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ETH Macro Analysis☕ 𝙂𝙈. CRYPTOCAP:ETH Macro analysis update... 📈 𝙇𝙤𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 outlook remains unchanged and recent price action printing a doji. Target is still $7k for this cycle. 📉 𝙎𝙝𝙤𝙧𝙩 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 outlook has investors looking lower towards the $1900 target but this isn't guaranteed to be reached and price action may front tat $2200. War escalation's and retail selling are keeping price suppressed. ETF inflows and staking continue to grow! The time for patience continues. Money is made in the sitting, weathering volatility, not flipping in and out of trades on every bit of news and price movement 𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡 𝘼𝙣𝙖𝙡𝙮𝙨𝙞𝙨 Price is consolidating at its recent highs. Consolidation under resistance has high probability of breaking out, the longer it remains the higher the probability. Elliot Wave (EW) analysis suggests a motif wave ended at the $2700 resistance, with a wave 2 retracement underway, likely a shallow one. Safe trading
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
5
BTC Macro Analysis☕ 𝙂𝙈. CRYPTOCAP:BTC macro analysis update... 📈 𝙇𝙤𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 outlook remains unchanged and recent price action is barely a blip on the weekly chart. SD+2 target is still $211k as a blow off top. 📉 𝙎𝙝𝙤𝙧𝙩 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 outlook has investors looking lower towards the $92K target but this isn't guaranteed to be reached and price action may front those who wait. War escalation's and retail selling are keeping price suppressed as price changes hands to private companies and large wallets. The time for patience continues. Money is made in the sitting, weathering volatility, not flipping in and out of trades on every bit of news and price movement 𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡 𝘼𝙣𝙖𝙡𝙮𝙨𝙞𝙨 Price is consolidating under all time high resistance. Consolidation under resistance has high probability of breaking out, the longer it remains the higher the probability. Elliot Wave (EW) analysis suggests a motif wave ended with the poke above all time high (per the EW rules), with a wave 2 retracement underway. Price remains above the daily pivot (bullish) but below the DEMA (bearish). A triangle could still be forming but this is not my preferred EW count. Safe trading
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
1
SUI Macro AnalysisCRYPTOCAP:SUI macro analysis update... 📈 𝙇𝙤𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 outlook shows price action still outperforming most alts with a great rally recently. Target remains the R5 weekly pivot at $15 📉 𝙎𝙝𝙤𝙧𝙩 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 outlook has price pulling back, looking to find a bottom between $2.3-2.65 War escalation's and retail selling are keeping price suppressed as price changes hands to private companies and large wallets. The time for patience continues. Money is made in the sitting, weathering volatility, not flipping in and out of trades on every bit of news and price movement 𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡 𝘼𝙣𝙖𝙡𝙮𝙨𝙞𝙨 Price is testing the weekly pivot and daily S1 pivot as support Elliot Wave (EW) analysis was a strong, textbook motif wave with a wave 2 retracement underway. Wave 2 often extends to the 61.8 Fibonacci retracement of $2.4 but the alt-coin golden pocket is the 78.6 at $2.03. No surprises if we see that area revisited and could be a great buying opportunity. Price has lost the daily 200EMA and DEMA which is bearish short term. Safe trading
COINBASE:SUIUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
1
GBPUSD may form a false break of supportGBPUSD has wasted the entire daily move (ATR) and is forming a false break of the mirror level support and trading range support. The price fell on the background of the dollar growth (which is trading on the background of the global downtrend) Now, while the price is consolidating below the mirror level, sellers (physical persons) open deals. But, based on the situation and spent ATR when the price returns inside the range there will be a liquidation stage, which can provoke the price growth The price fixing above 1.34437 may be the beginning of a pullback (trend growth). Scenario: if the decline does not continue, and the price is able to consolidate above 1.3448, in this case we can expect a correction to 1.35, 1.353.
Long
by AndeWave
11
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/18/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 21940.50 - PR Low: 21863.00 - NZ Spread: 173.50 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 14:00 | FOMC Economic Projections - FOMC Statement - Fed Interest Rate Decision 14:30 | FOMC Press Conference AMP margins increase to 25% for expected FOMC volatility spike Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 6/18) - Session Open ATR: 375.35 - Volume: 31K - Open Int: 213K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -3.8% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20383 - Short: 19246 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by mv3trader5
Missiles in the Middle East, Headwinds on Nasdaq: NAS100 onHey There; The trend line on the NAS100 has been broken to the downside. My target level after this breakout is 21,299.47. If the price moves towards this level, I think it will reach my target in line with fundamental analysis due to the broken trend line and Iran-Israel war tensions. I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses. I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
FX:NAS100Short
by TraderTilki
7
WTI crude oil Wave Analysis – 17 June 2025 - WTI crude oil reversed from round support level 70.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 78.00 WTI crude oil recently reversed from the round support level 70.00 coinciding with the upper trendline of the recently broken up channel from May. The downward reversal from the support level 70.00 formed the weekly Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Bullish Engulfing – which increases the probability WTI will continue to rise in the active impulse wave C. Given the strength of the active impulse wave C, WTI crude oil can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 78.00 (target for the completion of wave (4), which reversed the price in January).
