What If Trump’s Tariffs Are Actually Bullish for SPX ?Hello Traders 🐺
In this idea, I want to take a closer look at SPX and break down why the new U.S. tariffs and Trump’s economic policies could either boost or damage the U.S. economy in the coming months. So make sure to stay with me until the very end.
🔍 Let’s start with the chart:
As you can see, SPX is currently holding above a weekly support level, marked by the orange ascending trendline. So far, so good. However, we’re also seeing a massive bearish divergence on the RSI — and in my opinion, this was one of the key reasons behind the recent Black Monday-style selloff.
⚠️ But here’s the deal: If SPX breaks below this orange trendline, the next strong support is around 3375 — aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and the monthly blue trendline inside our green support zone.
🤔 Should we be bearish on SPX and the U.S. economy?
That’s the big question… and it’s tricky to answer right now. Let’s break it down.
🔧 1. Tariffs and Trump: What’s really going on?
We’re currently in a pause phase of the ongoing tariff war — with countries negotiating to avoid escalation. But here’s the catch: markets hate uncertainty, and that’s why we saw panic selling recently.
Still, most people miss the bigger picture here.
The U.S. has long been a consumer-driven economy, importing heavily from other nations. Meanwhile, U.S. producers have struggled to compete — both domestically and internationally — due to low tariffs at home and high tariffs abroad.
So what do Trump’s new tariffs do?
✅ They level the playing field for U.S. companies at home
✅ They push other countries to lower their tariffs through negotiation
✅ They reduce dependency on foreign imports and support domestic production
In short, if combined with smart monetary policy, these moves could actually help revive U.S. manufacturing and strengthen the economy in the mid-to-long term.
📉 Final thoughts on SPX:
I personally don’t believe the bearish breakdown is coming — but as a trader, I focus on reality, not preference. Right now, we’re still holding above major support, and unless that breaks, the bullish scenario remains in play.
Let me know what you think about this macro setup in the comments.
And as always remember:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Fibonacci
Altcoin Market (OTHERS) Cycle Analysis: To the Moon !Let’s take a closer look at the previous bull cycle of the Others (Altcoin Market Cap excluding BTC & ETH) chart.
Before the major upward move, the market declined for months, eventually finding strong support around the $170B level.
After forming a higher low and a clear change of character (CHOCH), the market entered a sustained bullish phase. For 124 consecutive days, we witnessed a strong altcoin rally.
As of now, price action appears to be mirroring that same structure — but with a potential to push even higher than the previous ATH.
In this scenario, the target stands around the $470B level. As long as OTHERS holds above the $170B support, the altcoin market remains in recovery mode, and further upside is very much on the table.
— Thanks for reading.
GOLD → Recovery after the FB of 0.5 fibo. What's next?FX:XAUUSD on Thursday tests 0.5 fibo, which I outlined to you on April 17, forms a false breakdown and recovers amid unstable geopolitical relations in the world. Price may continue its northward run.
The dollar continues to fall. The fundamental background depends on the relationship between the US and China as well as economic data especially after Powell's speech. The weekly session closes close to support, the decline may continue.
Gold after the shakeout is heading back north. Based on the fundamental background, the price may continue to rise. There are three days of downtime ahead as traders rest.
Fundamentally, anything can happen over the weekend, however, technically, the emphasis is on intermediate levels. The trend is still strong and bullish
Resistance levels: 3332, 3344, 3357
Support levels: 3313, 3288, 3284
If nothing supernatural happens over the weekend, gold in the Asian session may bounce off the nearest resistance and test trend support before continuing the uptrend. If there are any critical changes in the mood of countries/politicians then I will update the situation
Regards R. Linda!
GBP/USD Price Action Update – April 21, 2025📊GBP/USD Price Action Update – April 21, 2025
🔹Current Price: 1.33885
🔹Timeframe: 1H
📌Key Demand Zones (Support):
🟢1.32861–1.32921 – Recent Breaker Block Zone (ideal for bullish continuation)
🟢1.32026–1.32138 – Strong Demand Zone (clean rally base rally formation)
📌Key Supply Zone (Resistance):
🔴1.34128–1.34346 – High-Interest Supply Zone (expect reaction or reversal)
📈Bullish Outlook:
Price has rallied strongly and is approaching the 1.34128–1.34346 supply zone. If we break through this level with momentum, expect further upside. In case of rejection, look for bullish re-entries at 1.32861–1.32921 or deeper into 1.32026–1.32138.
📉Bearish Outlook:
If the supply zone at 1.34128–1.34346 holds, we may see a pullback toward the 1.32861 area. A break below that could lead to a deeper correction to 1.32026. Watch for bearish price action confirmation around the supply zone.
⚡Trade Setup Tip:
✅Wait for price reaction at the supply zone
✅Enter only after confirmation (e.g., BOS/CHoCH or engulfing)
✅Use tight stop-loss with proper RR
#GBPUSD #ForexTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #BreakOfStructure #PoundAnalysis #ScalpingSetups #FXFOREVER #MarketUpdate #IntradayTrading
XAU/USD Price Action Update – April 21, 2025📊XAU/USD Price Action Update – April 21, 2025
🔹Current Price: 3,382.470
🔹Timeframe: 1H
📌Key Demand Zones (Support):
🟢3349–3358 – Fresh Breaker Block Zone (price currently reacting)
🟢3384–3392 – Strong Demand Zone (previous rejection area)
🟢3237–3245 – Intermediate Demand Zone
🟢3193–3205 – Major Demand Zone (watch for bullish SMC pattern)
🟢3139–3169 – High-Value Institutional Demand Zone (last line of defense)
📌Key Supply Zone (Resistance):
🔴3430.491 – Immediate Resistance (highlighted on chart)
📈Bullish Scenario:
Price has broken above previous highs and is now consolidating above 3384. If we hold above 3358–3349, we could see bullish continuation toward the 3430 area. A clean break and close above 3430.491 can open the door for further upside.
📉Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to sustain above 3358, we might retest 3384 or even dip into 3237–3245 for a deeper mitigation. Look for bearish price action around the 3430 resistance zone for potential short setups.
⚡Trading Tip:
✅Look for rejections or confirmation candles in key supply/demand zones
✅Track price structure and BOS/CHoCH for entry confirmation
✅Maintain solid RR and risk management rules
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #ForexTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #LiquidityZones #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldBulls #GoldBears #BreakOfStructure #ForexSignals #FXFOREVER #ScalpingSetups
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/21/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 18383.50
- PR Low: 18231.25
- NZ Spread: 340.75
No key scheduled economic events
First day back after a week off for work
- Unfilled weekend gap of -0.24%
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 4/21)
- Session Open ATR: 751.20
- Volume: 34K
- Open Int: 238K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -19.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
WMT eyes on $93.38: Golden fib that may mark Lower High of a TOPWMT price holding up well despite the tariffs, or is it?
Rejected by Golden Genesis (from birth) fib at $95.68
Bending under Golden Covid (stimulus pump) at $93.38
First support below is at $88.04-88.50
Strongest support below is $84.72-82.05
XAUUSD Volatility in Focus: Caution Advised for PullbackCurrently, I estimate that XAUUSD is nearing the end of wave iii of wave (v). I present two potential scenarios:
In the black label scenario, XAUUSD may continue its upward movement to complete wave iii, with a projected target in the 3,372–3,410 range.
However, under the red label scenario, there is a possibility of a short-term correction toward the 3,284–3,301 area before resuming the uptrend toward the same target zone.
Traders should closely monitor price action, as increased volatility is likely in the near term.
Gold Prediction!Current Price: ~$3,326
Trend: Strong bullish breakout of ascending channel
Moving Averages: Price is far above the 50 EMA (white)
Still bullishly distanced from the 200 EMA (orange)
Structure: Clean breakout of rising channel and key horizontal resistance zones
-Strong daily candle closed above trendline resistance → this is a confirmed breakout
-No upper wick rejections or bearish engulfing candles
-Buyers remain in control until signs of exhaustion show
Plan: Only look for a Buy position setup for safer trade.
XAUUSD WEEKLY ANALYSIS Hey everyone happy new week ahead…One of the best things I do on Sunday before the market opens is posting my weekly analysis for you guys and also ending the week with a win trade or no trade as long we don’t break our rules so guys I’m still bullish on Gold and this week if we can get a break below and price get to our support zone the one with the color green I will see if I can get a good confirmation and take more buys to the upside but if price price breaks above I will wait for a nice pullback and a confirmation too to take more buys so yes this is it for the week…I will update you guys if I’m executing any trade too…
I started this analyses Aug 2022. Now I think HEY can grow to 60After the price breaks € 40, the way is open to grow to € 60.
Ofcourse, with ups and downs in between. Never a straight line.
I strarted my analyses August 2022 and since then, I had almost every movement right.
I advise to work with options on this beside stocks.
I started this analyses Aug 2022. Now I think HEY can grow to 60After the price breaks € 40, the way is open to grow to € 60.
Ofcourse, with ups and downs in between. Never a straight line.
I strarted my analyses August 2022 and since then, I had almost every movement right.
I advise to work with options on this beside stocks.
LOADS--- a Short Term Yet Powerful Trade Loads is offering a powerful Buy Set-up with following confluences:
1. Pirce has broken out range and re-tested it.
2. Re-test of Breakout range with healthy price action (Pin-Bar)
3. Surge in Volume after a bounce-off price from breakout zone.
4. MACD & RSI have generated a Buy Signal.
5. Rejection of Price at lower boundary of BB.
Target Prices are 19, 21 & 25.