BITCOIN → Correction before further flight to 112-120KBINANCE:BTCUSD surprises everyone again with this week's rally. After retesting the panic and risk zone, when many started selling, the price turned around and flew 18% in a few days....
One week old idea: BITCOIN → Retest of key support. What can happen?
There could be several factors behind the gains that have been forged over the past 3 days:
New reports point to increased activity from major players, including institutional investors,
Trump's upcoming inauguration, the crypto community is expecting the new president to take active steps. And overall, the bullish three-day run is a combination of macroeconomic factors, technical breakdown and fundamental confidence in the future of cryptocurrencies. All of this created a strong bullish momentum that attracted new buyers and increased institutional investor interest.
From a technical perspective, the 100K and 102.5K area plays an important role for me. If the bulls can keep the price above this zone, the growth will continue in the medium term.
Support levels: 102.5K, 100K
Resistance levels: 103.6K, 105.7K, 107.5K
Technically, at the moment, a pre-breakdown situation is forming on H1 against the support at 102.8. Accordingly, bitcoin may form a correction to both 100K and 97.5K. But, if the fall will quickly recover or the bulls will keep the defense above 100-102.5K, then further we can count on growth up to 108-112K.
Regards R. Linda!
Fibo
Is AIDOGEUSDT Ready to Bark Back? Key SignalsAIDOGEUSDT is sitting at a critical juncture with the current price at $0.002035, reflecting a steep decline of 78.08% from its all-time high of $0.009286, set just under a year ago. After bouncing 25.07% off its absolute low, the asset finds itself on a knife’s edge—oversold according to the RSI14 at 19.2. This could indicate a brewing shift in momentum.
Recent patterns in sell volumes and VSA buy signals are fighting for dominance, with key resistance levels like $0.002174 looming ahead. Coupled with macroeconomic uncertainty and rising speculative interest, the question remains: is this a trap or the start of a reversal?
For traders and investors, the urgency is palpable. With long-term averages slumping below key supports, and a convergence of powerful resistance near $0.0024, today’s setup demands attention. Will AIDOGEUSDT claw its way back, or is the worst yet to come?
Stay tuned—this could be your defining moment in this unpredictable crypto saga.
Roadmap: Tracing the Momentum of AIDOGEUSDT through Recent Patterns
Dive deep into the pulse of AIDOGEUSDT as we dissect the most recent series of patterns using a roadmap that tracks not just their presence but their actual impact on price action. Here's how the action played out:
1. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (2025-01-19 09:00 UTC)
Direction: Buy
Analysis: The "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st" signaled potential upward momentum after the close at $0.002174. Despite this signal, the next pattern saw a "Sell Volumes" direction take control, showing no upward breakout from the previous trigger. This invalidated the buy setup, making it a "watch-and-wait" moment for traders.
2. Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-19 11:00 UTC)
Direction: Sell
Analysis: Here comes the game-changer. With a close at $0.002035, the sell direction hit hard, accurately reflecting the downward momentum predicted by the pattern. The next movement confirmed the strength of the selling wave, solidifying this as a reliable bearish signal.
3. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (2025-01-19 08:00 UTC)
Direction: Buy
Analysis: The earlier "Buy Pattern" appeared again, but the rally was short-lived as subsequent sell volumes dampened enthusiasm. This reiteration failed to confirm a buy breakthrough, showcasing the dominance of bearish pressure.
4. VSA Sell Pattern 3rd (2025-01-18 15:00 UTC)
Direction: Sell
Analysis: True to its nature, this sell pattern accurately set up a bearish swing, with the next candles reflecting a consistent downward drift. A textbook example of pattern precision that delivered what it promised.
5. Increased Buy Volumes (2025-01-18 00:00 UTC)
Direction: Buy
Analysis: Bulls finally showed some teeth here, pushing the price from $0.002649 to $0.002776. This pattern proved spot-on, as it marked the beginning of a brief recovery before sellers regained control.
6. VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 3rd (2025-01-17 17:00 UTC)
Direction: Sell
Analysis: Bears ruled the show again, with the price tracking downward in line with the signal. The movement reinforced the bearish bias and gave traders a clear shorting opportunity.
7. Buy Volumes Max (2025-01-17 02:00 UTC)
Direction: Buy
Analysis: This buy signal didn’t disappoint, as the price pushed upward momentarily. While it didn’t lead to a long-term trend change, it offered short-term traders a golden scalp opportunity.
8. VSA Buy Pattern 3 (2025-01-14 21:00 UTC)
Direction: Buy
Analysis: The buy pattern highlighted an early rally, but its short lifespan reflected the broader market weakness. The directional signal worked in the moment, although macro bears soon overwhelmed the momentum.
Conclusion
Patterns don't just tell a story—they set the stage for actionable insights. For AIDOGEUSDT, the roadmap reveals a fascinating interplay of bullish and bearish pressures, with sell patterns delivering some of the most reliable setups. Keep this roadmap in mind as we watch the next moves, and remember: in the crypto game, patterns are your allies, but confirmation is king.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels
Here's the breakdown of the most critical levels for AIDOGEUSDT that every trader should have on their radar. These zones will act as battlefields between bulls and bears. If they fail to hold, expect these same levels to flip and become stubborn resistance on the way back up.
Support Levels:
These are the lifelines for the bulls. Watch for bounces here:
0.002174 – The immediate support zone that needs to hold to maintain any bullish vibe.
