MARKET NEXT CORRECTION AREASAdditionally, any decline in gold may present buying opportunities as the metal remains a favored hedge amid inflation and heightened global tensions. If momentum persists and resistance levels at $2,751 and $2,800 are decisively breached, analysts project that gold could aim for new highs around $2,820 or higher. However, a break below $2,710 could suggest a deeper correction to $2,685 before buyers re-enter the market
In the current gold market, analysts expect a potential retracement following a significant rally, reaching near all-time highs driven by geopolitical uncertainties and Federal Reserve rate cuts. Gold has been hovering around resistance points in the $2,700-$2,800 range as October progresses, and technical indicators suggest possible corrections due to overbought conditions. Specifically, gold’s Fibonacci support level around $2,733 could mark a key area for short-term pullbacks, possibly to $2,700 or lower, before an anticipated continuation upward in Q4 due to seasonal patterns
Fibonacci
NQ - sweep lower before higher, then free fallThis is my current expectation. Comments in chart. Expecting a move lower, before going higher to fulfill the 2 remaining open Feigenbaum projections. Reaching C.E. of the 4H huge wick, but not new ATH. Then free fall.
Time projections based on swings and Feigenbaum time.
Gold Roadmap==>>Short term!!!The recent CB Consumer Confidence and JOLTS Job Openings reports are both pivotal indexes for gold’s market reaction. A lower-than-expected JOLTS report , indicating fewer job openings, suggests possible economic slowing, which tends to support higher gold prices as investors look for safe-haven assets. On the other hand, if the Consumer Confidence Index shows strength, it can signal economic resilience, potentially reducing demand for gold as risk-on assets may become more attractive.
Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved as I expected in ✅ yesterday's post ✅.
Gold is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that we should wait for wave 4 of Gold in the 15-minute time frame .
Also, Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to decline to at least the Support zone($2,761-$2,756) and the Uptrend line .
⚠️Note: If Gold goes over PRZ, we have to wait for $2,800(at least)⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTCUSDT long-term Targets like 83K$ and 90K$ are aheadAs we said before market is still bullish and we are looking for more gain for the price to the new ATH mentioned on the chart.
Also now price is receiving last resistance zone sell pressure and we need rest or more range here then breakout to the upside and our targets to be hit.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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DOGEUSDT wait for heavy pump more bull candles are comingAs we said before we are looking for next targets to hit like 0.22$ and 0.26$ and more....
for now we may have short-term correction to the supports mentioned on the chart if and only if the market need that rest and then more pump to next resistances mentioned on the chart.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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Oil ShortRound 2 for an oil short Looking to short once oil has closed the gap it made on Sunday.
For now oil is in a short term downtrend, if this gap is closed and broken past to the upside then we can expect a more bullish oil in the near future.
For now looking at a trendline bounce trade idea.
Entry- on the 61.8% Fibo at 70.4
Sl- 65 pips
TP- Targeting the 38% of the current fibo structure at 69.15.
Confluences:
Trendline 3rd touch
Key Level
61.8% fibo
H6 50EMA (Not strong confluence but its present)
Trade safe and catch you later traders ▲
EURNZD trade idea(1:15 RR) EURNZD has shown a strong impulse upwards and the 7 day bullish streak might be indicating to overextension, as we are currently facing a major resistance level on the daily chart. In the mid August the price hit 1.86(VWAP high) and since then the price has made a weekly 3 wave impulse downward. October gave us a retracement and now its time for another wave downwards. We are targeting the lows of the past week making it 1:15RR. Keeping stops above recent highs.
This analysis is taught and provided by Fractals Trading.
Trade safely and expect the unexpected,
Mei
GOLD → The calm before the storm. News ahead... FX:XAUUSD is at a strong resistance of 2790. Traders are getting nervous before the news. Risks as well as the price are rising. PCE, Initial Jobless Claims, Chicago PMI are ahead.
Traders have taken a wait-and-see stance ahead of the news. PCE along with NFP on Friday should give an insight into the Fed's interest rate outlook. Against the backdrop of a steady US labor market, a 0.25% cut is the most likely scenario. The metal is holding back any fall that could be seen as a correction due to election uncertainty. There is not much time left. As well as news from China and the escalated conflict in the Middle East.
Technically gold is in a range, the chart indicates stronger levels and liquidity zones. The most probable scenario is a retest of one of the support zones and further growth after liquidity capture. Targets in such a case could be 2789-2800.
