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Fibonacci

USDJPY Counter Trend Opportunities - Fxdollars - {11/03/2025}Educational Analysis says USDJPY may give countertrend opportunities from this range, according to my technical. Broker - FXCM So my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range. The weekly trend range is long up to 170.000 Trading Range Approach is a long counter trend opportunity or pushback up to 155.000 The internal Trend Range Approach is a Long counter trend opportunity or pushback up to 150.000 or continue going down with an internal trading range or trading range up to 135.000 Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future. Please check the comment section to see how this turned out. DISCLAIMER:- This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis. I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS, Happy Trading, Fx Dollars .
by VishalBudhrani
BTCUSD most likely has bottomed out for the time beingThe 1.618 Fibonacci extension at approximately $78,600 on the medium-term timeframe (weekly) appears to be providing strong support. On the long-term logarithmic chart, BTC has now entered the lower boundary of the Schiff Pitchfork, historically a key reversal zone. This suggests a solid entry point, with an initial rebound toward $90,000 or higher within the next 2–3 weeks. That said, market movements remain uncertain—especially as the Fisher Transform indicator has yet to dip into the -3 to -4 range, which would further improve the odds of a sharp rebound in the near term. However, if this is indeed a third wave of an Elliott Wave Grand Supercycle (years to decades), I expect BTC to hold above its November 2021 high (~$68,000) without major retracement. As long as this level holds, my outlook remains bullish, with a potential rally toward $250,000+ before a significant correction back to the $90,000–$120,000 range, consistent with past market cycles. Stay patient and trade wisely—good luck! For Bitcoiners: TP: What’s that? We HODL. SL: Buy the dip! 🚀 For Traders: TP: $89,000 – $91,000 SL: $76,500 (though, be aware of a daily wick to the downside, which could break through this level before going back up within minutes)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by sanuwat25
EURUSD - Bulls vs Bears – Price levels to watch out for!🌍 Market Overview: Currently, EURUSD is showing strength as the US dollar is experiencing bearish pressure, influenced by the recent news regarding tariffs imposed on certain goods. The new tariffs, aimed at curbing certain imports, have created uncertainty around the dollar's stability. This macroeconomic development is creating a favorable environment for the euro, pushing the pair higher as investors seek alternatives to the weakening USD. Additionally, the broader economic landscape supports euro strength, with improving Eurozone economic data and a more stable inflation outlook compared to the US. These factors have contributed to the recent bullish momentum seen on EURUSD. 📈 Technical Overview: After a significant bullish move, the market appears to be overextended, signaling that a cooldown might be imminent. The rapid price increase left behind several imbalances that need to be filled for the market to maintain a healthy structure. When price moves in one direction without much pullback, it often creates inefficiencies or gaps in the order flow that the market tends to fill before continuing the primary trend. Looking at the Fibonacci retracement levels, the 0.382 level aligns with a minor zone of interest, but the more significant confluence lies between the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. This zone is often referred to as the golden pocket, where price typically reacts during corrections in trending markets. Furthermore, this retracement zone perfectly overlaps with the strong past resistance zone that is now expected to act as support. 🔍 Expected Move: The expectation is that EURUSD will first tap into the higher supply zone marked in the chart before initiating a corrective move to the downside. The supply zone represents an area where institutional selling pressure could be present, causing a rejection to the downside. The corrective move is anticipated to fill the imbalances left behind during the bullish rally, making the price action healthier and more sustainable in the long run. The anticipated pullback is likely to target the 1.05000 - 1.06000 area, aligning with the golden pocket and strong support level. This zone offers a high probability for a bullish reaction, making it an ideal point for potential buy entries. 🔑 Key Confluences for the Target Zone: Golden Pocket Level: This Fibonacci retracement area is a high-probability zone for price reversals in trending markets. Past Resistance Turned Support: The strong resistance zone that was broken during the bullish rally is expected to act as a support on the way down, offering further confluence for buy entries. Imbalance Filling: The fast price movement left inefficiencies in the market that are likely to be filled during the retracement, contributing to a healthier market structure. Psychological Levels: The 1.05000 level is a round number that often acts as psychological support in the market, further increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction. Market Sentiment: Bearish USD sentiment caused by recent tariffs and economic uncertainty provides a supportive backdrop for the euro, aligning with the technical setup. 📝 Trade Idea Summary: Wait for a tap into the higher imbalance zone before considering short positions. Target the 1.05400 - 1.05000 zone for partial profits. Watch price action around the golden pocket and past resistance level for potential bullish reactions. Confirm the trade idea with lower time frame structure shifts before entering. Monitor economic news related to US tariffs and Eurozone economic releases to align with the technical analysis. Better overview: ⚠️ Risk Management: Use a stop loss above the imbalance zone for short entries to limit risk. Consider scaling into long positions at the golden pocket zone with a tight stop below the 1.04800 level. Aim for a 2:1 or 3:1 risk-to-reward ratio to maintain a favorable trade setup. This trade idea combines technical analysis with market fundamentals to anticipate the next potential EURUSD move. By aligning multiple confluences, the setup offers a high-probability opportunity for both short-term and medium-term traders. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
37
Bitcoin BTC price analysis😕 Yesterday's news of a higher-than-expected CPI increase seems to have been "digested" by the market. We liked that most of the alts held up quite well (all compared to last week) - there was no more panic. 1️⃣ On the one hand, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is being pushed to the “critical triangle” below which the OKX:BTCUSDT price may go to close the CME GAP formed last year. But BTC.D is also dropping, albeit reluctantly, a little bit. 2️⃣ On the other hand, maybe it's time to stop focusing on that bourgeois #Bitcoin ). It's time for the altcoins to take "the pitchforks" into their own hands!) 😱 Some #CAKE and #Bake are showing good growth and even the “heavy” CRYPTOCAP:BNB is climbing despite them.... and all because #CZ decided to return to the “big” game and will present a photo of his dog in a few hours.... We are re-reading this sur and our eyes are twitching.... but these are the realities of the crypto world now...) ⁉️ So, what do you think, which memecoin from СZ will blow up the information space and pull all the market liquidity to itself in the coming hours/days?)
