HOW TO TRADE GBPCHF IN THE NEXT COMING WEEKS?Idea is based on a combination of Elliot wave, Median Line analysis and Fibonacci extensions. The rationale behind this technical analysis is shown on the chart. In this particular case unfortunately I can not tell you where my stop losses are going to be since I have dynamic targets (and thus stop losses). If you understand my approach then it shouldn't be that hard to decide where to place those. Good luck!
Fibextensions
EUR/USD Channeling up to previous High, Resistance & Fib. levelBased On: Structure, Fibonacci levels, Channel, Stochastics, RSI, Momentum..
IF EUR/USD Reaches 1.3648. Economic Calendar events will effect this heavily, i am looking forward to a volatile day (TODAY:EUR Interest Rate, Decision, ECB Press Conference, US Nonfarm Payrolls, US Unemployment Rate, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ) If these events will be positive for EUR and Negative for Dollar, this could be a fast move (1day).
Then ==> I will Buy EUR/USD, I may however buy it at a slightly higher price as the price action up has already strated, but it would be safer to wait till the price drops and then but, it could also not happen.
(IF EUR/USD will go up very slowly THEN i will take some profits of early)
IF Today's big economic calendar events goes in conflict with a move up THEN ==> i will close my position and possibly open it again if an opportunity presents itself.
Thoughts & Why's
UP SIDE
There is a clear channel that is going up and is likely to continue.
Stochastics RSI is Oversold at 11 (11.4)
Momentum is gaining
Strong structure (6-8 points)
US Dollar INDEX (DXY) look's like a sell along with USD/CHF ( ) so EUR/USD should go up as dollar weakens.
There is also a double bottom, which is also a medium sign that EUR/USD is going to go up in short term.
DOWN SIDE
1. Major Fibonacci Level 0.382
2. Structure (Confluence with Fib Level 0.382)
A major 0.382 Fibonacci level at 1.3689 that and structure right there as well.
When Fib Level 0.382 (EUR/USD=1.3689) a retracement will probably take place if Dollar index goes down.
IF you like my ideas and want to say thanks, please like&share them. As always thank you for viewing & till next time.
USDCHF to go down if it reaches 0.89048 Based on Structure's and Fibonacci confluence, channel,...
If ADP Nonfarm Employment Change is better than expected and if Fed Chair Yellen Speach drives the pair up it could soon reach 0.89048 if these things don't drive up USDCHF it could still reach 0.89048 and then there would be a shorting opportunity.
Then ==> I will open a short position and place my stop lose and take profit orders as can be seen in the screenshot.
( www.investing.com )
EURAUD LONG TERM FORECASTIdea is based on a combination of Elliot wave theory and median line analysis. In addition the application of Fibonacci extensions and retracements is used. This idea is not meant as a trading advice (none of my idea's is) but rather as a refelection of my thoughts about the progression of future price action. Good luck
AUDUSD, Long setupIdea is based on a combination of Elliot wave theory and median line analysis. In addition a simple RSI strategy is used to indicate price action's behaviour. The rationale behind this technical analysis is shown on the chart along with specific targets and stop loss. Good luck guys!
2 for 1 on YahooYahoo has produced two high probability patterns that would fit well in a bearish channel. The cypher (purple) formed right after the rejection candle at $32.17 at the 1.27 extension measured from the X to A leg. Price also put in a double top at $39.64. A Gartley pattern (red) shortly appeared right after. The kill zone for the bearish Gartley pattern is at $38.33 at the .786 retracement measured from X to A. There's also confluence at $38.47 1.27 extension level measured from C to B leg of the Gartley. When there is confluence, there's strong resistance/support. I'm looking to short the gartley (red), and if price action heads up a little higher into the Cypher (purple), i'll scale in another size.
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EurAudBat pattern completes @ previous double bottom from where price rallied 300+ pips. Current price level will be interesting to watch for bulls. 1.4655 price handle is key as break of this will accelerate the depreciation in value for this instrument. Current price is exactly at PRZ zone lying between 0.886% ret. (1.4700) & 1.618% ext. (1.4680). Sustained break below 1.4655 handle voids our trade idea.
USDJPY - Confirming trendAs always, I love price breakouts and using Fib levels to understand where the market should head to next. If we can see USDJPY break above this downward trendline, (which will then become support) and if we can see a little price action remaining above it, we should look at this continuation of the ABCD pattern.
However, we have to be aware of this new downward pattern. will it hold and push USDJPY further down, or will the price break above this trend line and continue its upward climb? That's what we will see in the next couple of hours.
A Retest of Head & Shoulders Neckline in progressPrice has now traded the first target of ABCD pattern that was
completed Apr 4 and is standing close to the horizontal neckline
of the H & S pattern at 1,5025-30. The mini target of the whole
ABCD stands at 1,5120 level. Technically, A retest of the neckline
will either confirm or reject the H & S pattern. Selling into
this S/R zone, stops needs to be placed above the 1,5120
level, targeting the 1,4220 level.
Daily Study. ABCD Pattern Completion and targets in playPrice has completed a full ABCD pattern from Sep 2012
and also a minor ABCD with 161 extended D-point. Since
the price has been attempting to reach targets. First target
was the full swing CD move of minor ABCD. The technical
target hasn't been reached yet (1,0790).
One scenario is more bullish. Since price completed the
large ABCD prematurely w a fast latter CD leg, there is some
chance for an ext D-point. Yet, w three failed attempts to breach
1,12 level finishing with a marked wash & rinse, chances are
that the minitarget of the large ABCD will be reached. Thus,
looking for weakness on this bounce around 1,1020/1,1085
levels is my main idea, aiming for 1,0580 (Technical minitarget of large
ABCD) or 1,0650 (the full swing minitarget).
Head and Shoulders confirmingInverted Head and Shoulders is forming.
Look for a safe long trade entry after the H&S confirms by breaking + retesting the red neckline.
Potential for less safe trades in the meantime are indicated.
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