Elliot Wave Count Bitcoin - BTCElliot Wave count BTC. Last wave up could be 1st of 5th wave, but think it's a B wave, in expanded flat wave B can take on an impulsive structure and consist of five waves, allowing it to rise above the starting point of wave A. Supported by Elliot Wave count in Equity where probably wave 5 is also placed. And by latest lower high what could be start of market structure change. Invalidation above more or less 113-116k. Fib.time 0.66 gives turning point on July 6th in confluence with end of wedge. World is mega bullish with lot of fresh Longs (big-time in ETF's) waiting for overnight millions. Lets see how this count works out.
Fibonacci
Uniswap UNI price analysis🦄 Despite the weak crypto market, #UNI is holding up quite well at the moment, so you should take it "on a pencil".
At first, the “big money” are buying, and then the news will be rolled out.
🕯 The OKX:UNIUSDT chart shows increased trading volumes.
We wouldn't be surprised if in the coming days, when the market moves into a "range", the price of #UNI shoots up to $9.31 or even $11.21
💰 And globally - the price of $22 per #Uniswap token can still be considered a fairly modest forecast.
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I had a nightmare this morning.Recently, I published my analysis about BTC and found that BTC is following a rising channel and is being supported by fib retracement.
But unfortunately, BTC hasn't shown any remarkable movement so far, and came back again the the support area.
I feel this is not a good sign for BTC.
ON a weekly view, It May repeat its previous movement.
I am publishing my reservation about BTC, be careful about BTC.
GBPAUD - Expecting Bearish Continuation In The Short TermM15 - Bearish divergence followed by the most recent uptrend line breakout.
Clean bearish trend with the price creating series of lower highs, lower lows.
No opposite signs.
Expecting further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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AUDCHF: Bullish Flag from PRZ — Rally to 0.54444?AUDCHF ( OANDA:AUDCHF ) bounced from the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) , which aligns with the Yearly Support(1) and the 50% Fibonacci level of the previous bullish impulse.
From a Classic Technical Analysis perspective , AUDCHF appears to be breaking out of a Bullish Flag Pattern , which may suggest the continuation of the previous uptrend .
This bullish reaction also confirms the importance of the Support zone(0.51166 CHF-0.49773 CHF) , where buyers stepped in aggressively.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that AUDCHF has completed the bearish waves and we should wait for the bullish waves .
I expect AUDCHF to continue rising after a successful breakout from the flag’s upper boundary . If momentum sustains, the target could be around 0.54444 CHF .
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = 0.51972 CHF
Australian Dollar/ Swiss Franc Analyze (4-hour time frame).
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/17/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 22177.25
- PR Low: 22065.25
- NZ Spread: 250.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Retail Sales (Core|MoM)
Contract rollover week
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 6/17)
- Session Open ATR: 385.81
- Volume: 47K
- Open Int: 178K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -3.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Gold (XAUUSD) Market Outlook - Long Term TrendGold (XAUUSD) Market Outlook: Bullish Trend, Critical Resistance, and Macro Drivers
Technical Analysis:
Looking at the daily timeframe, Gold has been absolutely on fire.
Overall Trend and Market Structure:
• Strong Uptrend: We've seen a remarkably robust and sustained uptrend for Gold since late 2024. It's a textbook example of a healthy rally, consistently printing higher highs and higher lows. This bullish momentum is clear as day, with the candles comfortably riding above that rising blue trendline channel.
• Trendline Support: That prominent blue diagonal band has been a fantastic dynamic support. Gold has bounced off this trendline multiple times (you can spot those green circles), which really solidifies its strength and confirms it as a key support level for this rally.
Key Resistance Level:
• All Time Resistance 3,500: Gold's currently bumping up against a major hurdle: its "All Time Resistance" zone right around 3,500, marked in red. This isn't just a number; it's a huge psychological and technical barrier. Price has poked at this level a few times lately, suggesting there's some serious selling pressure or profit-taking happening up there. A clean, decisive break and close above 3,500 would be a massive bullish signal, likely opening the door to new, uncharted price discovery.
Key Support Levels:
• Fibonacci Golden Level + Breakout Retest Level (3117 to 3167): Now, if we see a pullback, this grey rectangular zone looks like a crucial area of confluence for support.
o Fibonacci Golden Level: This zone perfectly aligns with the 0.618 and 0.71 Fibonacci retracement levels (pulled from that big swing up from the initial low). These are well-known as powerful support and resistance points.
o Breakout Retest: What makes it even stronger is the idea of a "breakout retest." It suggests a previous resistance level that Gold powered through is now expected to act as solid support if tested from above. It’s a classic chart pattern we always look for.
o This entire zone is definitely a critical area to watch if price starts correcting. A strong bounce from here would keep the bullish structure perfectly intact, but a break below it would signal a deeper correction.
• Point of Control (2900 to 3000): This broader grey zone, with the orange line highlighting the exact Point of Control (POC), tells us where the most trading volume occurred over this period (check out the Volume Profile on the left). It's a high-liquidity zone, meaning a lot of buyers and sellers found agreement there in the past. If Gold were to see a more significant correction, this area would likely offer very robust support, simply because so many market participants have a vested interest at these levels.
Volume Profile:
• Glancing at the volume profile on the left, it neatly shows us where the trading action has been heaviest. The big hump around 2900-3000, marked as the "Point of Control," really emphasizes just how important that support area is. What's interesting is the relatively lower volume as we've moved higher, suggesting less resistance on the way up. But if we fall back towards the POC, expect to see trading activity really pick up again.
Price Action & Candlestick Patterns:
• The candlestick patterns consistently show powerful bullish pushes followed by more measured pullbacks. Right now, near the All-Time Resistance, we're seeing some consolidation or perhaps a bit of indecision. The bulls are certainly trying to push through, but they're clearly meeting some stiff resistance.
• That "$" label near the trendline? That often points to areas where liquidity, like clusters of stop-losses or pending orders, might have been "swept" by larger players – a concept often discussed in Smart Money Concepts (SMC).
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Fundamental Factors & Macro Impact:
This strong, persistent bullish trend in Gold isn't just random; it's being supercharged by a mix of powerful fundamental and macroeconomic forces:
1. Safe-Haven Demand:
o Geopolitical Tensions: Look around the world – ongoing conflicts like the Russia-Ukraine war and Middle East tensions, plus general geopolitical instability, are sending investors straight to safe havens like gold. It's seen as the ultimate store of value when the world feels unpredictable.
o Economic Uncertainty: There’s a lingering sense of unease about the global economy, whispers of potential recessions, and general market volatility. All of this naturally increases gold's appeal.
o Banking Sector Stability: Any fresh concerns about the health of the financial system or regional banking troubles can instantly boost gold's allure as a secure asset.
2. Inflation Hedge:
o While inflation has eased a bit from its peak, it's still proving quite stubborn in many major economies, higher than what central banks would prefer. Gold has a long history as a reliable hedge against inflation; it tends to hold its value or even increase when fiat currencies lose purchasing power.
3. Central Bank Buying Spree:
o This is a massive, often under-appreciated, driver. Central banks, especially those in emerging markets, have been aggressively buying gold. They're looking to diversify their foreign exchange reserves away from the US Dollar, reduce their reliance on Western financial systems, and simply add another layer of protection against global risks. This consistent, institutional demand provides a very strong underlying bid for gold.
4. Interest Rate Expectations & US Dollar Weakness:
o Federal Reserve Policy: Gold typically moves in the opposite direction of real (inflation-adjusted) interest rates and the strength of the US Dollar.
o Rate Cut Anticipation: Markets are increasingly pricing in interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and other major central banks. When interest rates are expected to fall, holding non-yielding gold becomes much more attractive compared to assets that pay less interest. The opportunity cost of gold goes down.
o Weaker US Dollar: A softer US Dollar makes gold cheaper for anyone holding other currencies, which naturally boosts demand. Persistent concerns about the US national debt and fiscal health can also put pressure on the dollar, thereby supporting gold.
5. Global De-dollarization Efforts:
o This also supports in terms of De-dollarization or reducing the country’s dependence on the US Dollar for international trade and as a reserve currency. Gold plays a significant role in this strategic shift, adding another layer to its demand.
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Conclusion & Outlook:
Gold (XAUUSD) is absolutely in a powerful, well-established bullish trend, having racked up some impressive gains since late 2024. Right now, it's staring down its "All Time Resistance" at 3,500 – a truly critical moment.
• Bullish Scenario: If we see a decisive breakout and a sustained close above 3,500, it would confirm incredibly strong bullish momentum. This could easily lead to a swift move into new, uncharted territories. We'd expect this to be fueled by ongoing safe-haven demand, continued aggressive central bank buying, and/or growing conviction that significant rate cuts are on the horizon.
• Correction Scenario: On the flip side, a strong rejection from that 3,500 resistance could trigger a correction. We'd likely see it head back towards the trendline support, and possibly even that "Fibonacci Golden Level + Breakout Retest Level" zone (3117-3167). As long as these key support levels hold firm, the overall bullish structure stays perfectly intact. However, a clear break below that golden zone would signal a deeper pullback, with the "Point of Control" (2900-3000) waiting as the ultimate strong support.
