General Market Ramblings - $BTCUSD, $TSLA, $GDX, $DAL, $BBEUHi, all. Wanted to get something published for the first time in awhile. Unfortunately my mom passed away recently and that has been something I have been going through. It is therapeutic to record something and get it out to you all. I am approaching feature film length on this one, so kudos if you make it through the whole video.
I just wanted to discuss some general market thoughts here - especially as we are now in an interesting time. I hope you do find some value here! Believe me, this really is just scratching the surface of my market thoughts and the different stocks that I have thoughts on. But again, really just wanted to get something out to you guys. Even if you tune in for a minute or two, thanks for watching! It means a lot. Feel free to provide feedback as well of course.
As always, a lot of my thoughts are based on the "Time @ Mode" method that we discuss in the Key Hidden Levels TradingView chat.
Also, as always, these are strictly my thoughts and opinions. I am not a professional and I encourage you to do your own research before making investment/trading decisions. These opinions are not financial advice.
Assets in this video: COINBASE:BTCUSD , COMEX:GC1! , NASDAQ:TSLA , AMEX:GDX , CBOE:BBEU , NYSE:DAL , maybe others I forgot about.
Fibonacci
Bitcoin - Historical trap (122k then 60k in 2026)Bitcoin is in the final stage of the bullish cycle, and we want to look for the best price to sell and prepare for the 2025/2026 bear market! The best price to sell Bitcoin is at the 1.618 FIB extension or at the main long-term 2017-2021-2025 trendline. This is exactly at 122,069, as we can see on the chart.
Many people are saying that it's over for Bitcoin and that Trump's post was a giant trap. I think we will see a final 2 waves on Bitcoin to form an ending diagonal wedge pattern (1-2-3-4-5). Bitcoin is in wave 3.
I am also bullish because of the 50-week moving average. Historically, Bitcoin reacted to this MA very precisely. I always recommend using simple moving averages with 20, 50, 100, and 200 periods because this is what the big players are using as well. These MAs are very popular among giant institutions, banks, and investors.
I think a huge altseason should kick in anytime soon now because Ethereum is very undervalued, and BTC.D needs a break as well. ETH could be a much better choice for the final 2025 pump.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
[Opinion] Short Position on Gold (XAUUSD)Based on W and 4H, it sill on uptrend
However, due to adjustment, we have to go down in short time frame such as 15M on my view.
Thus, in my case, I will take short position
1. Entry: 2913 - 2914 Range
2. Stop Loss: 2923 - 2924 Range (YES, it is quite wide! but I will do risk management for taking all profits based on trend.)
3. Take Profit: 2766 - 2765 Range (YES again! it would be very greedy)
I do not like to open short position, usually long position bring more money.
On the other hand, I do not want to ignore the signal which show on my view.
Anyway, it is my opinion.
Hope you guys share your idea as well
[Opinion] Long Position (Later) on BTCUSDWell, don't know what to say about BTC.
Even I am holding BTC for a long long time, I do not know what to say.
Anyway, what I want to share is my idea
1. Entry : 73500 - 73600 Range
2. Stop Loss : 71600 - 71700 Range
3. Take Profit : 107000 - 108000 Range (this is hope, I do not want to be too greedy, as long as it will go up to 90000, I will close half).
DUOL: mid-term trend structure Until price is holding above 13th Jan lows, my operative scenario is continuation of the upside momentum towards 420-450 resistance zone.
Moving and holding above 450 level increases the probability of a continuation move towards higher resistance levels at 590+.
Otherwise, until price holds bellow 450, there are significant odds of deeper correction in the mid-term before continuing macro uptrend
My previous idea on NASDAQ:DUOL from Dec'23 topping actions:
and update on break-out potential from Sep'24:
Thank you for your attention!
