$NQ! Outlook through 3/21NQ has been falling one rung at a time on the Fibonacci circle from the most recent all time high. Normal behavior for a recovery would be to round the circle until the path becomes more upwards, so the path will take a while for true recovery. However with FOMC this week, I've allotted a short term good and bad path depending on the market reaction.
Fibonacci
The Opportunity of The Year: A Perfect Long Entry on BTC ?Bitcoin’s recent pullback to $76K has sparked concerns among traders, but for those following Elliott Wave 2.0, this correction is nothing more than a textbook WXYXZ retracement after a powerful 1-2-3-4-5 impulse wave.
Wave Structure: A Perfect Setup for the Next Move
Wave 1 began around $50K, kicking off the strong uptrend.
Wave 5 peaked at $107K, completing the impulsive move.
The current decline to $76K aligns perfectly with a wave-2-style correction, which is essential before the next leg up.
WXYXZ Correction: The Smart Money Entry Zone
In Elliott Wave 2.0, A WXYXZ correction is a natural and necessary part of market cycles. This isn’t a sign of weakness—it’s a cooldown before the next explosive run.
The Next Leg Up: Preparing for Wave 5
According to Elliott Wave 2.0, the cool gains come from Wave 5, which follows a WXYXZ correction. With Bitcoin cooling off at key Fibonacci levels, the next move could send it past $140K+ in the coming months.
With Institutional demand remains high, and spot Bitcoin ETFs continuously absorbing supply.
The halving effect is still in play, historically driving BTC to new highs post-event.
Smart money isn’t panicking—they’re accumulating. This correction isn’t a crash, it’s a reset before the next parabolic wave. 🚀
Will THETA return to an upward trend?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on Theta Token. When we enter the one-day interval, we can see how the price moved in the formed downtrend channel. What's more, we can see here the movement at the lower border of the channel and how the price maintains a strong support at the level of $ 0.90, however, if we go lower, just below the channel border, a very strong support zone for the price from $ 0.69 to $ 0.42 is visible.
We can also see how the price enters a slight sideways trend in which it can approach the downtrend line lasting inside the downtrend channel, such consolidation and gathering of energy can have a positive impact on the movement in the coming weeks, which can lead to growth. When such a scenario works, we can see a nice upward movement around $ 1.36, another significant resistance can be seen at $ 1.75, and then we have strong resistance around $ 2.36.
It is worth paying attention to the MACD indicator here, which shows how we are staying in the lower range and the ongoing movement is visible here, which may also indicate a potential attempt to rebound the price.
GALA price analysisWe would like to see the price of #GALA at least at $0.10-0.11 by the end of this year !)
And you?
Well, looking at the OKX:GALAUSDT chart, I want to believe that the trend of “updated high - not updated low” will continue... Next in line: "updated high"
_____________________
Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
AMD: Fibonacci Framework (Fractal Analysis RECAP)In this idea, I’d like to share a quick recap about my unconventional approach to understanding the chaos of the market.
Price movements don’t just mirror fundamentals, they also reshape them in continuity. Relating recent fluctuations to historic swings is crucial, because markets operate within a structured, evolving framework where past price proportions subtly wire the future. The interplay between bulls and bears doesn’t unfold randomly — it reflects recurring behavioral cycles encoded in historical patterns. Each swing carries the imprint of collective psychology, liquidity dynamics, and structural forces, which tend to repeat in varying scales. In Fractal Analysis, I recognize 2 key aspects of price dynamics: magnitude (price) and frequency of reversals (time).
For example, capturing the direction of past bullish wave can be used to define boundaries of future bearish waves. In logarithmic scale, the movements exhibit relatively more consistent angle (as percentage-based distance factors in natural growth).
To build structural framework, we need another 2 chart-based frames of reference because having multiple Fibonacci channels layered across cycle creates a collective framework of confluence zones, where price reactions become more meaningful. When several channels align or cluster around the same price levels, those zones gain credibility as potential support/resistance, because independent measurements are pointing to the same structural levels. This is why by analyzing price within a broader historical context, we gain perspective on where current price action fits within the larger market narrative.
Solana Wave Analysis – 18 March 2025
- Solana reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 113.75
Solana cryptocurrency recently reversed down from the resistance zone lying at the intersection of the resistance level 134.65 (former support from the end of February), 20-day moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from the start of March.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star.
Given the widespread bearish sentiment across the cryptocurrency markets, Solana can be expected to fall to the next support level 113.75 (the former low of wave (2) from the start of March).
CHFJPY Wave Analysis – 18 March 2025
- CHFJPY broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 172.00
CHFJPY currency pair recently broke the resistance zone lying at the intersection of the resistance level 169.50 (former upward correction top from February) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the sharp downward impulse from December.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active upward correction from the major support level 166.70.
CHFJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 172.00 (which reversed the pair at the end of January).
Short on EUR/USD as order block is now being formedWe have a liquidity sweep and order block forming on the upside. As we look for the break below equilibrium and a full break of structure we will short and target previous lower levels of liquidity. Keep in mind news is strong this week with FOMC on wed. and Unemployment on Thur.
GBP/JPY (Long)Daily:
Price > 200EMA
Swing Period 10
Swing Low: 187.666
Swing Low: 194.892
Volume Imbalance: 2 Candles
Daily Order Block: 197.399 / 195.104
H4:
Price < 200EMA
Swing Period: 7
Swing High: 194.892
Swing Low: 190.728
Volume Imbalance: 2 Candles
H4 Order Block: 192.357 / 192.841
H1:
Swing Period: 5
Swing High: 194.892
Swing Low: 191.446
Volume Imbalance: 11 Candles
H1 Order Block: 192.357 / 192.841
Model 1:
Entry Price: 192.572
Stop Loss: 191.970
TP1: 191.970 @ 1:1 / 50%
TP2: 193.775 @ 1:2 / 25%
SL: Breakeven
TP3: 194.891 @ 1:3 / 25%
Model 2:
Entry Price: 192.750 - 192.159
Entry Trigger: 9EMA X 21EMA
SL: Above recent swing low
TP1: 1:2
SL: Trailing 9EMA
$XAUUSD | Gold - Nearing ExhaustionGold has seen a strong rally over the past week – technically impressive, but from a Risk-On perspective, it’s more of a warning sign. As I mentioned in my Nvidia market report, I don’t think the Risk-Off phase will last forever. But for now, I believe we’re not quite done with it yet.
From where I stand, Gold could push a bit higher. My next target is the 161.8% Fibonacci extension at $3,038, which I expect to act as a reaction level. After that, I’m targeting a drop back down into the $2,955 to $2,930 area – this is where I expect sub-wave ((iv)) to complete.
What happens next will depend on how price reacts within that zone. Ideally, we’ll see one final move up to complete sub-wave (v) or roman ((iii)), but where exactly that ends is still unclear – I’ll reassess as we approach the zone.
For now, Gold remains strong – but I believe it's nearing exhaustion.
BTC heads up at 85k: Golden Genesis + Covid fib tight confluenceBTC with a nice bounce but just about to hit major resistance.
Golden Genesis + Semi-Major Covid fib reinforcing each other.
What happens here will determine if Bull Run is over or alive.
Previous Plots using these fibs:
Top Call:
Retrace RoadMap:
BTC Genesis Sequence:
====================================================================
Test support 70K - 73K If we break through the 76K, we will test the support at 70k - 73K
however we reach to the 70K, we still on the mid up trend line, and over the main up trend line. so, in the long term we are bullish anyway.
I have nothing else to say for now.
I hope my chart is easy for you to understand it.
$AI – Price at a Pivotal Level | Bounce or Breakdown?📊 C3.ai ( NYSE:AI ) is sitting at a critical support level.
🔹 Price Action & Key Levels
Current Price: $21.61
Previous Week Range: Mon, Mar 3 - Sat, Mar 8
Previous Weekly High (PWH): $24.35
Previous Weekly Low (PWL): $20.92
Previous Day Range (Fri, Mar 14, 2025) is a crucial demand area.
Previous Day High (PDH): $21.78
Previous Day Low (PDL): $21.20
Fibonacci Range: Wed, Dec 28, 2022 - Fri, Jan 16, 2023
Fibonacci 0.618: $24.95 (Resistance if the stock bounces)
Fibonacci 0.786: $18.44 (Downside risk if support breaks)
🚀 Bullish Case (Price Needs to Hold & Bounce)
If NYSE:AI holds above $21.20 and reclaims $22 and $23, momentum could push it toward $24.35 and higher. Price above $24.95 (0.618 Fib) confirms strength to the upside.
🚩 Bearish Case (Break Below $20.92 = Danger)
If NYSE:AI breaks below $20.92 (PWL), the next downside target is $18.44 (0.786 Fib).
📌 Holding NYSE:AI 21 MAR 25 $23 Calls @ $0.30
- Entry: Higher low and between the 0.618 and 0.786 ($18.44 - $24.95) Fibonacci range to the upside.
- Target: $0.45 on the options contract, 50% profit
- Stop Loss: $0.20 on the options contract, 33% loss.
🔹 What Does C3.ai Do?
C3.ai ( NYSE:AI ) is an enterprise AI software company that helps businesses predict, automate, and optimize operations using AI.
💡 Example Use Case:
Shell (Oil & Gas) uses C3.ai’s predictive maintenance AI to analyze sensor data and detect equipment failures before they happen—reducing downtime and saving millions.
Some other industries and areas NYSE:AI is doing business in:
Banking: Fraud detection & risk management
Healthcare: AI-driven diagnostics
Manufacturing: Supply chain optimization
XAUUSD still hoping for retracementThis is an update to my related chart (see link below)
Update:
Gold is rising quickly. I am still hoping for a retracement. I have updated my entry positions to:
First Entry: 3023.365 which is in the middle of a new support level on the 1hour chart. Using Fib on the Bullish Pennant target, this entry is at the 0.5 level.
Second Entry: 3012.392 which is within a support area as well. Using Fib on the Triangle target, this entry is just below 0.618 level.
XAUUSD small retracement then longI see two outstanding targets from a previous Triangle and a Bullish Pennant on the 1hour chart.
Right now Gold keeps hitting a soft resistance block.
First Entry at 3,009.388 near 0.5 Fib
Second Entry at 2,998.41 between 0.618 and 0.786 Fib
Risk to Reward: 3.15
Gold remains bullish.
In support:
Name Simple Exponential
MA5 3020.87 Buy 3020.99 Buy
MA10 3015.91 Buy 3016.22 Buy
MA20 3007.51 Buy 3009.40 Buy
MA50 2996.65 Buy 2995.01 Buy
MA100 2972.48 Buy 2977.08 Buy
MA200 2941.12 Buy 2953.95 Buy
Market Trading is risky. The above is just my idea and you should do your own analysis before comparing it with mine. Never risk more than you can afford to loose.
Good Luck!