FX_IDC:USDWTILong
by FxProGlobal
GOLD → Bear pressure. Area of interest: 3340–3306FX:XAUUSD continues to decline under pressure from sell-offs. However, the situation is interesting overall, as there is conflicting data and unexpected price behavior is surprising the market... On Tuesday, gold is trying to regain the $3,400 level after pulling back from highs, but it is still facing selling pressure and returning to $3,377. The market reaction to the $3,377 level is quite weak, and if the price starts to stick to support, this will lead to a further decline. The dollar is strengthening as a safe-haven currency, holding back gold's growth. The markets are focused on the outcome of the Fed and Bank of Japan meetings, as well as US retail sales data. Any dovish signals from the Fed could support gold and weaken the dollar. Technically, on D1, gold is returning below the 3382 level (selling zone) and testing 3377. The reaction to the false breakout of support is weak, and the price is forming a pre-breakdown consolidation relative to 3377. There are clear areas of interest that could lure the price before the news. For example, 3343, 3306, 3245. Resistance levels: 3382, 3403. Support levels: 3377, 3339, 3320 The bearish structure will be broken if the price strengthens to 3403 and consolidates above that level. This will reinforce buyers' expectations, which could lead to growth. At the moment, I would expect two scenarios: price consolidation within 3377-3403. But technically, the chart shows that there is bearish pressure in the market. The price continues to storm the support level of 3377, which may not hold up against another retest. A break 3377 could lead to a fall to the areas of interest at 3339-3306. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
21
RTX – Defense sector strength backed by structurePut Credit Spread Aug 140/130 | Entry: -1.81 | POP 76% 🚀 Technical & Macro Context: Raytheon Technologies (RTX) is surging amid escalating geopolitical tensions (Iran–Israel conflict) and renewed strength in defense sector fundamentals. The stock has broken multiple resistance levels and is now trading in a parabolic move within a widening bullish channel. 📌 Technically backed setup: ✅ Clear Break of Structure (BoS) confirmed and respected. 🧱 Strong 4H demand zone between $135.25–$130.95. 📉 RSI trending high but not overheated. 📈 MACD remains bullish with wide separation. This zone aligns with: Dynamic support (EMA20). 38–50% Fibonacci retracement. Previous consolidation zone now acting as demand. 🔒 Spread Structure: Sell Put $140 (Aug 15) Buy Put $130 (Aug 15) Probability of Profit (POP): 76% 📉 Invalidation below $130 with volume. Will reassess if demand fails. 📷 The chart already illustrates the setup with institutional logic, break levels, and supply/demand zones. 🔍 If you enjoy structured option setups, technicals with context, and high-probability spreads, 👉 Follow me for more trade ideas like this. 📈 Weekly updates | 🎯 Conviction trades | 🧠 Smart risk-reward
NYSE:RTXLong
by fredcast80
NVDA (NVIDIA) False Breakout and Synchronized Pullback with SPYNVDA printed what appears to be a false breakout at the 1.0 Fib extension level ($143.49), now reversing sharply — potentially aligning with SPY's projected retracement. This presents a high-probability mean reversion setup. 📉 Technical Breakdown Current Price: $135.13 False Breakout Zone: 1.0 Fib extension ($143.49) Key Breakdown Zone: 0.786 Fib ($133.12) Probable Retest Zones: 0.618 Fib: $124.98 0.5 Fib: $121.25 Target: $119.25 (confluence with SPY's demand zone) 🔍 Probabilistic Trade Outlook ⚠️ False breakout + bearish engulfing = 80% probability of continued downside. 📉 Targeting $119.25 = 65% probability as it aligns with institutional levels and SPY’s projected retrace. 💡 Volume and momentum suggest profit-taking and supply absorption. 🌐 Macro Context (May 31, 2025) AI bubble cooling: Rotation from AI mega caps into broader market value plays. SPY & NVDA correlation: NVDA typically leads tech-heavy indices — the confluence here could signal broader market pullback. Fed Policy Uncertainty: No rate cut priced in for June; July will be key. 🧠 Institutional View This setup echoes the "buy-side trap" — liquidity engineered above previous highs, now reversing to collect resting orders below. This is textbook Smart Money Concepts (SMC) in play. 🧭 Trade Setup Entry: On confirmed breakdown below 0.786 ($133.12) Target: $119.25 Stop: $143.60 (above fakeout zone) Optional Re-entry: Near 0.618 ($124.98) on confirmation 📌 If NVDA hits the $119–121 zone in confluence with SPY’s bounce region, a high-R:R reversal trade may follow. #NVDA #FibonacciLevels #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #TechStocks #MarketReversal #AIStocks #TradingView #WaverVanir
