GOLD → Risk zone 3340. Sell-off after rallyFX:XAUUSD , after breaking out of its accumulation phase, rallied towards the 3400 zone of interest, but failed to reach liquidity and reversed, selling off its gains due to economic uncertainty.
In my opinion, the market is unexpectedly subdued and has reacted very weakly to geopolitical problems in the Middle East. The market has digested the news of US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and is awaiting PMI data from the US and the eurozone, Fed statements, US GDP and other macroeconomic data. The uncertainty factor has done its job... Participants fear further escalation of the conflict, but so far Iran has refrained from taking drastic steps, which has reduced demand for gold as a safe haven asset. Geopolitics and macro statistics remain in focus.
Technically, gold is trading above 3340 (in the buy zone). A retest of the liquidity zone is possible, and if buyers keep the market above 3340-3350, the price may continue to rise.
Support levels: 3347, 3342, 3320
Resistance levels: 3366, 3396
On D1, the key level is the 3340-3347 area. At the moment, we are seeing a sell-off and a move to retest support. Accordingly, a false breakdown and price holding above 3340, followed by a change in character and a breakdown of the bullish structure, will hint at growth. But if the reaction at 3340 is weak and the market continues to storm this support, then in this case, the metal could drop to 3300
Best regards, R. Linda!
Fibonacci
US 100 – Potential For Further Geo-Political Volatility AheadEarly trading this Monday morning has been dominated by President Trump's surprise weekend decision to launch airstrikes on three nuclear sites in Iran, which may increase the potential for a wider conflict in the Middle East.
After closing at 21,652 on Friday, this news led the US 100 to a gap open lower to 21,375 in early Asian trading, however, this drop didn't last long and the index has since recovered to trade back up to 21600 again at the time of writing (0800 BST).
Looking forward, the focus for traders may continue to be on Iran's next move. So far they have confined their retaliation to missile attacks on Israel, but they did issue a statement saying they reserve all options to defend themselves.
Fresh attacks on US bases in the region, or deciding to close the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping supply route for Oil and Gas from the region, may undermine risk sentiment which could lead to renewed selling of the US 100, while any options suggesting a potential quicker resolution to this conflict may be seized upon by traders to push the index back up to higher levels seen in the middle of last week.
There are scheduled events released across the week that may also be relevant, these include the testimony of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell to congress at 1500 BST on Tuesday and Wednesday, as well as the next US PCE Index update at 1330 BST on Friday, which is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge.
Technical Update: Assessing Support and Resistance Levels
Escalation of hostilities in the middle east over the weekend may leave traders uncertain as to the direction of the next price activity for the US 100 moving forward.
However, technical analysis can help to outline potential support and resistance levels, which if broken to the up or downside, might offer clues on where the index may move.
Potential Support Levels:
Looking at the chart of the US 100 index below, it could be argued that Monday’s lower opening level has already tested what traders may be viewing as support at 21373. This level is equal to half the May 23rd to June 11th phase of price strength.
Having seen an initial recovery following tests of this 21373 level, it may now have been strengthened as a support focus. This means closing breaks below 21373, while not a guarantee of further price declines, may suggest tests of the next support at 20666, which is the May 23rd price low, even 20360, the 38% Fibonacci retracement level, could be possible.
Potential Resistance Levels:
In terms of resistance levels to monitor this week, as the chart shows, Friday’s activity did see a sell-off from its 21905 session high. This confirms sellers have been active at this level previously and may prove to be again.
As such, traders may now be watching the defence of this 21905 level on a closing basis, as breaks above this resistance may now be required to see attempts to push to higher levels which may include a challenge of resistance at 22074, the June 11th session upside extreme, possibly then 2226, the February 18th high.
The material provided here has not been prepared
accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Litecoin LTC price analysisToday we will analyze the third candidate for ETF in the near future is CRYPTOCAP:LTC
An old coin, good fundamentals, 1:1 tokenomics like CRYPTOCAP:BTC but 4 times more coins, untapped potential, and the list goes on...
♎️ The main difference from the previous two candidates is the current market cap of the coins: CRYPTOCAP:XRP - $118 billion, CRYPTOCAP:SOL - $72 billion, #Litecoin only $6 billion
Accordingly, the prospects for growth in the price of OKX:LTCUSDT are many times greater
🔥 Currently, #LTCUSD price is near the potential purchase zone of $71.25-76.25
📈 Growth potential of at least $170-180
🐻Critical level of $67
_____________________
Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
GBPUSD - Technical Outlook (Long + Short Term)In this article, I’ll share my current outlook on GBPUSD, highlighting both higher time frame (HTF) and intraday considerations.
