Weekly Closing not Good but..Weekly Closing not Good but
the Stock is Still Bullish on Bigger
Time Frames.
Price dropped with Low Volumes.
Weekly Important Support seems to
be around 42.50 - 44.10
49-50 is an Important Resistance as
of now.
Fibonacci
Stock Watch: AXP (American Express Co.) 🚨
We're eyeing AXP for a strategic multi-entry swing trade based on strong technical structure and long-term potential. Here's the plan:
📌 Entry Points:
1️⃣ $248 – First touch on short-term support
2️⃣ $234 – Healthy correction zone
3️⃣ $219 – Strong base of demand
🔻 Deeper Load Zone: $195 – Long-term trendline + major accumulation area
💰 Profit Targets:
✅ $285 – Previous resistance / key breakout level
✅ $300 – Psychological barrier & momentum zone
✅ $310+ – Blue sky potential 🚀
This laddered entry strategy gives us great risk management while maximizing upside. AXP remains a solid name with strong fundamentals, making it a low-volatility winner in volatile markets.
📊 Ideal for patient traders and swing setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. All investments involve risk. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Sell Idea on NQ100 based on draw on liquidity NQ100 has been selling off mainly due to the tariffs issues but I'm more concerned with the draw on liquidity on the daily time frame at 17626.74 as it is a daily low. I'm anticipating price to draw close to that price due to this and also we have the London session low at 17657.27 which is very close to the price I mention above hence the idea of a buy to take out the London high .
Recovery or Pain?Will this be the infliction point or breaking point? Here we have multiple points of importance. Will this be a bounce or a crash?
BTC - short if the accelerated trendline breaks and confirms. This has been a very screwy time in markets, lol.
I was stopped out of my first BTC short after at least some profits were taken.
I still think that we are going to face a correction before heading higher, granted that we haven't seen the top of this cycle.
If this accelerated trendline breaks and confirms, enter a short position. That is the safest entry for now at least.
I would target the big picture trendline, which will probably be close to the .50 fib on this particular break-out structure. So, close to 76K.
We may even get a scare-tactic wick down to 68K-70K. That coincides with this structure's .618 pocket.
Anyway, that's it for now for me.
Thank you!
Gold’s Rally Pauses – Correction Incoming!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to correct at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the upper line of the Ascending Channel . The question is, will we have a minor correction or a major correction(main)?
Gold is moving near Resistance lines and Fibonacci levels and was able to breaks the Uptrend lines . I view the upward movement of the last few hours as an upward correction , which will likely cause gold to fall again.
In terms of Elliott waves , it looks like Gold has completed a major wave 5 and I expect Gold to start a major corrective wave . In Gold's history , major impulse waves have completed precisely near the upper lines of ascending channels .
I expect Gold to decline at least to the Support zone($3,100-$3,085) , if gold can break the lower line of the ascending channel, we can be more confident that we are in the main corrective waves .
Do you think Gold can create a new All-Time High(ATH) again?
Note: If Gold goes above $3,130, we can expect more pumps and a new All-Time High(ATH).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
S&P 500 Faces Increased Bearish Pressure as Trade War BeginsThe S&P 500 has formed a downtrend channel following the break below the 5700 support level. Trump's new aggressive tariff policy raised the minimum tariff on China to 54%, while China responded with equally aggressive 34% tariffs. The trade war has now officially begun.
This escalation is clearly negative for the stock market. Recession risks have risen significantly, and it remains uncertain how much the Fed can cut rates while tariff-driven inflationary pressures persist. Rapid rate cuts could help soften the slowdown but may also risk fueling another inflation surge. That would be the more optimistic case for equities. However, the Fed is likely to proceed cautiously, suggesting that bearish pressure could continue for several quarters.
In the short term, the downward trend remains intact. If the S&P 500 breaks the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, it may decline further toward the lower boundary of the new trend channel, where a potential bounce could occur. As long as the trend holds, bears remain in control.
Note: Powell is expected to speak today. His remarks carry even more weight following the tariff moves by both the U.S. and China.
Update for Mentorship on Trades and Key Levels $TSLA $SPY $NVDAUpdate for mentorship members on trades we've taken this week, Fib levels, support, divergence, potential tariff exemptions.
$AMD position trade idea LONG TERM weekly/monthlyNASDAQ:AMD has been weak for awhile on the weekly chart, but nothing lasts forever. This is a long position trade idea I have for myself, with the thesis that, long term, NASDAQ:AMD is reaching for $360ish over the next couple of years, based on fib projections from back when the bull market started years ago.
NASDAQ:AMD briefly touched a premium zone months ago (red shaded area), and with the current weakness NASDAQ:AMD has been pulling back and just reached a short term discount zone around $109 (green shaded area). My expectation is that NASDAQ:AMD might drop a bit more into this zone, perhaps sweep under the lows at $93.12, reach a couple of projected targets for the short interest (that I have marked in red and orange lines), and then find support and bounce aggressively from there.
