Bitcoin - More blood will follow (Do not buy now, buy here!)Bitcoin is completely manipulated by the banks and huge institutions. They sent Bitcoin down just to make your Christmas and New Year celebrations bad. But luckily I warned you about this crash a few days ago, just before it happened in my previous analysis, when almost everyone was drunk with strong greed. Bitcoin crashed by 15% so far; altcoins are down by 30% to 70%.
The last days were very profitable, but let's focus on the future, because that's the most important. Bitcoin bounced a bit from 92k to 99k, giving players hope that the bottom is in. But do not be fooled, this looks like a corrective move for multiple reasons.
The first reason is that the crash was extremely fast and strong, pretty much no one expected such a drop in the short term. My Elliott Wave analysis suggests that this is a strong impulse wave 12345 and therefore the start of a larger corrective structure ABC. We have finished wave A, now we are in wave B, and we can expect wave C to finish at around 85k! You want to take a Fibonacci extension, as you can see on my chart.
I strongly recommend waiting for 85k because we have an unfilled FVGAP on the daily chart, and this needs to be tested. Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Fibonacci
Bitcoin: Interconnectedness of Defining CyclesJust a followup analysis on scalable structure from "Natural Patterns & Fractal Geometry" ed idea.
Additional Regularities:
2018 Downtrend Phase Fib Resonation:
Fibonacci ratios are not just mathematical abstractions; they manifest in Bitcoin's market structure due to human behavior and market psychology.
2020 Uptrend Phase Fib Resonation:
Unconventional use of Fibonacci ratios highlights areas where price has shown significant reactions. These levels act as dynamic support and resistance zones, underscoring the fractal and cyclical nature of Bitcoin's price movements.
2021 - Late 2022 Crash Metrics More detailed breakdown of emerging randomness:
The repetitive alignment of market cycles with Fibonacci levels underscores Bitcoin's tendency to oscillate between predictable extremes, offering insights for timing entries and exits.
Distinct cycles are clearly visible, separated by major tops (e.g., ATH in 2013, 2017, and 2021) and bottoms (e.g., the 84.12%, 72.26%, and 77.57% corrections). Each cycle adheres to Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, demonstrating a self-similar structure .
Price expansions align with Fibonacci extensions (e.g., 1.618 and beyond), showing that Bitcoin’s growth phases are not random but rather guided by harmonic principles.
The ascending channels mapped through Fibonacci ratios capture both the bullish and corrective phases, showcasing the market's bounded yet fractal rhythm .
The percentage swings (+2484.44%, +12804.20%, +1692.21%, +600.07%) highlight the explosive nature of Bitcoin during expansion phases, followed by steep corrections. These as well align with Fibonacci proportions, providing a blueprint for market rhythm.
X Empire price has done something incredible !)💰 Something phenomenal has happened that hasn't been remembered for many years: NYSE:X #Empire altcoin has made +1750% in a week
Whether it was the exchange's promotional campaign, #Trump's election victory+ his colleague #muskempire and everything directly or indirectly related to him are now “in chocolate” or all together, but God grant most altcoins to grow like this.
Then we will feel the real taste of the alt-season
The #X #marketcap has grown from 20 million to the current 300 million.
We have two questions for you:
Where will the OKX:XUSDT price go next: 🐳 along the blue route by $0.0014 or 💔 along the red route by $0.00014 (the difference is only 0 or 10 times ;)
What other low-cap altcoins do you think will pump like this? You write your options in the comments, and we will analyze some of them and publishing ideas here
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BTCUSDT high sell pressure zone and strong resistances are aheadAs we said before we may have more 10% rise from 100K$ to the targets like 110K$ but soon we are looking for first phase of dump like red arrows mentioned on the chart and soon high volume Bear candles will dump market for a while.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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NAS100 DEC 23 -27 MARKET BREAKDOWNAnalysis Based on the Chart:
1. Bullish Context:
The overall trend is bullish, and the market has recently pulled back to a key support zone:
• The 50% Fibonacci retracement level aligns with both historical support and a daily bullish order block (OB).
• Price action respecting this level suggests a potential continuation to the upside.
2. Daily Break of Structure (BOS):
The BOS on the daily timeframe confirms a shift to bullish momentum, indicating that higher highs could be the next target.
3. Liquidity Sweep:
The sharp pullback appears to have cleared out liquidity (stop-loss clusters from retail traders) below the recent swing low. This is a common pattern before a bullish push.
4. Confluences for Entry:
• The pullback to the Fibonacci 50% level gives a high-probability entry point.
• The price has respected both dynamic support (trendline) and horizontal support at the bullish OB.
GOLD → Consolidation after the fall. Trading inside the rangeFX:XAUUSD is forming consolidation in a new bearish plane after a strong fall on Wednesday. The emphasis is on 2622 - 2581. The fundamental background is negative and technically the price is testing the lows.
On Wednesday, the Fed adopted a more conservative approach to monetary policy, laying down only 2 rate cuts in 2025, which generally had a negative impact on the whole market except for the dollar, which is breaking through local highs.
Today traders await the release of the PCE, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. Any surprise in the PCE data or an escalation of political uncertainty could push metal prices up.
From a technical point of view, the gold market remains in the previously mentioned consolidation, and prices fluctuate in wide ranges, which is generally logical for the end of the calendar year: reduced liquidity and increased volatility...
Resistance levels: 2616, 2622
Support levels: 2589, 2581, 2560
Since the price is inside the consolidation, it is worth considering trading from the boundaries of this range. In the long term, I expect a retest of the key resistance 2616-2622 in the form of a false breakdown and a fall towards local lows
Regards R. Linda!
$SPY December 20, 2024AMEX:SPY December 20, 2024
15 Minutes.
As expected base being formed after brutal fall.
Still in downtrend as below all moving averages.
We can see oscillator divergence.
We have multiple hits around 586 levels.
If break. i see more 10$ downside towards 576 levels.
To test 100 average support 240 minutes chart.
No longs. Yet.
BTCUSDT ATH resistance zone can dump itWe are looking for range zone here and also short-term fall like the red arrows on chart.
price is now receiving major resistance zone and any breakout to the upside can lead the price to 120K$ but if the resistance hold soon heavy dump is expected at least to the targets like 90K$ or 80K$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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GBPUSD → One step away from breaking support and falling awayFX:GBPUSD is facing difficulties. Negative fundamental background, strong dollar and price entry into the selling zone gives a bunch of preconditions hinting at the continuation of the fall
Yesterday the UK GDP came out, which remained at the same level, there is no driver for GBP at the moment, but there is for USD, which is growing after interest rate cuts, but the growth is not because of this, but because of hints of stopping the cycle of further rate cuts and the change of officials' mood to hawkish, which in general, against the background of Trump's policy indicates medium-term potential. Technically, the currency pair is testing the risk zone, a false breakout will form a rebound reaction and I think it will be a short-term reaction.
Resistance levels: 1.257, 1.2597, 1.2665
Support levels: 1.2488, 1.245
After the false breakdown, the currency pair may test the local resistance. But retest of the support within 1-3 days will play an important role. Formation of a pre-breakout base at 1.2488 will strengthen the potential for further decline
With Respect R. Linda!
NEAR reversal areaNear is in a perfect level to bounce. Market is in extreme fear but this might be a good level to add on to holdings. Its both a good level of support from past price actions and current fibo levels.
Initial target is marked on the chart, lets see if we get rekt again :) Risk reward ratio looks good to me.
Cheers
PEPEUSDT: Technical Insights and Trading Strategy
Market Overview
- PEPEUSDT is currently in a corrective phase after a sharp decline, with price approaching a key demand zone around 0.00001578 USDT.
- The analysis suggests potential accumulation and a bullish recovery if the support holds.
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Technical Analysis
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support Zone:
- 0.00001578: Key accumulation level identified for potential entries.
- Below this level, price may test the next support near 0.00001450.
- Resistance Levels:
- 0.00001900: Initial resistance for price recovery.
- 0.00002514: Target resistance zone aligned with the bullish breakout projection.
2. Fibonacci Retracement:
- The price has retraced deeply, approaching the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, a common area for reversals in crypto markets.
3. Trendline Analysis:
- A potential reversal pattern is visible as price consolidates near the demand zone.
- A breakout above 0.00001900 confirms a short-term trend reversal.
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Momentum and Indicators
1. RSI (14):
- RSI is approaching oversold conditions, signaling potential bullish divergence.
- A rise above 40-50 would confirm increasing bullish momentum.
2. Volume Analysis:
- Decreasing sell volume near support suggests diminishing bearish pressure.
- A spike in buy volume at this level would reinforce the reversal signal.
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Trading Plan
1. Entry Points:
- Accumulate positions near 0.00001578.
- Add more positions on breakout confirmation above 0.00001900.
2. Stop-Loss:
- Place stop-loss below 0.00001500 to manage downside risk.
3. Profit Targets:
- Primary Target: 0.00002514 (aligned with the chart projection).
- Stretch Target: 0.00002800, if bullish momentum persists.
4. Risk Management:
- Risk no more than 2% of total capital on this trade.
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Scenarios
1. Bullish Scenario:
- Price holds the 0.00001578 level and breaks above 0.00001900 with rising volume.
- Targets 0.00002514, with possible extension to 0.00002800.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- Failure to hold the 0.00001578 support may lead to further downside, targeting 0.00001450 or lower.
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Pro Summary
PEPEUSDT is showing signs of accumulation at a critical support level. A breakout above 0.00001900 will confirm a reversal toward 0.00002514 and higher. Traders should exercise caution and set strict stop-loss levels to minimize risks.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies carries significant risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Polkadot Elliot Wave - Daily and WeeklyThe analysis shows a completed 5-wave impulse, followed by an ongoing A-B-C correction. Key support at 7.500: a bounce here could trigger Wave 3, with ideal targets between 17.300 and 23.150 based on Fibonacci levels. Watch for volume and breakout confirmation!
Bonk on RobinhoodEarlier this week Tucker BONK was listed on Robinhood. Unlike Coinbase meme drops skyrocketing, Robinhood is a bit slower. BONK rejected and bounced off our fib level at .236 at price .00002703. I might add a bag, not confirmed u til the RSI breaks midline, and breaks our BOS trend line in the 1hr closely. Watching point of interest to break is .00003140.
BONK!! LETS GO!
Short gold after hitting 2635-2645 areaBrothers, we went long on gold near 2591 yesterday and closed the long position near 2607 this morning, making a profit of 160 pips easily, which is a very good trading result.
After closing the long position, I originally planned to wait for gold to fall back and continue to go long on gold in the 2595-2590 area, but after I closed the order, gold has been fluctuating in the 2607-2600 area, and did not give me the opportunity to go long on gold again. So it's a pity that I missed this time when gold continued to rebound.
At present, gold has reached around 2628, and the increase has not exceeded my expectations. I think gold may even continue to rebound to the 2635-2645 area. However, if gold touches this area for the first time, I think there will be an opportunity for gold to fall back to build up momentum and extend its effect.
So, if gold touches the 2635-2645 area as expected, I will choose to short gold once!Bros, will you choose to short gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Where are the HBAR support zones? How far can it fall?The recent pullback in HBAR is enough to shake the average person, don't let them shake you out!!
In perspective to the most recent moves, the trend as it stands still remains bullish. The following levels on the chart will give you an idea of how much lower HBAR can potentially go and could be an opportunity for those who had FOMO during the first pump.
See my previous idea on why I am still bullish on HBAR.
GOLD → Interest rates are down, but why is gold falling?FX:XAUUSD falls to 2581. Yesterday's news had a negative impact on the market and it's not about rate cuts. Technically the price confirms the bearish nature of the market.
The main reason for the decline in gold prices is the Federal Reserve's caution about lowering interest rates amid the latest economic data. The US central bank lowered the interest rate by 0.25% to the range of 4.25%-4.50% as expected, but for the next year it forecasts 2 rate cuts, which is much less than expected.
The Fed's hawkishness has played its role: the dollar is rising, markets are falling.
Today all eyes are on GDP and initial jobless claims.
Technically, the price is out of the global channel, breaking the support, gold updates the low to 2581.
Resistance levels: 2620, 2630, 2636
Support levels: 2616, 2612, 2603
After updating the low, a retest of the previously broken channel boundary and imbalance zones is formed. False breakdown of key resistance, for example 2620 or 2630 and subsequent consolidation of the price below these zones may lead to further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
META pullback to $586MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
2HR CHART (expect target to hit THIS WEEK)
Price at or above top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM is spiked positive
Price at or near 3.618 Fibonacci level
Target is $586 or channel bottom
KSE 100 index - Correction Underway!The index after making HH @ 117039, has gone into correction, the index has retraced to 0.5 level of FIB today, another possible retracement could be till 102,000, in worst case scenario, it will be retraced to around 100k
The index as per my analysis is likely to make a reversal from these levels as 21 moving average has been tested !
Stay tuned for more updates. Keep your SL on all your stocks in place to secure your profits.