Higher Time Frame Analysis
The overall trend remains bearish. Price is still trading within the previous structural leg, with the key level at 1.42500. Unless we see a decisive break above this level, my bias will remain bearish for this pair.
Recently, we’ve witnessed what looks like institutional manipulation to the upside, followed by a sharp bearish reaction from the weekly supply zone. This price action aligns with a classic Wyckoff distribution cycle, which often signals that the prevailing trend is likely to continue.
Intraday Advice
For short-term traders, it’s best to wait for lower time frame (LTF) pullbacks and signs of manipulation before considering short positions. If price continues to push lower, there should be opportunities to ride the trend down over the coming weeks, with multiple entry points along the way.
Trading Considerations
If this analysis plays out, there’s potential to maximize gains through both swing and intraday trades. However, patience and risk management are key. Losses are inevitable - what matters is managing risk and staying disciplined.
Key Points to Remember:
Wait for clear pullbacks before entering trades.
Stick to your risk management plan.
Stay patient and let the market come to you.
This is an exciting time to trade FX:GBPUSD , but always assess if the risk is worth the reward before entering any position.
Happy hunting predators...
Apex out!
Injective Enters the Daily Bouncing AreaCRYPTO:INJUSD has tapped into the equal legs zone at $9.99–$8.97, a key Fibonacci-based support area where buyers may begin to step in. This zone often acts as a magnet for a reaction higher, especially if the broader structure supports a bullish reversal.
In the coming weeks, watch for confirmation signals — a strong bounce from this zone could kick off the next leg up.
GOLD TAKEOFF anticipation Price has broken out of the descending trendline, showing early signs of strength after tapping into a 4H demand zone.
I’m watching for a rounded retest (possible liquidity grab) near the breakout zone, with the next leg targeting a strong bullish continuation.
🔑 Confluences:
Break of structure + Trendline Break
Demand zone reaction ✅
FVG + Minor OB support below = stacked liquidity
Bullish fundamentals: Weakening dollar + Middle East tensions → safe haven demand
📍 Target Zone: Above $3,400
📍 Invalidation: Clean break below $3,344
🚀 "Takeoff in progress... patiently waiting for market to fuel the move."
EUR/USD analysis and pending orderTwo days ago, there was a FED meeting, where it was stated that the benchmark interest rate will be kept at 4.25-4.50% level.
What is important is what they told - the expectations - economicp rojections are lower, and inflation is higher.
Maybe they’ll decrease rates in future?
Right now, it’s not so important. It’s summer already, and by the old “Sell in May, and go aways” mentality, I don’t expect some huge impact on the market.
I know… Iran, Israel, Trump, maybe even Putin? Anybody can do some stupit stuff and everything can go to Hell.
And it’s Friday, not very smart time to open trades, so I’m putting pending order.
I decided for EUR/USD.
Timeframe is 4h.
On my chart I can see clear uptrend in the last couple of weeks, especially in the last 3 months.
Also, I see lower highs.
Upward trend is breached… Where it could stop?
Overall, I don’t expect the pair will come near parity, even though ECB lowered rates before FED did.
But some “selloff”, probably.
I used good old Fibonacci, draw it, and the price could potentialy drop to 50% level or even ideal 61…8%-78.6% zone.
Pending entry: 1.15577
TP: 1.12645
SL: 1.1671
If it activates today, I’ll leave it over the weekend.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/23/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 21787.00
- PR Low: 21566.75
- NZ Spread: 491.75
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
- S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | Existing Home Sales
Open weekend gap down ~0.33%
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 6/23)
- Session Open ATR: 382.81
- Volume: 38K
- Open Int: 234K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -4.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Bitcoin Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 062225Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 99,063/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Crypto $TOTAL Market Cap Hopeful Weekly CloseWhat a wild close to the Week for the Crypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap
Closed just above the 50% Gann level within the POI, but failed to close above the EMA9.
Strong bounce off the SMA20 still shows bull have some gas left in the tank, but I suspect we go lower with such a massive bearish candle on the week.
SMA50 is ~2.8T
Ethereum: How Deep Into the Buying Area?📉 CRYPTO:ETHUSD is currently testing the extreme buying zone $2140–$1970 — a key area where a bullish reaction is anticipated. But if the bounce fails to materialize next week, eyes shift to the next potential demand zone near $1800.
This level aligns with prior structure and could offer a stronger base for the next leg higher — as long as the broader structure remains intact.
TOTAL 2 Analysis (6H)The TOTAL2 chart — representing the altcoin market cap excluding Bitcoin — currently shows signs of weakness. A double top formation has emerged and is actively playing out. In addition, a micro trend change of character has clearly appeared, further validating short-term bearish pressure.
