TLT - Monthly Targets (Long Term)Markets are currently tight squeezing due to Trumps terrifs etc, something has to give in, based on this chart:
- TLT has found a bid at .963 Fibonacci level @ $82.42 (EXTREME RETRACE)
- Dec 2, 2024 = the 369 ratio in time for $82.42 (time & price 📐)
NEXT TARGET PROJECTION IS 50% OF THE MAX TARGET ANGLE = ($121)
(BETWEEN 2025 - 2029)
MAX TARGET = $183 - $212
(BETWEEN 2025 - 2034)
Fibonacci
Gold still has the potential to bounce back to 3070!Gold has been experiencing significant volatility driven by fundamental factors. While bearish sentiment appears to remain dominant, the recent downside move has already priced in much of the negative risk. As such, traders should avoid an overly one-sided bearish bias in the current environment.
After bottoming out near the 2970 level, gold staged a strong rebound. During the ensuing consolidation phase, the 3010–3000 zone has provided consistent support, signaling the emergence of a short-term demand zone. This indicates that the bulls have not completely capitulated and may attempt to stage a corrective rally toward the 3050 level, or potentially even as high as 3070.
From a short-term trading perspective, we may consider initiating long positions within the 3015–3005 range, aiming for an upside target of 3050, with a possible extension toward the 3070 resistance area.
The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
NQ volatility likely to persist until retest of 13k buy zonechart shows it all...expect more volatility this month, likely a retest of 61.8 fib level at 15k & 78.6 fib levels (based on lows from 2023) near 13k before we finally run to the highs again into 2026!
tariffs have similar impact as rate hikes...overall will be digested by markets just fine & we'll head back to the highs as fed sees more freedom to cut given those effects...very incentivized to prevent a "hard landing" economically without also boosting inflation too much, so this is all actually a good thing if you can see it :)
Nasdaq Enters Correction Territory Do we go Deeper
Monthly analysis done on the NQ with the ambition to connect with current price activity and gauge a deeper technical understanding on if this is just the start of a bigger correction for the year ahead . Tools used in this video Standard Fib , TR Pocket , CVWAP/ PVWAP Incorporating PVWAP and CVWAP into trading strategies allows for a more nuanced understanding of market dynamics used to assess trading performance and market trends.
Date and price range and trend line .
Some research below regarding the previous correction that I reference the technicals to in the video .
In November 2021, the Nasdaq reached record highs
However, concerns over rising inflation, potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, and supply chain disruptions led to increased market volatility. These factors contributed to a correction in the Nasdaq, with the index experiencing notable declines as investors reassessed valuations, particularly in high-growth technology stocks.
VS Today
March 2025 Correction:
As of March 2025, the Nasdaq Composite has faced another significant correction. On March 10, 2025, the index plummeted by 4%, shedding 728 points, marking its third-worst point loss ever, with only earlier losses during the COVID-19 pandemic surpassing this.
This downturn has been attributed to several factors:
Economic Policies: President Trump's announcement of increased tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China has unsettled markets, raising fears of a potential recession
Inflation Concerns: Investors are closely monitoring upcoming consumer-price index (CPI) reports to gauge inflation trends, as higher-than-expected inflation could hinder the Federal Reserve's ability to lower interest rates, exacerbating stock market declines
Sector-Specific Declines: Major technology companies, including Tesla, have experienced significant stock price declines, contributing to the overall downturn in the Nasdaq
Comparison of the Two Corrections:
Catalysts: The November 2021 correction was primarily driven by concerns over rising inflation and potential interest rate hikes. In contrast, the March 2025 correction has been influenced by geopolitical factors, including new tariff announcements, and ongoing inflation concerns.
Magnitude: While both corrections were significant, the March 2025 correction has been more severe in terms of single-day point losses. The 4% drop on March 10, 2025, resulted in a loss of 728 points, marking it as one of the most substantial declines in the index's history.
Investor Sentiment: Both periods saw increased market volatility and a shift towards risk aversion. However, the recent correction has been accompanied by heightened fears of a potential recession, partly due to inconsistent government messaging regarding economic prospects.
In summary, while both corrections were driven by concerns over inflation and economic policies, the March 2025 correction has been more pronounced, with additional factors such as new tariffs and recession fears playing a significant role.
Bullish set up is breaking out.... BUT, we have a gap to close.At the very moment we saw big rejection in this golden pocket zone were in right now from the descending channel its been in for a while.
This tells me that the market makers are creating liquidity at this level potentially to revisit at a later date.
We could quickly see this go to $6.35 or $5.40 which I would be a major buyer at.
Still in the longer term bullish trend... for now.
Option contract positions from institutions are primarily short at 5-6 strike. BUT something very interesting to me is that the $8.50 strike has a lot of puts at open interest which might squeeze it over that level if they have to cover.
Ethereum: The biggest Opportunity in 2025!Ethereum is following Bitcoin—but with way worse performance. While BTC is still holding up relatively well, ETH has dropped all the way back to March 2023 levels, wiping out the entire rally. Since its top, Ethereum is down over 63%. 😮💨
Still—or maybe because of that—I’m beginning to slowly scale into spot positions here.
Yes, we could fall further. I’ve got limit orders set lower, specifically around $1,260, which aligns with the 88.2% Fibonacci retracement and the midpoint of the monthly order block. That’s a key zone I’ll be watching if price keeps dropping.
That said, this Wave (2) should be nearing its final stage. The sell-off has been steep, and if we lose $804, that would flip Ethereum’s entire monthly structure bearish—a scenario I’d consider extremely negative.
I don’t expect ETH to suddenly blast past $5,000 from here, but at these levels, I see a clear opportunity to build longer-term spot exposure—and that’s exactly what I’m starting to do now.
Bitcoin: Blood in the Streets – Now is the Time!Once again, there’s blood in the streets—and from this point on I start scaling into spot positions again, slowly but deliberately.
All of these are spot entries with soft stop-losses—not hard exits, but areas I’ll react to if needed.
So why now? For one, we’re sitting right above the 38,2% Fibonacci level for the ending of the wave A. At the same time, we’re about to tap into a daily Fair Value Gap, while trying to hold the range support—two important technical levels lining up on the higher time frame.
Below that, we have an untapped VWAP at $65.5K, which could act as a magnet, as it often does. And yeah—if we go under $62K or even $60K, the classic “time to work at McDonald’s” joke comes back. But seriously: in markets like this, you need to stay calm, have some humor, and most of all, know what’s possible.
So I’m cautiously watching the S&P 500 closely, which plays a big role in this setup for me.
That’s where I stand on BTC right now—careful optimism, grounded in context and reasoning for me.
BTC headed to 75k? dead cat at 77.7k then 73-75k support comingBTC was holding well against the market's Tariff-Tantrum.
But a significant dip is starting on a Sunday (as often does).
If sentiment continues into Monday, we should see 75k soon.
====================================================
Previous Charts below
====================================================
$ 105k cycle Top call:
$ 82K Bounce call:
$ 73K previous cycle top (and current retest target):
============================================================
Master swing trading! Both long and short sides can profit!The current fundamental environment: tariff issues and geopolitical conflicts are on opposite sides, so there are both bearish and bullish factors for the gold market, which have triggered fierce competition between long and short forces to a certain extent, exacerbating market volatility!
At present, overall, the short forces have the upper hand, but the longs still have a certain ability to fight back! If the short energy is fully released during the process of gold falling to around 2970, then gold may still usher in a wave of rebound opportunities in the short term. First of all, the areas worthy of our participation in trading are mainly concentrated in the following:
1. The short-term support area below: 3010-3000; secondly, the important defensive area for bulls is: 2975-2965.
2. The short-term resistance area above: 3040-3050; secondly, the important defensive area for bears is: 3070-3080.
This is the key area that we must pay attention to in the short-term, and it is also an important reference for our next short-term trading!
The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
NIFTY50.....Here is the crash! Hello Traders,
yesterday, I wrote the following words:
"If not, the index has the possibility to crash to new lows. From my view, I need to see a final "sell-off" in the coming one or two weeks, to clear the market and banish those shaky hands! !"
That is what exactly happened this morning! A CRASH! Shaking off the shaky hands!
The markets are on the verge of being cleaned up! But!!! NOT yet!!!
Chart analysis!
First thing to know. This morning's move and massive gap-down was probably a wave 3. These waves are the most powerful waves during an impulse and (in this case), and they destroy the most gains in some minutes, i.e.hours!
The second possibility is given that we have seen a "V.-turnaround", and the market has seen the low!
To me, the structure is not clear, and I expect one lower low in the coming days ahead below 21743.6!
The most important thing for a trader is, to believe what you see! Not to believe what you like to see!
Following the idea of a wave 3 (which could be done), we should see a wave 4, morph into an a-b-c or a triangle! Keep in mind, that triangles are the most unlikely patterns to see!
Anyway! If so to come, the next hours will show us the pattern, and probably we will get one a-b-c structure! After, i f so to come, new lows are ahead in the following days!
But. If this low was the final low for this crash, the index is able to set the stage and skyrocketing!
For now, there is no fact, to support this idea, and we handle with patient and care!
Don't catch a falling knife!!!
I will follow the market closely and update it constantly!
For now.....have a great week!
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
ECAP - Egyptian stock#ECAP timeframe 1 DAY
created 2 Bullish pattern ( Gartley and AB=CD ) , so we can see action price in this point .
Entry level at 22.70 ( price now 22.40 )
Stop loss 22.00( loss may go to up -3% )
First target at 24.45( with profit around 7.60% )
Second target 25.97( with profit around 14.70% )
NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY ,
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck