NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/14/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 22103.25
- PR Low: 22070.00
- NZ Spread: 74.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Retail Sales (Core|MoM)
Previous session print advertising momentum above 22000 daily pivot
- Holding auction just above previous session high
- Next key level in sight is ATH 22450
Session Open Stats (As of 1:35 AM 2/14)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 375.09
- Volume: 27K
- Open Int: 277K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Fibonacci
$SPY February 14, 2025AMEX:SPY February 14, 2025
15 Minutes.
As expected, once box was broken yesterday AMEX:SPY continued to make upward movement.
For the rise 598.52 to 607.49 to 605 61.8% extension was nearly done. Once 611 is crossed we can expect some resistance around 612-614 levels.
611-612 will be a good number to short as 4SPY in 15 minutes is getting away from 200 and 100 moving averages.
If uptrend continue today, then near close short around 612 +-1 will be good for Monday SL 614.5.
At the moment there is slight oscillator divergence in 15 minutes so need some more uptrend to short.
So, for the day for the last rise from 605 to 609.94 holding 606-607 is important for 610-612 as target.
Below 606 at the moment target is 603-604 levels.
Ready for 6.5% on the 10Y T-Bill?It’s been a while since I’ve posted an Idea, however since the market may be at a pivotal point I thought I’d do a quick analysis on the $US10Y. Using elliott wave and fibonacci ratios as my base logic, I predict that we could see a 6.5% or higher 10 year T-bill in the near future.
The fib extension above is based off 1.00 of Primary waves 0-3. I’m counting that we are in the early stages of the 5th and final wave, which is commonly 61.8% of waves 0-3 in length.
My wave count is supported by the DMI indicator and the 50sma (Blue) & 100sma (yellow). The yield is still above the moving averages, signaling a continuation to the upside. Primary wave 4 was a zig zag (A-B-C) pattern in a slightly descending channel, which has a tendency to break to the upside. With inflation proving stubborn and a looming trade war providing a backdrop that is concerning to investors, it is time we get back into the mindset that the inflation battle isn’t quite over yet. Yields are rising across the world and the US is no exception.
AIRSWAP Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 021325Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 0.07/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
CYCLE 4 | UPDATE - BTC Possible Next Move into Sell ZoneA quick chart to outline BTCs possible next move up if bulls take control again as we enter in March out of the current consolidation zone.
What we would be looking for in this scenario is a retest and hold of the below 20W SMA | 21W EMA, sweeping our prior low of the current range. See daily charts below.
Daily Chart(S) Showing 1.618 Over Extension
Daily Chart(S) Showing 1.618 Over Extension & Daily Order Block
Back on the weekly, this will allow BTC to rest back down to the lower RSI line, hopefully put in some divergent behavior and push BTC up to our long term tracking Sell Zone area and the 1.618 Fix Extension region.
#ALCN - Egyptian stock#ALCN time frame 1 DAY
Going to Create a bearish Gartley pattern
Sell point at 24.00
Stop loss / reentry 24.35
First target at 22.88
Second target 22.22 up to 21.70 ( estimated profit up to 8% ).
NOTE : this data according to time frame 1 DAY
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
#KRDI - Egyptian stock#KRDI time frame 1 hour
created a bullish Gartley pattern
Entry level around 0.59
Stop loss 0.575 ( estimated loss -2% ) -5% from currant prices
First target at 0.611 ( estimated profit around 4% ) achieved
Second target 0.633( estimated profit around 8% )
Third target 0.659 ( estimated profit 12% )
Note : First target already achieved so it will be good chance if prices fall back into entry zone.
NOTE : this data according to time frame I hour
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
BNB - will there be enough time for further growth in this cycleHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BNB. When we enter the one-month interval, we can see how the price, after a long period of bearishness, turned into an upward trend in which it came out on top of the long-term downward trend line. Currently, we can see the movement along the upward trend line, which is also a support line for declines.
Here we can see how the price is currently based on support at $ 670, however, if this support is broken, we can then see the price quickly descending again to the area of a strong support zone from $ 540 to $ 460.
Looking the other way, we can see that when the trend reverses, we first have a resistance zone from $ 744 to $ 810, only when we come out on top of this zone can we see further movement towards $ 893, which may open the way towards another strong resistance in the area of $ 1134.
