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Fibonacci

NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 19 March 2025 - NZDUSD reversed from the resistance level 0.5820 - Likely to fall to support level 0.5750 NZDUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the strong resistance level 0.5820 (former strong support from the end of November). The resistance level 0.5820 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band and by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from September. Given the multi-month downtrend, NZDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.5750 (former support from February and the start of March).
Short
by FxProGlobal
USD Gains Ground as Markets Await the FOMC and New ProjectionsThe U.S. dollar is regaining ground ahead of the much-anticipated second monetary policy decision of the year by the Federal Reserve, after having been under pressure during the first half of the week. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing a 0.4% gain, positioning itself as the strongest currency among major Forex market pairs on this key trading day. Alongside the greenback’s strength, U.S. equity markets are also trading in positive territory, reflecting relative optimism ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision. The federal funds rate, currently within a 4.25% to 4.50% range, is widely expected to remain unchanged, with interest rate futures assigning a 99% probability to this outcome. However, while the rate decision is largely priced in, market attention will shift toward the Fed’s new economic projections, and most importantly, to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference. I personally anticipate significant adjustments in the Fed’s estimates, which could trigger notable market reactions. Specifically, I expect the Federal Reserve to lower its 2025 economic growth projections from the 2.1% forecasted last December, in response to a more challenging economic environment, where we have seen a weaker U.S. consumer and the impact of recent tariff measures introduced by the Trump administration. Additionally, inflation projections will be a key focus, especially as we have seen a derailment of long-term inflation expectations, a crucial factor in the inflation debate, which have now reached their highest level since 1993. The so-called "dot plot" will likely indicate two rate cuts projected for this year, reflecting a slightly less dovish stance compared to the three cuts currently priced in by financial markets. This discrepancy could drive volatility in both the dollar and equities if market sentiment shifts to accommodate this less accommodative outlook. The post-decision press conference will be, in my view, the most critical moment of the day. Jerome Powell will face tough questions regarding the Fed’s stance on the growing risk of an economic recession, exacerbated by uncertainty over the effectiveness of the White House’s new trade and fiscal policies. It will be crucial to hear how Powell balances an inflation-focused narrative with the surge in inflation expectations, a key factor for future monetary policy decisions. Powell is likely to adopt a cautious approach, avoiding any firm commitments on the future direction of monetary policy, aiming to retain maximum flexibility in an uncertain economic environment. Finally, it wouldn’t be surprising if the term "stagflation" takes center stage in journalists’ questions, given the current backdrop of persistent inflationary pressures combined with increasing signs of economic slowdown. In summary, while interest rates are expected to remain unchanged, the Fed’s statements and projections will be critical in shaping the future direction of financial markets and the Federal Reserve’s monetary stance in this challenging economic environment.
PEPPERSTONE:USDX
by Pepperstone
USDJPY UPDATE 19th MARCH 2025The price is currently rising as anticipated. I took partial profits already since price surpassed half of what I expected. I also moved Stoploss to 149.443 to protect the remaining open position just incase. I hope you guys took the trade too. If not, do not panic as the market always gives new opportunities. STAY ALERT REMINDER 1.Never get to confident as the market can always surprise you in ways you can't even imagine, so always use proper risk management. 2. We learn everyday.
Long
by louqmanh
BTCUSD Daily Chart AnalysisBTCUSD Daily Chart Analysis: As you can see on the daily chart, Bitcoin is currently at a critical juncture. We've witnessed a strong uptrend culminating in a high near $108,000, followed by a significant correction. Key Levels: Support: The $80,000 to $82,000 zone is proving to be a crucial support level. Resistance: We have immediate resistance around $92,000 to $96,000, and the major resistance at the recent high of $108,000. Technical Observations: The recent pullback is testing the aforementioned support zone. Crucially, I'm observing a bullish divergence on the RSI, indicating potential weakening of the downward momentum. Additionally, a bullish MACD crossover is imminent, further reinforcing the possibility of a reversal. Potential Scenarios: If the $80,000 to $82,000 support holds, the bullish divergence and MACD crossover suggest a strong likelihood of a bounce. We could see a move towards the $92,000 to $96,000 resistance area. A successful break above that level could propel BTC back towards the $108,000 highs. Conversely, a break below the $80,000 support would invalidate the bullish signals and likely lead to further downside, with potential targets around $76,000 and $72,000. Conclusion: Bitcoin is currently presenting a compelling setup. The confluence of a key support test, bullish RSI divergence, and a potential MACD crossover suggests a high probability of a bullish reversal. However, risk management is paramount, and traders should be prepared for potential downside if the support fails.
Short
by ChinDiaperGuy
4
Potential Bearish Flag in Super MicroSuper Micro Computer has bounced since November, but some traders may expect further downside. The first pattern on today’s chart is the major slide that began last May. SMCI’s spike in February stalled at a 50 percent retracement of that move. The maker of AI servers also tried and failed to clear its 200-day simple moving average (SMA). Those signals may confirm the longer-term trend is moving lower. Next, the small rising channel so far in March could be viewed as a bearish flag. Third, SMCI has tried to hold support at its 50-day SMA but yesterday closed under it. Fourth, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has remained below the 21-day EMA. MACD is falling as well. Both of those patterns may reflect short-term bearish trends. Finally, SMCI is one of the most active underliers in the options market. (TradeStation data shows it averaging more than 800,000 contracts per day in the last month.) That could help traders position for moves with calls and puts. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com . Visit www.TradeStation.com for full details on the costs and fees associated with options. Margin trading involves risks, and it is important that you fully understand those risks before trading on margin. The Margin Disclosure Statement outlines many of those risks, including that you can lose more funds than you deposit in your margin account; your brokerage firm can force the sale of securities in your account; your brokerage firm can sell your securities without contacting you; and you are not entitled to an extension of time on a margin call. Review the Margin Disclosure Statement at www.TradeStation.com . TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by TradeStation
Bears are about to revive, short gold！Gold has rebounded to around 3040 once again. It is undeniable that the risk of going long is gradually increasing. At this level, the primary strategy should be to avoid blindly chasing long positions in gold to mitigate the risk of a significant pullback. Additionally, during the recent retracement, gold only briefly touched the 3023 level before rebounding. Given the insufficient depth of the pullback, this swift rebound suggests that gold may continue to test its short-term highs. Currently, there is no clear technical topping pattern, and the candlestick formations remain strong, indicating further upward potential. Gold could extend its gains toward the 3050-3060 range. From a trading perspective, it may be prudent to consider short positions in the 3045-3055 range.Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Open your eyes and watch the bear dance!Bros, I have clearly pointed out in the last article update that gold will continue to rise and hit the 3030-3040 area, and the highest will only reach around 3040; gold has risen to this area as expected, and has reached a maximum of around 3038. I have doubled my short position in gold around 3038; gold has risen sharply due to fundamental support and has seriously deviated from the technical side, so the faster gold rises, the more dangerous it is! After the market calms down, gold may experience a deep retracement. So I’m looking forward to when the bears dance next! And I am always optimistic about gold falling back to the 3015-3005 area! Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
15
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/19/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 19723.00 - PR Low: 19666.25 - NZ Spread: 126.75 Key scheduled economic events: 09:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 14:00 | FOMC Economic Projections FOMC Statement Fed Interest Rate Decision 14:30 | FOMC Press Conference Majority of volume in contract month M - Counter breakout close of previous session - Rotating back inside previous week range towards 19400 inventory - AMP margins temporarily increased in preparation for Fed events Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 3/19) - Session Open ATR: 472.38 - Volume: 32K - Open Int: 194K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -12.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 18675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025Long
by mv3trader5