0.002392 – A deeper dip could see buyers stepping in here to defend.
0.002806 – A solid mid-range level that can act as a springboard for recovery.
Resistance Levels:
These levels are where the bulls will face heavy resistance if the price moves upward:
0.003052 – A critical line in the sand. A break and hold above this could ignite bullish momentum.
0.003158 – The upper limit where sellers might hit back hard.
Powerful Support Levels:
Stronger zones that bulls must guard fiercely:
0.004612 – A major inflection point. If price reaches this, it’s a do-or-die level.
0.005384 – Bulls would need to regroup here if the sell-off gets intense.
0.00743 – A key long-term zone that may decide the trend direction.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
Big money might step in here to cap upward moves:
0.001873 – Immediate resistance that’s been a thorn for bulls.
The Takeaway
Respect these levels like they’re your trading roadmap. If a support fails, it’s not the end of the story—it’s the beginning of a new resistance. Keep your eyes sharp, manage your stops tight, and let the price action guide your decisions.
Trading Strategies with Rays: A Systematic Approach to Market Movements
Concept of Rays
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" methodology leverages Fibonacci-based dynamic levels that align with natural proportions. Unlike traditional analysis focused on static extremum points, these rays adapt to new patterns and highlight interaction zones where price either reverses or continues its trend. By incorporating moving averages (MAs) as dynamic factors, this system offers a robust approach to identifying trade setups.
How It Works
Fibonacci Rays: Define key movement boundaries based on the initial movement pattern.
Dynamic Interaction: Price reactions at ray intersections with MAs confirm trade opportunities.
Action Zones: Use VSA rays and MAs for confirmation before entering positions.
Scenarios: Price moves from one ray to the next, creating clear targets for trades.
Two Scenarios: Optimistic and Pessimistic
Optimistic Scenario: Price interacts with ascending rays and finds support at dynamic MA levels, signaling a bullish continuation.
Entry Zone: $0.002174 (immediate support and ray interaction).
Target 1: $0.002392 (first ascending ray).
Target 2: $0.002806 (next ray with strong resistance potential).
Moving Averages: A price break above MA50 and MA100 strengthens bullish confidence.
Pessimistic Scenario: Price fails to hold critical support and interacts with descending rays, leading to bearish continuation.
Entry Zone: $0.002035 (near powerful resistance, now acting as support).
Target 1: $0.001873 (next descending ray).
Target 2: $0.001627 (powerful historical support ray).
Moving Averages: A breakdown below MA233 confirms further downside pressure.
Suggested Trade Setups
Buy Setup (Bullish Scenario): Enter long at $0.002174 if the price interacts positively with ascending rays and MA50. Exit partially at $0.002392 and hold for $0.002806.
Sell Setup (Bearish Scenario): Short at $0.002035 if the price breaks below descending rays and MA233. Partial profits at $0.001873, and hold for a possible test of $0.001627.
Scalp Strategy: Use ray-to-ray movements for quick trades, focusing on dynamic resistance and support zones, such as $0.002174 to $0.002392.
Swing Trade: Aim for extended movements, aligning with ray trajectories and MA trends, such as $0.002035 to $0.001627 in a bearish scenario.
Key Notes
Every trade begins with interaction at the rays and requires confirmation from volume analysis (VSA) or price patterns. Whether bullish or bearish, the journey from one ray to the next provides traders with clear, actionable targets while minimizing guesswork.
Trading is all about precision, understanding, and growth—and I’m here to help you navigate the market with confidence. If you’ve got questions about this analysis or want to share your thoughts, drop them in the comments below. Let’s discuss, learn, and grow as a community.
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Solana Pulse: Is the Breakout Just Around the Corner?The Solana Market Stirs: A Turning Point Ahead?
The Solana (SOL) market, trading at $186.41, is teetering at a critical juncture. Despite standing 29.6% below its all-time high of $264.88 reached in November 2024, recent patterns indicate brewing momentum. The 50-day Moving Average (MA50) now sits below the 200-day Moving Average (MA200), signaling cautious sentiment, yet its proximity hints at a potential reversal. Simultaneously, the RSI at 46.38 suggests a market leaning toward oversold conditions, adding fuel to speculative buy signals.
Yesterday’s candlestick unveiled a notable VSA Buy Pattern—an archetypal signal for an upward move after price manipulation. Will the market surge past resistance levels at $192.57 and beyond? Or does this rally face exhaustion against bearish currents? The next move might determine the trajectory for weeks to come.
Are traders ready to seize this opportunity, or will hesitation cost them the climb? The market waits for no one—today could be the moment to act.
Historical Roadmap of Solana Market: Pattern Analysis That Worked
January 13th, 2025, 15:00 UTC – The Surge: VSA Buy Pattern Meets Momentum
A classic VSA Buy Pattern 3 emerged, forecasting a bullish breakout. The trigger point at $185.53 was perfectly tested as the price soared, closing higher at $186.58 in the following session. This pattern held its ground, with the market respecting the bullish direction and moving upwards, confirming the anticipated trajectory. Investors caught in the buy zone saw a 4.52% movement unfold, reinforcing this as a textbook upward setup.
January 14th, 2025, 07:00 UTC – Market Turns: Sell Volume Dominance
In contrast, the VSA Sell Pattern 2 hinted at a downward move with its main direction pointing south. The price began its decline from an open of $186.24, confirming the sell-off by closing at $185.51. This bearish sentiment played out accurately as subsequent prices respected the lower lows. Smart money taking shorts at this level maximized gains on this predictable pivot.
