Aptos Will Prove Its Worth (Daily Analysis)After breaking out from a simple trendline, Aptos (APT) has gained significant momentum, similar to many other altcoins over the past two weeks.
However, Aptos is currently presenting a unique structural situation. It appears to have completed a full five-wave bearish impulse and has now transitioned into a new five-wave bullish impulse. From a daily timeframe perspective, Aptos seems to be developing wave 1 of this new cycle.
A closer examination of Aptos’ historical price movements reveals some interesting patterns: • During the previous bullish phase, Aptos formed a reversed Head and Shoulders pattern. • Following the breakout of a key trendline, Aptos rallied to levels that were largely unexpected by the market. • The previous cycle took exactly four months to reach its lower high, aligning precisely with the Fib Time Zone (Level 4) before retracing.
Assuming that history tends to repeat itself (and being conservatively pessimistic), Aptos could potentially reach the $10 region again this summer.
There are two major additional reasons supporting this outlook:
Wave 3's potential target in this cycle aligns perfectly with a high-liquidity zone, increasing the probability of a strong upward move. (Refer to the previous bullish cycle’s Wave 3 in the Fib retracement for additional confirmation.)
A new reversed Head and Shoulders pattern appears to be forming right now, which, if confirmed, would further strengthen the bullish case.
Using the Fib Time Tool again, the estimated timeline for reaching the target without any major pattern formation points to late July.
However, if the Head and Shoulders structure fully forms before the breakout, it could extend the move by an additional month, but would likely result in a much higher target beyond $10.
Invalidation level for this analysis: Below the $4 mark.
— Thanks for reading.
Fibonacci
BTC heads up at 95.2k: Covid Stimulus Fib should cause a DipBTC has been running nicely with risk-on sentiment.
Nearing a significant Covid fib at 95,176.28 (Coinbase).
Covid Stimulus nodes resonate most with monetary policy.
It is PROBABLE that we Orbit it a few times.
It is POSSIBLE that we get Rejected completely.
It is PLAUSIBLE to blow through it then come back.
If EXACT Rejection, look to sister fib below at $89,592.30
If ORBIT Capture, look to get flung in either direction.
If BREAK Easily, pay more attention to the Genesis fibs .
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The other major fib series for BTC, the "Genesis Sequence":
These two sequences, the Genesis and Covid fibs, helped call "the TOP":
They also called the dip/bounce at 75k:
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Bullish set up is breaking out.... BUT, we have a gap to close.At the very moment we saw big rejection in this golden pocket zone were in right now from the descending channel its been in for a while.
This tells me that the market makers are creating liquidity at this level potentially to revisit at a later date.
We could quickly see this go to $6.35 or $5.40 which I would be a major buyer at.
Still in the longer term bullish trend... for now.
Option contract positions from institutions are primarily short at 5-6 strike. BUT something very interesting to me is that the $8.50 strike has a lot of puts at open interest which might squeeze it over that level if they have to cover.
NZDCHF Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
In the NZDCHF currency pair chart, we are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern. These waves from 1 to 5 are clearly defined. Now this 5-wave pattern is an upward contracting triangle that usually forms in waves 1 or 4 or 5 or C.
Considering the counting of the previous waves, which is a wide ABC with a C wave extended or waves 1 to 3, we assume that we are facing wave 1 or 4. It is definitely not wave 5 or C.
So if it is wave 1, then it must correct at least 50 to 61.8% of Fibonacci from wave 1.
So the first target is the 04800 range.
If it is wave 5, it must go below the bottom of wave 3 and the second target is at least the 04600 range.
This movement usually occurs with a break of the trend line and a pullback to it.
Good luck and be profitable.
MERCK Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 042525Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 82/61.80%
Chart time frame: D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
ETC/USDT 4h chart Hello everyone, let's look at the 4h graph etc to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price came out of the top of the lasting downward trend. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = $ 17.44
T2 = $ 18.75
Т3 = 20.73 $
T4 = 22.48 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = $ 16.25
SL2 = $ 15.05
SL3 = $ 13.74
SL4 = $ 12.66
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
As we entered the upper part of the range again, which apparently affected the slow price of the price.