XRP BEFORE & AFTER@XRP Weekly-Monthly Analysis / Retracement...Weekly - Monthly trend: Bearish
Chart Pattern: Head & Shoulders (H&S) - Bearish Continuation Pattern
Bearish Candlesticks signals:
HANGING MAN (Bearish, Single Candlestick pattern) / Weekly Timeframe / 09 DEC 2024
BEARISH ENGULFING (Bearish, Double Candlestick pattern)/ weekly Timeframe / 27 JAN 2025
TWEEZER TOP (Bearish, Double Candlestick pattern) / 1 Day timeframe / 20 FEB 2025
FALLING THREE METHODS (Bearish, five-fold Candlestick pattern) / 1 Day timeframe / 07 MAR 2025
Retracement Fib Price Levels:
0.00% (3.4000)
23.60% (2.6879)
38.20% (2.2474)
50.00% (1.8914)
61.80% (1.5353)
78.60% (1.0284)
100.00% (0.3827)
Good prices for buy (the lower the better):
61.80% (1.5353) – Golden Zone / Golden Pocket
78.60% (1.0284) – Entry Zone
Between 78.60% (1.0284) and 100.00% (0.3827) is the Risk Zone, which we have the Neckline of the ‘’ Quadruple Bottom Pattern ‘’ at the price range ‘’ 0.6291 – 0.7850 ‘’
I am having buy limit at 0.78500 on the neckline of ‘’ Quadruple Bottom Pattern ‘’.
iRhythm Technologies Inc Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# iRhythm Technologies Inc Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (Diagonal) | Completed Survey & Entry Bias
* (Area Of Value) & Inverted Pattern Confirmation | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (Continuation Argument)) | Channel Entry | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | (Uptrend Argument) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 130.00 USD
* Entry At 151.00 USD
* Take Profit At 184.00 USD
* (Uptrend Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
SPY/S&P500: in the mid-term resistance zonePrice has approached the upper border of the mid-term resistance zone: 598-612.
Until price closes bellow 612, I am preparing for the start of a correction to mid-term support: 564-540.
If price moves confidently above 612, than next resistance target is at 635 level.
The macro-structure of the uptrend from 2022 lows is well intact until price holds above 540 level and assumes higher targets for 2025 at 635-640-670 levels.
I wish everyone Merry Christmas and successful and profitable 2025!
Thank you for your attention.
JUP in Danger: Are We in for a Crash?JUP has been on a four-day downtrend, and it's starting to show its bearish side. The token has lost its yearly open, which was a major support level. Let’s break down the key support and resistance to see what the chart is telling us.
Support & Resistance
Resistance:
Yearly Open & Monthly Level: JUP has dropped below the yearly open at $0.8169 and the monthly level at $0.7427
Support:
Long-Term Range & Liquidity: JUP has been trading within a range for over 300 days, with a significant amount of liquidity below the low at $0.6328 from 5 July 2024.
POC: The volume profile shows the POC sitting at around $0.5, marking an attractive entry point for a long position.
Fibonacci Confluence: The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level falls just below the key low at $0.431 (a level last seen on 12 February 2024), offering a great long trade setup.
Long Trade Opportunity:
Alarms are set, let's see if JUP drops to these key support levels. If it does, we could have a solid long setup on our hands.
[EL Gold] Potential Breakout (Short strategy)In last week, we saw the price action shows relatively small fluctuations with frequent pullbacks, indicating a range-bound movement in the short term.
There are multiple instances of price testing resistance and support levels, suggesting a possible consolidation phase. Momentum appears to be neutral, with no clear trend dominance.
However, I would say the gold price will breakout this week. Below is our opportunity!
I have shared the long scenario in another post. pleas check my profile.
📉 Bearish Breakout Strategy
🚨 Scenario: If price breaks below $2,894 (Fibo 0.5) with strong momentum
🔸 Entry Rules:
Sell when price closes below $2,894 (Fibo 0.5) with a strong bearish candle
🎯 Targets for Bearish Breakout:
1️⃣ $2,880 - $2,882 (Fibo 0.382 at $2,879)
2️⃣ $2,860 - $2,865 (previous support zone)
3️⃣ $2,845 - $2,850 (strong downside extension if momentum continues)
🛑 Stop Loss:
Above $2,900 - $2,902 (previous support-turned-resistance)
Tighter SL: $2,898 if scalping
🔹 Additional Confirmation Before Short Entry
✅ Wait for retest: If price breaks below $2,894, a pullback to $2,894 - $2,896 is a better short entry.