The RSI indicator shows that we are staying above the upper limit, which could potentially indicate an approaching larger rebound, but before that we may still see an attempt at growth so that the indicator reaches its previous highs.
GBPJPY | 15M | SELL LIMIT ORDER Don't forget to press like if you want to receive updates of this analysis. 🚀
SIGNAL ALERT
SELL LIMIT ORDER - GBPJPY ( OANDA:GBPJPY ) | 193,450 OR 192,146
🟢TP1: 192,000
🟢TP2: 191,840
🟢TP3: 190,753
🔴SL: 193,559
RISK REWARD - 1,51
Thanks to everyone who supports my analysis with likes.🫡
Solana Battle Plan Update 3: Price to reverse at Local HighThis is my 4th idea looking at Solana with Ethereum as a pattern, benchmark, or comparison. I used this pattern to identify downside targets and potential reversals and now I am using it to call a local high. This is basic and fundamental charting.
Both charts show a 5 impulse Elliot Wave to the upside. With such a clear pattern and impulsive move we don’t see a continuation pattern yet. We Solana does not show an ascending triangle, a cup and handle, or even a symmetrical triangle. Without a continuation pattern we must suspect price will stall at a previous support. Seeing where price flipping support to resistance and vise versa at key levels is one of the basics that can take years to master.
That previous support is the bear trap that was created at the beginning of the bear market. We can see on the right where it played out with Ethereum and I strongly suspect we are seeing the initial stages of that reversal in Solana.
Of course, there are some key differences in the two charts. We can see that when we look at other indicators. I don’t want this idea to become unmanageable so I will just look at one of the basics, the Monthly Bollinger Band. It is pretty clear that looking at the Bollinger Band it looks like Solana did a much better job than Ethereum. Solana has pushed its head above the monthly Bollinger band to reach the previous bull trap whereas Ethereum didn’t even reach the baseline. But either way, price being out of the monthly Bollinger band or near the middle with weekly bearish divergence at previous support still suggests reversal.
I do hope to see the lower limit of the monthly BB to snug up and flatten off to indicate a local low is in when I see Solana double bottom.
Solana Against Bitcoin, Ethereum and BNB
Solana also looks like it is in a dreadful position against Bitcoin. The zone of resistance is drawn, in part, due to the MACD oscillaton below zero and the amount of sideways action we needed to have that happen.
The bearish similarities with Solana and trading pairs continues with Ethereum.
BNB has a bit of a different set up. It does not have a clear bull trap like SOL has against BTC and ETH. Rather it had a descending triangle top and a return move to the support of the triangle. Price has returned to the base of the descending triangle and I think with the indicators so overbought we would assume another pull back.
Conclusion and my plan
Solana looks like it has hit a local high against USD, BTC, BNB and ETH. There are so many temptations to get out of Solana into a different larger, less volatile token that I don’t see most day or swing traders holding onto Solan for long. Especially margin traders. Timing the shortside can be a wee bit tricky but it can be done. I am staying away from that.
I suspect that Solana will be setting a higher low W pattern. If it does, I will basically be rotating everything I can into it as I expect it will be making a higher high. AS the main chart shows that higher high would be about 100x from the low. If it sets an equal low, then I will suspect it will roughly return to an all-time high. That would be about 25X. That is decent enough for crypto but in all honesty if Solana sets a lower low, I will be looking for a different token to rotate into. Right now, my biggest crypto bag continues to be Fantom as I really like the Big W pattern it is in.
#ASCM - Egyptian stock - great opportunity, high financial risk#ASCM time frame 1 DAY
Note : before technical analysis the financial position of the company isn't in the best condition , there isn't any cash flows from operations activity , in anther hand the company work in MINING so that may cost the company lot of expenses and time before achieving any Mining discovery .
We have here a great Gartley Bullish pattern with 2 positive diversions at MACD and RSI in addition the prices in critical point ( stop loss of the pattern ) so :
Entry level at 34.00 ( price now is 32.85 ) so we can wait to close daily over 34.00 or start from this point ( consult your account manager )
Stop loss 32.70 ( estimated loss -4% ) or estimated loss from this point is 0.50 %
First target at 37.50 ( estimated profit around 14% )
Second target 40.70 ( estimated profit around 23% )
Third target 42.70 ( estimated profit 30% )
NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY , it`s may take period up to 3 months to achieve targets , you must study well the Alternative opportunities before invest in this stock .
