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Fibonacci

Germany 40 – Preparing For A Short Term Range BreakoutTariff worries, including new comments from President Trump stating that he is likely to impose fresh import charges on pharmaceuticals, have continued to dominate the thinking of Germany 40 traders this week. This has lead to some choppy price action for the index, which after opening on Monday at 24140, has bounced between a Tuesday high of 24293 and a Wednesday low of 23923, before settling back into the middle of that range. Throw into the mix, the start of Q2 earnings season for European corporates and an upcoming ECB interest rate decision in a week's time and you can see how price action could become increasingly volatile moving forward into the end of July. Earnings season has so far got off to a slow start in Europe and Germany 40 traders may have to wait until SAP, the company carrying the highest market capitalisation ($352 billion) and index weighting (14.5%), reports its results next Tuesday (after the close) for further insight into where prices may move next. In terms of the ECB rate decision next Thursday (July 24th), market expectations may currently be indicating that another rate cut is unlikely, although it could be a close call. Traders seem to be focusing on recent commentary from policymakers which suggests the balance of power for the time being has shifted to the more hawkish committee members, who have stated that with inflation sitting on the central bank's target of 2% there is no need to cut rates further. Choosing instead to wait for more clarity on the outcome of trade negotiations with the US, which could decide whether a trade war between the world's first and third biggest economies may be something they need to navigate. Technical Update: Assessing Current Pirce Action Having posted a new all-time high at 24639 on July 9th the Germany 40 index has entered a corrective period in price. However, while much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends, traders may well be asking, whether current price declines can develop into a more extended phase of weakness, or if the downside move could be limited as buyers return once again. Time will tell, but in the meantime, technical analysis may help pinpoint potential support and resistance levels which can aid traders in establishing the next possible trends and directional risks. Potential Support Levels: Having recently posted a new all-time high at 24639, it might be argued this is still a positive price trend, especially as the Bollinger mid-average is currently rising. The mid-average stands at 23954, so may mark the first support focus for traders over coming sessions. However, if closing breaks of this 23954 level materialise, it might lead towards a further phase of price weakness towards 23013, the June 19th session low, even 22406, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to July 2025 price strength. Potential Resistance Levels: If the 23954 mid-average successfully holds the current price setback, it could prompt further attempts to extend recent strength. The first resistance might then stand at 24282, which is equal to half of the latest weakness, with successful closing breaks above this level possibly opening scope back to the 24639 all-time high and maybe further, if this in turn gives way. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by Pepperstone
Bitcoin Dominance BTC.D analysisCurrently, the maximum of BTC.D was 65.38% and the absolute maximum is very close, and then the capital will start flowing into altcoins. We will have to keep a close eye on where the capital will go: only to highly liquid altcoins, or to a certain industry, or to a narrative, as it was before: “defi”, “memecoin”, and so on... Do you have any ideas where the capital can go? Write in the comments! ❗️ Also, it is worth noting that such a popular term as "alt-season" lasts less and less, and you have to wait longer and longer for it! It seems that this time the "alt-season" has every chance to last until the end of 2025, and then... it will be seen. Perhaps the market will gain capital and new powerful players who will set a new vector and new rules by 2028.... But first... we have to live to see it!) _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by P_S_trade
6
$NEAR Weekly TextBook Elliot Wave!CBOE:NEAR Weekly chart is a great demonstration of the text book motif wave followed by ABC corrective wave. Bullish divergence has printed on the weekly RSI at the S1 weekly pivot support and the 'alt-coin golden pocket' 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. Price is closing in the major resistance High Volume Node. The upside target is the newly printed weekly 200EMA followed by the weekly pivot and major resistance HVN just above $5. A terminal target for this cycle may only see NEAR hitting all time highs around $21, the R5 weekly pivot point. Safe trading
by Maddox_Metrics
$RENDER Weekly Brings Clarity!CRYPTOCAP:RENDER weekly chart shows long term strength through the depth of the Fibonacci retracement not even reaching 0.5. The depth of the recent swing low been so close wave (C) does concern me that the larger correction is not yet over and maybe price does want to visit the 'alt-coin' golden pocket of the 0.618-0.768 Fib retracement Where the would be a High Volume Node (not drawn). For now the upside target is the weekly pivot but the local chart has a lot of work to do first with daily 200EMA! Safe trading
by Maddox_Metrics
$RENDER At Major Resistance!CRYPTOCAP:RENDER has been relatively weak. Looking at the local chart it appears we have finished a wave (3) at the daily 200EMA and descending resistance. Price has overcome the High Volume Node (HVN) support flipped resistance but a strong at coin pull could see fresh lows for Render. There is also daily bearish divergence on the RSI. The Elliot Wave count could also be an ABC corrective wave up which has now terminated. If its a new motif wave and a major bottom has formed , wave 2 should find support at the HVN, daily pivot and 'alt-coin' golden pocket between 0.168 and 0.782 Fibonacci retracement Safe trading
by Maddox_Metrics
Bank of America Wave Analysis – 18 July 2025- Bank of America reversed from support area - Likely to rise to resistance level 40550.00 Bank of America recently reversed up with the daily Morning Star from the support area located between the support level 45.00 (former resistance from May and June) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. This support area was further strengthened by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the earlier upward impulse from April. Given the clear daily uptrend, Bank of America can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 49.23 (top of the previous impulse wave 1).
NYSE:BACLong
by FxProGlobal
Ebay Wave Analysis – 18 July 2025 - Ebay rising inside impulse wave (3) - Likely to rise to resistance 80.00 Ebay continues to rise inside the impulse wave (3) of the long-term upward impulse wave 3 from the end of June. The active long-term impulse wave 3 started earlier from the support zone between the support level 74.00, upper trendline of the recently broken up channel from November and the lower daily Bollinger Band. Given the clear daily uptrend, Ebay can be expected to rise further to the next resistance 80.00 (monthly high from June and the target for the completion of the active wave (3)).
NASDAQ:EBAYLong
by FxProGlobal
ADA | Trade setup📌 After the breakout from the last high at $0.86, a bullish sequence (orange) has now been activated. 📊 These setups typically occur no more than twice per year on any given altcoin, so I’ll be aggressively buying each level at the B-C retracement area. Trademanagement: - I'm placing long orders at each level. ((If the price continues climbing, I’ll adjust the trend reversal level (green) accordingly and update my limit orders.) - Once the trade reaches a 2 R/R, I’ll move the stop-loss to break-even. - From a 3 R/R onward, I’ll start locking in profits. ✅ I welcome every correction from here on — but I won’t enter any new positions at these top levels. Stay safe & lets make money
Long
by The-white-goat
SEI | Trade-updateWe’ve almost reached our final profit target (orange). Once we get there, I’ll take out most of my margin position and let only a small portion run. Same situation as with $ADA... 13 R/R since my call — you don’t need a strategy with an 80% win rate. A 30–50% win rate is more than enough if your risk-to-reward ratio is solid. I don’t think any of you have taken trades based on my calls yet, but maybe in the future idk. I’ll keep posting from time to time. Maybe I’ll get more motivated and post more often. We’ll see. As always: don’t get FOMO now when prices are green. The time to go long was a month ago — now it’s time to hit the red button. And thanks to @cemainickam i see that atleast one person is reading my posts. Thank you bro! cheers, stay safe❤️
Long
by The-white-goat
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/18/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23262.75 - PR Low: 23245.25 - NZ Spread: 39.0 No key scheduled economic events Pushing ATH through overnight hours Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 7/18) - Session Open ATR: 272.56 - Volume: 18K - Open Int: 286K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -0.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23811 - Mid: 22096 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by mv3trader5
Fibonacci Retracement: The Hidden Key to Better EntriesIf you’ve ever wondered how professional traders predict where price might pull back before continuing... the secret lies in Fibonacci Retracement. In this post, you’ll learn: What Fibonacci retracement is Why it works How to use it on your charts (step-by-step) Pro tips to increase accuracy in the market 🧠 What Is Fibonacci Retracement?: Fibonacci Retracement is a technical analysis tool that helps traders identify potential support or resistance zones where price is likely to pause or reverse during a pullback. It’s based on a mathematical sequence called the Fibonacci Sequence, found everywhere in nature — from galaxies to sunflowers — and yes, even in the markets. The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, starting with 0 and 1. The sequence typically begins with 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, and so on. This pattern can be expressed as a formula: F(n) = F(n-1) + F(n-2), where F(n) is the nth Fibonacci number. The key Fibonacci levels traders use are: 23.6% 38.2% 50% 61.8% 78.6% These levels represent percentages of a previous price move, and they give us reference points for where price might pull back before resuming its trend and where we can anticipate price to move before showing support or resistance to the trend you are following. 💡Breakdown of Each Fib Level: 💎 0.236 (23.6%) – Shallow Pullback What it indicates: Weak retracement, often signals strong trend momentum. Buyers/sellers are aggressively holding the trend. Best action: Aggressive entry zone for continuation traders. Look for momentum signals (break of minor structure, bullish/bearish candles). Stay out of the market until you see more confirmation. 💎 0.382 (38.2%) – First Strong Area of Interest What it indicates: Healthy pullback in a trending market. Seen as a key area for trend followers to step in. Best action: Look for entry confirmation: bullish/bearish engulfing, pin bars, Elliott Waves, or break/retest setups. Ideal for setting up trend continuation trades. Stop Loss 0.618 Level 💎 0.500 (50.0%) – Neutral Ground What it indicates: Often marks the midpoint of a significant price move. Market is undecided, can go either way. Best action: Wait for additional confirmation before entering. Combine with support/resistance or a confluence zone. Useful for re-entry on strong trends with good risk/reward. Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Levels 💎 0.618 (61.8%) – The “Golden Ratio” What it indicates: Deep pullback, often seen as the last line of defense before trend reversal. High-probability area for big players to enter or add to positions. Best action: Look for strong reversal patterns (double bottoms/tops, engulfing candles). Excellent area for entering swing trades with tight risk and high reward. Use confluence (structure zones, moving averages, psychological levels, Elliott Waves). Wait for close above or below depending on the momentum of the market. Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Level 💎 0.786 (78.6%) – Deep Correction Zone What it indicates: Very deep retracement. Often a final “trap” zone before price reverses. Risk of trend failure is higher. Best action: Only trade if there's strong reversal evidence. Use smaller position size or avoid unless other confluences are aligned. Can act as an entry for counter-trend trades in weaker markets. Stop Loss around 1.1 and 1.2 Fib Levels ⏱️Best Timeframe to Use Fibs for Day Traders and Swing Traders: Day trading: Day traders, focused on capturing short-term price movements and making quick decisions within a single day, typically utilize shorter timeframes for Fibonacci retracement analysis, such as 15-minute through hourly charts. They may also use tighter Fibonacci levels (like 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50%) to identify more frequent signals and exploit short-term fluctuations. Combining Fibonacci levels with other indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD, and focusing on shorter timeframes (e.g., 5-minute or 15-minute charts) can enhance signal confirmation for day traders. However, relying on very short timeframes for Fibonacci can lead to less reliable retracement levels due to increased volatility and potential for false signals. Swing trading: Swing traders aim to capture intermediate trends, which necessitates giving trades more room to fluctuate over several days or weeks. They typically prefer utilizing broader Fibonacci levels (like 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%) to identify significant retracement points for entering and exiting trades. Swing traders often focus on 4-hour and daily charts for their analysis, and may even consult weekly charts for a broader market perspective. 🎯 Why Does Fibonacci Work?: Fibonacci levels work because of: Mass psychology – many traders use them Natural rhythm – markets move in waves, not straight lines Institutional footprint – smart money often scales in around key retracement zones It's not magic — it's structure, and it's surprisingly reliable when used correctly. 🛠 How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement (Step-by-Step): Let’s say you want to trade XAU/USD (Gold), and price just had a strong bullish run. ✏️ Follow These Steps: Identify the swing low (start of move) Identify the swing high (end of move) Use your Fibonacci tool to draw from low to high (for a bullish move) The tool will automatically mark levels like 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, etc. These levels act as pullback zones, and your job is to look for entry confirmation around them. 🔁 For bearish moves, draw from high to low. (I will show a bearish example later) Now let’s throw some examples and pictures into play to get a better understanding. 📈 XAU/USD BULLISH Example: 1.First we Identify the direction of the market: 2.Now we set our fibs by looking for confirmations to get possible entry point: Lets zoom in a bit: Now that we have a break of the trendline we wait for confirmation and look for confluence: Now we set our fibs from the last low to the last high: This will act as our entry point for the trade. 3. Now we can look for our stop loss and take profit levels: Stop Loss: For the stop loss I like to use the fib levels 1.1 and 1.2 when I make an entry based upon the 0.618 level. These levels to me typically indicate that the trade idea is invalid once crossed because it will usually violate the prior confirmations Take Profit: For the take profit I like to use the Fib levels 0.236, 0, -0.27, and -0.618. This is based upon your personal risk tolerance and overall analysis. You can use 0.236 and 0 level as areas to take partial profits. Re-Entry Point Using Elliott Waves as Confluence Example: This is an example of how I used Elliott Waves to enter the trade again from the prior entry point. If you don’t know what Elliott Waves are I will link my other educational post so you can read up on it and have a better understanding my explanation to follow. After seeing all of our prior confirmations I am now confident that our trend is still strongly bullish so I will mark my Waves and look for an entry point. As we can see price dipped into the 0.38-0.5 Fib level and rejected it nicely which is also in confluence with the Elliott Wave Theory for the creation of wave 5 which is the last impulse leg before correction. 🔻 In a downtrend: Same steps, but reverse the direction — draw from high to low and look to short the pullback. XAU/USD Example: As you can see the same basic principles applied for bearish movement as well. ⚠️ Pro Tips for Accuracy: ✅ Always use Fib in confluence with: Market structure (higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows) Key support/resistance zones Volume or momentum indicators Candle Patterns Elliott Waves, etc. ❌ Don’t trade Fib levels blindly — they are zones, not guarantees. 📊 Use higher timeframes for cleaner levels (4H, Daily) 💡 Final Thought Fibonacci retracement doesn’t predict the future — it reveals probability zones where price is likely to react. When combined with structure and confirmation, it becomes one of the most reliable tools for new and experienced traders alike. 🔥 Drop a comment if this helped — or if you want a Part 2 where I break down Fibonacci Extensions and how to use them for take-profit targets. 💬 Tag or share with a beginner who needs to see this!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by WrightWayInvestments
Coca-Cola Wave Analysis – 17 July 2025- Coca-Cola reversed from the support area - Likely to rise to resistance level 72.00 Coca-Cola recently reversed from the support area between the key support level 68.55 (which has been reversing the price from May), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse (1) from January. The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous minor ABC correction (ii). Coca-Cola can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 72.00 (which stopped the earlier waves B, 1 and i).
NYSE:KOLong
by FxProGlobal