✅ Avoid fakeouts: Ensure volume is above average before entering.
[EL Gold] Potential Breakout (Long strategy)In last week, we saw the price action shows relatively small fluctuations with frequent pullbacks, indicating a range-bound movement in the short term.
There are multiple instances of price testing resistance and support levels, suggesting a possible consolidation phase. Momentum appears to be neutral, with no clear trend dominance.
However, I would say the gold price will breakout this week. Below is our opportunity!
📌 Bullish Breakout Strategy (Upside)
🚀 Scenario: If price breaks above $2,930 with strong volume
🔸 Entry Rules:
Buy when price closes above $2,930 (Fibo 0.786) with a strong bullish candle
🎯 Targets for Bullish Breakout:
1️⃣ $2,944 - $2,948 (previous resistance zone)
2️⃣ $2,956 - $2,960 (Fibo 1 at $2,956)
3️⃣ $2,970+ (extension move if momentum is strong)
🛑 Stop Loss:
Below $2,924 (previous resistance-turned-support)
Tight SL: If scalping, $2,926 - $2,928
🔹 Extra Confirmation for Breakouts
✅ Breakout Retest Strategy:
If price breaks $2,930 (up) or $2,906 (down), wait for a retest of the breakout level before entering.
Example: If price breaks above $2,930, wait for a pullback to $2,928 - $2,930, then enter long.
✅ Momentum Confirmation:
RSI above 60 (bullish) or below 40 (bearish) for strong breakout
Volume Spike during breakout
✅ False Breakout Prevention:
Avoid low-volume breakouts → These often fail
If price reverses quickly after breakout, exit early
XAU/USD Correction Setup & Bullish OutlookGold (XAU/USD) has been in a strong uptrend, with bullish momentum pushing prices toward the key $3000 level. However, before continuing higher, a potential correction to at least $2787.20 is expected, offering an ideal buying opportunity.
Key Factors Supporting the Correction:
✅ Overbought Conditions – Current price levels indicate exhaustion, with technical indicators (RSI, MACD) showing possible retracement signals.
✅ Fibonacci & Support Zone – The $2787.20 level aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels, making it a strong demand area.
✅ Liquidity Grab – A deeper correction may be needed to sweep stop losses before resuming the uptrend.
Bullish Confirmation for $3000+ Target:
After reaching $2787.20, a bullish rejection or strong buying pressure could confirm the reversal.
A break above key resistance at $2850-$2900 would signal trend continuation toward $3000 and beyond.
Fundamental factors like inflation, Fed policies, and geopolitical risks will also play a crucial role.
🎯 Trading Plan:
Entry: Looking to buy near $2787.20 if support holds.
Stop-loss: Below $2750 (to avoid deeper correction risks).
Take Profit: $3000 - $3100 (if bullish momentum resumes).
This setup provides a risk-reward opportunity by catching gold at a discounted level before the next major upside move. 🚀
Weekly Watchlist & Market Outlook (#1)Welcome back, guys! I’m Skeptic , and today, I’m breaking down my weekly watchlist with key market setups. Having a structured plan before the trading week starts helps you stay mentally prepared, avoid impulsive trades, and stick to your strategy. So, let’s dive in!
1. XAUUSD (Gold) 🟡
Daily TF:
Gold has maintained a strong major uptrend and recently completed a price correction to 2842.15 (36% Fib) before resuming its upward movement. This signals a potential continuation of the bullish trend.
Trigger (Daily): Break above 2954.24 🔼
4H TF:
Price is currently in a range between 2896 (support) and 2927 (resistance).
Long trigger:Breakout above 2927
Short trigger: Below 2896 (although trading in the trend’s direction is recommended for better R/R).
2. EURJPY 💶
Daily TF: The pair is ranging between 155.551 (support) and 161.166 (resistance).
4H TF:
Long trigger: Breakout above 161.166 📈 (RSI entering overbought territory could add confluence).
Short trigger: Break below 159.291 targeting the range’s bottom.
3. GBPAU D
Daily TF: The key resistance at 2.02396 has been broken, signaling a new uptrend.
4H TF:
Long trigger: Breakout above 2.05139 🔼 for trend continuation.
Short trigger: If 2.02396 fails as support (fake breakout), look for lower TF confirmation.
4. GBPNZD
Daily TF: Similar to GBPAUD, 2.23992 resistance has been broken, and price has pulled back.
4H TF:
Long trigger: Breakout above 2.26565 📈 for continuation.
Short trigger: If 2.23992 fails (fake breakout scenario).
5. AUDNZD
Daily TF:
A strong uptrend was recently broken, potentially signaling a price correction.
4H TF:
Short trigger: Break below 1.10115 🔻 (sign of further downside).
Long trigger: If price reclaims the broken trendline, indicating a fake breakdown.
Final Thoughts 💡
Thanks for following this week’s watchlist! If you have specific pairs or assets you’d like me to analyze, drop them in the comments.
Growing alone may be fast, but in the long run, teamwork wins. Let’s grow together. ❤️
Behind the Buy&Sell Strategy: What It Is and How It WorksWhat is a Buy&Sell Strategy?
A Buy&Sell trading strategy involves buying and selling financial instruments with the goal of profiting from short- or medium-term price fluctuations. Traders who adopt this strategy typically take long positions, aiming for upward profit opportunities. This strategy involves opening only one trade at a time, unlike more complex strategies that may use multiple orders, hedging, or simultaneous long and short positions. Its management is simple, making it suitable for less experienced traders or those who prefer a more controlled approach.
Typical Structure of a Buy&Sell Strategy
A Buy&Sell strategy consists of two key elements:
1) Entry Condition
Entry conditions can be single or multiple, involving the use of one or more technical indicators such as RSI, SMA, EMA, Stochastic, Supertrend, etc.
Classic examples include:
Moving average crossover
Resistance breakout
Entry on RSI oversold conditions
Bullish MACD crossover
Retracement to the 50% or 61.8% Fibonacci levels
Candlestick pattern signals
2) Exit Condition
The most common exit management methods for a long trade in a Buy&Sell strategy fall into three categories:
Take Profit & Stop Loss
Exit based on opposite entry conditions
Percentage on equity
Practical Example of a Buy&Sell Strategy
Entry Condition: Bearish RSI crossover below the 30 level (RSI oversold entry).
Exit Conditions: Take profit, stop loss, or percentage-based exit on the opening price.
Total2 - threatening cycle top. 3W 21 SMAThe total2 is currently losing the trendline that it has held since 2017 for a second time. We were able to push back up through it last year.
Circled in purple are the times in history that the Total2 has came in contact with the 3W 21 SMA and either battled the 3W 21 SMA only to come back down through it...and close candles below it. Every time that this has happened, it has either been a market cycle top leading into a bear market, or the COVID crash...which was coming off of a market cycle bottom...so it is a tad different.
What are we doing in current time? We are losing the 2017 trendline for a second time this cycle, and we are also battling the 3W 21 SMA for a second time this cycle. If we don't have a very strong rally to push us up and out of trouble, then chances are we have a big crash, and perhaps fall into a bear market.
We are coming off of 3W bearish divergence playing out on the RSI and Stoch RSI, and the stoch RSI momentum is pointing downward. The 1W stoch rsi is oversold right now, though. So, price action on a weekly basis is what can save us, but it is looking pretty grim.
Downside targets would be 841B at the .50 fib, and 688-720B at the .618 pocket area.
BTC shortFollowing this pullback, my prediction suggests a further decline with a target at $70,000, marking the first Fibonacci extension level in this sequence. This $70,000 target is particularly significant as it closely aligns with Bitcoin’s previous all-time high of around $69,000, reached in November 2021.
Arkham (ARKM) Disclaimer: All the information and analysis serve only as educational purposes and hence should not be regarded as investment advice.
Here is my thought on the potential weekly price action of Arkham ($ARKM), an intel-to-earn platform on the Ethereum network which focuses on deanonymizing the blockchain and providing access to on-chain data.
Overall, I am expecting the price of Arkham to fluctuate in a sideways consolidation in the range of $0.5-$1 from March 2025 to September 2025 before a potential rally to $7.5 nearing the end of 2025 (expected marketcap by then would be $3.9B).
Invalidation: If a weekly candle closes below $0.4 then the above view will be invalidated and Arkham will turn into bearish.
Technical Analysis of NDQ100: Targets at $22,889.74!Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Index (NDQ100) – 1W Chart
Hello TradingView Community,
I’d like to share my technical analysis of the NDQ100 on the weekly chart, based on historical price movements and Fibonacci retracements. The index is displaying a clear pattern that suggests a continuation of the uptrend following a correction. Here’s my outlook:
1. Upward Move to $22,889.74
The NDQ100 has seen a strong recovery since the low of approximately $5,692.32 (March 2020) and continues to show bullish momentum. Based on the Fibonacci extension (161.8%) from the last major correction (2022), the next significant target is $22,889.74. This level has been tested multiple times as resistance (see chart), and a breakout seems likely given the ongoing demand for tech stocks. The current price action also shows strong support from the 50-week EMA, which acts as a dynamic support level.
2. Correction of -34% to $15,087.06
Once the NDQ100 reaches $22,889.74, I anticipate a healthy correction. Historically, the Nasdaq has often experienced corrections of 30-40% after strong rallies (e.g., -34.17% in 2022). A -34% correction would bring the index down to approximately $15,087.06. This level aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement zone from the 2020-2025 rally and provides a strong support area, coinciding with previous consolidation zones (2023). Additionally, the 200-week EMA lies within this range, reinforcing it as a potential reversal point.
3. Rise of +121% to $32,923.00
Following the correction, I expect a new bullish wave. From $15,087.06, a +121% increase would take the NDQ100 to $32,923.00. This target is based on the Fibonacci extension (261.8%) of the entire uptrend since 2020, as well as historical patterns where the NDQ100 often reaches new all-time highs after corrections. The long-term trendline (marked on the chart) supports this outlook, as does the ongoing strength in the tech sector, driven by innovations in AI, cloud computing, and semiconductors.
Additional Indicators:
RSI (Weekly): The RSI is currently at 73.5, indicating potential overbought conditions. A pullback after reaching $22,889.74 would bring the RSI into a healthier range (around 50) before the next upward move begins.
Volume: Volume has increased during the recent rally, confirming the strength of the uptrend. A decline in volume during the correction would reflect a typical pattern for healthy consolidation.
Conclusion:
The NDQ100 exhibits a bullish long-term setup with an intermediate target at $22,889.74, followed by a -34% correction to $15,087.06. Afterward, I anticipate a strong rise of +121% to $32,923.00. This scenario offers both short-term trading opportunities (during the correction) and long-term investment potential. As always, keep an eye on macroeconomic factors such as interest rates and geopolitical developments, as these can significantly impact the tech sector.
EURUSD Will be in bearish directionHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
#ASCM - Egyptian stock - great opportunity, high financial risk#ASCM time frame 1 DAY
Note : before technical analysis the financial position of the company isn't in the best condition , there isn't any cash flows from operations activity , in anther hand the company work in MINING so that may cost the company lot of expenses and time before achieving any Mining discovery .
We have here a great Gartley Bullish pattern with 2 positive diversions at MACD and RSI in addition the prices in critical point ( stop loss of the pattern ) so :
Entry level at 34.00 ( price now is 32.85 ) so we can wait to close daily over 34.00 or start from this point ( consult your account manager )
Stop loss 32.70 ( estimated loss -4% ) or estimated loss from this point is 0.50 %
First target at 37.50 ( estimated profit around 14% )
Second target 40.70 ( estimated profit around 23% )
Third target 42.70 ( estimated profit 30% )
NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY , it`s may take period up to 3 months to achieve targets , you must study well the Alternative opportunities before invest in this stock .
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
#ASCM - Egyptian stock / 1 hour#ASCM time frame 1 hour
Created 2 Bullish pattern ( Gartley and AB=CD ) ,
Entry level around 32.10
Stop loss 31.50 ( estimated loss -2% )
First target at 34.10 ( estimated profit around 6% )
Second target 35.50( estimated profit around 10% )
Third target 36.30 ( estimated profit 13% )
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck