$TRAC @trac_btc #Ordinals — Beginning of a Wyckoff AccumulationPOLONIEX:TRACUSDT @trac_btc #Ordinals 👀
— Possibly the beginning of a Wyckoff Accumulation Range—Schematic #1 or #2 are my base case for now.
If the local range POC holds as the LPS (Last Point of Support), then Schematic #2 is in play. If it’s lost, the probability shifts toward a new low and a SPRING.
Fibonacci
XAUUSD morning analysisBullish case for XAUUSD.
This count has price in wave 5 of (3) of ((5)).
Based on how price has responded to the pitchfork drawn, I am anticipating the upper boundary
to see profit taking and be the end of wave (3). Measured moves with Fibonacci could have price challenge $3300-3350 area if upper boundary is not resistance.
Anticipated wave (4) to be a zigzag down towards $2600 (recession in 2025?).
If all this plays out, I would expect wave (5) of ((5)) to be quite exaggerated (think 1976-1980's 773% increase), with target north of $10k by 2030.
$SAFE ─ Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic #1This slightly wider range is now a real possibility.
In general Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic #1 is my primary idea.
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Note:
This is the most positive outcome possible.
As always, my play is:
✅ 50% out at TP1
✅ Move SL to entry
✅ Pre-set the rest of the position across remaining TPs
It's important to take profits along the way and not turn a winning trade into a losing trade. You can always re-enter—there is always another trade ahead.
$SPX @spx6900 Trading RangeSP:SPX - HTF global range is in play at the moment.
I was bearish on SP:SPX for some time, but the speed of the dump exceeded my expectations for sure.
SP:SPX bounced from the very last key level. If the current low is lost, things could get very ugly.
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Note:
Long trade projection is the most positive outcome possible.
As always, my play is:
✅ 50% out at TP1
✅ Move SL to entry
✅ Pre-set the rest of the position across remaining TPs
It's important to take profits along the way and not turn a winning trade into a losing trade.
“Gold’s Resilience: Sustaining the Long-Term Uptrend”XAUUSD remains in an uptrend and is estimated to be in wave (v) of wave ; more specifically, it is currently within wave iv of wave (v).
In the short term, XAUUSD is expected to undergo a correction toward the 2,948–2,989 area. However, in the broader outlook, I anticipate further upside movement toward the 3,091–3,161 level.
what goes up must come down eventuallyI see a potential for gold to make a big pullback of about 2000-3000pips in up coming months.
A few factors of fundamentals in place is that gold need to make a discount before climbing further.
with the new cabinets of US and trump restructuring the port folio of the system that may seems a little haywire now but he's previous holding has shown great impact in USD doing well for a certain period hence I believe USD is ready for its strengthening that relatively giving a short bearish season for GOLD.
when can it be? NO body will know it however its good for us to be prepared and adjust our strategies accordingly.
“IDX Composite Index: Assessing the Depth of the Downtrend”The IDX Composite Index is expected to remain under pressure, forming wave of wave A. The nearest corrective target for the index is projected in the 5,879–5,975.
This outlook aligns with prevailing market sentiments, as Indonesia’s economic and political landscape has yet to support a trend reversal. Additionally, global sentiment remains negative, further weighing on the index.
BITCOIN → Flag (consolidation) before falling to 78-73KBINANCE:BTCUSD is consolidating after a short-squeeze relative to 85-87K. A bearish set-up is being formed, the break of which may strengthen further decline to the key target of 73K
A symmetrical triangle is forming within the downtrend on D1, a breakdown of this structure may strengthen the decline. Locally, within the channel a flag - bearish figure is formed (on the local TF false uptrend, the crowd enters to buy from the support or at the break of local resistance, at accumulation of the necessary potential the big player removes the limit order and releases the price, which is dispersed by liquidation of traders), regarding 85K-86.6K the liquidity capture is formed and the price returns to the selling zone. Consolidation below 85K may trigger a breakdown of the figure support and further fall to 80K-78K
Fundamentally: the market sells off any positive news very quickly (negative background is created):
crypto summits, (Trump said nothing new at the second summit)
positive resolutions of problems (for example between SEC and XRP, or removal of restrictions from local exchanges)
crypto reserve
The only nuance, bitcoin's dominance index is still high despite the price drop...
Resistance levels: 85150, 866700, 89400
Support levels: 82K, 80K, 78200
There are no positive signs for growth. The zone where we can consider a trend reversal ( if something supernatural happens ) is 89-91K, but it is very far away.
But now I would consider a breakdown of the flag, or 83.5 - 82.5 and price consolidation below this zone with the purpose of further fall to the local important level 78173. Then another consolidation or correction is possible before a further fall to 73.5K
Regards R. Linda!
$SPY March 24, 2025AMEX:SPY March 24, 2025
15 Minutes.
Gap down open on 21st was not strong as gap was covered by close of day.
The fib move for downside was achieved by gap down hence no trade.
Now for the fall 570.57 to 558.03 566 is level to watch.
For the rise 558.72 to 564.89 561-562 is number to watch.
So, a short at 565-566 will have a target 562 -563 levels.
I will wait for Monday open before entering a trade.
GM Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 032125Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 48/61.80%
Chart time frame: C
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
IREDA (Indian Renewable Energy) - Elliott Wave AnalysisCurrent Market Structure:
The chart suggests that IREDA is undergoing a Wave (2) correction after completing a strong impulsive Wave (1).
The corrective phase is labeled as an A-B-C structure, indicating a possible end to the pullback in the coming weeks or months.
Wave Count & Key Levels:
Wave A initiated the downward correction, followed by Wave B retracement, and now Wave C is in progress, subdividing into a five-wave pattern.
The projected completion zone for Wave (2) is highlighted in the ₹50–₹80 range, aligning with Fibonacci extensions and previous structural support.
An additional 1.618 Fibonacci extension target is placed near ₹23.78, though this would be an extreme case.
Outlook & Strategy:
If the price reaches the projected support zone and shows a strong reversal, it could indicate the beginning of a Wave (3) uptrend.
A confirmed break above key resistance levels and trendlines would strengthen the bullish case.
However, if selling pressure continues, a deeper correction toward the extreme target cannot be ruled out.
🚨 Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading signals. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst or advisor. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any financial decisions. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. I may be completely wrong in my analysis. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
USDCHF Wave Analysis – 21 March 2025
- USDCHF reversed from support level 0,8750
- Likely to fall to support level 208.00
USDCHF currency pair recently reversed from the pivotal support level 0,8750 (former strong support from December and the start of March) standing close to the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from September.
The upward reversal from the support level 0,8750 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Morning Star.
USDCHF can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.8850 (top of the previous minor correction ii).
BNB/USDT 1D chart, target and stop-lossHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BNB chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price came out of the top of the ongoing downward trend.
Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = $ 646
T2 = $ 683
Т3 = $ 732
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = $ 592
SL2 = $ 558
SL3 = $ 535
SL4 = $ 505
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
As we entered the upper part of the range again, however, there is still a place for the price to go higher, giving more targets.
EURUSD | 4H | WAIT BREAKOUTHey there, Traders,
I’ve put together an analysis for EUR/USD. Right now, I’m watching it like a hunter, waiting for a breakout. As soon as it happens, I’ll drop updates right here under this analysis.
Big thanks to everyone who supports me with likes—you guys are awesome!
God bless you all
Bitcoin at a Turning Point: Rally or Reversal?Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading within a upward channel, consistently making higher lows, a strong indication of bullish market structure. This suggests that buyers are still in control, and as long as BTC respects this pattern, the bias remains bullish, favoring a continuation to the upside.
At the moment, BTC is experiencing a pullback from recent highs and is now approaching a critical support zone. This level aligns with several important technical factors, making it a potential turning point in the current trend.
Key Factors Supporting a Potential Bounce:
Upward Channel Structure
BTC has remained inside a clearly defined ascending channel, where price action has respected both the lower and upper trendlines multiple times. As long as BTC stays within this structure and continues to form higher lows, the trend remains bullish.
Golden Pocket Fibonacci Retracement (0.618 - 0.65 Level)
The golden pocket is one of the most significant Fibonacci retracement levels, often acting as strong dynamic support. Historically, this zone has been a high-probability area for reversals in trending markets. With BTC now approaching this area, there is a strong possibility that buyers could step in, leading to a bounce back toward higher levels.
Confluence of Key Support Levels
The Fibonacci golden pocket aligns closely with the lower boundary of the ascending channel, reinforcing this zone as an area of potential support.
There are also previous horizontal support levels in this region, adding further confluence to the idea that BTC could hold this level and bounce.
Potential for Bullish Continuation
If BTC finds support at the golden pocket and reacts positively, we could see another leg to the upside within the channel. In this scenario:
Price could bounce off the lower trendline and move toward the midline of the channel.
If momentum continues, BTC could ultimately target the upper boundary of the channel, potentially leading to new highs.
Bearish Breakdown Scenario – When to Be Cautious
While the bullish structure is still intact, it is essential to consider the potential risks if BTC fails to hold the support zone.
If BTC breaks below the lower boundary of the channel and closes a bearish candle below support, this could be an early signal of a trend reversal. A breakdown of this structure would indicate that bullish momentum is weakening, and further downside could follow.
In this scenario:
BTC could start making lower lows, shifting the trend from bullish to bearish.
The next logical downside targets would be deeper Fibonacci retracement levels or previous swing lows, where buyers may attempt to step in again.
A confirmed breakdown would invalidate the current bullish thesis and could lead to increased selling pressure.
How to Approach This Trade Idea
Bullish Case: If BTC finds support at the golden pocket and forms a strong bullish reaction (such as a clear rejection wick, bullish engulfing candle, or higher low), this would signal a potential bounce. This could present a good long opportunity, targeting the midline or upper boundary of the channel.
Bearish Case: If BTC closes a strong bearish candle below the channel, it would indicate a potential trend shift. In this case, traders should exercise caution, as further downside could be expected.
Final Thoughts
This is a critical area for BTC, as it decides whether the bullish trend continues or a reversal is imminent. The market’s reaction at the golden pocket level will be key. Traders should wait for confirmation before making any moves watching for strong rejection signals for a bullish bounce or a clear breakdown below the channel for a bearish shift.
For now, BTC is still respecting its bullish structure, but this key level will determine whether that trend holds or breaks.
GOLD → Consolidation (correction) before growth to $3100FX:XAUUSD is going into consolidation after strong growth on the back of dollar correction. The metal may test deeper support areas before attempting a new high
Gold is correcting, but remains in an uptrend
The decline in quotations may be seen as a buying opportunity, given the economic uncertainty due to Trump's tariffs and expectations of Fed rate cuts.
The Fed reiterated its forecast of two rate cuts in 2025 despite Powell's cautious comments. Gold is further supported by rising inflation risks and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Resistance levels: 3045, 3057
Support levels: 3024, trending, 3004
Reaction to support is weakening, even amid the uptrend. Gold may stay in this consolidation until the middle of next week, or it may try to break out of the consolidation to retest deeper support zones, such as the rising trend line or the 3004 imbalance zone, from which the growth may resume.
Regards R. Linda!