might trail your stop for better profits if you see heavy interest in the short direction.
We're gonna set our stop a little bit above the rectangle zone and leave room for the fake outs and stop runners.
1.00 stop above our entry would be enough and as you can see the target is more than 12.00
So the overall risk reward would let us close our positions partially along the way as our risk/reward ratio is prety huge
Fibextensions
Look at how EURUSD responded to the Fibonacci Projections2 Weeks ago we were caught up in a nasty range for EURUSD - which in this chart I've marked it with an "abc" correction for the previous down move.
After that we continued falling down and as you can see I've marked the 5 wave sequence for this fall.
Now the interesting part that I noticed right now,
I've drawn a fibonacci projection for the wave 1 after I marked the 5 waves and look how the 3rd wave bound right on the 2.618 projection of wave 1 and started correcting!
If this respect of fibonacci continues for this pair I'm looking at another fibonacci ratios confluence at the rectangle zone.
I've set it as the target for my short contracts and I will consider buying this pair at that price.
Since the next week is a quiet one fundamentally, I will not be expecting choppiness like the last week. So the risks are basically minimal.
To make it short,
My trade ideas:
Short to the rectangular area and then long after we hit that.
My targets for the long position has the confluence of a strong resistance from the 4th wave and 38.2% retracement of the whole down move.
Have a good trading week.
GBPUSD upwards impulsive move is not over yet!This idea is based on an experimental approach I have been working on using Median Line Analysis and Fibonacci ratio's. The rationale behind this technical analysis is shown on the chart along with specific targets. If you are going to copy this setup please do so at your own risk. Good Luck
Waiting for long signal on euro 4h.I found a nice Fib-Retracement at 61.8% line.
If the price will cut the slow sma´s and then go down to the 161.8% line i will look for a long signal.
Be kind with me it´s the first time of sharing my thoughts. Sorry for the bad english.
Let´s see how the market goes or wants to go. :-)
Regards.
MacMorris
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