BTCUSD one last breath at major support! My overall bias has been bearish but having said that I trade level to level, day-to-day, and will change my mind if we invalidate key levels to take us out of the current bear market.
BTC is showing bearish momentum and a very bearish market structure but that does not mean we can't look for longs.
After the perfect .618 golden pocket rejection at 48k, we now have everyone in panic so this would be the best time to take a nice, fat long again.
We're almost at critical support and it will be thoroughly tested IMO.
What I can see coming up is a nice swing long at around the 38.4k range.
Looking at TA:
We have the golden pocket (yellow lines) of the ENTIRE uptrend. There will be tons of buyers in this range from 37.2k - 38.5k
We have a daily level (blue line) of 38.1k
Fib 1 - 1 extension (red line) gives us 38.4k for the move down and this typically gets completed as such.
4H - 8H RSI is very, very low and this suggests we've got more room to drop from where we are.
Daily hidden bullish divergence if we maintain the 38k level and don't take out the wicks.
I think we'll be bouncing in this channel I have created. We're currently halfway through.
I'll share some more ideas below in the comments!
NFA.
Good luck!
Fibextensions
AUD/USD : 50 Years of Price Discovery. Threads of Future HistoryAll productive feedback, suggestions and open discussion welcome.
*Detailed supporting screen caps to follow shortly
FX_IDC:AUDUSD
AMEX:FXA
* All text below is cc of above chart text.
The Unfortunate Yet Fierce Bear Case.
*Disclaimer: I'm Australian & taking financial
action based on own prescriptions.*
-Fortress/Draconian Cvd19 Australia
*Negative International Perception.
*International travel Cvd19 restrictions.
*Temp immigration freeze, temp negative
population growth.
-Corporate JobKeeper scandal, tldr :
*Billions given to large Aus corps, many
reporting record profits as online Cvd19
retailers etc.
-No Govt call to account, no 'free money' yet
paid back by corporations.
-Individual citizens receiving 'over-payments' of
Cvd19 benefits being aggressively/publicly
pursued.
-China moving to 'moderate prosperity" growth
model.
*slowing demand for Australian
commodities.
-Reserve Bank of Australia's monetary policy of
*ZERP, YYC and "Questionable" QE that reads
like Primary market Bond purchases aka,
*monetisation of Federal and State debt
issuance.
-Federal/State economic policy of housing price
increases and mining industry protection.
*Houses n' Holes economy.
-Risk of Australia's Govt credit rating being
downgraded.
-Zero increases in Real wages since 2011.
*Risk of further populist civilian unrest
All I ask of you, is to observe closely and think deeply, for yourself.
Thank you for your consideration.
dMR
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/9/2021 SessionContract - CME_MINI:NQM2021
- PR High: 13822.75
- PR Low: 13803.50
Evening Stats
- Gap: = N/A
- Session Open ATR: 202.21
- Volume: 13k
- Open Int: 230k
- Trend Grade: Retracement
- From ATH: -1.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as a range)
- Long: 14104
- Mid: 12530
- Short: 12598
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
DASHHere is the DASH game plan guys. Also note this is a LT hold for me so I may try to carry this coin out into Oct. But for a trade I think $750 or the 1.618 fib extension is a reasonable target.
Also the Goat Greg Manerinio is buying DASH heavy so I suggest you do the same b c he is literally never wrong.
BTCBreaking out of falling wedge pattern and also stuck under strong resistance from the daily Super Trend sell print. Hard to say TBH,
The Stochastic RSI on the daily is screaming sell and buy the daily TF dip.
But the LTF's keep building Higher lows and grinding higher. I think if BTC doesn't nuke here that the daily stochastic RSI can stay overbought for many days even a week or more B4 any drop and we could get our long awaited push to $75k.
Also the weakness in the DXY could be the missing piece the BTCs elusive pump that we've been waiting for.
IDK just my thoughts, we should be in Hold positions only and not Lev trades IMO.
At least that's my 2cents.
If you r just in hold trades these moves r just hard to sit through during the dump but we don't get whipped out either.
GL guys Big Mike loves u!