Fibonacci
Bitcoin BTC price analysis, FOMC 19/03 - FED rateOur previous idea for OKX:BTCUSDT worked out 10 out of 10
Well, let's try to hit it again !)
Yesterday, CRYPTOCAP:BTC price showed growth despite the fact that the Fed left the rate unchanged yesterday #FOMC
In short, Powell said that he was "hesitant" to cut the rate now because it is not known how the economy will be affected by the new "economic tariffs and economic wars" that come into effect in early April. In the US, one "grandfather" does not know what to expect from the other "grandfather" ))
Nevertheless, #BTCUSD price has every chance of reaching $94k in the coming days.
And then, I would like to see a decline in BTC.D and USDT.D, which in turn will allow altcoins to "stop collapsing", and some low-liquid ones, which are easier to pump, will show good growth, such as X Empire.
👀 In general, the last 2 months have been: "not about making money, but about surviving and keeping the deposit, even with a drawdown", but the next 3 months may be very much about making money.
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GOLD → Fading out before the news. Possible long-squeezeFX:XAUUSD continues its bullish trend, but locally, the movement is in a very narrow channel (wedge). To form a potential for further movement, the price may form a long-squeeze before or at the time of news...
Fundamentally, gold remains a bullish asset due to the Fed's rate cut forecasts and economic risks associated with Trump's tariff policy. Gold hit a new high on Wednesday after the Fed reiterated plans to cut rates twice this year, raised its inflation forecast and worsened growth and employment estimates.The price is further supported by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with Israel announcing the resumption of ground operations in Gaza.
Gold is forming a bull market. Before further growth (before the news) the price may enter the liquidity zone (fvg, 3028, 3024), after which it will continue to grow. Dollar enters local correction before the news, which creates pressure on gold
Resistance levels: 3046, 3051, 3056
Support levels: 3038, 3030, 3024
Price is forming a retest of the wedge support, which increases the chances of a breakdown. If the support fails to hold, the price may go down to the above support before rising further.
But! If gold bounces from 3038 and consolidates above 3044, the growth will continue without a deep pullback
Regards R. Linda!
USD/CHF 15M Chart - Bullish Outlook!📈 USD/CHF 15M Chart - Bullish Outlook!
🟢 Demand Zone Identified!
Price is approaching the 0.87537 - 0.87400 demand zone, where a potential reversal could occur. If support holds, we may see an upward move toward key resistance levels.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🟢 Support Zone: 0.87537 - 0.87400
🚀 Breakout Target 1: 0.87887
🎯 Main Target: 0.88603
🔥 Potential Trade Setup:
🟢 Buy Near: 0.87537
🎯 TP1: 0.87887
🎯 TP2: 0.88603
🛑 SL: Below 0.87400
⚠️ Break Above 0.87887 could confirm further bullish momentum toward 0.88603. Trade wisely and manage risk!
#USDCHF #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #LiquidityGrab #FXFOREVER
GBP/USD 1H Chart - Bearish Outlook!📉 GBP/USD 1H Chart - Bearish Outlook!
🔴 Key Resistance in Play!
GBP/USD has tested the 1.30000 - 1.30500 supply zone and is showing signs of rejection. If the price continues to drop, we could see a move toward the next demand zone.
📌 Levels to Watch:
🔻 Resistance Zone: 1.30000 - 1.30500
📉 First Target: 1.29514
🎯 Main Target: 1.28543
🔥 Potential Trade Setup:
🔴 Sell Below: 1.29900
🎯 TP1: 1.29514
🎯 TP2: 1.28543
🛑 SL: Above 1.30500
⚠️ Break Below 1.29514 could confirm further downside toward 1.28543. Stay cautious and manage risk wisely!
#GBPUSD #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #LiquidityGrab #FXFOREVER 🚀📊
Bitcoin - This indicator is always right! Crash to 40k in 2026.What we can see on the chart is Bitcoin cycles. We can statistically predict Bitcoin moves with this simple chart, because it's always right and never wrong. What can we say with certainty?
Statistically:
Bitcoin's bull markets last for 742 to 1065 days
Bitcoin's bear markets last for 364 to 413 days
Correction is every time weaker, but still huge
The recent uptrend on Bitcoin started in December 2022 and ended in January 2025 (791 days). We know that statistically bull markets last for 742 to 1065 days, so this indicator tells us that the bull market ended! This indicator was never wrong, so do your own research. It's always like this. Moon boys calling for 300k, 500k, or 1M in 2025 do not follow my TradingView profile because otherwise they would know this strong fundamental fact. The market cap of Bitcoin is already too big, so forget about 500K or 1M in the short term because the market cap would be higher than gold. Gold is the number 1 asset in the world.