by P_S_trade
4
Taking Advantage of NVDA’s Pullback: Strategic Entry PointsMarket corrections often create the best opportunities, and NVDA’s recent pullback is no exception. For those looking to step in at key levels, here are three well-placed entry points: 106.7 – A strong support zone where buying pressure may start to build, signaling a potential bounce. 96 – A deeper correction level, offering an even better risk-reward ratio as the stock finds stability. 81 – A significant support area, where the price could reach a bottom before a strong reversal. For profit targets, consider: 123 – The first checkpoint, locking in gains as the price starts recovering. 138 – A critical level where momentum could face resistance but also confirm a strong uptrend. 150 – A high-probability target if the market fully recovers, offering a substantial upside from lower entries. While corrections can seem risky, they also open doors for calculated entries and strategic positioning. Always manage risk wisely and adjust stops accordingly. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risks, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Robert_V12
SPY: Deep Pullback or the Opportunity of the Year?The market has spoken, and SPY has taken a deeper dive, breaking key levels and raising the big question: Will it keep dropping, or are we looking at the best opportunity of 2025? Seasoned traders know that sharp declines aren’t just moments of panic—they are moments of opportunity. With SPY reaching 558, 545, and even 525, this could be the perfect setup for a strategic, tiered entry ahead of a potential rebound. Key Recovery Levels: 🔹 570: First profit target, capturing an initial bounce. 🔹 590: A second take-profit zone if the momentum continues upward. 🔹 607: If recovery gains traction, this could be the level where many look to lock in gains. The market may continue to dip, but every drop presents a potential golden opportunity. What looks risky today could turn into the trade of the year tomorrow. As always, risk management and disciplined execution are key. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risks, and each investor should conduct their own analysis and manage risk responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by Robert_V12
Successfully gained long profits and started shorting goldBros, I mentioned very clearly yesterday that gold would only touch the lowest area of ​​2880-2870 during the decline. As I expected, gold rebounded again after touching 2880. Yesterday, I insisted on absorbing as many cheap chips as possible during the gold correction. Today's gold rebound has brought us extremely rich profits. If you have been paying attention to my trading strategies, I believe you have made exponential profits in gold trading. At present, gold continues to rebound and touches around 2915, but the overall rebound is not strong, and the upper 2920-2930 area constitutes strong resistance in the short term. According to the current rebound potential of gold, it is difficult for gold to easily break through the resistance in this area, and gold may still retest the area around 2900 after encountering resistance. So in terms of short-term trading, we can try to short gold in the 2915-2925 area. Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Hedera Goes From April Highs, To ATH, To Elliot Wave Theory? Lets break down what COINBASE:HBARUSD may be setting up for a long-term scenario! We saw a impressive Bullish Rally from beginning of November 2024 that facilitated a Breakout of the April 2024 High @ .1842 to then create its All Time High @ .4010. With this Price Action going from a Significant Low to create a new Higher High, we can apply the Elliot Wave Theory which is first supported by seeing some sort of Fibonacci Retracement from the Low to New High and we see that February of 2025 delivered a Fibonacci Retracement to the Golden Ratio Zone twice to now be showing support from Bulls pushing price higher! Technically, with Wave 1 having been corrected successfully by Wave 2, both being completed, we now can expect price to give us another extension starting Wave 3, giving us a Break of the ATH created by Wave 1, to then confirm our directional bias and validate the Elliot Wave Theory. Based on the Fibonacci Extension, we can project a potential "Roadmap" price may follow while outlining the rest of the Impulse and Corrective Waves where we see Price ultimately ending Wave 5 at the Potential Range Target of ( .7571 - .89441 ) Rules: - The 2nd Wave cannot retrace the 1st Wave more than 100% - The 3rd Wave can never be the shortest of the Impulse Waves ( 1,3,5 ) - The 4th Wave cannot retrace the 3rd Wave more than 100%
COINBASE:HBARUSDLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
4
SUI - Short or Long? The Ultimate SUI Trade BlueprintHere’s an update to the analysis I did one month ago on February 10. Since then, SUI has continued to show its bearish tendencies—making lower highs and lower lows. After that dramatic 30% drop from a golden pocket short opportunity, the price started inching up on low volume. This weak rally suggests that while buyers are testing the ceiling, the overall trend remains down. That sets the stage for two possible plays: a short trade if the price reaches the resistance zone, and a long trade if it bounces off a strong support level. 1. Identification of Support and Resistance Zones Resistance Zone (for the Short Trade): Daily Resistance: ~2.7888 Point of Control (POC): Around 2.8035 Monthly Open: 2.83 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement: 2.8711 All these levels combine to create a robust resistance area where sellers are likely to step in. Support Zone (for the Long Trade): $2 Psychological Level: A key round number that attracts attention. 0.7 Fibonacci Retracement: Derived from the swing low of $0.4625 to the high of $5.3687, this places an important level at 1.9344 (just below $2). Monthly Bullish Order Block: At 1.9137, indicating buying interest. Fib Speed Fan (0.786): Points to support near the $2 mark. POC: 2.0225 Anchored VWAP: Calculated from the deep low at $0.362, which again aligns around $2. These multiple layers of confluence make the $2 area a strong support zone and an attractive entry point for a long trade. 2. Short Trade Setup The Plan: Building a short position gradually using a laddering strategy. With a $15,000 allocation from a $100,000 account, scale in at different levels to keep risk in check. Scaling In (Entry Levels): Entry # Entry Price % of Position Amount Invested ($) 1 2.6808 5% $750 2 2.7070 5% $750 3 2.7314 10% $1,500 4 2.7552 10% $1,500 5 2.7755 10% $1,500 6 2.7990 15% $2,250 7 2.8242 20% $3,000 8 2.8485 25% $3,750 Total: Avg. ~2.7924 $15,000 Stop Loss: Set at $3.07, limiting the risk to about $1,506 (roughly 10% of the trade allocation or 1.51% of the account). Scaling Out (Exit Levels): Exit Cover Price % of Position Amount Paid to Cover ($) 1 2.7925 5% $750.02 2 2.1715 5% $583.23 3 2.1365 10% $1,147.66 4 2.0981 20% $2,254.07 5 2.0630 20% $2,216.36 6 2.0257 10% $1,088.14 7 1.9930 15% $1,605.87 8 1.9625 15% $1,581.29 Outcome: Total: Avg. ~2.09 $11,226.65 Net Profit: $15,000 (initial proceeds) – $11,226.65 (cost to cover) = $3,773.35 Profit % on Trade: +25.16% Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): Approximately 2.51 This laddering approach helps to secure profits at various levels while managing the risk effectively. 3. Long Trade Setup The $2 support zone is a magnet, backed by multiple confluences. When SUI tests this area and shows signs of a rebound, it sets up a great opportunity to go long. Key Support Details: $2 Psychological Level: A well-watched price point. 0.7 Fibonacci Retracement: Places a key level at 1.9344 from the low ($0.4625) to the high ($5.3687). Monthly Bullish Order Block: At 1.9137, adding to the support. Fib Speed Fan (0.786): Confirms support near $2. POC & Anchored VWAP: Both clustering around $2 (POC at 2.0225 and VWAP from a low of $0.362). Trade Details: Entry: Buy at $2.00 Target: Sell at $2.337 for an approximate 20%+ gain Stop Loss: Set just below $1.80 to protect against further downside Risk-to-Reward Ratio: About 2.44 or better Wrapping It Up In this dual-setup strategy, we're well-prepared for different market outcomes: Short Trade: If SUI rallies into the tightly clustered resistance zone, scale into a short with defined entries, exits, and a stop loss that caps our risk at about 1.51% of the account. Exit ladder aims for an average cover price of around $2.09, netting a neat profit of approximately $3,773 (or +25.16% on the trade). Long Trade: Conversely, if SUI finds strong footing at the confluence-rich $2 support zone, we can flip to a long position. Entering at $2.00, with a target of $2.337 and a stop loss below $1.80, gives an attractive risk-to-reward ratio of roughly 2.44. This approach lets us capitalise on both sides of the market. Keep an eye on volume and price action. Happy trading! P.S. If you have any coin requests, feel free to share them in the comments. I will be selecting one or two for the next TA.
Short
by SiDec
4