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
TOTALCAP — The Next Trillion Crypto Move: Are You Ready?When people analyse the crypto market, they often default to Bitcoin and for good reason. It’s the one and only, the king. But sometimes, to see the forest instead of just the tree, you need to zoom out and study the broader picture. That’s where the Crypto Total Market Cap (TOTALCAP) chart comes in. It’s essentially the mirror of Bitcoin, but it offers powerful macro insight — not just price, but scale. Looking at trillions instead of dollars changes how you frame support, resistance, and overall sentiment. Let’s dive in. 🧠 Why TOTALCAP Matters TOTALCAP aggregates the value of every coin and token — the complete valuation of the entire crypto industry. And while it often moves in sync with Bitcoin, it carries a different weight. Shows the “big picture” of institutional and retail money flow Offers clearly defined round-number zones (Trillions) as psychological S/R Removes coin-specific anomalies and focuses on collective momentum In bull and bear markets, these trillion-dollar thresholds act like major checkpoints. Watching how TOTALCAP interacts with these levels can give early signals that BTC or alts alone can’t. Historical Key Levels & Structure Let’s break it down by macro phases: ✅ November 2021 — Peak of Last Bull Market: TOTALCAP peaked exactly at $3 Trillion. This level acted as a ceiling — once hit, the market reversed sharply. This marked the top of the 5-wave impulsive move (Elliott Wave theory). 📉 November 2022 — Bear Market Bottom: TOTALCAP dropped below $1 Trillion, bottoming at $727 Billion. This was almost a 0.786 fib retracement from peak — similar to BTC’s historical retracements. The $1T mark was retested as resistance before being reclaimed as support. 📈 2023–2025 — The Bull Awakens: $1 Trillion flipped into solid support throughout 2023. A clear sign the macro market structure had shifted bullish. Once $2T was breached, things moved fast. 🚀 Current State: The market surged above the previous $3T ceiling. TOTALCAP has hit a new ATH: $3.73 Trillion Now, the question is: Is this the start of a new leg higher, or a bull trap before a correction? 🔍 Fibonacci Confluences — Why $3.7T Was Key The sharp rejection at $3.7T wasn’t random. It aligns with: 1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension: From 91.24B → 3T high → 727B low = 1.0 = 3.65T ✅ precise hit 1.272 Fib Extension of the macro move Upper Pitchfork Resistance Channel Top Rejection → All signals converged to mark that level as major resistance 🌀 Elliott Wave Macro Count Looking at the weekly timeframe, we can see a clear impulsive 5-wave movement from the 2022 lows: Wave 1: $727B → $1.26T Wave 2: Correction to $975B ($1T) (support confirmed) Wave 3: Massive rally toward $2.72T Wave 4: Pullback toward $1.69T (VWAP retest) Wave 5: $3.73T ATH What does this imply? According to classical Elliott Wave theory, after a full 5-wave move, the market tends to enter an corrective phase. 🔍 Some key levels to watch: $3T: Historical S/R (was the 2021 top, now acting as a key level) $2.31T: Recent swing low $2T: Psychological and structural support 📌 Zone of Interest for Longs: $2.31T–$2T This zone holds: Previous consolidation zone from mid-2024 Fib retracement confluence Likely forming Wave C bottom if this is a full ABC 🎯 Upside Targets — What If We Continue Higher? Looking ahead: 🔸 1.618–1.666 Fib Extension = $4.42T–$4.53T 🔸 1.618 TBFE from previous cycle = ~$5.45T 📌 Rounded Targets: $4.5T, $5T and $5.5T These are the next likely macro cycle targets — but only after a healthy correction and consolidation. ☀️ Macro Context & Summer Seasonality Historically, summer tends to be a weaker period: Lower volume Institutional rebalancing Geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty 📚 Educational Insight: TOTALCAP as a Tool Treat TOTALCAP like the S&P500 of crypto. Use round trillions as psychological levels: 1T, 2T, 3T, etc. Always check if BTC’s price is aligned with where TOTALCAP is on the macro structure Helps judge market strength even when BTC dominance is shifting It’s especially useful when altcoins pump or dump out of sync with BTC — you can use TOTALCAP to track the real flow of money. 💡 Final Thoughts We are likely in a corrective phase after a complete 5-wave cycle. The area between $2.31T and $2T offers high-probability long entries Watching how TOTALCAP reacts to these levels will help us anticipate the broader market’s next move Summer slowdown could mean chop — but this also creates opportunities 💬 Let me know your thoughts: Are we entering a deeper correction? Or will TOTALCAP surprise us with a new leg higher? Don’t forget to zoom out. The charts always tell the story. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALShort
by SiDec
7
[ TimeLine ] Gold 9 & 11 June 2025📆 Market Update: Signal Timeline – Gold (June 9 & 11, 2025) 📌 Delayed Journal Entry — Trade Review & Breakdown 📍 Hi-Lo Ranges (with 60-pip buffer) • June 9, 2025: 3287 – 3344 (Single-candle setup) • June 9-10, 2025: 3287 – 3355 (Two-candle range) • June 11, 2025: 3294 – 3366 (Single-candle confirmation setup) 💡 Interestingly, these price patterns showed consistency, and I executed trades based on all three signals. ✅ June 9 – Buy Signal(s) 🔹 Trigger Points: • 3344 (Single-candle setup) • 3355 (Two-candle range) 🔹 Price Action: Strong bullish breakout toward 3451, but experienced significant retracement depending on entry point. • Drawdown: Up to 50–70% of the range based on entry. • Gain Potential: Approx. +960 to +1070 pips ⚠️ Fibonacci Note: Retracement to around 3310 aligned well with the 60% Fibonacci zone, providing a textbook re-entry opportunity. ✅ June 11 – Buy Signal 🔹 Trigger Point: 3366 🔹 Price Action: Continued bullish move to 3451, this time with less volatility and smaller pullback. • Gain Potential: Approx. +850 pips 📈🧠 Key Takeaway The June 9 signals required more patience and better handling of retracement, while June 11 offered smoother momentum with cleaner execution. Those following the Fibonacci strategy were well-positioned to catch the continuation. 📉📈 Chart Reference 🔗 Copy & paste into TradingView: TV/x/MyAsl0Gx/
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
Patience Before the Break: Gold Chart Signals Rally Toward 3,450 Technical Breakdown of the Chart Key Concepts Used: BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a confirmed bullish break in market structure (around June 13). MSS (Market Structure Shift): Marks a transition from bullish to bearish structure, which aligns with the swing high on June 14. BSL (Buy-side Liquidity): Liquidity targets marked above recent highs (~3,420 and ~3,450). Turtle Soup Setup: A classic fakeout reversal pattern, suggesting a stop-hunt below recent lows before a bullish move. $$$: Liquidity Pool: Shows accumulation below before a breakout upward. Bullish Case as Implied by the Chart The chart suggests: A liquidity sweep occurred at the recent low ("turtle soup"). Price is now rebounding from a demand zone, supported by bullish order flow. If structure holds, price may: Break above the minor high at ~3,410–3,420 (first BSL). Continue upward toward ~3,450+ (second BSL), potentially reclaiming full bullish momentum. Key Levels to Watch: Zone Price Range Type Demand 3,380–3,388 Support Zone Target 1 ~3,420 Buy-side Liquidity Target 2 ~3,450 Final BSL Target If price breaks below the 3,380 zone with momentum, the bullish thesis weakens. Summary: Short-Term Trend: Bullish if support holds. Liquidity Grab Complete: Signs of a reversal from turtle soup setup. Upside Targets: 3,420 and 3,450. Invalidation: Break and close below ~3,380
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sienalunaz_thesignalist
[ TimeLine ] Gold 2-3 June 2025Hello everyone, 📆 Today is Friday, May 30, 2025 📌 Upcoming Gold Signal Dates: • June 2, 2025 (Monday) — Single candle setup • June 2–3, 2025 (Monday–Tuesday) — Two-candle range 🧠 Trading Plan & Notes ✅ Gold recently made a bearish move of ~780 pips, breaking below the prior key support at 3323, down to 3245 🔁 Multiple re-entry opportunities were identified using Fibonacci retracement levels, which provided solid price reaction points. ⚠️ If the June 2 Hi-Lo range appears wide and sideways, we may consider holding off until June 4 for confirmation of clearer directional bias. ✅ I will be trading both signals (June 2 and June 2–3) as part of my ongoing research and strategy ⚠️ If the range is narrow or shows false breakout risk, it's okay to skip the June 2 signal and focus instead on the June 2–3 combined range. 📋 Execution Plan 🔹 Wait for the Hi-Lo range from the selected candle(s) to fully form. ▫ These will be marked initially with purple lines on the chart. ▫ After market close, I’ll update the chart with additional indicator levels. 🔹 Entry triggers will be based on breakouts beyond the range, with a 60-pip buffer. 🔹 If the trade hits SL, the plan is to cut/switch direction and double position size on the next valid signal as part of the recovery strategy. 📉📈 Chart Reference Copy & paste this code into your browser and add TradingView URL: 🔗 TV/x/iQrX0gJW/ ✅ Stay alert and follow the signal flow — upcoming entries could offer solid reward potential if executed with discipline. 📌 I'll post the final Hi-Lo levels and updated chart after the June 2 and June 3 candles close.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo