PLTR: Potential for Further Upside in H2 2025Price is showing a constructive, low-volume pullback into rising EMAs - a healthy sign within an ongoing uptrend as long as price is holding above 118-110 support zone.
Daily trend structure:
Macro trend structure (Weekly):
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
Fibonacci
Bullish Outlook For GOLDLot of reasons for me to long GOLD.
1) 3500 round number All Time High Level.
Will be probably taken out real quick.
Possibly with a NWOG gap.
2) Blue box is my focused dealing range.
Equilibrium respected and confirmed.
Take profit 1: 3570 ( 2 st. deviations)
Take profit 2: 3796 ( 4 st. deviations)
3) Daily FVG
Extremely reactive to the top quadrant of the May 20 gap.
My first recording for ETHUSD - FxDollars - {25/05/2025}Educational Analysis says that ETHUSD may give countertrend opportunities from this range, according to my technical analysis.
Broker - bitstamp
So, my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range.
So my analysis comprises of two structures: 1) Break of structure on weekly range and 2) Trading Range to fill the remaining fair value gap
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
Impulse or Illusion? Key Level to Watch If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Recap
Since the price surge off the March 11 low, structure appears to be developing into a potential 5-wave impulse. However, with only three legs printed so far, it remains premature to confirm the full impulse structure.
Structure Assessment
The move resembles a possible ABC zigzag, but the center leg (possible wave 3) is showing strong impulsive characteristics — momentum, follow-through, and vertical lift. That raises the probability of it being an unfolding wave 3, rather than just a C wave.
What’s missing? A clear wave 4.
Until a fourth wave correction is established, and followed by a decisive wave 5, the bullish impulsive count remains tentative.
Outlook
📌 Key level: 0.00001087
The hold of this level will make the look of the structure ideal.
A break below 0.00001087 would dip into unacceptable territory for a developing wave 4 and opens the door to a bearish reassessment — and if the PA enters the price territory of the wave 1 cause a conclusive invalidation of the potential impulse.
✅ If price holds the level and a shallow wave 4 consolidates, we can then watch for signs of wave 5 to confirm the impulse and unlock bullish continuation potential.
Watch this level. Structure will confirm or collapse soon. More updates to follow.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
XAUUSD HIT THE TREND PATTERN, PULLBACK BEFORE CONTINUE BULLISH?OANDA:XAUUSD Good afternoon, traders!. Update XAUUSD 2H 24/05/2025
Price has successfully broken the major downtrend line, indicating a possible shift in market sentiment. As long as the price holds above the Buyer Zone (3343–3360), the bullish structure remains intact.
However, if selling pressure increases, the market may revisit the next Demand Zone at 3279–3245.
Key Levels to Watch:
Buyer Zone (Supply Flip): 3343–3360
Demand Support Zone: 3279–3245
Target Zones: 3365 (1.0), 3389 (1.272), 3419 (1.618)
Price remains supported by FVG zones and structural breakout, but confirmation is needed upon retest.
📅 Key Fundamentals Next Week:
U.S.–EU trade tensions could spark increased gold demand.
U.S. ISM Manufacturing & Construction Spending data expected — volatility likely.
Fiscal concerns in the U.S. may further support safe-haven flows to gold.
Nifty50 – Wave IV Unfolding Within the Grand SupercycleFrom the Grand Supercycle perspective on the monthly chart, we can observe a consistent pattern — every major a-b-c corrective phase has unfolded as a form of flat correction before the next rally. Based on this historical rhythm, and the current market structure, I believe we are still in the process of completing Wave V of the Grand Supercycle.
This long-term view is overlayed on the chart to help contextualize what’s happening now.
Zooming In – The Weekly Breakdown Within Wave IV and V:
Within this broader Grand Supercycle, the weekly chart captures a five-wave subdivision between Supercycle’s Wave IV and the yet-to-be-completed Wave V.
Wave III has completed after achieving a 100% projection of Wave I from Wave II , respecting classic Fibonacci symmetry.