This is all based on a pattern I frequently see where when a chart reaches the premium zone near the end of a move, it often pauses just shy of the target and feigns a reversal, falling back into the short term discount zone, often sweeping a low, and then aggressively pushing for the target that was intended all along. This serves to wash out any short term holders and deny them the full target, while offering good prices to the long term holders to reaccumulate before reaching their target.
Seek professional investment advice elsewhere, this is not trading or investment advice, this is my own observations and how I intend to approach NASDAQ:AMD in this current price area. I will not be blindly buying anything and I always manage my risk in case I'm wrong.
GOLD - Bullish Momentum Continues! Key Levels & Trade SetupCurrent Price Action:
Gold (XAUUSD) is showing strong bullish momentum on the 1-hour chart, with clear support levels forming. The price recently tested 3,108.56 and is holding above key psychological support at 3,100.00.
Key Levels & Trade Setup:
Support Zones:
- FVG (Fair Value Gap) acting as support
- Strong base at 3,108.56 (11:35 candle)
- Major psychological level at 3,100.00
Market Context:
The chart shows liquidity pools with clear buy/sell labels, indicating institutional activity. The price is respecting Fibonacci levels, suggesting a structured uptrend.
Final Thoughts:
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with clear support levels and Fibonacci confluences providing high-probability trade setups. The 3,100 level is critical—holding above it keeps the bullish bias intact.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Always do your own analysis. Trade safe! 💡
“Gold’s Resilience: Sustaining the Long-Term Uptrend”XAUUSD remains in an uptrend and is estimated to be in wave (v) of wave ; more specifically, it is currently within wave iv of wave (v).
In the short term, XAUUSD is expected to undergo a correction toward the 2,948–2,989 area. However, in the broader outlook, I anticipate further upside movement toward the 3,091–3,161 level.
“DXY Set to Strengthen, but Upside Potential Appears Limited”The current position of the DXY is estimated to have completed wave (iii) of wave . Consequently, the DXY is expected to strengthen, forming wave (iv) while testing the 104.800 to 105.346 area.
“Weak Demand Signals Potential for a Lower Low”Currently, the position of NCF1! or Newcastle Coal is within wave 5 of wave (C) of wave , indicating that Newcastle Coal remains vulnerable to further corrections toward the 86.55–96.15 range, as represented by the black labels.
A similar pattern is observed in the red labels, where Newcastle Coal is also nearing the completion of wave (5) of wave .
We observe continued pressure on coal demand due to weak consumption and oversupply, as many countries are increasingly investing in renewable energy sources amid slower global economic growth.
Market Moves as Expected—Caution for a Potential ReversalDXY Update : The movement remains in line with my expectations, with the ongoing correction being held by the Fibonacci cluster. At this stage, DXY still has the potential to strengthen, testing the 102.791–103.150 area to form wave iv of wave (v).
However, caution is advised for a potential reversal toward the 100.462–100.946.
AUDUSD breaking down following the headlinesIntraday Update: The AUDUSD has broken flag support following the headline from China that they are going to impose a 34% retaliatory tariff. The AUDUSD just surpassed the 127% extension and now may target the .6118 level intraday.
Long term targets the post covid lockdown lows.
No Signs of the Bull ArmyDow Jones Update : The correction appears likely to continue, testing the 40,045–40,467 range. Subsequently, the index is expected to rebound toward the 40,714–40,945.
Additionally, it is worth noting the gap in the 41,173–41,629 range—perhaps the market may find its way there.
BTC - Crawling back up after Trump's tariffs.🚀 BTCUSDT - 4H Chart Analysis 🚀
📊 Market Context:
Bitcoin recently experienced a sharp move, creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG) that price is now retracing into. The large gap in price action was influenced by recent economic uncertainty and speculation around Trump's tariffs.
📌 Technical Insights:
🔹 Price rebounded strongly from the support zone 📈.
🔹 Now approaching the FVG, where sellers may step in.
🔹 A potential lower high formation could lead to a continuation downward.
📉 Trade Expectation:
If price shows signs of rejection within the FVG, we could see a bearish move unfold towards previous support levels. The red arrow highlights the expected move if the resistance holds.
⚠️ Market Caution: Given the macroeconomic impact of recent events, volatility remains high. Always wait for confirmation before making decisions!
📢 Do you think BTC will reject this zone or push higher? Drop your thoughts below! 💬🔥🚀
TRUMPUSDT from 5$ can pump hardWe are looking for buy on this chart but price here near 10$ is not that much interesting and i think it can dump more and be range near 5$ for a months and then start of rise so one of the best buy zone for me would be after next phase of dump.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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XAUUSD / GOLD | 15M | BULL | SCALPING TIMEHey There My Friend
SIGNAL ALERT
🚨BUY ( GOLD & XAUUSD ) 3091,0 / 3078,0 / 3066,0 / 3053,0
🟢TP1: 3093,0
🟢TP2: 3096,0
🟢TP3: 3156,0
🔴SL: 3043,0
High Risk - Yüksek Risk
Hey Guys, Please don't forget to like 🙏🏻
GOLD → It all depends on NFP and Powell....FX:XAUUSD got shaken by 600 pips on both sides. Technically, after such a move the price may go into consolidation, but the near-term outlook will depend on NFP and Powell.
Gold hit a high of 3168 and went into correction. President Trump's imposed duties on imports from China (up to 54%) and other countries caused a sharp drop in the dollar and bond yields, reinforcing expectations of a Fed rate cut. Traders turned to profit-taking, which led to a correction. Now the market is waiting for the NFP report and Powell's speech. Weak data may return the upward momentum to gold, especially if the dovish rate expectations are confirmed. However, volatility may persist after the publication, given the impact of Friday's flows and Powell's speech
Resistance levels: 3107, 3116, 3135
Support levels: 3086, 3067, 3055
Technically, it is difficult to determine a clear place from where to expect a move as there is news ahead (NFP, Powell's speech). But based on the falling dollar and high economic risks, we can bet on the continuation of the price growth from one of the mentioned support levels: 3086, 3067, 3055.
Exit from the channel and consolidation of the price above 3110 - 3116 will again attract increased interest in buying
Regards R. Linda!
EURGBP → False break of liquidity zone (resistance)FX:EURGBP within the distribution (news background) tests resistance 0.84616 and liquidity zone, but without the possibility of continued growth the price forms a false breakout
The dollar index falls amid Trump's introduction of new tariffs, which generally provokes a rally in the whole market. But before NFP, the market shifts to profit-taking because of the growing risks. There are quite important news ahead, which may provoke high volatility.
Technically, after a strong move, the currency pair forms a false resistance breakout and consolidates in the selling zone. If the bears keep the price below 0.84616, in the short term we should wait for a correction to 0.5 fibo or to the fvg zone.
Resistance levels: 0.84600
Support levels: 0.8427, 0.8396
The situation is quite complicated due to unstable background, but technically we have a classic situation with a false breakout of strong resistance, and as we know, according to statistics, the strongest movements start after it (in relation to the trade of level breakout).
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Bulls Defend Support: Is a Sell-Off Still Possible?A Major Support Zone Holds Once Again
Bitcoin just tapped into a key 4-hour support level, a zone where price has repeatedly bounced in the past. This area has proven to be a strong demand zone, with buyers stepping in each time price reaches it. What makes this level even more significant is that it perfectly aligns with the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement level, a key technical area where price often finds support before continuing its trend.
As expected, BTC reacted strongly upon reaching this zone, showing a sharp rejection and bounce to the upside. This confirms that buyers are still actively defending this area, and as long as we hold above this level, the probability of a move higher remains strong.
A Huge Imbalance Zone Above – Where Is BTC Likely Headed?
Looking ahead, the most interesting aspect of this setup is the large imbalance zone sitting above the current price. When price moves rapidly in one direction without much consolidation, it creates an inefficiency or imbalance in the market. These imbalances tend to get filled over time as price naturally retraces back to these areas.
In this case, there’s a significant imbalance above us, making it highly likely that Bitcoin will push higher in the coming sessions to correct this inefficiency. I’m targeting at least a 50% fill of this imbalance zone, as this is typically where price starts to show some reaction. This would put BTC at a critical decision point where we could either see further upside or a rejection back down.
If buyers remain in control, we could see Bitcoin fully filling this imbalance, which would push price towards the 84-85K range, a key area to watch for potential reversals.
What If Bitcoin Loses This Key Support?
While the current reaction from support looks promising, we always need to consider the bearish scenario. If Bitcoin fails to hold this golden pocket level and strong support zone, it could open the door for a much deeper retracement.
In this case, BTC could drop significantly, with the next major support sitting around the $72K level. This area represents a critical demand zone where buyers would likely step in more aggressively. A breakdown toward $72K would also signal a much larger corrective move within the broader trend, possibly shifting market sentiment in favor of bears.
What Comes Next?
Right now, Bitcoin is at a crucial point. The bounce from support suggests bullish strength, but the key test will be whether BTC can sustain this momentum and push into the imbalance zone. If we see a clean move into this area, I’ll be watching for potential short setups, as price often struggles to break through these zones in one attempt.
On the other hand, if Bitcoin fails to hold above this golden pocket and key support, the next logical move would be a retest of the $72K region, where buyers will have another chance to defend the trend.
For now, I remain cautiously bullish, expecting at least a partial fill of the imbalance before any major rejection. Let’s see how price action develops in the coming sessions!
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DXY ready for leg downDXY is entering the time window for reversal down based on Feigenbaum fib time of the last swing. Price is currently also in the golden pocket of retracement of the last big swing down. Expecting price to move downwards within a couple of days, at least towards 103.
