Higher rates thoughts push down EurStay short EurGbp or, if you prefear, long GBP!
Since the macro economic data started to improve, the pressure on the exchange rate has became stronger. The beginning of rates normalization will make the UK's currency more expansive versus the Euromoney.
At the same time, the chart seems to confirm the bearish view: It is unlikely (given also the macro-analysis) that the price will brake-up the current level @0.7895, looking also at the RSI oscillator (in 60 area), we have no signs of bullish trend beginnin. My view is that the price will continue its down trend, following the channel you can clearly see on the charts.
Take care of 0.78 area that could be a strong point of inversion or continuation of the trend.
Fibo
AUDUSD awaiting AUD news on tues n wedMy bias is for short. There is a confluence of
- d1 line chart; day tf suggests a distribution pattern in place. ( red lines)
-d1 fib5
- h4 channel top
- h1 channel top with macd divergence
What I really wish to see is for price to be kept pushing higher till Tues or Wed when price exhaustion can be suggested and short will be possible. Hence my plan is not to commit till the eleventh hour, and only act when fakeout is hinted and act upon it, likely just before news.