Statistically, Bitcoin crashes every 4 years by 86% to 77%. The market cap is getting bigger as institutions step in, so this time I expect a weaker crash (around 65%). Still, it's a huge crash, and many investors will sell at a loss as usual. Knowledge of the Bitcoin cycles will save you a lot of money.
Bitcoin halving is coded to occur once every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every four years, and will continue in this fashion until the final supply of 21 million BTC is reached. It is assumed that the last BTC will be mined in 2140. After that, transaction fees are supposed to be the only source of block rewards for miners.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/20/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20026.25
- PR Low: 19944.25
- NZ Spread: 183.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing
10:00 | Existing Home Sales
Auctioning in previous session highs above the close
- Maintaining weekly range below 20200
- Advertising daily rotation back to Keltner average cloud
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 3/20)
- Session Open ATR: 472.57
- Volume: 26K
- Open Int: 213K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -10.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 18675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
btc fibonacci levels btc has broken resistance at 83548 and is holding 85636 after hitting 87429 level and k
now new resistance level big traders are moving market with other communities of traders looking to liquidate whales that short and looked like he closed short trade and entered long and markets are moving could it be traders filling large buy orders we will see ckean clise above 85636 buy green candle close above take profits at levels
HK2359 Bullish Wave 3In the second half of 2024, the stock accumulated energy and cooperated with the policy to make a beautiful rise, and then fell back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement line and fluctuated repeatedly. I believe the next wave of rise is coming!
I will buy intraday, the yellow line is the support level, about 51.1 (this is a relatively safe entry price), and the first target profit stop level is 72.45 (Fibonacci retracement line 1.000)
I am very optimistic about this stock. When there is a decline, I will give priority to replenishing positions at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement line instead of leaving the market quickly
Copper Nears Possible Resistance ZoneCopper faces a potential resistance zone between 5.18 and 5.30, where seven Fibonacci extension targets align with the May 2024 peak. If this level holds, a retracement to 4.984–4.75 is possible. This area is supported by a three-point Fibonacci symmetry and the 34 EMA wave.
ADI rally slowing already?My overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I have been wrong many times before so I will just take this thing in stages and see if it plays out. After this massive decline, we should be in for a great market rally of many decades. I am expecting the market to end its recent rally this week. The current rarely would be about a week in length depending when it began for individual stocks. The rally has done a few important things with its slow and prolonged upward movement, mainly prevents a wave 3 signal from occurring during the next decline.
My wave 3 indicator tends to signal wave 3s and 3 of 3s. See my scripts for the specifics of the indicator. If the market had a short wave 4 up and then a sharp or prolonged drop during wave 5, a new wave 3 signal would occur which violates the currently placed Minor wave 3 (yellow 3). Allowing separation from the current wave 3 signal enables wave 5 to drop quick or slow.
This chart applies select movement extensions based on wave 1's movement on the left and then another based on wave 3's movement on the right. I keep the values between 0%-100% on the chart for wave 2s and 4s retracements of the preceding wave's movement for reference even though the retracement values would be inverted.
Specifically for ADI, Minor wave 3 was longer than wave 1, which does not place a maximum length on wave 5. Assuming wave 4 ends on Thursday or Friday, Minor wave 5 could be a week or longer. Wave 4 does not need to gain too much more to meet completion criteria, but the sideways movement of the past few days could place the top below 218. During Minor wave 5, at the very least it should drop below wave 3's bottom of 202.59. Using some basic movement extensions, it will likely go lower. The 5 wave lower pattern for this fifth wave is hypothetical, but a bottom could occur between 186-195. Once we bottom, we should see another rally over a few weeks. I will forecast what that could look like as Intermediate wave 1 nears its end.
WFC is moving ahead of the market for better or worse?My overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I have been wrong many times before so I will just take this thing in stages and see if it plays out. After this massive decline, we should be in for a great market rally of many decades. I am expecting the market to end its recent rally this week. The current rarely would be about a week in length depending when it began for individual stocks. The rally has done a few important things with its slow and prolonged upward movement, mainly prevents a wave 3 signal from occurring during the next decline.
My wave 3 indicator tends to signal wave 3s and 3 of 3s. See my scripts for the specifics of the indicator. If the market had a short wave 4 up and then a sharp or prolonged drop during wave 5, a new wave 3 signal would occur which violates the currently placed Minor wave 3 (yellow 3). Allowing separation from the current wave 3 signal enables wave 5 to drop quick or slow.
This chart applies select movement extensions based on wave 1's movement on the left and then another based on wave 3's movement on the right. I keep the values between 0%-100% on the chart for wave 2s and 4s retracements of the preceding wave's movement for reference even though the retracement values would be inverted.
Specifically for WFC, Minor wave 3 was the shortest impulsive wave, likely indicating wave 5 will be 49 bars (30 minute scale) or less. This will likely put a restriction on the length of the decline. Additionally wave 4 is moving faster for this ticker than it has been on the others I have studied. Minor wave 5 should drop below wave 3's bottom of 65.515. Using some basic movement extensions, it will likely go lower, but likely not too much more. Once we bottom, we should see another rally over a few weeks. I will forecast what that could look like as Intermediate wave 1 nears its end.
While WFC has been trading with most of the other signals I am watching, the current rally could be a sign of Intermediate wave 1 possibly having ended at the current Minor 3 bottom. This would mean we are in Intermediate wave 2 now. In this case, the top of Intermediate wave 2 is quickly approaching (no higher than 78.98. I will evaluate this solution if the rally continues next week.
SPY rally done soon?My overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I have been wrong many times before so I will just take this thing in stages and see if it plays out. After this massive decline, we should be in for a great market rally of many decades. I am expecting the market to end its recent rally this week. The current rarely would be about a week in length depending when it began for individual stocks. The rally has done a few important things with its slow and prolonged upward movement, mainly prevents a wave 3 signal from occurring during the next decline.
My wave 3 indicator tends to signal wave 3s and 3 of 3s. See my scripts for the specifics of the indicator. If the market had a short wave 4 up and then a sharp or prolonged drop during wave 5, a new wave 3 signal would occur which violates the currently placed Minor wave 3 (yellow 3). Allowing separation from the current wave 3 signal enables wave 5 to drop quick or slow.
This chart applies select movement extensions based on wave 1's movement on the left and then another based on wave 3's movement on the right. I keep the values between 0%-100% on the chart for wave 2s and 4s retracements of the preceding wave's movement for reference even though the retracement values would be inverted.
Specifically for SPY, Minor wave 3 was longer than wave 1, which does not place a maximum length on wave 5. Assuming wave 4 ends on Thursday or Friday, Minor wave 5 could be a week or longer. In that time, at the very least it should drop below wave 3's bottom of 549.68. Using some basic movement extensions, it will likely go lower. The 5 wave lower pattern for this fifth wave is hypothetical, but a bottom could occur between 525-538. Once we bottom, we should see another rally over a few weeks. I will forecast what that could look like as Intermediate wave 1 nears its end.
Another possibility that could play out is we rally through the weekend. In this case Intermediate wave 1 possibly ended at the current Minor 3 bottom. This would mean we are in Intermediate wave 2 now. I will evaluate this solution if the rally continues next week.
WMT ready to resume drop?My overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I have been wrong many times before so I will just take this thing in stages and see if it plays out. After this massive decline, we should be in for a great market rally of many decades. I am expecting the market to end its recent rally this week. The current rarely would be about a week in length depending when it began for individual stocks. The rally has done a few important things with its slow and prolonged upward movement, mainly prevents a wave 3 signal from occurring during the next decline.
My wave 3 indicator tends to signal wave 3s and 3 of 3s. See my scripts for the specifics of the indicator. If the market had a short wave 4 up and then a sharp or prolonged drop during wave 5, a new wave 3 signal would occur which violates the currently placed Minor wave 3 (yellow 3). Allowing separation from the current wave 3 signal enables wave 5 to drop quick or slow.
This chart applies select movement extensions based on wave 1's movement on the left and then another based on wave 3's movement on the right. I keep the values between 0%-100% on the chart for wave 2s and 4s retracements of the preceding wave's movement for reference even though the retracement values would be inverted.
Specifically for WMT, Minor wave 3 was longer than wave 1, which does not place a maximum length on wave 5. Assuming wave 4 ends on Thursday or Friday, Minor wave 5 could be a week or longer. In that time, at the very least it should drop below wave 3's bottom of 83.87. Using some basic movement extensions, it will likely go lower. The 5 wave lower pattern for this fifth wave is hypothetical, but a bottom could occur between 74-79. Once we bottom, we should see another rally over a few weeks. I will forecast what that could look like as Intermediate wave 1 nears its end.
TRUP/USDT in the coming hoursHello everyone, let's look at the 4H TRUMP to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how it has come out of the triangle on top and currently we can see a fight with the current resistance at $11.45, in a situation when it comes out of it on top it can go towards the targets at the levels:
T1 = $11.89
T2 = $12.58
Т3 = $13.08
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = $11.06
SL2 = $10.40
SL3 = $9.76
When we look at the RSI indicator we can see how on the 4h interval we have come out of the range on top, which however in the short term may give an attempt to recover the price or a temporary sideways trend.
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of Fed rate meeting...FX:XAUUSD goes into consolidation 3038 - 3024 before the news - Fed rate meeting. The situation is generally predictable, but gold is reacting to rising geopolitical risks.
Gold is stabilizing before the Fed decision , markets are waiting for the data. The regulator is expected to keep rates, but Powell's forecasts will determine further dynamics.
“Hawkish” tone of the Fed may lead to the strengthening of the dollar and gold correction.
“Dovish” signals about economic risks will support the growth of metal prices.
Geopolitical tensions and Trump's tariffs continue to have an impact.The market is preparing for high volatility on the background of the Fed's decision and events in the world
Resistance levels: 2038, 2045
Support levels: 3024, 3015, 3004.9
Several scenarios can be considered for trading:
Breakdown of resistance 3038 - 3045, consolidation of the price above the level with subsequent growth to 3050 - 3060.
Or wait for the reaction to the news and with a possible breakdown of support to look for strong levels to trade a false breakdown, for example 3024, 3015, 3005.
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → Resistance retest (wedge) before the Fed meetingFX:USDJPY is forming a correction to trend resistance as part of the dollar index consolidation. An interesting situation is forming which could be a continuation of the downtrend.
Fundamentally, today is an important day. The FED interest rate meeting is ahead. Traders are waiting, the dollar is consolidating at this time. Most likely the rate will remain unchanged, but in this key everyone is interested in Powell's comments on monetary policy and their future actions.
USDJPY at this time is forming a correction to the bearish trend resistance, before the news the currency pair may test the resistance conglomerate: a wedge, 0.79 fibo, or an orderblock located outside the channel
Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95
Support levels: 148.92
False breakout of the resistance zone can provoke a fall, as well as breakdown of the support of the “wedge” with the subsequent consolidation of the price in the selling zone. The price may test the zone of interest at 147.6, 146.54.
Regards R. Linda!
GBP/USD analysis forecast, ### *Analysis of the GBP/USD 4H Chart*
This chart represents a *bullish market structure* with a potential *breakout scenario*.
#### *Key Tools & Concepts Used:*
1. *Fibonacci Retracement Levels*
- The chart applies *Fibonacci retracement levels* (0.236, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786, and 1.0) to identify key support and resistance levels.
- Price is currently testing the *trendline support near the 0.5 Fib level* (~1.29348), a critical zone for potential reversal.
2. *Trendline Support & Breakout Zone*
- The market has been *respecting an ascending trendline*, acting as dynamic support.
- A red *"Breakout" marker* with an arrow suggests that *if price breaks below this trendline, it may trigger a bearish move* toward lower Fibonacci levels (1.28703 or 1.28220).
- Conversely, *if price holds above this trendline*, it may continue bullish momentum.
3. *Liquidity Grab & Final Push*
- The *highlighted blue zones* indicate areas where price previously consolidated and then surged, possibly *liquidity grabs* before a bullish continuation.
- The *"Final Reach" zone* at the top suggests a bullish target around *1.30477, aligning with the **0 Fibonacci level*.
4. *Risk Management & Trade Scenarios:*
- *Bullish Scenario:* If price *respects the trendline, a **long entry* could target *1.30477*.
- *Bearish Scenario:* If price *breaks below the trendline, it may drop to **1.29082 (0.618 Fib) or lower to 1.28220 (1 Fib)*.
### *Conclusion*
- The market is at a *critical decision point*:
- If it *respects the trendline, a bullish move toward **1.30477* is likely.
- A *breakout below the trendline* could lead to a bearish correction.
- The Fibonacci retracement, trendline, and breakout signals provide key levels to watch.
Would you like help refining a trade setup based on this analysis?