Technical Observations:
Price recently retested a broken support level and failed to reclaim it — a typical bearish confirmation.
In such scenarios, it’s common for the price to decline at least the depth of the double top formation.
However, it’s important to note that macro trend indicators still remain bullish, so entering aggressive short positions is not advised. Instead, consider setting alerts at the key reversal zones marked on the chart — these levels are likely to trigger a strong rebound.
If TOTAL2 breaks above the $1.23T resistance, this double top analysis becomes invalid.
— Thanks for reading.
USDT Dominance Update (2H)The USDT Dominance (USDT.D) chart — often referred to as the “reverse chart of crypto” — is currently showing signs of strength. On the micro time frame, a new impulsive wave structure has emerged, and we are likely progressing through wave 3 of this formation.
Wave 3 appears to be targeting the 4.88% level.
A minor correction (wave 4) may follow.
Ultimately, wave 5 is projected to reach the 5.00% zone.
Market Implications:
If this scenario unfolds as expected:
Bitcoin could down toward the $100,000–$101,000 range.
However, altcoins may face a sharp correction, with potential losses of 15–20%, exacerbated by the rising BTC dominance and capital flow concentration.
⚠️ While macro bullish momentum remains intact for the market, this short-term USDT.D surge could present a temporary but significant shakeout, especially across the altcoin sector.
— Thanks for reading.
Gold Technical ✅ Entry Level (Long Position):
Ideal entry zone: Between $3,360 – $3,370
This is near the Wave (4) low and just above the ascending channel support line.
Also aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, where price has shown signs of support.
---
🎯 Take Profit (Exit Levels):
These targets are based on Fibonacci extensions and the upper boundary of the channel:
1. TP1: $3,400 (50.0% Fib level) – conservative target, aligns with minor resistance.
2. TP2: $3,415 (61.8% Fib level) – key Fibonacci golden ratio and likely Wave (5) area.
3. TP3: $3,435–$3,440 (upper channel line) – aggressive target, aligns with 100% extension and projected Wave (5) peak.
RAY Outlook: Is a -60% Drop the Reset We Need?RAY marked its bottom in December 2022 at just $0.133, entering a prolonged accumulation phase that lasted nearly a year. Then, in late 2023, it broke out into an explosive bull run, skyrocketing +6421% over 756 days and peaking at an impressive $8.70.
This run completed a full five-wave Elliott Wave structure. After topping out, RAY dropped -84% down to $1.388 — likely marking the Wave A correction. A strong relief rally followed into the $4 region before facing rejection at the yearly VWAP, possibly completing Wave B. Now, all signs point toward us being in the final Wave C of the larger corrective structure.
So, where could Wave C bottom out?
🔍 Fibonacci Confluence Zones (Log Scale)
Let’s assess the key levels with log-scaled Fibonacci tools:
🔹 Fib Retracement (from $0.133 low to $8.7 high):
The 0.618 fib retracement lies at $0.658
🔹 Trend-Based Fib Extension (Wave A → B projection for Wave C):
1.0 TBFE sits at $0.617
✅ These two levels align nearly perfectly, giving us a strong confluence zone between $0.62 and $0.66
Additional Confluences
Anchored VWAP Bands:
The 0.618 VWAP band multiplier also aligns with this $0.6 zone
Liquidity Perspective:
This level would wipe out long positions built over the past 550 days — clearing and potentially resetting the market
🚨 Fair Value Trend Model (FV Trend Model):
According to my Fair Value Trend Model indicator, the fair value for RAY currently sits around $0.78 — right in line with the broader confluence zone. This model uses log-log regression to estimate Bitcoin’s and other assets’ fair-value over time.
👉 Feel free to use the indicator
Just head over to my profile, click on the “Scripts” tab, and you can add the Fair Value Trend Model to your charts to experiment with it yourself.
Together, these technical elements form a compelling high-probability zone for long setups around $0.6–$0.8.
💡 Educational Insight — Why 0.618 is a Critical Fib Level
In Elliott Wave theory and harmonic trading, the 0.618 retracement is known as the "Golden Ratio" — often serving as a magnet for price during corrections. When paired with a 1.0 trend-based fib extension, it can mark exhaustion zones where Wave C concludes.
🔭 Summary: What’s Next for RAY?
Potential bottom zone: $0.61–$0.78
Watch for reversal signals like bullish candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or divergences
A drop to this zone would represent a -60% drawdown from current levels
Remember: High-probability setups don’t come every day — patience is your edge
Set alerts. Stay prepared.
_________________________________
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
$BTC Heading to the Long-Awaited 200DMA Retest ~$96kFULFILL THY PROPHECY 📖
CRYPTOCAP:BTC making its way down to the long-awaited 200DMA retest, which just so happens to show confluence with the .618 Fib level at $96k.
