AUDUSD breaking down following the headlinesIntraday Update: The AUDUSD has broken flag support following the headline from China that they are going to impose a 34% retaliatory tariff. The AUDUSD just surpassed the 127% extension and now may target the .6118 level intraday.
Long term targets the post covid lockdown lows.
Fibonacci
The Alternative BKNY AnalysisHere is the alternative analysis for my earlier BK Assessment.
Instead of being near the end of a Primary wave 1 in Cycle A of a Supercycle set to last into 2027, we could be in:
Wave 3 of C of a corrective wave
---- or ----
Wave 3 of 3 of A of a corrective wave that will completely (waves A-C) finish within a year
---- or ----
Wave 3 of 3 of 1 of A of a large corrective wave that will complete in or after 2027.
This stock is currently triggering wave 3 signals which means more near-term downside is highly likely.
BTC Mid-Term Outlook: Key Levels & Wave StructureAs long as March lows hold, there remains a technical possibility for one more wave up toward the 130K resistance zone. However, given the corrective three-wave structure of the recovery (rather than an impulsive five-wave move), I am now leaning toward the mid-term top being in place at January highs.
If price remains below last week’s high, my operative scenario favors one more leg down to the 64K–55K–51K macro support zone. If the downside scenario unfolds, it would still be technically valid for the entire corrective wave (2) to complete within the support zone mentioned, especially considering the underlying fundamental strength of the asset.
Should price break above last week’s high in the coming weeks, the odds shift in favor of a renewed uptrend, potentially reclaiming ATH and targeting 130K.
The super-macro structure that I'm following as an operative wave count, assumes multi-decades bullish cycle, with the next long-term expansion phase expected once price establishes a firm bottom in the discussed support zone:
Wishing you successful trading & investing decisions. Thank you for your attention!
PS: The wave structure of BTC, proposed in March 2024 idea, has fulfilled itself:
Dollar I Monday CLS, KL - Order Block, Model 1Hey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
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Sell Idea on NQ100 based on draw on liquidity NQ100 has been selling off mainly due to the tariffs issues but I'm more concerned with the draw on liquidity on the daily time frame at 17626.74 as it is a daily low. I'm anticipating price to draw close to that price due to this and also we have the London session low at 17657.27 which is very close to the price I mention above hence the idea of a buy to take out the London high .
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – April 4, 2025Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – April 4, 2025 📉
🔹 Current Price: $83,131.28
🔹 Timeframe: 15M
📌 Key Supply Zones (Resistance Levels):
🔴 $83,688.08 – Immediate resistance
🔴 $85,287.31 – Major supply zone
📌 Key Demand Zone (Support Level):
⚫ $81,523.24 – Potential downside target
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If BTC faces rejection at $83,688.08, it could trigger a sell-off towards $81,523.24, making it a crucial level for further movement.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $85,287.31 could lead to further bullish momentum and new highs.
⚡ Trading Tip:
✅ Wait for confirmation at $83,688.08 before entering short positions.
✅ Use proper risk management strategies.
✅ Keep an eye on $81,523.24 as a potential reversal zone.
#FXFOREVER #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
Tesla to bounce from hereNASDAQ:TSLA
Tesla has reach and bonce from a key support level, as seen on the chart, in the Golden Pocket, between the 61.8% and the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement, and it is shown two weekly hammer candlestick bar near each other, which is bullish. Odds that it has already found a mid-term bottom is high.
Now I expect a multi-week bounce from here, probably to the next Golden Pocket at the top, which is between $385 to $430 USD.
And yes, Elon Musk upset his customer base, and the stock is very expensive compared to other car manufacturers, and will probably see little to no growth in sales this year, or even a decline, insiders has sold big amounts of shares and it is all looking bad. And yes, we have probably already seen the top in Tesla in December last year for a long time.
However, stocks don’t generally go down in a straight line, the stock, as well as the stock market in general is oversold and do for a bounce, maybe a big bounce.
After the bounce, I will be looking for shorts, but now, I’m looking for longs.
Good luck to you
XAUUSD: Buy or Sell?Today's gold market can be said to have the largest intraday volatility since 2025! After experiencing violent fluctuations, the current trend of gold has once again become anxious.
However, from the perspective of range conversion, it is certain that gold is currently operating in a weak position, and after the brutal and violent fluctuations, the market also needs to recuperate. And there will be NFP tomorrow. It is expected that before NFP, it will be difficult for gold to form a new unilateral market again. So in the process of shock, I think both long and short sides have a certain profit space.
First of all, pay attention to the resistance of 3125-3135 area on the top. If gold touches this area during the shock process, we can still short gold;
And the first focus on the 3095-3085 area on the bottom is that if gold touches this area during the shock process, we can still consider going long on gold.
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No Signs of the Bull ArmyDow Jones Update : The correction appears likely to continue, testing the 40,045–40,467 range. Subsequently, the index is expected to rebound toward the 40,714–40,945.
Additionally, it is worth noting the gap in the 41,173–41,629 range—perhaps the market may find its way there.
Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 3 April 2025
- Bitcoin reversed from resistance level 87785.00
- Likely to fall to support level 78650.00
Bitcoin cryptocurrency recently reversed down from the resistance level 87785.00 (which stopped wave A at the end of March), intersecting with the daily down channel from January and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 87785.00 will form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star – if the price closes today near the current levels.
Bitcoin cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next support level 78650.00 (which has been reversing the price from February).
DXY Chart SummaryEh bro, this chart showing two roads for Dollar Index lah.
If price can break above that 100 level ah, then maybe will fly up to 92-94 area (last resistance zone).
But if kena reject at 100, then jialat, price can drop back down to 110 area again.
So now hor, this green box is the decision point — break or reject.
Wait for clear move first, don’t simply jump in."
CADJPY → Consolidation before the news. DowntrendFX:CADJPY continues to forge a downtrend, but within the current movement a symmetrical triangle of accumulative nature is forming
The currency pair may continue its decline due to the strengthening of the Japanese Yen, while the Canadian is consolidating in a narrow range.
The situation may be accelerated by today's news, namely Trump's speech, where he may announce new tariff measures.
Technically, the price is correcting after the false break of 103.56, being below the previously broken upside support. Price is testing key resistance at 104.90, and against 0.5 Fibo is forming a false breakout. A consolidation below 104.69, a break of 104.525 could trigger further decline.
Resistance levels: 104.900, 105.36, 105.74
Support levels: 104.525, 103.56
There are important news ahead, high volatility is possible, especially at the moment of Trump's speech, which may set a medium-term tone in the market.
The currency pair is in consolidation on the background of the downtrend and the priority is to expect a continuation of the fall
Regards R. Linda!
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Rally ContinuesGold is currently experiencing a bullish trend and has reached a new all-time high on a 4-hour time frame.
After quite an extended bullish wave, the pair was consolidating within
a horizontal range for some time.
The resistance of this range was recently broken, indicating strong buyer strength.
I believe that the growth will likely continue, with the market potentially reaching the 3180 level in the near future.
Is gold going to be eclipsed?
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Timeframe: 240 Min
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The price action suggests a completed impulse structure originating from the 2833 low, with gold now trading at an all-time high. Based on cluster zones and Fibonacci extensions, wave (5) still has the potential to extend toward the 3150-3200 range. This zone represents a key resistance level where buying momentum may slow down, signaling an impending shift in market dynamics.
Once wave (5) completes, it will mark the end of wave ((3)) of a higher degree, setting the stage for a corrective move. A retracement toward the previous wave (4) level is expected as wave ((4)) develops, aligning with historical corrective behavior after extended rallies. This phase will provide crucial insights into the market’s next major move. Stay tuned for further updates.
Stock Watch: AXP (American Express Co.) 🚨
We're eyeing AXP for a strategic multi-entry swing trade based on strong technical structure and long-term potential. Here's the plan:
📌 Entry Points:
1️⃣ $248 – First touch on short-term support
2️⃣ $234 – Healthy correction zone
3️⃣ $219 – Strong base of demand
🔻 Deeper Load Zone: $195 – Long-term trendline + major accumulation area
💰 Profit Targets:
✅ $285 – Previous resistance / key breakout level
✅ $300 – Psychological barrier & momentum zone
✅ $310+ – Blue sky potential 🚀
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SEI/USDT:BUY LIMITHello dear friends
Given the price drop we had in the specified support range, the price has been able to create higher ceilings and floors.
Now, given the good support of buyers for the price, we can buy in steps with capital and risk management and move towards the specified goals.
*Trade safely with us*