January 14th, 2025, 17:00 UTC – Reversal Play: Bulls Take Charge Again
The VSA Buy Pattern 3rd reappeared with bullish energy. Starting from $186.42, the market crept up to $186.58. This movement, though smaller in scale, validated the pattern’s bullish main direction. Buyers holding positions here witnessed steady upward momentum, setting the stage for further resistance tests.
Connecting the Dots: Patterns That Shaped the Chart
Directional Accuracy: Each confirmed pattern respected its forecasted direction, with subsequent candlesticks affirming the anticipated moves. Momentum Drivers: Bullish setups like the VSA Buy Pattern thrived, especially when trigger points aligned with market sentiment. Misses to Note: Any unconfirmed patterns have been excluded, ensuring focus remains on actionable insights. Key Takeaway: Both traders and investors gained confidence as historical patterns not only worked but provided strategic entry and exit opportunities.
What’s Next for Solana?
The roadmap shows a pattern of precise movements, confirming the strength of technical setups. With resistance at $192.57 just ahead, will the bulls manage to keep their momentum alive, or is the next turn a bearish storm waiting to brew? Stay tuned as these patterns continue to shape the market’s destiny.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Here’s a rundown of the most critical support and resistance levels in play for Solana. These levels are magnets for price action, and if they fail to hold, expect a swift role reversal, with former support becoming resistance and vice versa.
Support Levels
$223.20 – A powerful support zone. If bulls lose their grip here, this level could quickly flip to resistance, capping future rallies. $192.57 – The immediate line in the sand for the bulls. Failure to defend this level may invite aggressive selling pressure. $185.68 (MA100) – A dynamic support area aligning with moving averages. Watch for bounces or breakdowns around this point. $184.48 (MA50) – The frontline for near-term support. A break here could spell trouble for bullish momentum.
Resistance Levels
$192.57 – The first major barrier for bulls to conquer. This double-duty level is both a resistance and potential support pivot. $201.17 – A key psychological and technical zone. Watch for volume surges to confirm a breakout. $203.61 – A higher target within range. Failure here could indicate exhaustion. $214.76 – A line of strong resistance. Bulls need conviction to claim this territory. $224.20 – Top-tier resistance aligned with the powerful support zone at $223.20. If bulls reclaim this, it’s game on.
Powerful Resistance Levels
$157.83 – Previously a stronghold, now a ceiling. This level must be broken for a sustainable recovery. $99.98 – A key historical pivot. Any moves here signal high stakes. $73.07 – A distant checkpoint, currently irrelevant but critical in extended downtrends.
The Golden Rule
If these levels don’t hold their ground, their status flips, and they’ll act as tough hurdles for any future price moves. In this market, every level tells a story—watch for the clues!
Trading Strategies Using Rays: A Dynamic Approach
Concept of Rays: The Art of Dynamic Price Prediction
Rays, based on Fibonacci principles and geometric alignments, offer a predictive framework for price interaction zones. Unlike classical methods focusing on static highs and lows, rays begin from the start of a movement, adapting dynamically to new patterns. They are designed to define the movement’s boundaries and allow traders to identify optimal entry points post-interaction.
When price touches a ray, it often signals either a reversal or a continuation, with dynamic factors—like moving averages—playing a decisive role. Each movement is likely to progress from one ray to the next, offering clear targets for your trades.
Two Scenarios for Trading Rays
Optimistic Scenario
Price interacts positively with a key ray and finds support at MA50 ($184.48) or MA100 ($185.68), confirming a bullish continuation.
The first target becomes $192.57, aligning with a critical resistance zone.
Subsequent movements aim for $201.17 and $203.61, following a breakout above resistance.
Pessimistic Scenario
Price fails to hold above MA50 ($184.48) and tests lower dynamic supports near $157.83, a powerful resistance turned support.
If bearish momentum intensifies, the price targets $99.98 for the next support interaction.
Lower ray interactions at $73.07 may attract opportunistic buyers seeking a long-term reversal.
Potential Trades Based on Dynamic Levels
Trade 1: Long at $184.48 (MA50)
Price interaction with the ray and MA50 confirms support. Enter long, targeting $192.57 as the first goal. Breakout leads to $201.17 and potentially $203.61.
Trade 2: Short at $192.57 (First Resistance)
After a failed breakout attempt, initiate a short position targeting $185.68 (MA100). Monitor for support recovery or continuation lower.
Trade 3: Long at $157.83 (Powerful Support)
If price dips to $157.83, strong buying momentum is likely. Enter long, aiming for $184.48, and watch for further upside toward $192.57.
Trade 4: Short at $99.98
Breaking below $157.83 shifts sentiment bearish. Enter short as the price approaches $99.98, with $73.07 as a secondary target.
Key Notes for Execution
Always wait for confirmation at a ray level and ensure price respects the ray before entering a position.
Dynamic interactions with moving averages (MA50, MA100) strengthen trade setups.
Price tends to move from one ray to the next, offering clear staging points for partial profit-taking or re-evaluation.
Traders utilizing this structured approach can achieve clarity, discipline, and an edge by integrating ray dynamics with technical insights. Stay patient, and let the market confirm your strategy before diving in!
What’s Your Next Move? Let’s Talk!
Got questions? Drop them in the comments below! I’d love to hear your thoughts, ideas, or even challenges you're facing with your favorite assets. Don’t forget to hit Boost if you found this post insightful—save it to revisit later and see how the price action unfolds according to my analysis. After all, understanding those key levels is the secret sauce to successful trades!
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XRP: Poised at the Edge of Momentum – What's Next?The cryptocurrency market never sleeps, and XRP is the perfect reflection of this restless spirit. Currently trading at $2.8295, XRP finds itself teetering on the brink of a crucial breakout, with just a 2.9% gap from its all-time high of $2.9138, achieved 43 days ago. The question on every trader's mind: is this the moment of ignition, or will the asset take a breather?
Recent patterns highlight a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) patterns reveal the persistence of increased buy volumes, though intermittent sell-offs indicate a battle for control. From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 74.95, signaling that XRP is flirting with overbought territory. Yet, this could either confirm a surge or warn of an impending pullback.
Fundamentally, Ripple’s ongoing legal clarity and the adoption of RLUSD stablecoin are boosting market confidence. Combined with the upward trend supported by key moving averages—MA50 at $2.5597 and MA100 at $2.5201—XRP could be primed for its next big leap.
Your Move: XRP's future is a coin flip between testing its psychological barriers at $3.00 and retracing to stronger support at $2.66. Are you ready to seize the opportunity as XRP prepares to define its next chapter? Stay tuned, as the market reveals its hand.
XRP Tradingmap: Patterns in Motion
Step 1: The Build-Up Begins - Buy Volumes Max (01:00 UTC)
The sequence kicks off with the "Buy Volumes Max" pattern. At this point, the price opened at $2.6765 and closed higher at $2.7918, signaling strong buying momentum. The main_direction was bullish, validated by the immediate follow-up pattern. This set the stage for the next price action.
Step 2: Rally Confirmed - Increased Buy Volumes (02:00 UTC)
True to the bullish call of the previous pattern, the price climbed further, opening at $2.7918 and closing higher at $2.8474. This confirms the integrity of the earlier pattern and keeps the bullish sentiment alive. Trigger points were respected as prices didn’t dip below the lows of the previous three bars ($2.6383). Confidence grows as buyers continue to dominate.
Step 3: Profit-Taking Warning - VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern (03:00 UTC)
Here comes a shift. The market signals caution with a "VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern." Despite opening high at $2.8474, the price closed lower at $2.8304. The main_direction flipped bearish, and this was confirmed as the subsequent pattern saw a slight price drop. Traders who spotted this sell signal had a chance to lock in gains before the retracement deepened.
Step 4: Brief Reprieve - Increased Buy Volumes (17:00 UTC)
Bulls briefly regained control, as prices opened at $2.6146 and closed higher at $2.6553. However, the movement lacked the strength seen in earlier buy patterns. While the main_direction of this pattern was bullish, subsequent price action indicates that this bounce was fleeting—a classic bull trap for unprepared traders.
Step 5: The Market Takes a Turn - VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern (19:00 UTC)
The sell-off resumes with another VSA sell pattern. The price slid lower, respecting the bearish direction outlined earlier. Opening at $2.682 and closing at $2.6626, this pattern further solidified bearish control. Trigger points were cleanly activated as prices failed to regain previous highs, providing traders with an opportunity to ride the downtrend.
Step 6: Strategy Reset - The Bigger Picture Emerges
The sequence highlighted above demonstrates the power of reading patterns within a cohesive framework. Early buy signals paved the way for strong upward momentum, but the subsequent sell patterns hinted at deeper corrections. By following the roadmap, investors could have avoided traps and maximized profits during the transition from bullish to bearish phases.
What’s Next?
XRP’s roadmap reveals its inherent volatility. Each pattern offers insight into market behavior, but success comes from aligning these signals with a broader strategy. Stay tuned for the next move—will bulls or bears take the crown?
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Support Levels:
$2.6666 – First line of defense. If this level doesn’t hold, it’s likely to flip into resistance, attracting sellers like bees to honey.
$2.5783 – A deeper support level where buyers might regroup. If broken, expect it to act as a ceiling for any bounces.
$2.2748 – Critical zone for bulls to keep control. If this level is lost, momentum shifts decisively in favor of the bears.
$2.1349 – The market’s last-ditch effort to keep things afloat. Failure here could open the floodgates.
$1.9667 – A psychological barrier where value hunters might step in. But remember, if it cracks, it’s a wall on the way up.
Resistance Levels:
While the chart doesn’t scream significant resistance levels, any failed support will naturally transform into tough barriers for a comeback rally.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
$1.1047 – A long-term level where sellers are likely to dig in their heels. Watch for strong rejections here.
$0.5538 – Key zone for the long game. If this level is reached and rejected, the bears could strengthen their grip.
$0.5032 – An area that will attract big players if prices retrace this far. Keep an eye on the price action here.
$0.3646 – The fortress of resistance. If bulls manage to breach this, it’s a signal of a major shift in market sentiment.
Trading Strategies Using Rays: A Path Through the Fibonacci Framework
Concept of Rays
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" approach is a unique method that applies Fibonacci-based geometric principles to map the dynamics of price movement. These rays act as predictive tools, marking zones where significant price interactions occur—either signaling a continuation or a reversal. By focusing on interactions with these rays, traders can better gauge probabilities without attempting to pinpoint exact levels in a nonlinear financial system.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Constructed at mathematically significant angles starting from the initial movement, not extremum points. This increases accuracy in trending or corrective phases.
