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Fibonacci

Will ETH finally change direction?ETH is approaching support at $1,559, but here you can see how the price has fallen below the upward trend line, which could have resulted in a stronger rebound. When support is broken, you can still see a strong support level at $997, to which we can see a decline. Only when the trend changes direction will ETH have to face resistance levels at $1,889, then $2,151, and then $2,560 before we see any major upward movements. The Stoch RSI indicator shows us moving along a line where we could previously observe strong price rebounds, while the RSI indicator itself, taking into account the interval of one weekend, shows us approaching the level we last touched during the bear market bottom.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by cryptodailyuk
BITCOIN → The price is consolidating, but there is a BUT!BINANCE:BTCUSDT is forming a consolidation after a false breakout of trend resistance. Against the backdrop of the global market crash (stock market, futures, forex) bitcoin looks quite strong, but I wouldn't get excited ahead of time Bitcoin is trading inside a downtrend and also inside a range (global 81200 - 88800 and local 81200 - 85600). As long as the price is inside the local range and below trend resistance it is worth considering selling. There have been periods in history when the price seemed strong in the moment, but then, bitcoin caught up with the fall of indices... The fundamental background for bitcoin is unstable: First of all, the price has hardly reacted in any way to the introduction of tariffs, backlash and economic data. The Fed is not giving a clear signal, the market is in uncertainty. Any info noise ( China, Fed rhetoric, company reports ) can cause shake-ups. But at the same time, the same old problems remain: the crypto community is not getting any support. Bitcoin's dominance is growing against the backdrop of its decline. Altcoins continue to storm the bottom. Technically , the situation is weak, the price cannot update local highs and consolidate above any strong support. It is possible to retest the trend resistance, or the zone of interest 85590 before the reversal and fall. Or, emphasis on the trigger 81187. A breakdown will provoke an impulse. Resistance levels: trend, 85585, 88840. Support levels: 81187, 78170, 73500 Buying in the medium term can be considered either after reaching the main target - 73-66K, or after the exit from the descending channel and price fixation above 88840. Now the emphasis is on a possible fall either from the resistance 85580, or when the support 81180 is broken Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
62
BITCOIN I H1 CLS within Daily CLS I Model 2 I 50% TP1 and HoldHey Traders!! Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions! 🧩 What is CLS? CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion. ✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets. 🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2. These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions. 📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” David Perk ⚔
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by David_Perk
12
LTC Targets $70: A High-Probability Reversal SetupLitecoin (LTC) has just broken below the critical $80 low, signaling that bearish pressure is firmly in control. Currently trading at $79—just beneath the swing low at $80—LTC is also sitting below the monthly open at $82.98. With the bears flexing their dominance, traders are left wondering: Where does the price head next? What’s the target for the bears, and where can bulls find an opportunity to re-enter the market? Let’s dive into the charts, pinpoint the key levels, and craft a plan that could turn this downturn into a golden opportunity. The Current Market Picture LTC’s recent breach of $80 confirms the bearish momentum that’s been brewing since its peak at $147.06 on December 5, 2024. Litecoin enjoyed a stellar 122-day bullish run, soaring +195% from $49.80 to high at $147.06. Now, we’re on the 122nd day of a downtrend—a poetic symmetry that hints at a potential turning point. The question is: where will this descent find its floor, and how can we position ourselves for what’s next? Support Zone: The $70 Fortress To identify a robust support zone, we need confluence—multiple technical factors aligning to form a level that’s tough to crack. Here’s what the chart reveals: Fibonacci Retracement: Using the Fib tool from the 2024 low at $49.80 to the high at $147.06, the 0.618 retracement at $86.95 has already been lost, turning our focus to the 0.786 level at $70.61. This deep retracement is a classic spot for reversals, making it a prime candidate for a support zone. Yearly Level: At $70.14, this pivot is nearly identical to the 0.786 Fib level, adding significant weight to the area. Volume Profile: The Point of Control (POC) from a 1.5-year trading range sits right around $70, just above the Fib level. This is the price with the highest traded volume over that period—a natural magnet for price action. Yearly Order Block: Visualized as a green channel, this order block reinforces the $70 zone, suggesting past institutional buying interest or significant support. Together, these factors create a $70 support zone that’s brimming with confluence. It’s not just a random level—it’s a fortress where bulls could mount a serious stand. Long Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: Use a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) approach to build your position. Start with small buys around $75, laddering down to $70, and increase your position size as price nears the core of the support zone. Aim for an average entry of $73/72. Stop Loss (SL): Set it below $68 to protect against a deeper breakdown while giving the trade room to breathe. Take Profit (TP): First Target: $80 (the swing low and monthly open not far off). Main Target: $100 (a key psychological and resistance zone). Risk-to-Reward (R:R): With an average entry at $73 and SL at $68, you’re risking $5 to gain $27 (to $100)—a stellar 5:1 R:R or better. This is a high-probability setup that rewards patience. Execution Tip: Watch for bullish signals in the $70-$75 range—candlestick pattern, volume spikes, or RSI divergence. This isn’t about chasing; it’s about precision. Resistance Zone: The $100 Battleground If bulls reclaim control and push LTC higher, the $100 psychological level looms as a major resistance zone. Here’s why it’s a HOTSPOT: Yearly Open: At $103.28, this level is close enough to $100 to bolster its significance. Anchored VWAP: Drawn from the 2024 low at $49.80, the VWAP currently sits around $102.4, adding another layer of resistance. Historical Context: The $100 mark has been a recurring battleground, with bulls and bears clashing repeatedly. It’s a price that carries weight. A rally to $100 wouldn’t just be a recovery—it’d be a statement. A clean break above could hint at a broader trend reversal, but until then, it’s a ceiling to respect. What’s Next? Bears vs. Bulls For now, the bears are driving LTC lower, with the break below $80 opening the door to the $70 support zone. That’s their likely target—a level where selling pressure could exhaust itself. For bulls, $70 isn’t just a floor; it’s a launchpad. The DCA long setup offers a low-risk, high-reward entry. Wrapping It Up Litecoin’s drop from $147.06 to $79 has been brutal, but the chart is screaming opportunity. The $70 zone—backed by Fibonacci, levels, volume, and order blocks—is where bulls could turn the tide. With a DCA entry at around $73/72, SL below $68, and a main target at $100, you’ve got a trade setup that could deliver a 5:1 payoff. Meanwhile, $100 stands as the bears’ next big test if momentum shifts. So, will you wait for LTC to hit $70 and strike, or watch the action unfold? The levels are clear—now it’s your move. Use this analysis to sharpen your edge, and let’s see where Litecoin takes us in the days, weeks, and months ahead. ________________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know, I’m here to break down the charts you want to see. Happy trading =)
Long
by SiDec
1
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Weekly Outlook | Elliott Wave Analysis This DXY weekly chart highlights a potential (A)-(B)-(C) corrective structure unfolding after a completed 5-wave impulsive rally. Wave A bottomed out around the 100 level, followed by a retracement in Wave B which tested the 111.893 supply zone. Currently, price is reacting strongly from that level, suggesting a possible move toward completing Wave C. Current Market Structure: Wave B faced strong rejection near the 111.893 resistance/supply zone. Price is now hovering near a short-term support zone (light green) around 102–100, which could serve as a decision point. Two scenarios are in play: 1. Bullish Rejection from Support: If buyers defend the support, a new bullish leg may begin, retesting 111.893 or even pushing slightly higher. 2. Break Below Support: A decisive breakdown could initiate a deeper decline toward the major demand zone (highlighted in beige) near 90.00–92.50, completing Wave C. Key Technical Zones: Resistance (Supply Zone): 111.893 Immediate Support: 100.00–102.00 Major Demand Zone (Wave C Target): 90.00–92.50 Current Price: 102.892 Elliott Wave View: The ongoing move appears to be part of a Wave C correction, which will be confirmed only if price breaks below the current support. On the flip side, a higher low and bullish continuation could mean the correction ended early, transitioning into a fresh impulse. Conclusion: The DXY is at a critical juncture. Traders should monitor price action closely at the 100–102 zone. A bounce could trigger a bullish setup back toward resistance, while a breakdown would likely bring Wave C to completion in the 90–92.50 zone. Stay tuned and trade with discipline.
TVC:DXY
by Greenfireforex
1
Elliott Wave Outlook (Wave C in Progress?)Key Technical Zones: Demand Zone: 0.9750 – 1.0350 (Support from Wave B low) Supply Zone: 1.1600 – 1.2000 (Potential Wave C target) Current Price: 1.0959 Support Levels: 1.0730, 1.0350 Resistance Levels: 1.1250, 1.1600 Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact for Wave C as long as the pair holds above 1.0730. Any deeper pullback into the demand zone could still be part of a healthy correction, offering long opportunities on confirmation. Keep an eye on macroeconomic data, especially from the U.S. (FOMC, CPI) and EU (ECB stance), as they may heavily influence EUR/USD sentiment in the coming weeks. Conclusion: Watch for bullish continuation setups toward the supply zone, but remain cautious of a mid-term rejection pattern, which could trigger a deeper correction. Trade safely, and always use proper risk management. Current Scenario: Price is now trading near 1.0950, suggesting a potential Wave C rally in progress. If Wave C unfolds as anticipated, EUR/USD could approach the supply zone marked between 1.1600–1.2000, which aligns with previous structural resistance and Fibonacci retracement levels. However, a false breakout or early rejection from current levels could lead to a sharp retracement, possibly retesting the demand zone before any major upside continuation.
by Greenfireforex
Bearish Reversal Incoming? Key Resistance Holds as Price StallsAfter analyzing multiple timeframes, we observe that the price has surged significantly and is now trading within a key resistance zone. The resistance remains strong, and the RSI across multiple timeframes is in the extreme overbought territory, showing bearish divergences. Additionally, despite the sharp rally, the price has not undergone any meaningful correction. Considering these factors—strong resistance, the proximity to a weekly trendline, extreme overbought conditions, and bearish divergence—along with the presence of a hanging man candlestick at resistance, a correction is likely. Our correction targets are the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
Short
by SpicyPips
Has Bitcoin completed its multi-year leading diagonal?When we look at the all-time history index, could it be that we've reached the end of a 15-year journey with this last peak? If the last peak represents our 5th wave impulse and is part of a larger leading diagonal, we can consider the entire diagonal—from Bitcoin's starting point at zero to the final peak—as the first impulse. After that, a correction labeled as wave 2 should follow. This correction would likely unfold in an ABC structure over the years and, if it retraces to a possible 0.236 Fibonacci level, we could accept the bottom price to be around $26,000. I can almost hear you asking, "Could it really drop that much?" In a global environment of uncertainty, with stocks taking such a hit, why not? Perhaps this is just the beginning—who knows? On the weekly chart, our potential swing high price is the last peak at $109,500. The confirmed swing low is at $49,500. If the price closes below $49,500 on a weekly basis, it would indicate a change of character, which would be one of the strongest signals that we could see lower prices. After that, I'm not sure whether we will stop at the 0.382 Fibonacci level of $42,000 or the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $26,000. This expectation is for the long term. The price won't drop to these levels immediately, of course. Currently, we are in the A part of this ABC correction. The B wave upwards may come when the price reaches $49,500, and then we will discuss the $42,000 and $26,000 levels during the C correction. As time goes on, it will be easier to pinpoint the exact levels using micro Elliott wave counts.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by altin_smh2
1
AUDUSD I Weekly CLS , KL - Order Block, Model 2Hey Traders!! Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions! 🧩 What is CLS? CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion. ✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets. 🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2. These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions. 📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” David Perk ⚔
Long
by David_Perk
22
GBP/USD: The Make-Or-Break Zone”GBP/USD is showing strong bullish momentum, pushing toward the key resistance zone between 1.33000–1.36000. However, a short-term correction may occur before the next leg higher. Key Levels: Support Zone: 1.27983 Resistance Zone (Target): 1.33000–1.36000 Invalidation Level of Bullish Trend: 1.22544 Bearish Scenario: If 1.22544 breaks, eyes on 1.13843 The structure supports bullish continuation unless price breaks below 1.22544. Stay patient and look for clean entries post-correction.
by Greenfireforex
DXY Breaking Down?The US Dollar Index (DXY) may be entering a strong bearish wave. After completing wave B, the market has started impulsive wave C to the downside. Currently, wave 3 might be ending, with a potential short-term bounce for wave 4, followed by a drop into wave 5. Key Bearish Outlook: Resistance Zone (Wave 4): 104.924 – 104.932 Invalidation Level: 106.505 Final Wave 5 Target: Near 93.422 If price stays below the invalidation level, more downside is expected. Watch for shorting opportunities if wave 4 completes and reverses.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Greenfireforex
Bitcoin Elliott Waves Analysis: Short opportunityIn this lengthy video, I discussed the details of labelling and counting of waves for Bitcoin from daily to the 5 mins timeframes. I drilled down to the minuette waves (in orange) on the 5 mins timeframe. Take note that I made a mistake in the actual config of one of the orange waves (setting it as minute instead of minuette). The mistake happened on the 9:15 where I changed the color of the corrective wave A-B-C but did not change the degree. In this video, I also discussed the alternate counts (in blue) in details. But while both the primary and alternate counts are both short bias, the target entries (and thus risks) are different. if you are an aggressive trader, and want to trade on the alternate count, your stop will be set above the blue line where the alternate count is invalidated. If you are trading on my primary count, you will want to see reversal pattern (e.g. candlestick reversal) or see rejection at the red line. In any case, good luck in your trading and remember to keep your risk tight!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by yuchaosng
4
MSTR: Mid-term and Macro Price Structure As price holds below $344, odds favor a continuation lower to retest February lows, with later potential bounce and one more push to macro-support levels: 160/150-120 (with a potential extension to 105) (see. recent idea on BTC price structure) If BTC and broad market indexes show signs of stabilization and short-term strength over the coming weeks with MSTR price rising above 344, the odds are shifting to a more pronounce bounce to 400-460 resistance levels. Weekly chart: From a macro perspective: as long as price remains below the 460 level, I consider the bullish trend since 2008 lows to have topped in November 2024, with current price action unfolding as part of a larger corrective Wave c.4 structure. Otherwise, If price reclaims ATH the door opens for an extension to 780-1280 resistance levels. Monthly chart Recent idea on BTC:
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by artemfedorov
Key Observations From the XAUUSD COT DataKey Observations From the OANDA:XAUUSD COT Data Non-commercial traders hold 324,333 long positions vs 73,451 short positions, showing strong bullish sentiment. Spreads: Significant spread positions (332,329 contracts) suggest hedging strategies, but the longs clearly dominate. Let’s break down this COT data and identify actionable insights for your XAU/USD trading strategy. Here's my interpretation: ________________________________________ 1. Open Interest Analysis Total open interest is 851,437 contracts, which reflects the market's overall participation. A change of 24,835 contracts from 03/25/25 suggests increased market activity and potential volatility. This surge might indicate that traders are repositioning ahead of significant events, which could align with your BBMA setups. ________________________________________ 2. Non-Commercial Positions (Speculators) Long: 324,333 | Short: 73,451 | Spreads: 332,329 Speculators hold significantly more long positions compared to short positions, indicating bullish sentiment. The large number of spread positions (332,329 contracts) reflects hedging or complex strategies. This group expects potential movement but is balancing risks. ________________________________________ 3. Commercial Positions (Hedgers) Long: 136,052 | Short: 412,893 Hedgers (like producers or processors) are heavily short, suggesting that they are locking in current prices to mitigate risk if gold prices fall. This aligns with bearish sentiment from the commercial side. ________________________________________ 4. Changes in Positions Non-Commercial: Slight decrease in long positions (-391 contracts), but a notable increase in short positions (+7,312 contracts). This suggests speculators are preparing for possible downside risks. Commercial: Both long (-18,799) and short (-28,736) positions decreased. This may indicate some unwinding of hedging activity. ________________________________________ 5. Percent of Open Interest Non-commercial positions account for 38.1% long and 8.6% short, showing speculative dominance on the bullish side. Commercial traders hold 48.5% short, reinforcing bearish sentiment. ________________________________________ 6. Integration Into My Strategy Bullish Sentiment (Non-Commercials): Combine this with your BBMA analysis: Check for EMA50 support and Middle BB interaction near key Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., 61.8% or 50%). Look for strong MA5/10 crossing validation for buy setups. Bearish Sentiment (Commercials): Use this as confirmation for sell setups at confluence zones: Price rejection near EMA50 resistance or oversold conditions breaking downward through Middle BB. Validate sentiment shifts with FS movement and high confluence. Manage Volatility: With open interest increasing, consider tighter stop-loss placements and trailing stops to protect against sudden reversals. TF Daily Outlook Bullish - Current at 0.382 (3039.82) from swing price 2832.72 to 3167.83 (ATH) - 3039.82 at potential daily support level - Price has stop at mid bb level of FR 0.382 0.5: 3000.27 0.618: 2960.73 (strong support) TFH4 Outlook bearish - Current at 0.786 (3035.50) from swing 4 to 5 - Level 0.786 potential reversal from bullish to bearish for mid term - FE reach level 100% (3023.13) equal leg 0.382: Potential EMA Zone 0.5: Potential mid-bb + MAH Zone TFH1 Outlook Bullish for H4 Retracement Fibo Extension reach level 100% (3023.13) equal leg from the ATH CSE SELL form (3015.65) follow TPW SELL - TFD at 0.382 (3039.82) from swing price 2832.72 to 3167.83 (ATH) - 3039.82 at potential daily support level HIGH RISK SELL SETUP ENTRY POINT: FR 0.382 (3061.62) STOP LOSS: ABOVE FR 0.786 (3110.85) TAKE PROFIT: FR EXT 1.618 (2940.80) TAYOR
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MSR_EMPIRE