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Fibonacci

ELLIOTT WAVE EURUSD H4 update EW Trade Set Up H4 subminuette W4 seems finished monitor the breakout of the descending channel that appears to contain wave IV The bullish movement that started on July 17th must assume a 5-wave pattern key levels (area) 1.1705 1.1684 POC 1.1654 note : the breakout upwards of the leading span B (red line) by the lagging span (green line) will confirm the start of a bullish movement in the subminuette wave v. Failure to break above price levels 1.1684 and 1.1705 will result in a recalculation of the waves count
by francescoforex
$SILVER: Fractal Geometry (Cycle 2001-2020)Research Notes Working out probabilistic texture using multiple fibonacci channels on just 3 coordinates of fractal cycle (late 2001 - 2020) on linear scale (on log chart it would still be relevant, so you can switch to view with right click on price scale for selection). To describe behavior of price and key levels on smaller scale starting from covid we'll use L-H-L: Using coordinates to express surface area of broken cycle with fibs mimicking rise, fall and side mapping cycle: I'd look for patterns of bullish exhaustion only after price crosses the curve.
TVC:SILVER
by fract
5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/25/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23420.50 - PR Low: 23385.00 - NZ Spread: 79.5 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Durable Goods Orders Session open ATH break and retrace Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 7/25) - Session Open ATR: 248.86 - Volume: 20K - Open Int: 274K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -0.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23811 - Mid: 22096 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by mv3trader5
GOLD → Countertrend correction. Where will growth begin?FX:XAUUSD faced pressure in the 3430 zone, traders moved into profit-taking mode, triggering a correction. The price entered the sell-off zone... On Thursday, gold is trading below $3400 as traders assess progress in US-EU trade talks and await preliminary PMI data from the US and the EU. These indicators could influence expectations for Fed and ECB rates. Optimism is being bolstered by reports of trade agreements between the US and Japan and other countries. The ECB is expected to keep rates unchanged, while the probability of a Fed rate cut in September is estimated at 60%. Investors are also watching Trump's conflict with Powell amid his visit to the Fed. Technically, the daily market structure is not broken, and a correction is forming within acceptable limits. Based on the current direction, the market may test the intermediate bottom: trend support, the 3345-3320 area. Resistance levels: 3375, 3383, 3400. Support levels: 3345, 3320 A retest of resistance at 3375-3383 is possible. If the bears keep the price below this zone, the metal may continue its correction phase towards the zone of interest indicated on the chart. Local sell-offs have not yet broken the bullish daily structure. However, the absence of a downward impulse and consolidation in 3375 - 3383 with a subsequent breakout of local resistance could increase demand again, which would generally lead to premature growth to 3400 - 3435. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
Elliott Wave Outlook: AMD Expects Pullback Soon Before RallyThe Advanced Micro Devices Inc., (AMD) favors rally in impulse Elliott Wave sequence from 4.09.2025 low & expect upside in to 168.36 – 190.36 to finish it. Impulse sequence unfolds in 5, 9, 13, 17…., swings & ends with momentum divergence. In daily, it ended pullback in 3 swings at 75.22 low in blue box area from March-2024 high. It is trading higher in nest & expect 13 swings to finish the impulse ((1)) before correcting next. Currently, it favors rally in 7th swing in daily & expect end soon in to 165.63 – 179.16 area before correcting in (4) as 8th swing. In 4-hour, it ended (1) of ((1)) at 97.91 high, (2) at 83.75 low in 4.21.2025 & favors rally in (3) as extended wave. Within (3), it placed 1 at 122.52 high, 2 at 107.09 low, 3 at 162.36 high, 4 at 149.34 low of 7.22.2025 & favors rally in 5. It is showing higher high since April-2025 low. Below 3 high of 162.36, it ended 4 pullback in double three correction at 149.34 low. It ended ((w)) at 155.81 low, ((x)) at 160.34 high & ((y)) at 149.34 low. Above 4 low, it favors rally in ((i)) of 5 in to 165.44 – 170.43 before correcting next. Within ((i)), it ended (i) at 155.53 high, (ii) at 152.66 low, (iii) at 161.20 high, (iv) at 158.36 low & favor higher in (v). It appears three swings in (v) & expect pullback before final push above 161.52 low before correcting in ((ii)). Alternatively, the current cycle from 4 low can be 5 of (3) before it corrects in (4). In either the case, the next pullback should remain supported. In 4-hour, it is trading in 11th swing & expect pullback in 12th swings later before final rally. We like to buy the pullback in 3, 7 or 11 swings at extreme area for the upside in ((1)).
NASDAQ:AMD
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
$XAUUSD: Macro InterconnectionsResearch Notes Linking historic surface area and coordinates of consistent geometric expressions to document and learn more about the "texture" of self-organizing processes. The topology assumes that current price is a result of all history together that took to make the price end up where it is. The fastest shortcut to figure out fractal hierarchy of waves and general direction is through Fractal wave marker . Since angle of highs cycle is broken and price stayed above it for long time. That means it would be better to strip the chart starting from the lower levels, in order to get better coordinates for structural basis. FWM helps to spot that distinctive part of broken waves that enables visual orientation in the rhythm. They manifest in its closest formative across cycles. The angle that links the pattern through the time can have deterministic property, therefore we can use that direction for fibonacci channels to fill the gaps. The fact that on log scale the bits from bullish phase of cycles contracted on price scale, I'd orientate with thin fibonacci channels (that is based on angle of lows of macro-cycle applied to previous ATH. There are some other interconnection that are being tested.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by fract
1
ATLAS ENERGY Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 072425Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 13.2/61.80% Chart time frame:B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress:C A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
NYSE:AESI
by fibonacci6180
RPC Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 072425Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 4.6/61.80% Chart time frame:B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress:A A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
NYSE:RES
by fibonacci6180
LIBERTY ENERGY Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 072425Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 11.6/61.80% Chart time frame:B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress:A A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
NYSE:LBRT
by fibonacci6180
Is $PENGU Cooling Off?CSECY:PENGU continues to deliver, respecting structure and printing some clean price action. After breaking out of consolidation beneath the LOI at 0.032, price extended sharply, reaching as high as 0.0469—where we just saw a firm rejection, previously identified in the last update. That level wasn’t random. It aligned with a Most Likely Target (MLT) for a wave 5 at a lesser degree and a wave 3 at a higher degree. That kind of confluence usually draws in some heat—and it did. So what now? The conservative bull outlook is that we may be entering a wave 4. How this pullback unfolds could tell us a lot. The last retrace was shallow, and if this one digs a bit deeper or breaks certain levels with pattern clarity, that might signal a higher degree wave 4 is underway. The key level here is the 0.0325 level we were watching before. The raging bull scenario is that we’re still in a lesser degree impulse up. A hold and bounce off the key level could be enough to continue the move higher. But I’m watching the conservative outlook here until we get more print. Here’s what I’m watching: • Wave 4 Behavior Is this a pause or a pivot? The next leg depends on how corrective this gets. • 0.027 A break here would raise eyebrows. That’s a deeper level of interest and could hint at something more than a minor pullback. • Pattern Depth & Structure Each retrace tells a story. More complex wave 4s tend to show themselves through drawn-out corrections or deeper fib targets. I’m still holding partial from the original 0.012 entry, having taken some profit on the way up. If we get a clean W4 print, I’ll be scouting for the next add. Trade what’s printed. Stay flexible. Let the wave show its hand. Trade Safe. Trade Clarity.
Long
by CryptoKnee
1
EURCAD Wave Analysis – 24 July 2025- EURCAD reversed from support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 1.6100 EURCAD currency pair earlier reversed up from the support zone between the key support level 1.5950 (former monthly high from April), 20-day moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from May. The upward reversal from this support zone started the active minor impulse wave iii – which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from the end of 2024. Given the overriding daily uptrend, EURCAD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.6100 (which stopped the previous impulse wave i in June).
Long
by FxProGlobal
BTC/USD 4H Chart Review📊 Technical Structure (Symmetrical Triangle) Formation: The symmetrical triangle (orange lines) remains intact—price continues to move within it. Approaching the apex: The closer to the intersection of the triangle's arms, the greater the probability of a breakout. The current candle is testing the upper boundary of the formation (around $119,300), but has not yet broken it. Direction: The formation is neutral, but tension is increasing. A breakout of either line (the upper boundary ≈$119,500 or the lower boundary ≈$117,700) could trigger a dynamic move with a range of around $3,000 (the height of the triangle at its widest point). 🧱 Support and Resistance Levels (Red and Green Lines) Type Level (USD) Description Resistance 123205 All-Time High – Possible Target After an Upward Breakout Resistance 120556 Local Resistance – Triangle Breakout Range Resistance 119200–119300 Currently Tested Level Support 117752 Lower Triangle Boundary – Critical Defense Line Support 115764 Next Local Support 📈 Technical Indicators 🔵 RSI (Relative Strength Index) Currently: ~55 – indicates a neutral situation, having broken down from the overbought level (~74). Indicates that the market has temporarily cooled down after a previous impulse. There is still room for further upward movement without exceeding 70. 🔵 MACD The MACD and signal lines are approaching a crossover – if the MACD crosses the signal line upward, it could be a bullish signal. The histogram is slightly positive – indicating weak but growing bullish momentum. 📊 Volume Slightly increasing in the last candles – no confirmation of a strong breakout yet, but upward pressure is building. 🧠 Interpretation Scenario Technical Conditions Movement Objective 🔼 Upward Breakout Candlestick close above $119,500 USD 122,000–$123,200 USD 🔽 Downward Breakout Close below 117,750 and confirmed by volume at 115,700, then 114,000 USD 🔄 Consolidation Inconclusive, continued sideways movement Between $117,700 and $119,500 USD ✅ Summary Bitcoin is still in a neutral symmetrical triangle formation but is approaching a turning point. The RSI has broken out of the overbought range, and the MACD is signaling a potential upside breakout. Volume confirmation is still lacking, but technical conditions favor the bulls – if it manages to break above 119,500 and hold above, a move towards 122,000–123,000 USD can be expected. In the event of a rejection, maintaining 117750 will be key; breaking it opens the way to 115700 and below.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
ETH Analysis (1W)Here I am, presenting the asset I personally dislike the most — ETH. But the chart doesn’t care about feelings. ETH looks ultra bullish, but only if it breaks above the $4,125 level. Why this level? The $3,800–$4,100 range has historically acted as a major distribution zone — a place where market participants have consistently taken profit for years. If this resistance is finally broken, we could see ETH rally toward $6,900 as a minimum target. This level is based on the breakout projection of the long-standing macro structure. Honestly, the target looks even better than the asset itself :) Good Luck.