From a fundamental perspective, the broader macroeconomic landscape – thinking about geopolitical tensions, persistent inflation concerns, the insatiable central bank demand, and the future path of monetary policy – continues to lean very much in gold's favor. Going forward, traders and investors will be keeping a very close eye on central bank statements, inflation reports, and any new geopolitical developments for the next big cues on Gold's direction.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
American Airlines Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 061625Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 10.6/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Ethereum Wave Analysis – 16 June 2025
- Ethereum moving inside sideways price range
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 2754.00
Ethereum cryptocurrency recently reversed up from the support zone between the support level 2435,00 (lower border of the active narrow sideways price range from May), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from May.
The upward reversal from this support zone continues the active minor impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from last month.
Ethereum can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 2754.00 (upper border of the active sideways price range).
EFIH - anther chance - low risk EGX:EFIH - 1-Day Timeframe
A bullish pattern emerged on Feb 13, but prices adjusted after the 3/2 stock split on Jun 02. Key levels:
- Entry: ~11.00
- Stop loss: 10.00 (7.00% loss)
- Support: 10.60 (6-month low)
- Targets:
- T1: 13.38 (22.24% profit)
- T2: 15.00 (37.12% profit)
This is not investment advice—only my analysis based on chart data. Consult your account manager before investing. Good luck!
XAUUSD Elliotwaves update: Is wave 4 complete?On our previous view we were expecting a wave c to the upside that will complete wave B of higher degree. It looks like wave B is completed with an ending diagonal. Now what I am anticipating is price to drop to complete wave 4 in higher degree. However, if wave 4 is complete then the move up might be a leading diagonal for wave 1 of 5. But all in all the the current bias is to the downside and therefore to take advantage of the move to the downside one should find areas where price will find resistance for a possible sell opportunity.
LUTS - out of box ( T1 10% VS SL 2% )EGX:LUTS timeframe 1 day
Created Bullish Gartley pattern, so we may see action price in this point.
Entry level around 0.573 ( prices now at 0.557 )
Stop loss 0.54 ( estimated loss 5.55% )
First target at 0.629 ( estimated profit 10.00% )
Second target 0.702 ( estimated profit 22.50% )
Third target 0.754 ( estimated profit 31.55% )
NOTE : this data according to timeframe 1 day.
Also MACD show positive diversion that may support our idea.
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
GOLD → Hunting for liquidity before continued growthFX:XAUUSD has been correcting since the start of the session. The fundamental background is complicated due to the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East.
The price of gold briefly retreated from a two-month high above $3,450 amid a recovery in the dollar and investor caution. Escalating tensions between Israel and Iran are dampening risk appetite, while markets await decisions from the Fed and the Bank of Japan. Expectations of a dovish Fed continue to support interest in gold, but fresh impetus is needed for further gains.
Technically, the market is bullish. Gold is forming a correction to the key support and liquidity zone amid an uptrend. The price is within the range, and a retest of 3400 could trigger growth.
Support levels: 3408, 3400
Resistance levels: 3446, 3500
A retest of support and liquidity capture amid the current challenging situation (high interest in the metal) and a bullish trend could support the price, allowing gold to continue its growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Buyback bar. Chance of growth to 108,000BINANCE:BTCUSDT is trading in a fairly wide range of 100,600 - 110,400. The market is stagnating due to fundamental uncertainty, but the risks of a decline are quite high...
After the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, Bitcoin broke the bullish structure on the market and managed to test the local level of 102500, from where a fairly aggressive phase of buying out the fall began within one trading session. The market is defending the structure quite aggressively. The chart shows a local range forming with strong levels at 102500 and 106200. Accordingly, the price may remain in this range for a long time (in which case an intraday trading strategy can be considered). However, if Bitcoin starts to stick to one of the boundaries, then we can consider the price leaving the range, but based on the structure of the uptrend, correction, and the formation of a buyback bar, it would be logical to see an attempt to break through resistance with the aim of continuing growth.
Resistance levels: 106200, 108200, 110400
Support levels: 102500, 100600
On D1, there are no prerequisites for a strong decline. The market is buying up knives and trying to stay afloat (in consolidation). In the medium term, there may be an attempt to retest 102500 - 100600 due to the liquidity pool. But locally, the market may form an attempt to grow to 108200
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Correction and liquidity capture ahead of growthFX:NZDUSD , following a sharp decline during the Pacific-Asian session, is testing the support of the upward trend and the liquidity zone...
The dollar is correcting amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. This is a temporary move, and the market may return to its main trend. The currency pair is forming a false breakdown of support
Against the backdrop of an uptrend and a weak dollar, the currency pair is testing support at 0.6000. The reaction is weak at the moment, but there is a chance for growth if the price consolidates above 0.6020. I do not rule out a retest of the liquidity zone at 0.5989 before growth
Support levels: 0.6000, 0.5989
Resistance levels: 0.6068
The inability to continue falling and the formation of a local reversal structure relative to 0.6000 (price consolidation above 0.6020) may support the market. I do not rule out that the market may decline to the liquidity zone of 0.5989 before rising.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NVDA: Fractal Wave BreakdownBreaking above Rounding Top Pattern after rejections.
Wave transformed from pullback to impulsive one, which implies that the emerging structure needs to be routed to relative cycle.
Waveform
Referral structure looks like compressed version of decline after ATH.
As if the movement of big magnitude that pierces through SL levels, causes "shockwaves" that resets frequency of reversals of forthcoming waves.
Fibonacci interconnection of ATH and Bottom
USD/CAD Plunges Towards Initial SupportUSD/CAD broke below key support last week with price attempting to mark a third consecutive weekly loss. A break of multi-year uptrend threatens further losses here with confluent support now within striking distance at 1.3504/23- a region defined by the 1.618% extension of the February decline and the 78.6% retracement of the late-2023 advance. Note that channel support converges on this threshold over the next few weeks- risk for possible exhaustion / price inflection into this zone.
Resistance now back at 1.3720/95 with bearish invalidation steady at 1.3958/77. A break below this pivot zone exposes the 2024 LWC at 1.3360 and the 2023 LWC at 1.3218.
-MB
$ORCL Overextended After Hitting 423.6% Fib ExpansionOracle had a post earnings run up not ever seen before in the Companies history. As of now price has moved up nearly ~$100 since the April 8th lows, and now sit at the 423.6% expansion level off a 78.6% retracement. Time to look for Oracle to come in.
Oil (WTI) – Geo-Political Concerns Drive SentimentA quickly escalating conflict in the Middle East between Israel and Iran has seen Oil (WTI) volatility increase dramatically as the focus for traders has shifted overnight from worries about an on-going lack of demand due to a slowing global economy over to major supply concerns moving forward from this oil rich region.
This shift has seen Oil trade from lows of 60.17 on May 30th, to an early Monday high of 76.31, as weekend attacks by Israel on Iran's energy infrastructure introduced more uncertainty at the start of this new trading week regarding Israel's future strategy in this conflict. Prices have since settled down and moved back towards 72.80 (0830 BST) at time of writing but looking forward traders may need to balance the potential for further escalation/duration of this conflict against extra Oil production/supply from OPEC+ and the US.
Also important for Oil prices across the week could be the outcome of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision (Wed 1900 BST) and Press Conference (Wed 1930 BST). No change to interest rates is expected, but the updates from Fed policymakers to their inflation and interest rate expectations for the rest of 2025 could have a major impact on risk sentiment, the dollar and anticipated Oil demand.
Technical Update: Utilising Bollinger Bands
A rise in tensions in the Middle East last week prompted a sharp acceleration higher in the price of Oil. This saw price volatility increase, reflected by the widening upper and lower Bollinger bands and prices trading to levels last seen in late January 2025, as the chart below shows.
Traders will now likely be wondering if this type of price strength can continue, or if prices can enter a correction phase, even possibly a more extended period of price weakness.
Much will clearly depend on future market sentiment and price trends, and on any easing or escalation in geo-political tensions. However, with this in mind let's consider what may be the relevant support and resistance levels .
Potential Resistance Levels:
As the chart shows below, interestingly, last weeks price strength stalled against 75.99, which is equal to the February 3rd session high and with a setback in price developing from it so far today, this might be viewed by some as a potential first resistance.
As such, while not a guarantee of further price strength, closing breaks above 75.99 may be a sign of continued upside momentum towards 81.01, which is the January 15th price high and a potential next resistance focus for traders.
Potential Support Levels:
After such a strong advance in price, it might be harder to establish support levels, although, Fibonacci retracement levels on the recent May 30th to June 16th upside move in price, might prove useful. These retracement levels are highlighted on the chart below.
The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the price strength stands at 70.12 and this might prove to be a possible first support focus, if price weakness is seen over coming days. Closing breaks below 70.12, if seen, may then lead to declines towards 66.32, the deeper 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
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