Dynamic Levels: These rays adapt to new patterns, automatically updating ranges for potential price movements.
Moving Averages as Dynamic Factors: Key levels align with Moving Averages (MA50, MA100, MA200), providing strong zones of interaction.
Ascending and Descending Rays: These define movement boundaries, marking pathways for price to travel from one ray to another.
Optimistic Scenario
Entry Point: Interaction with a descending ray around $2.6666 (support). If the price bounces above this ray and confirms with a close above MA50 at $2.5597, the movement could head upward.
Target 1: $2.8295 – Interaction with the next ray above creates an opportunity to scale out partial profits.
Target 2: $2.9138 – Absolute high from recent history; a breakout here could extend gains toward higher Fibonacci levels.
Dynamic Factors: If RSI remains above 70 while interacting with ascending rays, the bullish scenario strengthens.
Pessimistic Scenario
Entry Point: Price interaction with an ascending ray near $2.6666, but fails to close above MA50, confirming bearish sentiment.
Target 1: $2.5783 – Initial support zone becomes the first profit target in the downtrend.
Target 2: $2.2748 – Second ray below and the next potential reaction level for a partial exit.
Target 3: $2.1349 – A critical area where price may consolidate or reverse.
Dynamic Factors: Watch for Moving Averages flipping into resistance zones, confirming further downward pressure.
Trade Ideas Using Rays
Long Trade from $2.6666 to $2.8295: Enter long when price interacts with the ray at $2.6666, confirming with a bullish close above MA50. Scale out at $2.8295, targeting the upper ray.
Short Trade from $2.6666 to $2.5783: Enter short if price interacts with $2.6666 but fails to break above MA50. Target $2.5783 for a clean exit at the next ray.
Breakout Trade above $2.9138: Go long if price cleanly breaks $2.9138, with a tight stop below the breakout candle. Use dynamic Fibonacci rays to set extended targets.
Reversal Trade at $2.1349: A bounce off the $2.1349 ray could signal a countertrend move. Enter with confirmation from price closing above MA200, targeting $2.2748.
Trading is all about finding those key levels where the magic happens, and now it's your chance to engage. Have questions about the analysis? Drop them right in the comments—I’m here to discuss, clarify, and brainstorm with you!
Found this idea helpful? Don’t forget to hit Boost and save it for later so you can track how price moves along the rays. Observing these levels in real-time will not only sharpen your skills but also deepen your understanding of how market dynamics work.
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Apple Inc. (AAPL) Comprehensive Market Analysis and StrategyGreetings traders and investors! Denis Mikheev here with an in-depth analysis of Apple Inc. (AAPL) using advanced tools from TheWaved™. Buckle up as we dive into the technical, fundamental, and price action analysis to forecast price movements and provide actionable trading strategies.
Current Market Overview
Apple’s current price stands at $235.43, approximately 9.48% below its absolute high of $260.10 reached on December 26, 2024. Despite this pullback, the stock shows strong resilience, supported by robust fundamentals and technical setups.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support Zones:
$228.75
$224.05
$217.13
Resistance Zones:
$237.05
$242.41
$244.67
Key Levels for Monitoring:
Powerful Resistance at $258.55
Critical Support at $217.55
Technical Indicators Analysis
Moving Averages (1-hour interval):
MA50: $238.39
MA100: $241.09
MA200: $247.59
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
1-hour RSI: 49.41 (neutral zone)
Daily RSI: 34.6 (oversold zone suggests potential reversal)
Volume Indicators:
MFI60 (Money Flow Index): 49.28 (neutral, no divergence noted).
Key Patterns and Historical Analysis
From recent pattern sequences:
January 13, 2025: Increased Sell Volumes with a 6.84% movement, indicating short-term bearish pressure.
January 10, 2025: Multiple “Sell Volumes Take Over” patterns with mixed buy and sell signals.
January 8, 2025: VSA Buy Pattern Extra suggests a medium-term bullish rebound pending confirmation.
These patterns align with a potential range-bound movement in the near term before a decisive breakout.
Price Action Analysis
Apple’s price action over the past week has formed a consolidative structure near key support levels. Observations include:
Lower highs and consistent testing of the $228.75 support.
A potential inverted head-and-shoulders pattern forming on the 1-hour chart, with a neckline at $237.05.
Price tightly correlates with the 50-day MA, suggesting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears.
Fundamental Insights
Apple’s upcoming quarterly results are projected to beat consensus estimates, driven by robust iPhone and service segment sales. Furthermore, macroeconomic conditions, such as softening interest rate hikes, could favor tech stocks in the medium term.
Trading Strategy
Short-Term Strategy:
Entry: Buy near $228.75 support level.
Stop Loss: $224.05 to minimize downside risk.
Targets:
$237.05
$242.41
Confirmation: Look for RSI divergence or a bullish engulfing candle.
Medium-Term Strategy:
Monitor breakout above $237.05 for long positions.
Resistance to Watch: $244.67 and $250.34.
Use trailing stops to secure profits.
Long-Term Strategy:
Accumulate near $217.13 if tested, considering its historical significance as a strong support level.
Target: $258.55 with a 6-12 month horizon.
Risk Management
Employ disciplined risk management:
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Maintain a minimum of 1:2.
Position Sizing: Limit exposure to 2% of your trading capital per trade.