Support levels: 2771, 2758, 2745
Resistance levels: 2789, 2800
It is not excluded that there may be a strong shakeout on the background of the news. Market behavior at the moment will depend on the actual data. The reaction may be extremely aggressive.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★
FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
#Solana #SOL price is holding up better than #BTCCRYPTOCAP:SOL is holding up better than CRYPTOCAP:BTC
At least this conclusion can be drawn from the behavior of the assets in Q2 2024.
While #BTCUSDT price is being adjusted, #Solana buyers have managed to repel sellers' attacks 4 times over the past 3 months.
So:
1️⃣ as long as the #SOLUSDT price is trading above $120, this is a "long picture", perhaps even with sky-high targets of $650+
2️⃣ consolidation of the #SOLUSD price below the "red zone" can stimulate a good shedding to $90, and maybe even to $70
(maybe #FTX liquidators will find a large CRYPTOCAP:SOL "stash" and decide to sell it... and the crypto media will blow this event out of proportion, or something like that...)
So, what are your expectations for the #SOLUSDC price by the end of this year?
MATH - This is how you REALLY use Elliott WaveThis is a great example of a beautiful setup and how to lay out a low risk, high reward trade, especially for those that are still learning and wondering how to apply Elliott Wave. Or maybe you are unfamiliar with Elliott Wave or someone who thinks it's nonsense. Well let me show you how I do it and hopefully help you learn the best technical strategy. These are the setups I salivate on. And I don't care if I lose 8 out of 10, because the 2 that hit will more than pay off the losers.
Support box is clear. Below the September low and I'd be out as we'd be below the reliable 61.8% retracement. Breaking that fib retracement level means that it can do anything from bullish, to diagonal, to sideways, to bearish moves. And we don't want to waste our time with stocks that aren't trending. Nothing is reliable anymore - therefore, we don't want to trade it below that. Toss it away. Move on to the next one.
For this play, you could accumulate shares under $2.25 which is the previous high. I have it labeled as a Wave (1) but it could easily just be an (A) wave. As a quick refresher, trending impulsive moves happen in 5-wave moves. Since we don't know for 100% certainty that this will become that, we have to prepare for the other likely scenarios. We are already protected from significant downside with our stop below the 61.8% retracement, so I just don't care what might happen in a bearish count. So for bullish, I want to accumulate under the last high and catch the breakout. Once broken out, minimum target is $4.25. That's the 100% extension of (1) from the bottom of (2), the first resistance. If this ends up being a 3-wave (A)(B)(C), it would top out there at the 100%, so we want to make sure we have all of our money back by then. A full bullish follow through could take it anywhere between $12 (161.8% fib) and $22.50 (200% fib, which is where a standard impulsive 5-wave rally is expected to end with no extensions).
If you buy a stock like this with stop below the 61.8%, you can go net free (return of original equity) by selling however many shares are needed to get your original money back at the previous high around $2.25 which should reject at first try (as it is the most likely landing spot for Wave 1 inside of Wave (3). Once a higher low forms from there (Wave 2 of (3)) between $1.20 and $1.75, you could go in even harder, buying more shares, and moving your stop on all shares to that higher low, providing a very low risk scenario. By the time $4.25 is hit, you should be completely net free with plenty of shares left and maybe even take some good profits.
Remember, this is an outline NOT A PREDICTION. That's why we have a stop, a plan, and multiple targets. As it plays out, we gain more clarity and update our outline. Probably even find a trend channel. This is Elliott Wave. This is Fibonacci Pinball (the creation of Avi Gilburt at elliottwavetrader,net). It's not telling you what's going to happen. It's telling you what could happen, laying out the most probable path, limiting your risk, and telling you when it might be wrong and how to pivot. And don't go thinking this will happen all at once. Keep good notes of your entry and all sales. This likely takes 1-3 years.
Standard disclosures:
1. This is 100% my idea. It was not sourced from any other avenue.
2. I am not invested in this company, though I am likely buying shares soon.
3. I am not paid to post content nor do I receive any contributions of any kind.
4. While this is outlining a potential profitable setup, this article is not investment advice. You should do your own due diligence on any company you invest in and apply your own trading strategies.
5. I know nothing about the fundamentals of this company. I suggest doing your due diligence if fundamentals are important to you.
6. Readers should always remember that markets are their own creature made up of millions of individuals and institutions each following some combo of inherent bullishness, inherent bearishness, fundamentals, technicals, stupidity, and pure emotion. Elliott Wave, and specifically Fibonacci Pinball (developed by Avi Gilburt at elliottwavetrader.net and prominent Seeking Alpha author), merely provide a framework based on the observed price action to date. 7. I know that while my wave outline is based on years and years of data and application from not only me, but some of the best in the game, I also know that markets do not follow a set path and that sentiment can remain irrational far longer than I can remain rational. That is why you MUST consider the alternatives and manage risk appropriately. Know the pivot zones that could lead to the primary path failing.