After the Wave III high, we’ve entered a correction phase , where sub-wave b is currently unfolding.
Flat Correction in Play?
For the current move to qualify as a Flat correction:
Wave b must retrace at least 90% of Wave a .
This requirement is crucial to maintain the “Flat” identity of the structure.
Depending on the nature of the flat:
If it’s a Regular Flat or Expanding Flat, Wave c must break below the bottom of the rising parallel channe l, and end below the low of Wave a .
If it’s a Running Flat , Wave c can stay above Wave a’s low, and price may remain within or near the channel’s lower boundary.
Also, as per EW guidelines, Wave c must unfold in 5 waves — which will be the next key structure to monitor.
Where Are We Now?
As long as Wave b is progressing toward 90% retracement , the near-term bias remains bullish.
But once Wave b completes, the market may enter Wave c, which could result in a deeper correction — either towards the lower end of the channel or even below, depending on which flat structure plays out.
What Next?
This unfolding Wave c will likely complete Wave IV within the Grand Supercycle, setting the stage for the final upward move — Wave V of both the internal 5-wave structure and the Grand Supercycle itself.
Disclaimer: This is not a buy or sell recommendation. The analysis shared is purely my personal view for educational purposes only.
Just a Thought: What If the Big Bull Run Starts Next February?Chart: SOLUSDT Perpetual (1W)
Let’s play devil’s advocate for a second…
📉 What if:
The most recent pullback from Solana’s all-time high wasn’t just a dip to find support, but a high timeframe market structure break (MSS)?
We wicked right into the Point of Control (POC) at $126, a critical level going back to Solana’s inception. Many saw that as a liquidity sweep, which it is, but what if that break was confirmation of a shift in the macro structure?
Since then, we’ve seen a corrective rally, and as of now, price is approaching the golden pocket (0.618–0.65) around the $200 region coupled with time Fib confluence around June 25.
⚪ The ABC Hypothesis:
There’s a clean potential for an (A)-(B)-(C) correction. If the market can’t push through the $200 resistance in June, we could see a dragged out move down into the 1:1 extension, which interestingly aligns with key monthly naked POCs (MNPOCs) at $73 and $41, and specifically the 1:1 at $49 (highlighted on the chart for September 25).
That would create a textbook ABC correction, where:
• A = drop from ATH to MSS
• B = golden pocket retracement
• C = 1:1 extension, sweeping long-term liquidity
📅 What if the real bull run doesn’t start until Feb 2026?
Everyone’s calling for the big breakout this year… but what if we need one last washout to fully reset? That timing aligns eerily well with early Q1 2026, after a final leg down.
Chart Legend:
• ✅ Green line = current price
• 🔴 POC = Point of Control (macro volume node)
• ⚪ White lines = ABC structure
• 🔵 Blue verticals = time-based Fibonacci
• 🟡 Golden Pocket = 0.618–0.65 retracement
• 🟣 MNPOC Levels = untested monthly points of control
Just a theory. Not advice. DYOR.
What do you think? Could the real reset be coming?
Analyzing Copper Prices Using Fibonacci ExtensionCopper, often referred to as "Dr. Copper" due to its ability to forecast economic trends, remains one of the most critical commodities in the global market.
Traders and analysts often use technical tools to forecast price movements, and Fibonacci extensions are one such tool. After testing the first golden level, it decided to dive 🏊♂️
Let's see if it belly flops again at the next golden level!
Stay tuned for the drama. 📉
GOLD potential Reversal Structure in SightGold has completed a 5-wave impulsive structure and is currently trading within the supply zone around its all-time high ($3,500). Price action suggests exhaustion, and unless a new ATH is formed, a macro correction is likely to begin soon.
Key levels to monitor remain the Immediate Demand Zone $2,750 – $2,900 and this may offer short-term support with Main Demand Zone (Strong Buyback Area) $2,530 a critical level for potential re-accumulation and long-term re-entry. Moreover, the invalidation occur when Bullish bias resumes only if price breaks and closes above $3,500.
Break of the ascending trendline will confirm a deeper corrective leg, likely toward the main demand. This structure offers a clear medium to long term roadmap watch for confirmation before positioning.
AERO: Coming in to Refuel… or Crash Land!? AERO: Coming in to Refuel… or Crash Land!?
📅 Date: May 23, 2025
🧠 Framework: Elliott Wave with Fibonacci structure
🔍 Context: 4H timeframe
🔁 Recap of the Move
AERO rallied off the 0.3465–0.3475 double bottom in what appears to be a clean 5-wave impulsive sequence. The price action respected both structural and Fibonacci guidelines:
Wave 2 and Wave 4 both pulled back to 0.5 retracements.
Wave 3 extended and subdivided with strong momentum, a common characteristic
Wave 5 completed between 0.5 and 0.618 of Wave 3 from the Wave 4 low — a textbook termination zone
Subdivisions within Wave 5 were also visible, including a smaller internal Wave 3 and 5, reinforcing the case for a completed motive wave.
⚠️ Current Price Behavior
Post-impulse, the market is showing signs of correction. This pullback could mark the beginning of a deeper retracement, or it may be the early stages of a new larger-degree impulse if the uptrend continues.
📏 Levels to Watch
Retracement zone: 0.54–0.49 (50–61.8% of the full move)
Upside resumption: Requires a strong bounce from the retrace zone and break of the Wave 5 high
🔮 Outlook
Two scenarios remain on the table:
Bullish: This is a Wave 2 retracement in a larger degree move. If support holds, a strong Wave 3 may follow.
Bearish/Neutral: The 5-wave or 3-wave structure is fully complete, and a deeper correction could be in play.
Confirmation will come through structure, not assumption. Keep watching how price behaves around the key retrace levels.
📣 Trade safe, trade clarity. More updates coming as structure evolves.
Smells Like a Trend ReversalWeekly Recap – Gold Market
Monday, May 12, 2025
The week began with a sharp GAP during the Asian session (starting around 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York on Sunday) :
Gold dropped abruptly by $60, from $3,325 to $3,266.
The catalyst was a temporary easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China, following weekend negotiations that led to a 90-day tariff pause.
During the European session (starting at 8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , the downtrend continued, pushing the price further down to $3,207.
Tuesday–Wednesday, May 13–14
Between these two sessions, the price consolidated within a narrow range of $3,265 to $3,202 (63 $ range).
Despite better-than-expected U.S. inflation data, there was no significant breakout—the market remained indecisive.
Wednesday, May 14 – European Session
The price continued its descent, falling from $3,243 to $3,168—a $75 drop—indicating persistent downward pressure despite macroeconomic stability.
Thursday, May 15
The Asian session (1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York) began quietly, with a range between $3,168 and $3,192.
Then a sharp drop to $3,123 followed (down $71), triggered by new statements from President Trump, who announced potential trade deals with India, Japan, and South Korea.
In the European session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , a strong reversal occurred.
After failed peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul, and due to growing geopolitical uncertainty plus a weakening dollar, gold surged by $132, from $3,120 to $3,252.
Friday, May 16
The Asian session opened slightly bearish, with gold dipping from $3,252 to $3,218.
However, bullish momentum returned during the European and U.S. sessions, continuing Thursday’s upward trend and adding $51 by day’s end.
📰 Geopolitical News Landscape
India / Pakistan
Since the Kashmir terror attack on May 9, 2025, tensions have escalated again.
Cross-border airstrikes and border closures have resumed. A fragile ceasefire, brokered by the U.S., is under pressure.
Disputes over water rights further strain relations.
➡️ Short-term outlook: high tension remains.
Gaza Conflict
On May 9, Israel launched Operation Gideon’s Chariot against Hamas, aiming to dismantle the group and rescue hostages.
Over 300 deaths have been reported. A leaked plan suggests Gaza will be divided into three heavily controlled zones.
The humanitarian situation is catastrophic (over 53,000 deaths since 2023).