RSI shows a bit more room to the downside as well.
Make sure to get those bids in!
BTC eyes on $97.8k: Last stop before 85.3k Golden Genesis retestShown here is a single fib series in three different time-frames.
The "Genesis Sequence" has called every major turn since 2015.
Clear reactions at each fib confirms our faith in the "Golden Ratio"
Topped at the 111.66k fib, and orbitted the 105k fib for a bit.
Now approaching a critical fib at 97.8k that bulls must fight for.
If it does not hold then we look to the Golden Genesis at 85.3k
$ 97,769.44 is the exact location of next fib.
$ 85,354.35 is the exact location of the Golden fib.
Golden Genesis fibs deserve the respect of a retest.
===================================================================
Previous calls of the Genesis Sequence include these amazingly PRECISE turns:
$111k Top call:
$105k recent Top call:
$73k previous Cylce top:
Hit the FOLLOW and BOOST to encourage more such PRECISE charts.
===========================================================
.
S&P500 Update: Break of Lower TrendlineIn this video, I updated the wave count for S&P500 and discussed 2 different ways of counting it but ended with a bias on a stronger wave 3 down as opposed to a wave 5 of 1 down.
The stop loss is above 6016, with 2 take profit targets:
1) 5940
2) 5923
Good luck!
BTC Loses Key Level — Will 100K Hold or Fold?Bitcoin has been locked in a range for the past 45 days, clinging above the critical psychological support at $100K. But cracks are starting to show…
Every bounce from the key level at $102,430 has been weakening — and now, for the first time, we’re breaking cleanly below it. Things are starting to tilt bearish.
So the question is…
⛏️ Will 100K be tested next?
🔍 Key Support Zone: $97.7K–$96.9K
Using the Fibonacci retracement from the swing low at $74.5K to the recent ATH, the 0.382 retracement lands at $97,655 — just below the $100K mark.
But there’s more…
Here’s why the zone between $97.7K and $96.9K is crucial:
0.382 Fibonacci retracement: A common pullback level in strong uptrends.
Anchored VWAP from $74.5K: Currently sitting around $96.9K, tracking cumulative volume-weighted average price — a key level.
Daily Order Block: Sits right at $96,887, aligning with the VWAP and reinforcing the area as demand-rich.
1.272 Fibonacci extension: From the previous move — providing another layer of confluence.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): The imbalance lies right in this zone. Price often fills these before continuing trend.
All of this stacks up to a high-probability long setup.
🕵️♂️ What to Do Now?
Set alerts at $100K and watch for a reaction. If price slices through, shift focus to the 0.382 Fib — monitor price action closely for signs of a reversal.
The first clean test of this zone could present a solid long — but as usual don’t trade blindly. Wait for confirmation.
_________________________________
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
ONDO — Reversal or more Pain ahead? After a strong rally back in 2024, ONDO topped at $2.15 — completing a clear 5-wave impulsive move. Since then, price has entered a prolonged downtrend, dropping over -70%, with no confirmed reversal signs yet.
We’re now trading around a critical zone near $0.70. So the question is: where’s the next potential bottom?
🔎 Technical Breakdown:
📍 VWAP Breakdown:
The yellow anchored VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) has been lost — a clear sign of market weakness. This VWAP was previously acting as support but has now flipped to resistance, which often precedes continued downside.
📌 Key Support Zone:
$0.80–$0.70 was a structural support area that has now been broken — another bearish sign.
📉 Fibonacci Confluence:
Taking the structure and applying a Fibonacci retracement, the 0.786 retracement lies at $0.4828 — let’s round that to a critical $0.50 zone. This level is important for several reasons:
Liquidity rests at a previous key low at $0.50128
Anchored VWAP Band (0.618 multiplier) aligns with the same area
The 8/1 Gann Fan also intersects around this zone
All roads lead to the $0.50 level as a potential high-probability reversal zone. A bounce from here — especially with volume confirmation or reversal candlesticks etc. — would be a signal worth watching.
💡 Educational Insight: Importance of 0.786–0.886 Fibonacci Zone + VWAP
While many focus on the 0.618 retracement, bear markets often go deeper.
The 0.786–0.886 zone is where emotional exhaustion kicks in — traders give up, liquidity pools build, and smart money steps in.
Combining this with Anchored VWAP adds precision:
VWAP reflects where the “average buyer” is positioned. When price reaches confluence with both deep fibs and VWAP fib bands, you have a statistically powerful setup for reversals.
🚨 Note: These zones are not automatic buy levels — watch for confirmation signs before entering.
🛎️ Set your alerts, stay patient, and as always let the trade come to you.
_________________________________
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.