Stop-Loss Placement: Use dynamic stop-loss levels based on ATR (Average True Range).
Market Outlook
1. Short-Term: Expect consolidation between $228.75 and $237.05, with potential for a breakout.
2. Medium-Term: A bullish continuation is likely if $242.41 resistance is cleared.
3. Long-Term: A test of the $258.55 resistance is probable, contingent on broader market sentiment.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement.
Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases.
Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray.
Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel.
How to Use Rays
Historical Analysis: On historical charts, observe how price interacted with rays. This helps evaluate how often levels defined by rays led to significant movement changes.
Real-Time Monitoring: By observing current price behavior relative to rays, you can highlight key points where scenarios such as reversal or continuation are likely.
Confirmation Tool: Rays do not replace other analysis methods but enhance them, adding a structured perspective on market behavior.
Conclusion
Apple remains a solid investment with clear technical setups and a favorable long-term outlook. Utilizing TheWaved™ tools, we’ve pinpointed actionable strategies to navigate its price movements effectively. Remember to follow your trading plan and adapt to market conditions.
For any queries or further clarifications, feel free to reach out via direct messages. All our professional-grade indicators are accessible via the link in our profile. Let’s trade smarter, not harder!
Stay disciplined and trade safely,
Denis Mikheev
TheWaved™
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) Comprehensive AnalysisOverview
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) has been a focal point of market activity, showcasing significant volatility and creating substantial opportunities for both short-term traders and long-term investors. The current price is $411.58, with the stock trading below its absolute high of $488.54 recorded on December 18, 2024. This represents a deviation of approximately -15.75% from the peak. This technical and fundamental analysis will leverage advanced tools, including VSA patterns, price action analysis, and volume dynamics, to project future movements.
Technical Analysis
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Levels: $383.30, $376.04, $358.62.
Resistance Levels: $420.00, $430.50, $448.00.
Moving Averages
MA50: $394.08
MA100: $397.55
MA200: $413.63
The price currently trades above the MA50 but below the MA200, suggesting consolidation within a broader bullish trend. The RSI (14) at 70.76 signals overbought conditions on shorter intervals, necessitating caution for immediate buy entrie.
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and Patterns
Recent trading data reveals patterns indicative of institutional activity:
Buy Volumes (Jan 13): Closing at $391.96 with increased buying pressure, marking a 14.61% movement from its three-bar low of $380.07.
VSA Manipulation Patterns: A confirmed "Buy Pattern 3" formed on January 13, showcasing a potential bullish continuation with a high of $396.95.
Predicted Scenarios
Short-Term (1 Week):
Tesla appears poised to test its $420 resistance level based on bullish volume patterns. A break above $420 with significant volume could target $430 as the next level of interest. However, failure to breach $420 may result in a retracement to $400-$405 support.
Medium-Term (1 Month):
Given the observed bullish manipulation patterns and technical support at $383, Tesla may aim for a recovery toward its MA200 at $413. If sustained buying interest persists, the stock might challenge its December highs.
Long-Term (3-6 Months):
Tesla’s trajectory could see it revisiting the $450-$470 range, contingent upon macroeconomic conditions and its quarterly earnings surpassing market expectations. The psychological level of $500 remains a potential long-term target if the broader market maintains bullish momentum.
Stop-Loss and Target Levels
Proposed Trade Setup:
Entry: $412.00
Stop-Loss: $400.00
Target 1: $420.00
Target 2: $435.00
Target 3: $450.00
Fundamental Analysis
Tesla remains a key player in the EV market, with growing adoption of its vehicles worldwide. Its latest production numbers exceeded market expectations, signaling robust demand despite economic headwinds. Recent initiatives in energy storage and AI-based technology further diversify its revenue streams, underpinning its premium valuation.
Conclusion
Tesla's technical and fundamental indicators suggest a cautiously bullish outlook. While short-term retracements are possible, the stock's overall trend aligns with upward momentum, supported by strong institutional interest and robust fundamentals.
For further inquiries or personalized trading setups, feel free to contact me directly. All relevant indicators and tools used for this analysis can be found in the profile header.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement.
Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases.
Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray.
Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel.
How to Use Rays
Historical Analysis: On historical charts, observe how price interacted with rays. This helps evaluate how often levels defined by rays led to significant movement changes.
Real-Time Monitoring: By observing current price behavior relative to rays, you can highlight key points where scenarios such as reversal or continuation are likely.
Confirmation Tool: Rays do not replace other analysis methods but enhance them, adding a structured perspective on market behavior.
Scientific Basis
Fibonacci proportions, underlying the construction of rays, are observed in nature, physics, and financial markets, making them a universal tool.
Geometric angles and trends are based on mathematical analysis of historical price behavior.
The principle of minimizing subjectivity in analysis is also applied: rays are constructed strictly algorithmically, excluding human bias.
Why It Matters
My name is Denis Mikheev, and my method does not offer magical solutions or "predictions" of exact price movements. Instead, it identifies key interaction zones where market participants, as well as automated market-maker algorithms, are likely to make decisions. This allows you to act based on probabilities, not guesses.
Example Visualization
On a chart with rays already constructed, you can see:
How price reacts to intersections or proximity to rays.
Where current interaction points may signal potential changes in movement dynamics.
Trade Safe!
Denis MikheevTheWaved™ Team
EURJPY → Support breakdown. Attempt to change the trendFX:EURJPY seeks to renew lows. The dollar rally is negatively affecting both JPY and EUR. The Eurozone has yet to face Trump's policies, while Japan is already going through a rough patch....
The currency pair is exiting the ascending channel, hinting at a trend change. The price breaks support and consolidates in the selling zone. Ahead is the key support at 161.2, the breakdown of this zone may provoke the bears to more active actions.
Technically and fundamentally, the currency pair is entering the downward rally phase, so the trend change is just the beginning....
Resistance levels: 162.04, 162.5, 163.2
Support levels: 161.16, 158.4
The focus is on the channel boundaries, resistance at 162.04 and support at 161.16. From these zones an aggressive fall may be possible, as buyers do not believe in a positive outcome at the moment
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURJPY ;)
Regards R. Linda!
CRM eyes on 212 then 208: earnings dump nearing BUY levelsEarnings Report caused a massive dump.
Now approaching some key support zones.
The "wait 3 days" rule might bring it to us.
$ 212.34 - 212.34 is the first support below.
$ 207.55 - 208.20 next, a must-hold for bulls.
$ 223.06 - 224.58 is the immediate resistance.
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Bitcoin Fibo and Time- A bit messy graph.
- Some peoples will get it and some not.
- in matter of time and fibo analysis.
- More will BTC take time to go up.
- More BTC price will go higher.
- in simple words, if u compare the 2015 bullrun and 2018 :
- 2015 was 1055 days ( around..)
- 2018 was 820 Days ( excluding the bouble top)
- Nothing much to deduct from that, but 2 scenarios are still possible :
- 100 000$ is not enough (161.8 FIbo), i still persist on that one, so not a scenario imo.
- 150k$ (261.8 Fibo) possible if BTC goes fast. ( same as 2018).
- 200k$ (361.8 fibo ) or 250k$ (423.6 Fibo ) are both possible if BTC goes slow. (same as 2015 )
- i still believe that " more Bitcoin will take time to go up, more the price will go higher "
- Don't forget this is only TA, not FA, not Economic or World Situation.
- Feel free to share with me your view.
Happy Tr4Ding !
ETH.usd eyes on $3431.83: Golden Genesis fib to determine trendShown above is the same Fibonacci series, in 3 different time-frames.
Assets have many Impulses in a lifetime, but only one "Genesis Pulse".
Genesis as in "birth", programmed with all of the DNA it will ever have.
That Impulse determines the "Sequence" of growth spurts and retraces.
Imagine it this way:
- Each owner of the asset convinces on average 1.618 others to buy.
- Like an undulating insect swarm, the mass decisions come in waves.
- As the swarm grows, the waves' amplitudes grow by 1.618 multiples.
This simple plot has called all major turns, including the 2021 top (click)
For your own copy of the Genesis fib, use this Single Page Version (click)
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DKS eyes on $212 for KEY support: break could end Bull RunRetail stocks have been flying to record highs.
DKS is retesting a Major zone as possible support.
Strong bull bounces here, or we risk much deeper.
$ 212.03 - 210.66 is the strongest support for some distance.
$ 238.70 - 242.55 is the nearest significant resistance above.
$ 132.21 - 135.32 is next major support with minors between.
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Mastering Fibonacci ChannelsFibonacci Channel: A Tool for Identifying Potential Trend Levels
The Fibonacci Channel is a powerful technical analysis tool that advanced traders use to identify potential support and resistance levels within a trend. This tool is particularly useful in trending markets, such as Forex and equities, to gauge price movement and pinpoint strategic entry and exit points.
The Fibonacci Channel consists of a series of parallel lines plotted using Fibonacci ratios (such as 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, etc.). These lines help traders mark key areas within a price trend that could indicate a potential reversal or continuation.
How to Use the Fibonacci Channel
1. Identify Start and End Points: Begin by identifying the start and end points of a trend that you want to analyze.
2. Draw the Channel Lines: Next, draw a trendline between the two points. The Fibonacci levels are then plotted as parallel lines above and below this trendline, helping traders visualize potential levels for price to reach or retrace.
3. Interpret the Lines: The plotted Fibonacci levels act as potential areas of support and resistance, providing traders with strategic points for entry or exit. For example, price movement reaching the 0.618 level often suggests a high probability of either reversal or trend continuation.
Using the Fibonacci Channel allows you to take advantage of market psychology embedded in these ratios, helping you make more informed decisions in a trend-driven market.
Bitcoin Buy Opportunity After Strong Confirmation Signal!We are watching for an excellent buy opportunity on Bitcoin! If the daily candle closes above the green rectangle, this will be a clear signal to enter a buy trade. The stop loss will be placed below the red rectangle, with take profit set at the blue rectangle.
Stay tuned for more updates, and if you need a personalized analysis on any financial asset, feel free to contact me in private!
FILUSDT → Weakness in altcoins will manifest itself in decliningBINANCE:FILUSDT after a false breakdown of the 3.800 range resistance is giving signs towards the continuation of the decline. The coin is in a global and local downtrend and there are no reasons to change direction. The focus is on the support of 3.688.
Altcoins are extremely weak on the back of bitcoin's strong rally. The dominance of the flagship is currently at record highs, and the altcoin season has not arrived and apparently will not come anytime soon.
Bitcoin is testing strong resistance zones and cannot grow all the time. Any short-term reaction can affect the entire cryptocurrency market, which will color the coins in the red.