Peace talks are underway in Doha, but the situation remains dire.
➡️ No relief in sight.
Russia / Ukraine
Direct talks were held in Istanbul for the first time in three years.
While a prisoner exchange (1,000 each side) took place, no substantial progress was achieved.
Russia demands Ukrainian troop withdrawals from contested areas—Kyiv refuses.
Simultaneously, Russian attacks intensified, including drone strikes on Sumy.
➡️ A ceasefire remains unlikely in the near term.
U.S.–China Trade War
A 90-day tariff pause was announced the weekend before May 12:
U.S. tariffs cut from 145% to 30%
Chinese tariffs reduced from 125% to 10%
Markets reacted positively at first—especially in retail and shipping sectors.
➡️ However, unresolved structural issues (e.g., tech transfers, export controls) keep tensions fragile.
No comprehensive deal is in sight.
⚖️ Trump vs. Powell
Tensions escalate between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell:
- Trump demands aggressive rate cuts
- Powell warns of inflation risks
- The Fed holds the interest rate steady at 4.25–4.5%
- A 10% staff reduction is planned at the Fed for “efficiency”
➡️ The growing political interference is increasing market instability.
📉 U.S. Inflation – April 2025
The official inflation rate dropped to 2.3%, the lowest since February 2021.
However, consumer inflation expectations soared to 7.3%, the highest since 1981.
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.8—a historic low.
➡️ A clear gap between perception and data is emerging.
📊 Technical Analysis – Short-Term
Since May 12, an open GAP exists between $3,289 and $3,325 (36 $ range)
A V-shaped reversal formed from the low on May 15 ($3,120) to the Friday close ($3,204)
Symmetrical triangle formation suggests a convergence around $3,284 (possible by Tuesday)
➡️ Current trading range: $3,172 to $3,285 (113 $ range)
💡 Outlook for Monday, May 19
Time-Zone-Based Expectations:
Asia session (starting 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York Sunday):
👉 Potential retest of $3,154
Europe session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York):
👉 Bullish outlook toward $3,234
U.S. session (2:30 PM London / 9:30 AM New York):
👉 Possible continuation of bullish move — open-ended potential
📌 Trade Setup – Monday 8:00 AM (London) / 3:00 AM (New York)
If price is below $3,154 → I stay flat and wait for clear signals
If price is above $3,172 → I consider a long position, unless conflicting news emerges
🎯 Weekly Target
My goal for the week is $3,348, provided the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) holds near the 100-point level.
🧠 Conclusion
I am increasingly convinced that news-driven trading delivers the best results—if one can properly interpret the signals.
🔢 Fibonacci Levels
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,500 (April 22)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,435 (May 6)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,252 (May 16)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
ATBA LongATBA is making inverse head and shoulders pattern.
After the war fiasco, it broke the orange trendline and is currently struggling to close above it on monthly chart. A monthly closing above 270 would be a very good sign.
Once it closes above it, next resistances will be 283, 333 and 383 before eventually moving towards its all time high (500-530)
Gold Short: Completed 5 waves of wave 1 (higher degree)I believe that Gold has completed the 5th wave. Here are the evidence:
1. Drawn out 5-wave structure with breakdowns.
2. Fibonacci measurement: wave 5 is almost equals to wave 1.
3. RSI is lower at the 5th wave compared to 3rd wave although price is higher (price-rsi divergence).
Stop is $3272.
Take Profit is $3285.
MooDENG price analysis😭 How “fun” you can live trading memecoins!)
First, -97% dump, and then +1600% if from the absolute bottom, or +800% of a rapid pumping)
And with all this, the capitalization of #MOODENG is only $275 million, and at the maximum it was around $600 million.
🕯 Moreover, on the OKX:MOODENGUSDT chart, they “draw” as if they want to give another upward momentum. Here's the question: to $0.40 or $0.70?
❗️ But this is an idea for spot holders!!!
Because as you can see on the chart, a -50% correction "It's not a big deal" at all, and it can liquidate longs even with x2 leverage.
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