I warrant that the information created and published by me on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors. My analysis is not a recommendation for a specific trade. My analysis outlines a potential scenario and provides risk assessments for multiple alternate scenarios. My analysis is purely educational.
ES1 1W Bear ABCD Ext harmonicThe Bullish 5-0 pattern which has been at play over the last few years has finally run its course to price target at 1.272 extension. A bearish ABCD Extended pattern has formed recently, with retracement, but has reversed out of the prz and should drop rapidly to ABCD point C ~4350. This coincides with active bear deep crab harmonic on NQ1! (see prev post).
This is a Weekly chart intended to show trend reversal and swing trading at key pivots--not for intraday.
1M Bull White Swan China50 has 26500+ price targetOn the monthly timeframe a white swan harmonic pattern is now active, heading to pt1. Recent signal in retracement to .618 then should continue upward to top of the white swan triangle with the next price targets at ~26600 and 36600 levels. This is a monthly timeframe chart, but the trend is now bullish (in bearish retracement lower timeframes) and the general trend should be very bullish over the next year.
See my recent bear deep crab post for NQ1 (Nasdaq futures)--if that bearish scenario plays out, expect major rotation into non-US emerging markets--especially China and Hang Seng (HSI).
Hang Seng Bull Butterfly and ABCD monthly timeframeOn the monthly time frame, the Hang Seng has reversed from recent bear 5-0 harmonic which reached its target D point and a Bull butterfly harmonic pattern is now active. Typical target levels are indicated with fib measurements of the CD leg of the butterfly, with target 4 at 1.168 extension--40k anyone?
BITCOIN BULLISH MOMENTUM IN WEEKLY!!!! The weekly BTC/USD chart above shows an Bullish Flag pattern, where Bitcoin’s price is trending upward within parallel support and resistance lines (yellow lines). This pattern often suggests a potential breakout if the price manages to break above the channel’s resistance.
To set Fibonacci targets in the range of $90,000 to $100,000, let’s add levels that align with that price zone:
1. 150.00% ($90,000) - This can act as a strong psychological level within the bullish move, marking the start of the $90k range.
2. 161.80% ($94,407) - A common Fibonacci extension level that is close to the midpoint between $90k and $100k.
3. 175.00% ($100,000) - Reaching this level would mark a major milestone and could trigger significant profit-taking.
These Fibonacci targets highlight possible resistance areas for Bitcoin within the $90k - $100k range, especially if momentum remains strong.
This pattern suggests Bitcoin could keep climbing if a breakout happens, with these Fibonacci levels as possible profit-taking points.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/31/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 20495.75
- PR Low: 20426.75
- NZ Spread: 154.5
Key scheduled economic events
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- Core PCE Price Index (YoY|MoM)
09:45 | Chicago PMI
Daily rotation off 20800, taking out Tuesday's low
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 10/31)
- Weekend Gap: +0.24 (filled)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 283.82
- Volume: 31K
- Open Int: 277K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -3.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 17533
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
$SPY October 31 2024AMEX:SPY October 31, 2024
15 Minutes.
Still within the box.
For the fall 586.12 to 574.41 4SPY retraced 78%. So double bottom is what Hence, expect.
For the fall 583.32 to 576.36 582 is the level to short for 578-579. If this is broken, we can expect 576 levels which is 200 averages in one hour time frame.
The issue we have at the moment in one hour is AMEX:SPY made LL at 580.38 and 574.41. But no divergence in oscillator. Hence, I don't see much downside. At the moment.
Go long above 585 and short cover at 579 578 levels. Maximum downside as mentioned is 576 levels as of now.
NWL eyes on $9.39: Golden Genesis fib that may mark the bottom NWL is trying to paint a bottom to downtrend.
Earnings popped it right into a Golden Genesis.
Break+Retest for bottom, reject for more doom.
$ 9.39 is the key fib (and what a cool number).
$ 8.57 is the next support below for stop loss.
$ 10.73 will be first target and resistance above.
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BTC heads up at 69k: not just a sexy number, but a Genesis fibPlot is a single fib series, shown in 3 timeframes.
69k was a previous top and for a very good reason.
IF we are to get a lower high then 69k may be it.
Chart is from Coinbase, others will vary a bit:
$ 69,096.20 is the exact level, topped last run.
$ 65,255.26 below is absolutely critical support
$ 72,937.41 is the next barrier to break above.
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