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Fibonacci

Gold touches all-time high. Overbought or poised for more upsideGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has soared to a new all-time high, marking the launch of its next bullish phase. This powerful uptrend began on September 26, 2022, and is unfolding as a five-wave Elliott Wave pattern, a technical framework traders use to predict market movements. The first wave (I) climbed to 2081.82, showing strong momentum. Then, a corrective wave (II) pulled back to 1810.58, setting the stage for more gains. The third wave (III) was the most explosive, rocketing to 3167.74, driven by global demand for the safe-haven metal. Wave IV followed, forming a zigzag pattern—a typical correction where prices dip before resuming the trend. This correction found its low at 2954.62 after a structured decline. Now, gold is advancing in wave V, the final leg of this impulse. The first sub-wave, wave (1), hit 3132.59, with smaller waves within it showing steady progress. A brief wave (2) dip ended at 3103.17, and now wave (3) is pushing prices higher. As long as the key support at 2954.6 holds, pullbacks should attract buyers, particularly in 3, 7, or 11 swings—technical levels where dips often reverse. This suggests more upside ahead for gold, appealing to both traders and investors watching this historic rally.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/11/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 18597.75 - PR Low: 18464.50 - NZ Spread: 297.25 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | PPI Retraced 50% of Wednesday's range - Rotating off 18400 zone pivot, above previous session close - High volatility sentiment continues Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 4/11) - Session Open ATR: 865.12 - Volume: 54K - Open Int: 236K - Trend Grade: Bear - From BA ATH: -17.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19246 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2025Short
by mv3trader5
Does History Repeat Itself? How Far Can the Nasdaq Fall?Let's examine the current 2025 correction on a logarithmic chart: the price movements show significant similarities to the February 2020 decline. At that time, the global crisis—then driven by COVID-19 panic—fundamentally influenced market movements, while now, trade uncertainties are generated by President Trump's aggressive tariff announcements. The chart reveals that the Nasdaq is declining steeply, and technical levels play a decisive role: yesterday, the price bounced back from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. However, it is clear that supporting technical indicators—such as the break of the RSI convergence trend on the days triggering the decline—confirm the downward movement. In the earlier 2020 decline, massive volume accompanied the initial weeks' movements, while this year's movement is characterized by steadily increasing volume. Nevertheless, the current volume peak falls short of the peak measured in the 2020 week (4.45 million vs. 6.8 million), indicating that the trend may continue with further declines. Overall, technical analysis—the examination of logarithmic charts, the break of the RSI trend, and volume movements—suggests that the current correction may deepen further, and the Nasdaq's target price can be estimated between 14,500 and 15,000 points. Observing a similar scenario in history, when global events triggered high volatility, it appears that market reactions now do not differ from past patterns. If the current negative trend continues, a further deepening of the correction is plausible, as the lag in market volume (4.45M vs. 6.8M) indicates that investors have not yet been able to offset the negative sentiment prevailing in the sector.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by jpsatrio
1
AMD Wave Analysis – 10 April 2025 - AMD reversed from resistance zone - Likely to fall to support level 80.00 AMD today recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 95.40 (former support from the start of March, as can be seen below) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downer impulse wave from iii from last month. The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the earlier short term correction ii. Given the strong daily downtrend, AMD can be expected to fall to the next round support level 80.00, which stopped the earlier impulse wave (iii).
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by FxProGlobal
GBPCAD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends In the GBPCAD currency pair, we are witnessing the formation of a 5-wave pattern or a zigzag. Our hypothesis is the formation of a 5-wave pattern. Waves 1 to 4 have formed. It is currently in the support range. This support range is formed by the collision of static and dynamic supports, which is relatively reliable, and the price has also corrected by 61.8% Fibonacci. Now we expect the price to grow, and the limits of wave 5 are indicated in the figure. The first target is 1.8800 and the second target is 1.9200. The third target is far from expected, but not impossible. Also consider the stop loss below wave 1. Be successful and profitable.
Long
by M_Gheysvandi
SPX: Market Reflexivity & Fractal PatternsIn this idea I would like to walk you through some principles which I use to find and relate historical complexities within rhyming cycles. Market Reflexivity Market reflexivity is a concept introduced by George Soros that defies the traditional TA notion of efficient markets by revealing that price movements do not merely reflect fundamentals — they actively shape them. As prices rise, optimism fuels further buying, creating a self-reinforcing loop inflating bubbles. Conversely, declining prices trigger fear, accelerating downturns. Reflexivity explains why trends persist and why reversals can be abrupt, as self-sustaining cycles eventually reach a exhaustion point. To put it simply, there is a feedback loop between market participants’ perceptions and actual market conditions, suggesting that financial markets are not always in equilibrium because collective investor behavior actively drives price movements, which in turn influences future investor behavior. Feedback Loops Each massive rally eventually creates conditions that lead to overvaluation, resulting in sharp corrections. Self-Fulfilling Expectations Market participants, reacting to past price behavior, reinforce trends until a breaking point. Structural Adaptation Every major correction resets valuations, allowing for the next cycle to begin with renewed confidence and capital inflows. Practical Application of Reflexivity Compared to many tickers, SPX has exhibited relatively stable growth throughout history. Over the past 70 years, the most significant panic-driven decline occurred after its 2007 peak, with a 57% drop that defined a major cycle. Growth resumed in 2009, making this swing a key reference point for establishing historical relationships. I see the Dotcom and Housing crisis-induced declines as part of a broader complexity, shaped by prior long-term growth. The two cycles appear as they do because they stem from an extended structural uptrend, not just the 250% surge from 1994 to the bubble top, which lacked a significant preceding decline. Cause-and-effect logic suggests that these crashes were a reaction to a much larger uptrend that began in 1974. A 2447% rally provides a more compelling reason for mass panic and selling, as corrections of such magnitude are rare. Intuitively, the 2447% long-term upswing should have been preceded by a decline similar to the Dotcom and Housing crashes. This holds true, as the market experienced a nearly 50% drop after peaking in 1973 and 37% in 1968, following the same cyclical pattern of deep corrections leading to extended expansions. These corrections were relatively smaller than the Dotcom and Housing crashes because they are followed by a comparatively smaller 1452% rally from the end of WWII. Multi-Fractals Multifractals in market analysis describe the non-linear, self-similar nature of price movements, where volatility and risk vary across different scales. Unlike simple fractals with a constant fractal dimension, multifractals exhibit multiple fractal dimensions, creating varying levels of roughness. Benoit Mandelbrot introduced multifractal Time Series to refine the classic random walk theory, recognizing that price movements occur in bursts of volatility followed by calm periods. Instead of a single Hurst exponent, markets display a spectrum of exponents, reflecting diverse scaling behaviors and explaining why price action appears random at times but reveals structured patterns over different time horizons. This justifies viewing price action within its structural cause-and-effect framework, where micro and macro cycles are interdependent, while oscillating at different frequencies. Therefore, we will apply the building blocks independently from boundaries of Full Fractal Cycle. Since volatility varies, this reserves us the right to extract patterns with identical slope and roughness, and by method of exclusion relate to recent cycles starting from covid.
TVC:SPX
by fract
9
STX Bulls Beware: Is This the Calm Before a Massive Drop?Yello, Paradisers! Are you seeing what we’re seeing on STXUSDT? If not, now’s the time to pay attention—our recent predictions on bearish setups are starting to unfold again, and this one might catch many off guard. Let’s break it down. 💎Currently, STXUSDT is flashing some serious warning signs. We’re spotting a clear bearish Change of Character (CHoCH) in play, which is being reinforced by a Head and Shoulders pattern—a combination that significantly increases the probability of a downside move. 💎To make things worse for the bulls, there’s an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) sitting just below the current price. This acts like a magnet and could drag the price downward as liquidity gets targeted. 💎However, if STXUSDT manages to bounce from current levels, we’ll be closely watching the Order Block (OB) and Fibonacci Golden Zone as potential entry points. These could offer an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) setup if the bearish scenario gets temporarily rejected. 💎But here’s the key invalidation point: if price breaks and closes above the OB zone, the entire bearish thesis falls apart. In that case, we’ll step aside and wait for stronger confirmation before jumping back in. No need to rush—better opportunities always come with clear setups. 🎖Trade smart, Paradisers. The market doesn't care about your bias—it rewards only patience, precision, and discipline. Stick to your trading plan, and don’t let FOMO or fear drive your decisions. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
2
Arbitrum ARB price analysis💰 One can lose count of how many times the “next bottom” from #ARB has been given as "a gift". ⁉️ The only thing that can be assumed is that the behavior of the #Arbitrum price will repeat itself in a fractal fashion and grow to at least $0.57-0.67 by summer. 🪐 And then, if all the stars align with the parade of planets, and the OKX:ARBUSDT price will be able to gain a foothold above the aforementioned zone, it may continue to grow to $1-1.2. It seems that once upon a time, this was the price at which #ARB was given away for free, and they forgot to think through one nuance: who will be pumping it if they are generously given to everyone) _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
GOLD → Global economic risk indicator consolidates ahead of CPIFX:XAUUSD , rather quickly changes the market structure to bullish and continues its aggressive rally. The economic risk indicator is working perfectly. Technically, the focus is on the range 3135 - 3099 Gold is consolidating around $3,100 in anticipation of US inflation data. The escalating trade war between the US and China keeps demand for defensive assets alive despite the pause in price gains. Trump imposed 125% tariffs on Chinese goods and China retaliated with duties of 84% on U.S. imports. Increased tariff tensions are raising recession expectations and encouraging bets on a Fed interest rate cut, which supports gold. However, a rise in March CPI inflation (expected 2.6% y/y) could trigger a downward correction, although the impact could be short-lived - tariff news remains the main driver Technically, the price failed to reach the 3135 liquidity zone and reversed, which attracted the crowd willing to sell (deceptive maneuver). But, after correction the price may return to the target quite quickly Resistance levels: 3135, 3167 Support levels: 3100, 3090, 3077 Emphasis on the range boundaries, possible retest of 3100-3090- 3075 before continuation of growth. On the news or before the opening of the American session there may be a long squeeze before the continuation of growth. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
DOGE → Will the market hold strength or lose it all?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT is testing the liquidity and resistance zone amid a downtrend as part of a news-induced rally. Will the market hold this trend or return to a sell-off? The downtrend continues. As part of the correction triggered by the news backdrop, bitcoin strengthened and pulled the altcoins with it. But the market may lose all its growth quite quickly, as bearish pressure on the market is still very strong (There are no fundamental positive changes for the market). The fall of BTC may be followed by DOGE as well. Technically, the price is forming a false break of the resistance zone 0.1622 - 0.15700, consolidation of the price below this zone will provoke the continuation of the fall to the nearest zone of interest 0.13646. Resistance levels: 0.157, -0.1622 Support levels: 0.13646, 0.1277, 0.1154 A retest of the trend resistance is possible, but price consolidation below the key zone will be a good signal indicating the seller's strength, the decline may continue. On the weekly timeframe we have a trigger at 0.14217, break of which will open the way to 0.1277 - 0.1025. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
12