Support levels: 3.688
Resistance levels: 3.800
Technically, relative to 3.688 a descending triangle is forming after a false breakdown of the range resistance. It is a rather strong conglomerate.
Breakout of 3.688 and price consolidation below this area will provoke further selling and price decline to 3.4 - 3.3
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:FILUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
URI heads up at $675: major fib confluence, possible local topURI heads up at $675: major fib confluence, possible local top.
The exact zone defined by the fib confluence is 671.30 - 677.71
Look for a pullback there, or a break and retest for continuation.
Will post updates as price action hits key levels.
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OSK heads up at $125.52: long term Double Top? or break to Pop?OSK just hit a double-fib at 125.42/52.
Both are Golden ratios (.618 multiples).
Could double top here or break and run.
.
"Double Top" as in the previous rejection exactly from this double fib:
Perhaps not exactly a double top since it had gone higher, but a major barrier nonetheless.
.
If it breaks the $125 fibs, it could run to $143-145 very quickly:
So this is a key level to watch and consider next actions.
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IBM eyes on $163.30 then $158 for possible Bottoms of correctionIBM had the business office monopolized but then lost it.
PC's came and they said "it's a fad, we have TYPEwriters"
AI came and they said "we have Watson, he plays chess"
It has however been in an uptrend with the market.
Retrace is now testing a key support fib at $163.30
If that one fails, we have a fallback fib at $157.99
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TESLA: 4 Hour DOWN TO THE 5 MINUTE MUST WATCH FOR WHATS NEXTMORNING TRADERS
currently this video is an extension of my last Tesla video I did we are are still trying to go to: will be break up and hit our 272 target or will need a bit more correcting to do before we can try our hands at the long trades.
I break this video down for you to give you the best insight into the best levels to look for if you trying to trade Tesla and why
Enjoy
MB Trader
Happy Trading
QQQ Dancing on a High Wire $422.93: Golden Genesis fib and top?=QQQ is dancing on a high wire, a Golden Genesis fib at $422.93
Failure here could indicate top is in, so this is a key level here.
Just below is a fib confluence at $418, last stop before SERIOUS dip.
It is PROBABLE that we orbit this fib for a while.
It is POSSIBLE to bounce here and keep going up.
It is PLAUSIBLE a bull trap / distribution is done.
Here is a snapshot of the Genesis Sequence for the Q's:
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Euro Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Stalls Inside of Yearly HighEUR/USD has put in a very bullish outlay so far in Q3 trade. But last week saw bulls stall inside of the 2024 high and that brings questions to topside continuation in the pair.
EUR/USD continued the advance last week following the rate cut rally following the European Central Bank’s move two weeks ago. There was technical context for bullish continuation as the pair broke through the topside of a bull flag formation but, to date, buyers haven’t been able to push for a re-test of the yearly high at the 1.1200 handle.
There was seemingly an open door for a test of the highs last week as the pair showed three consecutive days of swing highs within 25 pips of that big figure. This week started with pullback but that also shows a bit of indecision as sellers were unable to test below last Thursday’s swing-low.
EUR/USD Bigger Picture
At this point it’s difficult to argue with the intermediate-term outlay in the pair, which has been decisively bullish since the rally began around the Q3 open. The pair was working around the 1.0700 at the time and as USD-weakness, prodded by a sell-off in USD/JPY, continued to drive DXY to fresh lows, EUR/USD continued its upward advance.
But taking a step back, the argument can be made that the pair remains in the confines of a longer-term range and last week’s respect of the 1.1200 handle further speaks to that, as that, itself, is a lower-high from the 2023 swing at 1.1275.
This sets up for an important few weeks as price remains within that shorter-term bullish trend into the Q3 close, with those very obvious resistance levels lurking overhead.
I had written about the US Dollar to finish last week, and if the USD is going to rally, it’s probably going to need some help from EUR/USD bears.
EUR/USD Shorter-Term Strategy
Sellers made a quick push at the start of this week’s trade but as noted above, they haven’t been able to make much of a mark yet. But – this does set up some additional lower-high context as last week’s stall around 1.1175 is inside of the prior high at 1.1200, which is inside of the 2023 high at 1.1275.
The 1.1140 level that I’ve been tracking in webinars is in-play as of this writing and there’s additional context for a possible lower-high up to prior short-term support, around 1.1155. If bears can defend that, the focus is on tests of deeper support. I’m tracking a Fibonacci level at 1.1081 that helped to bring the post-Fed bounce last week, and that’s followed by a swing at 1.1055.
After that is the 1.1000 level and that’s the price that was vigorously defended into and around the ECB’s rate cut.
Bears aren’t necessarily out of the woods on a first test below 1.1000, however, as the 1.09424 Fibonacci level could be a lead-in for bear trap potential on a bigger picture basis. That’s the 50% mark of the same Fibonacci retracement that set the high last year at the 61.8% (1.12697) and the low so far this year around the 38.2% (1.06152).
--- written by James Stanley, Senior Strategist
Why Now is the Time to Go Long on USDJPY: A Trader’s PerspectiveCurrent Fundamentals:
-Diverging monetary policies: The Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance, while the Bank of Japan continues its ultra-loose policy.
-Economic growth disparity: The US economy shows resilience, outpacing Japan's growth rate.
-Interest rate differentials: Higher US yields attract capital flows, strengthening the dollar against the yen.
I'm employing probability-based analysis to enter long positions in USD/JPY.
Let's discuss what's going on with USDJPY!
12M:
2W:
1H: