Gold-Silver Discrepancy Analysis – Reevaluation After NFP ReactiAfter taking a loss yesterday, I had to reassess my outlook on Gold. The market behavior leading into and following the NFP event revealed significant discrepancies between Gold and Silver that can’t be ignored.
Since April 24th — the day Gold printed its highest price in human history — the daily chart has shown consistent lower low formations. In contrast, Silver had been forming higher highs on the daily during this same period, showing relative strength.
However, this dynamic began to shift. On the 4-hour chart, Silver is now printing lower lows from last month’s high, aligning more closely with Gold, which has been bearish on both the daily and 4-hour timeframes since its peak.
A key moment occurred just before the NFP release: Silver made a strong run above last week’s high, while Gold failed to even trade above Wednesday’s high — which coincides with the gap fill from last week Tuesday’s open. This divergence in price behavior is crucial.
Gold closed yesterday with a full-bodied bearish engulfing candle, rejecting that same gap area. Meanwhile, Silver’s breakout above last week’s high, despite its internal weakness, is a clear discrepancy of value.
Now, with Silver beginning to shift into lower low structure on the daily and no bullish market structure shift present on the 4-hour chart, the bullish narrative weakens. This divergence between both metals—especially as Silver shows signs of internal breakdown—suggests a high-probability case that the market may be preparing for a broader downside move rather than continuation to the upside.
That said, the key level at 3225/3200, which I marked during my previous bullish outlook, remains on watch. Price reaction at this zone will be critical in determining whether the market still has a chance to reclaim bullish intent or if the short bias continues to play out. If the bearish pressure holds, 3120 becomes a likely target—and a deeper fall toward 2960 wouldn’t be surprising either, considering it aligns with a key discount zone from the weekly timeframe.
Fibonacci
UXLINK price powerfully pumping😱 Totally manipulative asset - $UXlink
When all the altos are growing, OKX:UXLINKUSDT price is in a falling consolidation, when most altos start to “feel bad”, then #UXLINK is pummped.
Now, the MM's goal is obvious - to break the feet of shorts and organize a “short squeeze” and sell a large portion of the asset at high volumes.
Therefore:
1️⃣ Don't shorts - it's too early.
2️⃣ Move your stops at a long position or use a trigger stop.
3️⃣ Short squeeze - are close, above $1.20, it will be sharp... to $1.30 or even to $1.50, or even to $2.15... it is unknown, time will tell)
The only thing that is known is that those who like to trade such manipulative assets will get an unforgettable adrenaline rush, but afterwards the taste will be twofold...
Better watch without participating!)
P.S:
we would buy, not earlier than at $0.26-0.32
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MooDENG price analysis😭 How “fun” you can live trading memecoins!)
First, -97% dump, and then +1600% if from the absolute bottom, or +800% of a rapid pumping)
And with all this, the capitalization of #MOODENG is only $275 million, and at the maximum it was around $600 million.
🕯 Moreover, on the OKX:MOODENGUSDT chart, they “draw” as if they want to give another upward momentum. Here's the question: to $0.40 or $0.70?
❗️ But this is an idea for spot holders!!!
Because as you can see on the chart, a -50% correction "It's not a big deal" at all, and it can liquidate longs even with x2 leverage.
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Still short gold before breaking 3355After the release of NFP yesterday, gold began to fall sharply from 3352, reaching a low of around 3312; although it has gradually rebounded above 3340, the time span is not short, so the rebound is not strong; and the double top structure successfully constructed by gold in the 3365-3360 area in the short term still plays a technical suppression role in the short term, greatly weakening the rebound potential; and with the decline of gold yesterday, I think before gold recovers the 3352 starting point, gold will also be under pressure in the 3345-3355 area in the short term. If gold cannot successfully break through this area during the rebound, gold is expected to retest the 3330-3320 area again.
Because of the US Independence Day, the gold market will be closed in advance today. It is expected that gold will not have a breakthrough today, so it may be difficult to break through the 3345-3355 area in the short term, so we can still continue to maintain the trading rhythm of shorting gold in terms of trading.
So I think shorting gold still has a lot of profit potential. We can short gold with 3345-3355 area as resistance and look to the target area: 3335-3325-3315.
GOLD → Consolidation after a trend break...FX:XAUUSD , after breaking out of a downtrend, is consolidating, which may continue for some time due to Thursday's news and low liquidity on Friday.
Gold stabilized after a correction, but volatility risks remain. After falling from a weekly high of $3,366, gold prices found demand again in Asia on Friday. Strong US employment data cooled expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut, which supported the dollar and limited gold's gains. Additional pressure is coming from the hawkish shift in Fed expectations, but US budget risks and weak liquidity due to the holidays could increase price volatility in the coming days.
Technically, the focus is on the boundaries of the current consolidation at 3311 and 3357. In addition, within the range there is an important level of 3325, which divides the market into bearish and bullish zones...
Resistance levels: 3350, 3357, 3393
Support levels: 3325, 3311
It is important to understand the situation: due to the holiday in the US, liquidity is lower, making it easier to move the price. The rest of the world, interested in gold, can easily push the price up. The trigger will be the zone 3350 - 3350. There is a chance that the market will try to break through the resistance without a pullback and continue to rise to 3393.
However, the most likely scenario is that after yesterday's volatility, gold will remain within 3325 - 3357 before rising next week
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPCAD → Retest the area of interest before growthFX:GBPCAD is closing the imbalance area as part of a countertrend correction and consolidating below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. What's next, growth or decline?
The global trend is upward, and the situation is classic: the market needs energy and liquidity to continue growing.
Locally, we see that as part of a countertrend correction, the market is closing the imbalance area, but at the same time forming consolidation below 0.5 Fibonacci, still leaving the zone of interest and order block below 1.84600 untouched.
Technically, there is a fairly high probability of continued growth, provided that the price ends its consolidation with a breakout of the 1.85690 resistance and consolidates above 0.5 Fibonacci.
Resistance levels: 1.85690, 1.8657
Support levels: 1.84986, 1.846, 1.8417
However, as an additional and, in my opinion, the most important scenario, I still consider a complete closure of the fvg and a retest of the 0.7-0.79 zone, within which the order block is located. A false breakdown of the zone of interest and the capture of liquidity could attract additional interest, which would trigger growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
JPM: Internal CadenceResearch Notes
Testing coordinates of full fractal cycle for deterministic properties. If we base our core measurements (0; 1) on that shape:
Interference Pattern I - adjusted to the angle of building blocks
Interference Pattern II
Interference Pattern III
This explains all Fibonacci channels shown in interactive chart.
Cookieusdt trading opportunityCOOKIEUSDT has broken down from its rising channel and is now heading toward a potential reversal zone. If price finds support and reacts positively from this area, a move toward the important supply zone is expected. A confirmed breakout above this supply zone would open the path toward the projected final target, as outlined on the chart.
USDCAD offers good R:R opportunityAs the price corrected, its forming a falling wedges pattern. And the best thing is all the new lower low was appear alongside the higher low on MACD, it's such a strong BULLISH DIVERGENCE signal.
I believe in the next 2-3 trading days, 100-150 pips upward movement is very likely to happen.
BNB/USD (4h interval)🔍 1. Chart structure
Instrument: Binance Coin / USD (BNB/USD)
Interval: 4 hours
📐 2. Technical formations
🔸 Breakout from the descending wedge formation
The descending wedge (orange lines) is a bullish formation - it suggests a potential breakout upwards.
The breakout occurred dynamically, with a large breakout candle (confirmation of the formation).
The goal of breaking out of the wedge is usually the height of the entire formation - this is marked with an orange arrow.
📈 Breakout range (target): around $697–710
🟢 Potential next targets:
697.83 (local resistance/projection result)
710.73 (main wedge height projection)
728.12 (strong resistance from history)
📊 3. Supports and resistances
🟥 Support zones (red rectangles):
$648.5–637.5 – previous resistance, now tested as support after the breakout.
$608.5–592.5 – strong support from previous lows.
🔼 Currently, the price has tested the upper support zone (648–637), reacted positively and continues to move up.
🟩 Resistance levels (green horizontal lines):
679.88 USD – local resistance, first target after breaking out of the wedge.
697.83 USD – projected range from the formation.
710.73 USD – full technical range of the breakout.
728.12 USD – strong resistance from history, may be a long-term target.
📉 4. Trends and support lines
Purple upward trend line – currently the price is above, which confirms the short-term upward trend.
Its break may lead to a retest of 648–637 USD.
Only below this zone can a larger correction be considered.
📈 5. Stochastic RSI indicator
Currently in the overbought zone (above 80).
Possible temporary cooling – signal for local correction / consolidation.
It is worth waiting for the indicator to go down to around 20 to re-enter the long.
✅ 6. Scenarios
🔼 Bullish (base) scenario:
Staying above 648–637 USD.
Maintaining the uptrend line.
Continuation to 679.88 → 697.83 → 710.73.
🔽 Bearish scenario:
Breaking the purple trend line.
Returning below 648 USD → going down to the 608–592 zone.
Negation of the breakout from the wedge.
📌 Final conclusions
Breaking out from the descending wedge is a strong pro-growth signal.
The price behaves in accordance with technical analysis, testing the previous resistance as support.
Currently, the retest and consolidation phase is underway – maintaining the trend line and the level of $648 will be key.
The medium-term target is $697–710.
Dow Jones in Long-Term Fibonacci Channel📈 Dow Jones Weekly | Fibonacci Channel in Play Since 2020
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has been trending within a well-defined Fibonacci channel on the weekly timeframe since the 2020 lows.
🔹 The price has consistently respected the Fibonacci levels as tilted support and resistance lines—a technical behavior that adds weight to this structure.
🔹 Three major horizontal support/resistance zones are clearly active and validated multiple times (highlighted on the chart).
🔹 Currently, the index is approaching the upper boundary of the downtrend resistance.
📌 The setup suggests it's only a matter of time before we retest this dynamic resistance zone, with potential rejection or breakout to follow.
🎯 Target zone around 45,000 as marked—aligning with previous highs and the upper resistance confluence.
Stay tuned—momentum is building.
#DowJones #DJI #FibonacciChannel #TechnicalAnalysis #WeeklyChart #StockMarket #Resistance #Support #Trendlines #ChartAnalysis #TradingView #US30 #MarketOutlook #PriceAction
Gold is Nearing an Important Support AreaHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,340 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3,340 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Avalanche AVAX price analysis🔴 Do you think that the price of CRYPTOCAP:AVAX has bottomed out and is completing a "double bottom" pattern?
📉 Will there be another downward movement in the price of OKX:AVAXUSDT , for example to $14, followed by the long-awaited upward trend?
Either way, in both cases, there is every chance that the price of the #Avalanche token could reach $45 by the end of 2025.
P.S:
The price of #AvaxUSD is moving nicely along the established channels — take advantage of this and make a profit!
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Artyusdt buy opportunityARTYUSDT is currently trading within a descending broadening wedge formation, with price recently bouncing off the lower boundary. The structure suggests a continued move toward the upper boundary near the $0.915 zone. A breakout above the Immediate Internal Resistance Level (IIRL) would likely trigger strong bullish momentum, setting the stage for a move toward the projected target. Focus remains on the buy-back zone, which presents a strategic area for accumulation as the setup matures.
CLX Clean-Up RallyClorox NYSE:CLX is rebounding from the $117 swing low on rising volume.
Fibonacci measured from the Jul-’24 high ($171.37) to that low shows the 50 % retrace at $144.36 .
A nine-wave corrective drop has completed, and the daily RSI crossover mirrors the two prior bottoms highlighted on the chart.
Confluence to the upside
Bullish RSI divergence off the 30-line
Price back above the 9-EMA ribbon: targets 23.6 % ($130.10), 38.2 % ($137.99), 50 % ($144.36)
200-DMA ≈ $150 — often acts as a magnet once 50 % breaks
Street context
Consensus 12-mo target sits around $150–152 (FactSet), with the high at $165 and low at $130 .
Short interest ≈ 3 % of float—no squeeze fuel, but little overhead supply until the $140s.
Next catalyst: FY-Q4 earnings – guidance indicates week of Jul 29 to Aug 2 (date TBD); options price an implied ±4 % move.
Trade Setup
Entry zone: $123–126
Primary target: $144 (50 % fib).
Secondary target: $149–150 200-DMA / analyst mean.
Invalidation: Daily close back below $118.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! Always manage risk!
AVAX | Trade setup📌 After the reaction from the bearish target zones (blue), we've now activated a bullish sequence (yellow) in $Avax.
📊 Valid entries are currently forming during a potential B-C correction.
Trademanagement:
I'm placing long orders at each level.
Once the trade reaches a 2 R/R, I’ll move the stop-loss to break-even.
From a 3 R/R onward, I’ll start locking in profits.
Once I’ve locked in my first profits, I’ll share the next profit targets with you.
NEAR | Trade Setup📌 After the reaction from the bearish target zones (blue), we've now activated a bullish sequence (yellow) in $Near.
📊 Valid entries are currently forming during a potential B-C correction.
Trademanagement:
I'm placing long orders at each level.
Once the trade reaches a 2 R/R, I’ll move the stop-loss to break-even.
From a 3 R/R onward, I’ll start locking in profits.
Once I’ve locked in my first profits, I’ll share the next profit targets with you.
ADA | Trade Setup📌 After the reaction from the bearish target zones (blue), we've now activated a bullish sequence (yellow) in $ADA.
📊 Valid entries are currently forming during a potential B-C correction.
Trademanagement:
I'm placing long orders at each level.
Once the trade reaches a 2 R/R, I’ll move the stop-loss to break-even.
From a 3 R/R onward, I’ll start locking in profits.
Once I’ve locked in my first profits, I’ll share the next profit targets with you.
Bitcoin |Market updateWe just broke through the bull flag after a 3-wave correction from the last impulsive move.
📊Macro picture:
With the break of the high at 109k, we were able to invalidate the bearish scenario (marked in yellow). We've also almost broken the high at 110k, above which there's still massive short liquidity
I expect Bitcoin to break its all-time high within the next 11 days due to the global liquidity, which we are still continuously following.
I'm not going short or long on #BTC right now, as I don't see any valid setups at the moment.
💡 But it's a different story with altcoins -> Check out my other recent posts