$BTC Remains Bullish Despite Tariff FearsMarket is panicking over Tariff Wars, but ₿itcoin continues to remain in a bullish uptrend.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC got rejected hard at $104k on the Weekly, and has closed below the 9WMA.
Strong possibility of price trading $94-91k. A range for a few weeks might appear painful, but will give the market time to reset and accumulate all that liquidity for the next leg up.
Price is nowhere close to the 20 or 50WMA, so there’s nothing really to worry about structurally at this point.
The Bull Case is price is closing above the .382 Fib, so we could slingshot up if we get some bullish catalysts next week.
WHEN IN DOUBT, ZOOM OUT.
Fibonacci
Dollar Index - End of January AnalysisJune 2022 was the last time we witnessed a major bullish run reaching into macro imbalances @ 110.
Donald Trump was elected in November 2024 and ever since, we have witnessed a similar run, in which Dollar punished those who were short based on market trend and sentiment at the time.
Many long term traders saw 106 as ‘safe’ price point to place their buystops but the market had other plans… As the algorithm repriced higher upto 106, it became a self fulfilling prophecy where more buy stops were triggered increasing the likelihood of a low resistance liquidity run.
Highs for the month is 110.176
Lows for the month is 107.969
Bearish bias negated if I see a candle body closure above the monthly highs and CE of 6 month sellside imbalance.
Technical Analysis of XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – 4H ChartTechnical Analysis of XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – 4H Chart
1. Review of Last Week’s Trend
Strong Uptrend: Gold prices have been steadily rising over the past week, particularly after breaking the structure (BOS) and confirming bullish pressure.
Breaking Resistance Levels: The price has moved above the equilibrium level and the PDL (Previous Day Low), approaching the premium zone.
Resistance at 2800 - 2820: The red zone (Premium) indicates a strong resistance area where the price has reacted and formed a weak high.
2. Forecast for the Upcoming Week
Possible Price Correction: Since the price has reached a strong resistance level (red zone), a potential pullback may occur. The PDH (Previous Day High) could act as support.
Key Support Levels:
PWH (Previous Week High)
2760 (aligned with the white moving average)
2740 - 2725 (aligned with the green and yellow moving averages)
Two Possible Scenarios for Next Week:
If the price breaks above the 2820 resistance: The uptrend may continue towards 2840 and 2850.
If the price fails to break resistance: A correction towards the mentioned support zones is likely.
3. Impact of News on Gold
Trump’s Policies & Geopolitical Tensions: The U.S. warning to Iran regarding Trump could increase market uncertainty, which generally benefits gold.
Inflation Expectations & Fed Policies: Any signs of potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could further boost gold prices.
Economic Data: The release of U.S. employment and inflation data in the upcoming week could significantly impact gold’s movement.
Conclusion:
✅ The overall trend remains bullish, but a pullback from the 2820-2800 resistance zone is possible.
✅ Key support levels are 2760, 2740, and 2725.
✅ A breakout above 2820 could push prices towards 2850.
✅ Economic and geopolitical news will play a crucial role in price action.
Nasdaq (March 2025) - AI All-Time High Boom!Nasdaq is trailing higher, just as ES and YM are but the market to watchout for is ES. Refer to this weeks analysis of ES to gain a deeper understanding.
Unlike ES where i am targeting all-time highs, I am more fascinated with the midpoint of the highs and open of the 16th Dec 2024 weekly candle as I would like to study how price reacts from this area.
S&P 500 (March 2025) - Expecting Resistance At All-Time HighsA rally to ATH is always a good sight to see but what I don't want to see is a fake out, especially in the higher timeframes like the weekly or daily.
Candlesticks like doji's, shooting stars just above ATH can increase the likelihood of a retracement back down into previous inefficiencies.
For the next two weeks, we all are going to be on a wild ride!
OIL Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
In the oil price chart, we saw the formation of a triangle that has ended and with the price moving upwards and breaking the downtrend line and pullback to it, it has formed a 5-wave pattern, all of its sub-waves have been identified.
The 4 sub-waves of this pattern have been clearly formed and wave 4 has corrected by 61.8% of the Fibonacci.
Now it is the turn of the price to move towards wave 3 or C.
The first target is $82 and the second target is $86.
Be successful and profitable.
BTC-USD 4h chartHello everyone, let's look at the 4H BTC chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price has dropped below the growth trend line, currently it moves in the local cloak of the inheritance tendu in which we are approaching the lower border of the channel.