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
#ASPI - Egyptian stock#MEPA time frame 1 day
Created 2 bearish patterns ( Gartley and AB=CD )
Sell point at 0.30
Stop loss / rebuy 0.31 ( estimated loss - loss of additional profit 3% )
First target at 0.281 ( estimated profit - avoid capital loss or Realized gains - 6% )
Second target 0.264 ( estimated profit - avoid capital loss or Realized gains - 12% )
Third target 0.25 ( estimated profit - avoid capital loss or Realized gains - 17% )
NOTE : this data according to time frame 1 day
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
Copper Surpasses $4.7/lbCopper prices have resumed an upward trajectory, surpassing the $4.7 per pound mark on Thursday, a level unseen since mid-2024. This growth stems from multiple factors, primarily rising uncertainty over whether the Trump administration could expand existing tariffs on steel and aluminum to other raw materials and metals, including copper. So far, copper has avoided new tariffs, but the risk of a changing scenario has impacted market expectations.
At the same time, “Dr. Copper” has previously benefited from a rebound in U.S. manufacturing activity, supported by the latest ISM Manufacturing PMI report, which posted its first month of expansion in 26 months. The indicator rose to 50.9 in January 2025, signaling a significant improvement in industrial demand, including new orders and production. Additionally, hopes for increased economic stimulus in China, the world's largest copper consumer, have also fueled a positive outlook for demand for this industrial metal.
However, market participants remain alert to potential repercussions from the U.S. administration, which has already announced the implementation of tariffs on steel and aluminum imports without country-specific exclusions. Moreover, any trade escalation resulting from these measures could create international tensions with key producers and disrupt supply chains, global economic growth, and, consequently, industrial metal demand.
Looking ahead, copper will remain closely tied to the evolution of U.S. trade policies and the strength of global manufacturing recovery. In the foreign exchange market, copper’s appreciation, as Chile’s primary commodity, has helped strengthen the Chilean peso, allowing it to reclaim the 950 pesos per dollar mark. Under these circumstances, copper’s potential is supported partly by demand and stimulus expectations but also faces the challenge of potential tariff pressures that could disrupt its dynamics in the coming months.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Bitcoin BTC price analysis😕 Yesterday's news of a higher-than-expected CPI increase seems to have been "digested" by the market.
We liked that most of the alts held up quite well (all compared to last week) - there was no more panic.
1️⃣ On the one hand, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is being pushed to the “critical triangle” below which the OKX:BTCUSDT price may go to close the CME GAP formed last year.
But BTC.D is also dropping, albeit reluctantly, a little bit.
2️⃣ On the other hand, maybe it's time to stop focusing on that bourgeois #Bitcoin ).
It's time for the altcoins to take "the pitchforks" into their own hands!)
😱 Some #CAKE and #Bake are showing good growth and even the “heavy” CRYPTOCAP:BNB is climbing despite them.... and all because #CZ decided to return to the “big” game and will present a photo of his dog in a few hours....
We are re-reading this sur and our eyes are twitching.... but these are the realities of the crypto world now...)
⁉️ So, what do you think, which memecoin from СZ will blow up the information space and pull all the market liquidity to itself in the coming hours/days?)
AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 13 February 2025
- AUDUSD reversed from the resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 0.6225
AUDUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance area located between the key resistance level 0.6300 which has been reversing the price from the start of January) and the upper lower daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the previous short-term correction ii from the end of January.
Given the clear daily downtrend, AUDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.6225 (which reversed the price twice earlier this month).
$SPY February 13, 2025AMEX:SPY February 13, 2025
Yesterday also gap analysis. But took support at daily averages 598 levels as mentioned in the previous day analysis.
For the rise 598.52 to 604.55 holding 602 levels is important today.
At the moment AMEX:SPY weak below 600 levels for a possible target 597.5 598 levels for the day.
Sell Setup: 4/5 Factors Confirmed!📉 Technical Analysis - Sell Setup 📉
🔹 D1 (Daily Chart)
Price has reversed at a key zone, supported by a significant level. Additionally, it meets 4 out of 5 factors I consider for confirming a potential trade.
🔹 H1 (1-Hour Chart)
In this timeframe, I apply less strict criteria, requiring only one factor in favor—which is fulfilled by the blue-marked structure.
📌 Entry Strategy:
I’ll wait for a 50% Fibonacci retracement before executing the trade. 📊
🔥 Now, let