Analysis of Price Movements Using Fibonacci RetracementAnalysis of Price Movements Using Fibonacci Retracement 📊📈
In the current market analysis, the price level of $626 is identified as a key resistance area. This conclusion is derived from statistical analysis and mathematical models. Let’s dive into the details:
Key Observations 🔍
Resistance at $626: Based on Fibonacci retracement levels, $626 represents the 50% retracement level. This makes it a critical zone where price action is likely to face resistance.
Projected Price Movement: The analysis suggests that the price will likely move downward toward the range of $619 - $612.5 before any significant reversal occurs.
Fibonacci Levels:
The retracement levels between $619.6 and $633.5 are crucial for understanding potential support and resistance zones.
The 50% level at $626 aligns with market psychology, making it a pivotal point for traders.
Conclusion 🧮
The price is expected to decline to the range of $619 - $612, followed by a potential rebound toward $640 🚀.
Traders may consider this movement as an opportunity to plan their entries and exits strategically.
Final Thoughts 💡
This analysis highlights the importance of Fibonacci retracement levels in predicting market behavior. The 50% level, in particular, serves as a strong indicator of potential reversals or continuations in price trends.
What do you think? 🤔
Fibonacci
Pepe - Elliott Wave Local and Long Term Idea 22 Mar 2025Eliiot Wave Update
Firstly, I'm bias that I believe were in Wave 4.
Depicted wave count 1 2 3 4 5 in orange may very well be as it is, in that the last low is 5. My bias comes in because from what I've read, 5th wave usually 1.27 fib extension drawn from 1 to 1 to 2. As can be seen, 1.272 is at 0.0000336.
The green paralellel channel from the high to the next higher high. As can be seen with circle support, we found a good reaction to the upside.
Short/medium term looking at the Anchored VWAP (White) and channel top as resistance.
Currently 1.0 a strong support as well as resistance.
My biase based wave theory means that were currently in the 4th wave to the upside, so looking at resitance EXACTLY at the anchored VWAP (white), breaking that to the upside targets of the short fibs drawn to the right that arent extended all the way to the right. Meaning, resistance being,0.382, 0.5, and 0.618.
If that is the end of Wave 4. The price would then see a retracemment to Wave 5, to 1.272.
Non bias view where Wave 5 has been hit already.
Were in a corrective ABC pattern. (This is the part I'm not so sure about).
Then Were in A(1) here no one knows how deep that is but it's good that were going up because A = up B = down and C = up (c or 3 being the longest waves.
If were in the corrective phase, currently were in Wave A (1).
Technically nothing changes. I think. Wait to see how It plays out.
Overall, currently I would NOT be bearish, looking at the next resistance first!Which is (either Wave 4 or correction) 0.236 price 0.000095
Bitcoin slowly goes upHi traders,
Last week I've said in my outlook for Bitcoin that it could be making a leading diagonal (wave 1) or we could see another move down (ending diagonal blue wave c).
This analysis still applies.
If price can close above the dotted trendline, it's bullish again.
So let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a close above the dotted trendline, an impulsive wave up and a small correction down to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
More upside for goldHi traders,
Last week XAUUSD finished the impulsive wave 3, making a new ATH and after that it corrected for wave 4.
It looks like wave 4 is finished and rejected from the Daily FVG.
So next week we could see more upside for this pair.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for an impulsive move up and a change in orderflow to bullish. After a small correction down on a lower timeframe you could trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Still more upside for SPX500USDHi traders,
SPX500USD did exactly what I've predicted.
Last week I said we could see a (corrective) upmove to the higher Weekly FVG. It depends if the upmove is corrective or impulsive what we will be the move after that.
But also fundamentally we could see more longer term downside for this pair. This scenario is still in progress for next week.
So let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down to finish on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
EU could go up againHi traders,
Last week EU went a little bit more up and rejected from the Montly FVG again. After that it started the last leg of the correction down just as I've said in my outlook.
So next week we could see the pullback finish into the Weekly/ Daily BPR and after that more upside.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish. If you see an impulsive move up and a change in orderflow to bullish, then wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to see more of my analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
EU could go up againHi traders,
Last week EU went a little bit more up and rejected from the Montly FVG again. After that it started the last leg of the correction down just as I've said in my outlook.
So next week we could see the pullback finish into the Weekly/ Daily BPR and after that more upside.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish. If you see an impulsive move up and a change in orderflow to bullish, then wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to see more of my analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
$TRAC @trac_btc #Ordinals — Beginning of a Wyckoff AccumulationPOLONIEX:TRACUSDT @trac_btc #Ordinals 👀
— Possibly the beginning of a Wyckoff Accumulation Range—Schematic #1 or #2 are my base case for now.
If the local range POC holds as the LPS (Last Point of Support), then Schematic #2 is in play. If it’s lost, the probability shifts toward a new low and a SPRING.
XAUUSD morning analysisBullish case for XAUUSD.
This count has price in wave 5 of (3) of ((5)).
Based on how price has responded to the pitchfork drawn, I am anticipating the upper boundary
to see profit taking and be the end of wave (3). Measured moves with Fibonacci could have price challenge $3300-3350 area if upper boundary is not resistance.
Anticipated wave (4) to be a zigzag down towards $2600 (recession in 2025?).
If all this plays out, I would expect wave (5) of ((5)) to be quite exaggerated (think 1976-1980's 773% increase), with target north of $10k by 2030.
$SAFE ─ Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic #1This slightly wider range is now a real possibility.
In general Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic #1 is my primary idea.
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Note:
This is the most positive outcome possible.
As always, my play is:
✅ 50% out at TP1
✅ Move SL to entry
✅ Pre-set the rest of the position across remaining TPs
It's important to take profits along the way and not turn a winning trade into a losing trade. You can always re-enter—there is always another trade ahead.
$SPX @spx6900 Trading RangeSP:SPX - HTF global range is in play at the moment.
I was bearish on SP:SPX for some time, but the speed of the dump exceeded my expectations for sure.
SP:SPX bounced from the very last key level. If the current low is lost, things could get very ugly.
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------------
Note:
Long trade projection is the most positive outcome possible.
As always, my play is:
✅ 50% out at TP1
✅ Move SL to entry
✅ Pre-set the rest of the position across remaining TPs
It's important to take profits along the way and not turn a winning trade into a losing trade.
“Gold’s Resilience: Sustaining the Long-Term Uptrend”XAUUSD remains in an uptrend and is estimated to be in wave (v) of wave ; more specifically, it is currently within wave iv of wave (v).
In the short term, XAUUSD is expected to undergo a correction toward the 2,948–2,989 area. However, in the broader outlook, I anticipate further upside movement toward the 3,091–3,161 level.
what goes up must come down eventuallyI see a potential for gold to make a big pullback of about 2000-3000pips in up coming months.
A few factors of fundamentals in place is that gold need to make a discount before climbing further.
with the new cabinets of US and trump restructuring the port folio of the system that may seems a little haywire now but he's previous holding has shown great impact in USD doing well for a certain period hence I believe USD is ready for its strengthening that relatively giving a short bearish season for GOLD.
when can it be? NO body will know it however its good for us to be prepared and adjust our strategies accordingly.
“IDX Composite Index: Assessing the Depth of the Downtrend”The IDX Composite Index is expected to remain under pressure, forming wave of wave A. The nearest corrective target for the index is projected in the 5,879–5,975.
This outlook aligns with prevailing market sentiments, as Indonesia’s economic and political landscape has yet to support a trend reversal. Additionally, global sentiment remains negative, further weighing on the index.
BITCOIN → Flag (consolidation) before falling to 78-73KBINANCE:BTCUSD is consolidating after a short-squeeze relative to 85-87K. A bearish set-up is being formed, the break of which may strengthen further decline to the key target of 73K
A symmetrical triangle is forming within the downtrend on D1, a breakdown of this structure may strengthen the decline. Locally, within the channel a flag - bearish figure is formed (on the local TF false uptrend, the crowd enters to buy from the support or at the break of local resistance, at accumulation of the necessary potential the big player removes the limit order and releases the price, which is dispersed by liquidation of traders), regarding 85K-86.6K the liquidity capture is formed and the price returns to the selling zone. Consolidation below 85K may trigger a breakdown of the figure support and further fall to 80K-78K
Fundamentally: the market sells off any positive news very quickly (negative background is created):
crypto summits, (Trump said nothing new at the second summit)
positive resolutions of problems (for example between SEC and XRP, or removal of restrictions from local exchanges)
crypto reserve
The only nuance, bitcoin's dominance index is still high despite the price drop...
Resistance levels: 85150, 866700, 89400
Support levels: 82K, 80K, 78200
There are no positive signs for growth. The zone where we can consider a trend reversal ( if something supernatural happens ) is 89-91K, but it is very far away.
But now I would consider a breakdown of the flag, or 83.5 - 82.5 and price consolidation below this zone with the purpose of further fall to the local important level 78173. Then another consolidation or correction is possible before a further fall to 73.5K
Regards R. Linda!
$SPY March 24, 2025AMEX:SPY March 24, 2025
15 Minutes.
Gap down open on 21st was not strong as gap was covered by close of day.
The fib move for downside was achieved by gap down hence no trade.
Now for the fall 570.57 to 558.03 566 is level to watch.
For the rise 558.72 to 564.89 561-562 is number to watch.
So, a short at 565-566 will have a target 562 -563 levels.
I will wait for Monday open before entering a trade.
GM Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 032125Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 48/61.80%
Chart time frame: C
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
IREDA (Indian Renewable Energy) - Elliott Wave AnalysisCurrent Market Structure:
The chart suggests that IREDA is undergoing a Wave (2) correction after completing a strong impulsive Wave (1).
The corrective phase is labeled as an A-B-C structure, indicating a possible end to the pullback in the coming weeks or months.
Wave Count & Key Levels:
Wave A initiated the downward correction, followed by Wave B retracement, and now Wave C is in progress, subdividing into a five-wave pattern.
The projected completion zone for Wave (2) is highlighted in the ₹50–₹80 range, aligning with Fibonacci extensions and previous structural support.
An additional 1.618 Fibonacci extension target is placed near ₹23.78, though this would be an extreme case.
Outlook & Strategy:
If the price reaches the projected support zone and shows a strong reversal, it could indicate the beginning of a Wave (3) uptrend.
A confirmed break above key resistance levels and trendlines would strengthen the bullish case.
However, if selling pressure continues, a deeper correction toward the extreme target cannot be ruled out.
🚨 Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading signals. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst or advisor. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any financial decisions. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. I may be completely wrong in my analysis. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
USDCHF Wave Analysis – 21 March 2025
- USDCHF reversed from support level 0,8750
- Likely to fall to support level 208.00
USDCHF currency pair recently reversed from the pivotal support level 0,8750 (former strong support from December and the start of March) standing close to the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from September.
The upward reversal from the support level 0,8750 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Morning Star.
USDCHF can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.8850 (top of the previous minor correction ii).