Long
by vs_sayin
1
XAUUSD - Bullish Direction BiasThe Gold USD market on the 15-minute timeframe shows a notable downtrend followed by a retracement phase. The price is currently moving in a potential reversal structure with key areas marked as possible retracement or continuation points. The chart highlights multiple potential support and resistance zones, indicated with small orange boxes, which mark anticipated areas for price reactions during the expected short-term moves. The trading plan anticipates price to move upward towards these intermediate zones sequentially, with each zone acting as a minor resistance before price attempts to continue its bullish retracement. After reaching the higher target zone near 3424, a reversal or new wave is expected to unfold, potentially resuming the downtrend. This plan emphasizes careful monitoring of price action at these key zones to confirm reversal or continuation signals. Traders should look for confirmation signals like pin bars, candle patterns, or volume clues at each zone before entering the trade. Risk management involves setting appropriate stops beyond these resistance zones to protect against false breakouts or sudden trend changes. This approach uses a combination of technical levels, price action confirmation, and careful zone analysis to guide trading decisions in a fast-moving market.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD.TVLong
by famousone_chn
AUD/USD Bulls Eye BreakoutThe Australian Dollar surged more than 1.8% this week with AUD/USD now testing multi-month uptrend resistance at fresh yearly highs. A four-day rally takes price into confluent resistance at the September low / upper parallel at 6622- The focus is on today’s close with the immediate advance vulnerable while below this key slope. Subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 2019 low at 6671 and the 78.6% retracement of the broader 2024 decline at 6723. Initial support rests with the July open at 6581 and is backed by the May high-day close (HDC) / weekly open at 6486-6506. Losses would need to be limited to this region for the late-June advance to remain viable (near-term bullish invalidation). Subsequent support seen at the June low-day close (LDC) at 6458 with a break below 6350 ultimately needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / larger reversal is underway. Bottom line: A breakout of the July opening-range takes AUD/USD into confluent uptrend resistance- risk for topside exhaustion / price inflection here. From a trading standpoint, a good zone to reduce portions of long-exposure / raise protective stops – losses shudl be limited to 6486 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above this slope needed to fuel the next leg of the advance. Keep in mind the FOMC interest rate decision is on tap next week with Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFPs) slated into the monthly cross. Stay nimble into the releases and watch the weekly closes here. -MB
by FOREXcom
2
Bond Bulls Smell Blood: 20-Year Yields Likely to Fall🧩 Fundamental Bear Case for 20-Year Yields 1. Recession Risk and Slowing Growth Leading economic indicators (e.g., ISM Manufacturing, Conference Board LEI) continue to suggest softening demand across key sectors. A recession or significant slowdown would drive capital into long-duration Treasuries, causing yields to fall as bond prices rise. Historically, 20-year yields fall 200–300bps from cycle peaks during recessions. With yields near 5%, there is ample downside room. 2. Federal Reserve Policy Pivot The Fed’s hiking cycle appears to be at or near its terminal point. Rate cuts in 2025 are increasingly priced in, especially as inflation moderates. If inflation continues to decelerate toward the Fed’s 2% target while growth slows, the Fed may be forced to ease sooner or more aggressively than expected. Long-duration bonds, including the 20Y, are highly sensitive to forward rate expectations and would benefit from a dovish pivot. 3. Disinflationary Trends Core inflation metrics (e.g., Core PCE, Core CPI) are in year-over-year decline. Key disinflationary forces: Wage pressures have eased as labor markets normalize. Housing costs, which lag in CPI data, are projected to fall further. Supply chain normalization continues post-COVID. These factors reduce the need for elevated long-term yields, especially with inflation expectations anchored. 4. Supply-Demand Dynamics Favor Treasuries Despite large Treasury issuance, global demand remains strong: Foreign buyers (e.g., Japan, EU) seek higher yields as their home rates remain low or negative. U.S. institutions (pensions, insurance funds) are rebalancing into risk-free long bonds amid equity volatility. A risk-off rotation or broader de-leveraging cycle would only accelerate this demand. 🔍 Technical Summary Rising wedge pattern is nearing a potential breakdown — a bearish structure signaling exhaustion. Price is failing to reclaim the previous uptrend channel, now acting as resistance. A completed harmonic AB=CD pattern near recent highs suggests a mean-reverting move could be imminent. Closest technical targets include: 4.33% (23.6% Fib) 3.68% (38.2% Fib) Possibly even 3.16% (50% retracement) over the next 6–12 months if macro weakness persists. 📌 Bottom Line The combination of: Cooling inflation A Fed pivot on the horizon Rising recession risk And technical exhaustion signals Supports a bearish outlook for 20-year yields, meaning bond prices (especially long-duration instruments like TMF or TLT) could appreciate meaningfully from here.
TVC:US20YShort
by JoshuaDanford