However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face:
T1 = 99935 $
T2 = 101788 $
Т3 = 104663 $.
T4 = 106743 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 96795 $
SL2 = 93353 $
SL3 = 89041 $
BTC - 1H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, here is an update on the Elliott Wave Count for Bitcoin.
It seems the lower timeframe support area didn't hold and we are going down lower at the moment. As mentioned in the last update, a break of the support area indicated a reset of white Wave 2. In this case the correction might be unfolding as ABC displayed in red here.
The white Wave 2 support area sits between the 0.5 FIB at 97682.3 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 92667.2 USD. The next targets for red Wave C are the 1 to 1 FIB at 97680.0 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 95718.0 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 94523.9 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 92625.3 USD.
For the red Wave C we added a low timeframe count in displayed turquoise.
Technically we could've finished the five Waves but extensions are possible.
If we extend we want to see a Wave 4 now.
The support area for turquoise Wave 4 sits between the 0.236 FIB at 99973.6 USD and the 0.5 FIB at 102056.0 USD. If we touch the 0.618 FIB at 102986.8 USD the Wave 4 gets invalidated and we either have the low in or form a bigger correction.
Alternatively the white Wave 2 could still be in on the 27th January low at 97680.0 USD and the move up was orange Wave A and the sell of orange Wave B and next we would get orange Wave C. This is not the preferer count but we want to make you aware of it. :)
Noteworthy is that the red Wave C targets are perfectly in confluence with the white Wave 2 support area and additionally the 1 to 1 FIB target at 97680 is right on top of the last swing low.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
XRP - 4H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, here is an update of the Elliott Wave Count for XRP.
It seems the lower timeframe support area of white Wave 2 didn't hold and we are going down lower at the moment. As mentioned in the last update, a break of the white Wave 2 support area indicated a reset of blue Wave 2 in an extended correction displayed as red ABC.
The blue Wave 2 support area sits between the 0.5 FIB at 2.7350 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 2.4149 USD. The next target for red Wave C are the 1 to 1 FIB at 2.5130 USD.
For the red Wave C we added a low timeframe count in displayed turquoise.
Technically we could've finished the five Waves but extensions are possible.
If we extend we want to see a Wave 4 soon.
The support area for turquoise Wave 4 sits between the 0.236 FIB at 2.7981 USD and the 0.5 FIB at 2.9212 USD. If we touch the 0.618 FIB at 2.9763 USD the Wave 4 gets invalidated and the low is either in or we get a more complex corrective structure.
After blue Wave 2 finished we want to see a rally in blue Wave 3 which should take us above the previous ATH at 3.5505 USD.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
XRP - 4H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is our update for the 4H Elliott Wave Count!
We dipped into the blue Wave 2 support as we did expect it in our last Analysis.
It seems that for XRP the low of blue Wave 2 is in and we have seen the first impulsive reaction to it displayed as white Wave 1 here. Currently it seems as if we are working on the white Wave 2 in the pink ABC.
White Wave 2 support sit between the 0.5 FIB at 2.9370 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 2.7786 USD.
The correction seems to be unfolding in the pink ABC. Assume that pink Wave B is already in we can calculate targets for pink Wave C which are the 1 to 1 FIB at 2.9280 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 2.8804 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 2.8510 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 2.8034 USD.
After that we expect a rally in white Wave 3 which could take us to a new ATH.
On the chart we also calculate potential targets for the blue Wave 3 which sit at the 1 to 1 FIB at 3.7263 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 3.9788 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 4.1351 USD and the 4.3876 USD.
If we break about the white Wave 2 support we are probably extending the correction and resetting blue Wave 2. Blue Wave 2 support sits between the 0.5 FIB at 2.7992 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 2.4555 USD.
Be aware that we have high impact news later today.
Federal Funds Rate followed by the FOMC statement which can lead to volatility.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
BTC - 4H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, here is our 4H Elliott Wave Count for Bitcoin.
We briefly touched the 0.5 FIB at 97680 USD of our white Wave 2 support area.
It is unclear yet if the low is in but we technically can count a five wave move up on the lower timeframes. If the low is in we expect an impulse to the upside in a five wave move displayed in green here. The green Wave 1 seems to be in and we are working or finished the green Wave 2.
