SIRI - Getting Sirusly BullishSiri earnings are here and there are MANY reasons to be bullish.
Fundamentals
Warren Buffet's Berkshire has been buying relentlessly over recent months.
The stock is down 68% from its high in July this year.
Siri's earnings have been exceptional for years. Tomorrow (31st October) is predicted to be no different.
Gross margins of 49%, EBITDA margin of 29% and P/E ratio of 8.2 in prior quarter.
Technicals
RSI has put in a higher-low & is giving us a glimpse of divergence. The price recently put in a lower-low, suggesting selling pressure is limited from here.
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:SIRI is just about to complete a 7 year accumulation phase in a wedge pattern (yellow).
When it does so, it will also put the finishing touches to an inverse head & shoulders (or cup and handle) pattern that has lasted 23 years. That head was a HUGE elongated structure, after the stock was teetering on the verge of bankruptcy in 2008/9.
By taking the height of the H&S structure and applying it on-top (white arrows), you get an eventual price target (T2) of, that's right ....$10,100 a share. 370x from current levels.
That T2 target also corresponds with the 2.0 fibonacci level.
An earlier more modest initial target is the 1.414 fib, of $530 (19.3x). This coincides with it's prior all-time high and where the stock may find a place to rest for a breather on it's meteoric rise.
An extended T3 target for the 2040s would land in the fib pocket (2.272/2.414) priced at between $40k - $80k a share.
And yes. I'm deadly Sirius .
Summary
NASDAQ:SIRI looks like it will be shining bright until at least 2030, and likely beyond.
One of the best value investors of all-time agrees (at a time when he is raising significant cash from Apple & Bank of America) amidst uncertainty & a transition of infrastructure.
Satellite communication companies are really about to kick into their adoption phase. We may all soon realise why Siri is a crucial part of that future.
Fibonacci
Oil ShortLooking to short Oil. After the large gap from weekend news regarding the strikes on Iran being more about retaliation than targeting the manufacturing supplies there is some downside potential for Oil. Currently trading below the gap, I am looking to trade Oil lower before buying it back up. Buy's right now do not make sense for the strategy.
Confluences for the short:
-38% fibo
-Key Level
-Trendline break and retest
Entry is now
Stop loss is set around 69.64, any higher and the idea is inactive as Oil should begin to push higher after breaking the nearest resistance.
Targeting the next support and resistance at the lows created in September.
*Remember this is not financial advice I post on here more to give an idea of trading and how I look at the market.
Never the less, trade safe and catch you later traders ▲
Bitcoin Update: About to start rocketing to 100K!BTC is making a decent change of character on the daily chart and now it’s making new highs. According to my latest analysis on Bitcoin, the bullish scenario of breaking above 70K has played out and now we’re closing the price above 70K.
In the current situation, I expect a minor correction to 66K before starting the main rally for Bitcoin to higher price levels and making new all-time highs, with the major resistance target of 100K.
The correction is invalid if the price closes a daily candle above 74K, and the bullish impulse from 66K to 100K is dismissed for a while if the price breaks below 65K.
DYOR
2 Day Anchored VWAP on ES futuresInitially you have to understand what the volume weighted average price (VWAP) is. Broadly it can be defined as: Total dollars traded divided by the total shares for the period studied Vwap= ∑(Price∙Volume)/∑(Volume)
This means that VWAP is more responsive to volume than price and its calculation does not depend on the timeframe we are in. It is also the most common benchmark used to compute transaction costs.
what is the anchored VWAP ?
The AVWAP is an indication of the average transaction price of the participants for however long it’s plotted. Normally the VWAP resets everyday at the start of the trading session, but the anchored vwap will continue its calculations from the candle it was anchored until the present bar meaning no resets in that period.
In an uptrend buyers will try to defend that average entry price when price comes back to it. in the uptrend when the AVWAP is below price that means that the average participant is making money, when price crosses under they start to lose money and that could lead them to try to exit and push price even lower. So the cross of the AVWAP can mark a change on the near term trend. It is very important to mark the AVWAP from significant price levels or catalysts, in this case we will analyze the 2 Day anchored VWAP (2DAVWAP) on CME_MINI:ES1! futures.
Where do you anchor the 2DAVWAP ?
For example, if it's a wednesday morning you want to anchor the VWAP at monday 5pm CME_MINI:ES1! futures open. An easy way of finding the right candle to anchor is checking the "session breaks" option in the chart settings so after your session break line shows the next candle (in any timeframe) that will be the one anchored so you can trade it at the next session.
How to trade it ?
1. It is very important that CME_MINI:ES1! is in a clear and strong uptrend, this is a following the trend strategy. It can also be used in downtrends but backtesting it has proven to me that long setups are the best setups. If CME_MINI:ES1! has been uptrending and then starts consolidating but starts to move up from a good support level you can also enter a setup on that market context.
2. Anchor the VWAP from the session open and wait until next day.
3. Wait until price retraces to the 2DAVWAP the next day. It only works when the retracement happens the next day, don't trade that anchored VWAP further than that.
2. Watch the price action - Volume when it reaches the AVWAP. Price action and volume should Show an effort of buyers to continue the trend, Candle should reach the 2DAVWAP and form a hammer candlestick closing above the AVWAP in the 15 min TF (best entry point, wait for candle close).
3. Mark the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels from previous day low to the present day high. The lowest price can go for you to still consider entering the trade is the 50% retracement, lower than that you dismiss the trade. Go with confidence if there is a confluence between fib and the 2DAVWAP.
4. Set a Stop loss based on maximum adverse excursion (MAE) and the average true range (ATR) for that day (this risk management should be defined with backtest). A good tip is always try to enter the closest to were you would be wrong in a trade, which can be below the 50% retracement for example.
5. Set a Target profit based on maximum favorable excursion (MFE) and the average true range (ATR) for that day (this risk management should be defined with backtest). A good tip is try to exit at least at previous highs if there is volatility on the day.
Finally, the entry could be at any time of the day, it could happen at 2 am EST or it could happen at 10 am EST, it really does not matter. Always take trading seriously, stay discipline and do your own backtesting and find what works the best for you. I will be posting more educational posts on AVWAP. This strategy has only been backtested in CME_MINI:ES1! futures.
XRP finally ready to take off ?xrp is finally getting bullish based on date range i would not take long for it to take of.looking like a big double choppy bottom. if we see the fixed range volume profile of the session traded from may 2021 to april 2022 we see the VAH at around $1.05. also this is in confluence with the trend based fib extension 1. so $1.05 would be my first target for xrp. offcourse it could go higher. around $1.48 is also a realistic target based on the 1.618.
also on the monthly candle we see a bullish engulfing candle. overall XRP is looking good and ready to take off. but dont overleverage because the chart is super choppy.
cheers!
Bitcoin Roadmap!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as ✅I expected in the previous post .
Bitcoin is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and the upper line of the ascending channel .
According to Elliott's wave theory, Bitcoin is completing wave 3 . I expect the Bitcoin rally will need a Correction to continue near the All Time-High(ATH) .
I expect Bitcoin to drop down to the Support zone($72,000-$70,820) and Support line .
🔔Let's first short position, and I will try to update for the long position.🔔
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin falls below the Support zone($72,000-$70,820), it may fall further.⚠️
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DOGE/USDT chart review 1D I invite you to take a quick look at the chart of DOGE in pair with USDT, taking into account the time frame of one day. As we can see, when the price left the downtrend lines, it gained energy for new increases.
But you can see here that the 0.618 Fib level turned out to be a strong resistance at the $0.176 level, only when it is overcome we can see the resistance at the $0.2 level, and then the $0.234 level will be important.
Looking the other way, first of all you need to take into account the level of $0.146 as support, then the level of $0.123 is important, and then visible support is at the price of $0.089.
When we look at the RSI indicator, we will see a reflection from the upper limit, but the large rebound resulted in a slight downward price movement on the chart, which translated into a strong upward movement.
MSFT eyes on $ 438.79: Golden Covid fib barrier into EarningsMSFT down quite a bit from its record highs.
Testing a Golden Covid fib before earnings.
Rejection here could mark a significant high.
$ 438.79 is a Golden Covid (pretty big deal)
$ 452.09 above, 419.17 below are Genesis fibs
$ 427.38 below is a local fib for minor support.
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IBM eyes on $230.71: Key support going into EarningsFollowup to my Long Call that got 40% plus (click).
Big Blue has been flying since our entry.
Currently tap dancing on a Genesis fib.
And reinforced by Covid Fib just below.
Earnings tonight will make next move.
If dumps, look for supports below to buy.
If pumps, I will calculate new targets above.
$ 229.05 - 230.71 is the exact level to hold.
$ 218.38 - 218.70 is minor support below.
$ 201.91 - 203.19 is major/critical support
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Previous Alert that launched EXACTLY from entry, for >40% gains::
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GOLD → Risks are rising and so is the price. News ahead! FX:XAUUSD updates ATH to 2790. This is probably not the limit, but the risks, like the price, are rising ahead of strong news and the US election race.
Gold feels support for several reasons: stopping the rally in DXY (profit taking is possible), positive hints about the Chinese economy, escalating conflict in the Middle East. The dollar stops the rally and forms consolidation for the last few days, which is generally favorable for gold.
The metal is updating the highs and in the current conditions trading is quite simple: we trade either a breakdown of resistance in order to continue the movement, or search for strong support zones, where we can trade price pullbacks.
Today the Nonfarms from ADP, US GDP will be released. This is worth paying attention to. Weaker data can greatly increase volatility and provoke the continuation of metal growth. And vice versa.
Resistance levels: 2789, 2800
Support levels: 2777, 2771, 2758
Gold is in a local correction. Emphasis on strong support zones with the purpose of rebound and continuation of growth. But, we need to watch the news, there may be shake-ups, but the general background for gold is expected to remain favorable.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
EURJPY → Buyer pressure is mounting. Pre-breakout consolidationFX:EURJPY is forming quite an interesting situation on the background of inaction of the Japanese Central Bank (weakening of JPY exchange rate) as well as strengthening of EUR.
The currency pair has been in the realization phase for more than a week. Based on the general assumptions, we can assume that this is not the end and the growth may continue. An ascending triangle is being formed on H1 (pre-breakout consolidation) against the resistance at 166.065. Accordingly, this level is a trigger. Within the general technical and fundamental environment, we can conclude that the currency pair is preparing for the continuation of growth.
If the bulls are able to overcome 166.06 and keep the defense above this zone, we should expect the continuation of the growth in the short and medium term.
Resistance levels: 166.06, 166
Support levels: 165.68, 165.14, 164.95
The trend is bullish, buyers are actively defending the trend support. All market pressure is focused on the resistance. A break of the level may provoke a strong upward impulse
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURJPY ;)
Regards R. Linda!
AFRM eyes on $46 then $52: Reject or Break to run MUCH higherAFRM currently at a key decision point.
Rejection here would imply "top is in".
Break should pop to next resistance.
$ 46.08 is the current fib barrier of interest.
$ 52.39 - 52.80 is the proven resistance above.
$ 39.19 - 39.76 is the first good support below.
Above the red are only scattered clouds for some distance.
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CMG - Tempting to go long but .... CMG looks tight here, sharp move upside to 60s can be soon. But hesitant to go heavy on this name. I see a possibility this is a B wave and followed by a C wave.
anyways, I've a small position for a swing trade from low 50s
Target 1 - 61
Target 2 - 64
Stop loss - 52, move up with the stock
CAT eyes on $ 388: Golden Genesis fib that may have marked a TopCAT and industrials in general have been flying.
Fell below Golden Genesis fib on earnings report.
Retesting from below, rejection would say Topped.
$ 388.00 - 390.84 is the resistance to watch.
$ 369.46 - 371.58 is the first possible support.
$ 353.22 - 356.25 is a Must-Hold and ideal buy.
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MaskNetwork MASK price has woken up and is growing🤔 Who knows what “news” woke up the sleeping handsome #MASK ?)
Except for a conspiracy theory: that CRYPTOCAP:DOGE grow well, who likes to pump #Musk and whose last name is similar to #MaskNetwork
Because if there is a solid fundamental, then why shouldn't the price of OKX:MASKUSDT rise to $5.00-5.30-5.50?)
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Framing of my routine on 5min 15min drawings of 10/30/2024Using Today chart as example. We see pullback test at 5min ORB high.
showing respect to prev breakout price!
good news for bulls!
and 5min also held the (S),
by rejection of closing back above (S) on the 2nd candle.
showing us a fakeout, tricked some impatient bears.wasted BP. sad.