AMD: Potential Mid-Term Reversal from Macro SupportPrice has reached ideal macro support zone: 90-70 within proper proportion and structure for at least a first wave correction to be finished.
Weekly
As long as price is holding above this week lows, odds to me are moving towards continuation of the uptrend in coming weeks (and even years).
1h timeframe:
Thank you for attention and best of luck to your trading!
Chevron: The Chart’s Reaching a Critical PointChevron is starting to look very interesting again — but let’s be clear from the start: Chevron, like every oil giant, lives and dies by the price of oil. If oil rips higher or collapses due to global politics, supply shocks, or economic chaos, Chevron NYSE:CVX follows. No exceptions.
That said, what we’re seeing on the chart right now is increasingly pointing toward a deeper correction — specifically down to the $113–$100 zone. That would make sense structurally as a Wave 4 retracement.
But there’s a technical nuance here. Wave 1’s high sits at $103 — and depending on how strict your Elliott Wave rules are, Wave 4 dipping into Wave 1 is bad territory. Personally, I’m okay with a brief touch into that range, but I don’t want to see price hanging around below $103 for long.
From a trend perspective, we’re clearly in a downward channel. We just saw a textbook bull trap:
Chevron broke out with a solid +7% move over two weeks,
Followed immediately by a massive 22% drop,
One of the sharpest two-week declines since — yeah — March 2020, pandemic levels.
Now, price is hovering around $130, and the setup is simple:
If this level holds, great — maybe we’re bottoming.
If it breaks, I’m looking to buy between $113 and $100. That’s where the structure aligns, the volume kicks in, and risk/reward starts to make sense again.
So here’s the real question:
Do we see $200 first — or $100?
I’m leaning $100 first.
Not because I’m bearish long-term— but because that level would clean up the chart, shake out the noise, and give us a real shot at riding the next strong leg higher with conviction.
Would love to hear what you think — where’s your bet?
[ TimeLine ] Gold 21-22 April 2025Hello everyone,
📅 Today is Monday, April 21, 2025
I will be using the High-Low price levels formed on the following dates as reference points for potential trade entries:
📌 April 21, 2025 (Monday)
📌 April 22, 2025 (Tuesday)
🧠 Trading Plan & Notes:
✅ Gold has broken its ATH multiple times over the past two weeks —volatility remains high
✅ The range formed on April 21 is approximately 3331 to 3430 — a massive 1000-pip zone
⚠️ Due to the large range, reversal entries or trades based on Fibonacci levels may be more appropriate
✅ I will personally trade both signals as part of my ongoing research and strategy
⚠️ If you're unsure or risk-averse , consider skipping April 21's signal
📋 Execution Plan:
🔹 Wait for the price range from the candles above to fully form ( marked with green lines )
🔹 Entry will be triggered upon breakout, with a 60-pip buffer
🔹 If the trade hits Stop Loss (SL), switch direction and double the position size on the next valid entry for potential recovery
📉📈 Chart Reference:
x/lgXVOC2u/
SMR watch $16.44/68: well proven Resistance to Break or NotSMR trying to recover along with the nuclear sector.
Currently testing well proven Resistance $16.44-16.68
Look for a Break-and-Retest or a dip to $15.35-15.40
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Previous Analysis that caught the BOTTOM:
Last Plot caught a nice bounce:
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XAUUSD MAPPING IDEAS FOR ALL TIME HIGH
As u can see as image above, This is daily view , where there is best Point / Decision zone for Reentry Long for XAUUSD at Swap zone Daily and Nearest to EMA50 .
Base on fibo 4h, target for buying is at area 1.618 3115 which is minima pullback before market will continue uptrend.
Now what can i see, price did not break nearest support, and i assume market will test high again at level 3417-3467 , retracement from current low - high as shown at below creating b :-
Low risk to take short at this level, target short until buy zone 3115.
GBPNZD | 4H | SWING TRADEHey there my dear friends;
SIGNAL ALERT
BUY GBPNZD / 2,23220
🟢TP1: 2,23952
🟢TP2: 2,24909
🟢TP3: 2,27946
🔴SL: 2,20905
Enter low lot because it is high risk 🔽
RR / 2,00
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