The green Wave 2 support sits between the 0.5 FIB at 100743.2 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 98996.5 USD. After green Wave 2 is in we expect a green Wave 3 which could take us close to the ATH.
It is possible that we get one more dip into the white Wave 2 support area before moving to the upside. But that wouldn't be a big issue as we still got some room.
The white Wave 2 support sits between the 0.5 FIB at 97682.3 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 92667.2 USD. Additionally we put the next or optimal target for the orange Wave Y on the chart which sits at the 1 to 1 FIB at 95594.1 USD.
Noteworthy is that the 1 to 1 FIB at 95594.1 USD of the orange Wave Y sit right on 0.618 FIB at 95613.1 USD of the white Wave 2 support. But technically we reached the minimum target for a orange Wave Y already at the 0.618 FIB at 99377.0 USD.
A break of the 0.786 FIB at 98996.5 USD of the green Wave 2 support area is the first indication that we will reset white Wave 2 lower.
Additionally we added some price targets to the upside which could function as resistances.
These sit at the 1.236 FIB at 112958.8 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 115760.8 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 120391.7 USD.
Be aware that we have high impact news later today.
Federal Funds Rate followed by the FOMC statement which can lead to volatility.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
$SPY February 3, 2025AMEX:SPY February 3, 2025
Weekly
We will consider 2 lows.
218 made in 2020 and 348 made in 2022.
Now for the move 218 to 473 to 362.
100% move for the extension i218 to 473 is 612 levels.
That is nearly achieved around 610 levels.
Now for the extension drawn from 348 to 459 to 409 1.618 extension is around 591.
This is also done.
However, in monthly time frame for the extension 218 to 479 to 348 100% extension is at 620 levels. Which is the next target.
At the moment daily is strong.
We have 9,21 and 50 converging.
100 averages are at 586 levels.
So, if any fall I expect good support around those levels.
60 Minutes.
As written earlier AMEX:SPY in a box.
Gaps, long bars need to be sorted out.
200 hourly is at 596 levels being bottom of box.
So, I will dell only below that.
For the rise 575 to 610.78 50% retracement 593 levels.
AMEX:SPY already attempted once that level and bounced back to 609 levels.
So, for the rise 594.64 to 609.96 holding 599-600 is important for uptrend to continue.
Bitcoin: Full February plan (125K shortly)Since the price of bitcoin broke out of the falling wedge formation and was successfully retested twice, its price action is incredibly bullish right now! We may anticipate higher prices over the next few days and weeks because there isn't anything particularly negative about the price action.
Three powerful levels are visible on the chart, which you can utilize to guide your trading selections. The symmetrical triangle's 0.382 FIB and POC mark the initial level, which is located at 105,544 USDT. Following a breakout, this level will probably be tested soon. This implies that Bitcoin may surge above $110,000, then return to test this level before rising further. 110,342 USD is the second level price. Because it is the 0.618 FIB extension from wave 1 to wave 2, this level is likewise quite powerful.
We can anticipate a liquidity sweep above this swing high and a brief downturn since it is also above the prior all-time high. At 118,109 USDT, the third level is located. We also have a 1:1 FIB extension, and as you may know, Bitcoin responds to this extension rather consistently, so this is another important level. It's among the greatest.
The Elliott Wave analysis shows that the price action is likewise bullish. Impulse wave 3 has begun, and we have just completed the ABC correction with a 1:1 FIB extension. The 1:1 FIB extension may also mark the end of this wave 3, but we must watch for trendlines, chart patterns, and maybe RSI bearish divergence.
For the upcoming days and weeks, this is my main strategy. The other strategy is that the ABC correction (wave 2) may become a WXYXZ triple three corrective wave if it is not finished.
I'll provide you with an analysis if you leave a comment with your altcoin. For more inspiration, please hit boost and follow. If you have a skilled coach, trading is easy! Since there is no stop-loss or profit goal, this is not a trade setup. I keep my trades to myself. Thank you, and best of luck with your transactions!
BITCOIN → The price is getting ready to drop to 100K - 97KBINANCE:BTCUSD is facing strong resistance. The price is being pushed away from the 105-107K zone as much as possible, forming a defense conglomerate. But, this resistance cannot overshadow the global bullish situation yet
A controversial situation is forming on H1-H4: a descending channel and a symmetrical triangle. And everything depends on what part of the market sees which figure. The primary reaction to the triangle support may be accompanied by a rebound, but based on the situation with the resistance, we can assume that the rebound from the triangle will not be deep and the price will try to go down.
If we look at the descending channel, the price is held back from falling by the support at 101.600.
Yes, technically, it is the support of 101.600 that plays the main role now. The main question is whether this level will hold the price or not.
Fundamentally, the situation is debatable, as the situation mainly depends on America, on how Trump and officials will use rhetoric regarding cryptocurrencies. It could be a bubble, a scam to win an election, or empty talk. Or it could be an actual strategy
Resistance levels: 103.4K, 105.8K
Support levels: 101.6K, 99.6K
Emphasis on 101.6. In the short term, I expect a breakdown and price consolidation below the level followed by a drop to 100-97K
BUT! Since there is a symmetrical triangle on the chart, a false breakdown of 101.6 may lead to a small upward bounce before a further fall to 100K
Regards R. Linda!
ETHUSDT 3500$ resistance zone is ready to block and dump itAs we can see price is currently started first moves of fall and correction and i think we can expect more fall and dump at least to the targets like 3000$ and 2500$.
also as i mentioned in the Topic major resistance zone now is 3500$ resistance which is also 0.5% Fibonacci resistance level too and i am looking for a dump now or after testing this resistance zone.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
EUR/USD - Daily Market BreakdownHi all.
This is looking to be a pretty high probability idea for some potential trade setups, let me explain the Breakdown
Daily - Recent MSS, Key level, Over Sold RSI level. Firstly our Key level is a fairly big clue to look for some sort of Market Reversals. We have been in a Bearish movement now for almost 6 Months which also explains the weekly Oversold RSI confirmation. The MSS is also giving us a good confirmation with this strong market structure that we will get a bullish movement from the next Demand zone
4H - Once again with a Key Level we can see a very strong POI of which price is bouncing off now ALTHOUGH I personally do not like this level to buy from, Id like to see the market drop some more and respect the Demand zone after filling Imbalance
Speaking of Imbalance I have marked out 2 TP levels simply being HTF Imbalance areas on the Daily TF.
For a very safe trade Id be looking to take Bullish trade positions after taking out the recent Monthly High marked out.
For Entrys here im using demand zones on the 1H and Id like to see price continue on the Bearish momentum for a little longer before taking out the next Protected High.
Good luck to all the traders that follow this plan
MOCAUSDT: Oversold, Yet Ready to Explode? The Market Decides!Is the Bottom In? MOCAUSDT Flashes Buy Signals!
The crypto market never sleeps, and neither do opportunities. MOCAUSDT is currently hovering at $0.18582, down a staggering 62% from its all-time high of $0.48845 recorded just 39 days ago. But is this decline setting the stage for a major comeback?
Technical indicators suggest we are at a make-or-break moment. The RSI14 is at 33.2, approaching oversold territory, while MFI60 sits at 43.8, indicating potential buying momentum. Moreover, the price is struggling near the 200 MA (0.18844), a critical level that could dictate the next major move.
Interestingly, a series of VSA Buy Patterns have emerged over the past 48 hours, hinting at accumulation by smart money. Will this trigger the much-anticipated breakout, or is another dip inevitable?
One thing is certain—the next move will be decisive. Are you ready to take advantage of it?
MOCAUSDT Roadmap: Smart Money Moves and Key Market Reversals
Understanding the market is all about catching the right waves at the right time. Let’s break down how MOCAUSDT moved recently, which patterns played out, and what traders can learn from these price shifts.
January 29: VSA Buy Pattern 3 – The market showed signs of a manipulation buy, signaling the start of an upward move from $0.17241 to $0.1772. This pattern was validated as price continued rising, confirming the bulls were stepping in.
January 30: Buy Volumes Max → Sell Volumes – A massive buying volume spike from $0.17809 pushed the price up to $0.19745, but sellers quickly took control, leading to a sharp reversal. This switch from buy to sell dominance marked a critical liquidity grab before the next wave.
January 31: VSA Sell Pattern 1 & 3 – A textbook manipulation sell setup, where price hit $0.22752 before retracing. This was the first major rejection confirming that the bullish move had peaked. Following this, VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd appeared at a lower price point, signaling accumulation near $0.20923.
February 1: VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th – Smart money stepped back in, sending the price higher from $0.19388 to $0.19525, reinforcing the long bias. The key takeaway? Every strong dip in this cycle was met with aggressive buybacks.
February 2: VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd – The latest signal showed another attempt at accumulation, with price stabilizing around $0.18867. However, the move lacked the aggressive momentum seen in previous buy setups, meaning traders should watch for confirmations before jumping in.
Conclusion: Reading the Tape
MOCAUSDT has been in a highly reactive accumulation-distribution cycle, where every liquidity grab led to a strong price reaction. The roadmap suggests smart money is accumulating, but not in a rush to push the price up aggressively. For traders, the key levels to watch are whether buyers step in at the recent $0.185 range, or if we see another liquidity grab before the real move.
Are we gearing up for a breakout, or is another shakeout on the horizon? Stay sharp, and trade smart.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
MOCAUSDT is playing the range game, bouncing between key levels. Here’s what traders need to keep on their radar:
Support Levels:
0.17241 – If buyers don’t defend this level, expect it to flip into resistance, trapping late longs.
0.16567 – A critical retest zone; failure to hold means lower bids will get tested.
0.16455 – The last line of defense before deeper corrections.
Resistance Levels:
0.25966 – The first real battle for bulls; if price rejects, expect a fade back into the range.
0.2951 – Major liquidity zone; breaking above could trigger a trend shift.
0.31409 – If bulls clear this, game on for the next leg up.
Powerful Support Levels:
0.2371 – Big money has been watching this level. If it doesn’t hold, sellers will start dictating the trend.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
0.08949 & 0.06603 – Levels that could cap any weak breakouts. If price stalls here, expect consolidation or a fakeout before the next real move.
Trade Logic: If support levels don’t hold, they flip into resistance, and every failed breakout becomes a new short opportunity. The market isn’t giving out free money—trade smart, wait for confirmations, and don’t get caught chasing weak moves.
Trading Strategies Using Rays: Navigating MOCAUSDT Moves with Precision
The market moves in waves, but instead of relying on static levels, we focus on Fibonacci Rays—dynamic price structures that outline the natural rhythm of movements. These rays, based on mathematical and geometric principles, give us a predictive roadmap where price reacts, either bouncing or breaking through.
Key takeaway? Trade after price interacts with a ray and confirms direction. The movement will continue from one ray to the next, forming the key targets of our trade.
Optimistic Scenario: Bulls Take Control
If buyers step in at key Fibonacci ray intersections, we can expect a continuation to higher levels. The first confirmation will be the price breaking above MA200 (0.18844) and staying above.
Entry: Buy after price interacts with a ray at 0.17241, forming a reversal.
First target: 0.2371 – The next ray and powerful support turned resistance.
Second target: 0.25966 – A strong resistance level where a pullback could occur.
Final bullish target: 0.2951 – If momentum stays strong, this is the next major liquidity grab zone.
Pessimistic Scenario: Sellers in Control
If the price fails to hold MA200 (0.18844) and breaks below Fibonacci rays, expect a move lower to the next liquidity zone.
Entry: Sell after rejection at 0.18844 if price fails to reclaim it.
First target: 0.17241 – The closest ray where buyers might step in.
Second target: 0.16567 – If weakness persists, this is the next stop.
Final bearish target: 0.16455 – The ultimate support before deeper losses.
Trade Ideas: Key Setups to Watch
Ray-to-Ray Bullish Breakout: Buy above 0.18844, target 0.2371, stop-loss below 0.17241.
Ray-to-Ray Bearish Breakdown: Sell below 0.18844, target 0.17241, stop-loss above 0.19525.
Range Rebound Trade: Buy near 0.17241, take profits at 0.18844, stop-loss below 0.16567.
Momentum Scalping: If price bounces at 0.2371, buy and target 0.25966, stop-loss below 0.225.
All these setups are backed by VSA rays, which are already plotted on the chart—so stay patient, wait for interaction, and ride the move from ray to ray.
Your Move, Traders! 🚀
That’s the full breakdown—now it’s your turn! Got questions? Drop them right in the comments below, and let’s discuss the best trading setups together.
If you found this analysis useful, hit Boost and save this idea—you’ll want to check back and see how price respects these rays. Trading isn’t about guessing, it’s about understanding key reaction points, and now you have them.
My private strategy automatically plots all rays and levels, making trade setups clear and structured. If you’re interested in using it, shoot me a private message—it’s exclusive, but we can discuss how you can get access.
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