Fibonacci
Pepe USDT Day Trading Idea 1 March 2025Pepe USDT Day Trading Idea
Fib drawn from high to low of the rane were currently in. Obvious rejectioon at 0.5 and forming a Triangle Pattern if you will.
Day idea 1:
Possible 0.236 support with monthly as a backup at that level or S1 at 0.0000748. Trend reversal from suppoort with a possible high between 0.382 and 0.888 or R1 at 0.0000838. If S1 is hit be aware of the monthly being resistance at 0.236.
Day idea 2:
Possible S2 at 0.0000703 which fulfills the larger range Butterfly Gartley depicted in previous post posted here for reference.
For S and R levels I'm using the "Day Trading Booster BY DGT". Great indicator for day trading levels.
BTCUSDT - FIBS 11 March 2025Firstly - look at these fibs! Study them! Look at the levels how well respected they are! Amazing!
Similarly as for ES1 S&P Mini Futures, 0.236 based on Trend Based Fib Extension currently a support.
Trend based fib pulled ABC as depicted in green. Which gives fibs. Currently 0.2336 as previously mentioned as support.
Also at 0.382 speed fan support. 0.236 seems to align with the 0.618 which differs to my analysis on the futures. Depicted in blue how I pulled the levels for the speed fan.
Decending Triangle:
Bullish no doubt, the descending triangle pattern. Seems well respected now at the possible bottom.
Just an idea. Happy trading. :) Using Fibs in this example as a guide.
S&P 500 Mini Futures - FIBS - 11 March 2025 idea can be found here:
Ethereum's Potential Bottom: Could $5000 Be Next?Ethereum has experienced a significant 56% drop over the last 84 days. Has ETH found its bottom, or is more downside ahead? Let's break it down.
🔹 Fibonacci Retracement from October Low (2023) to December High (2024)
Starting with the Fibonacci retracement from the low of $1520.85 on 12th October 2023 to the high of $4109 on 16th December 2024, ETH recently hit the 0.886 Fib retracement at $1815.9 and saw a bounce. This area aligns with the Point of Control (POC) from previous price action, a potential signal that this could be a major support zone.
However, the real question is whether this is the final bottom, or if ETH will retest lower levels.
🔹 Further Fibonacci Retracement Analysis
Next, we take a larger Fibonacci retracement, from the low of $879.8 on 18th June 2022 to the high of $4109. The 0.786 Fib retracement at $1570.85 appears to be a critical support zone, as it also coincides with the POC in the volume profile of the entire market structure. This indicates that the $1570-$1600 region is a significant area of interest for buyers to step in.
🔹 Log Scale Fibonacci Confluence
To further strengthen this analysis, applying the same Fibonacci retracement on a log scale shows the 0.618 Fib retracement at $1585.17, very close to the POC and 0.786 Fib level, reinforcing this region as a major support zone.
🔹 High-Probability Long Setup
If ETH revisits the $1570-$1600 zone, this forms an ideal high-probability long setup with excellent risk/reward potential. A potential R:R ratio of more than 20:1 could materialise if this setup plays out and price targets $5000 as a take-profit level. The stop loss placement will determine the exact risk-to-reward, but the reward could be massive if this level holds.
💬 What are your thoughts? Will Ethereum find its bottom around these key levels? Excited to see how this develops! 🚀
S&P 500 Mini Futures - FIBS - 11 March 2025Firstly - look at these fibs! Study them! Look at the levels how well respected they are! Amazing!
So, for some reason, playing around in the past. DXY and Stocks 0.236 is the majic number.
Having said that. Not for certain and only posting as an idea. Trend based fib pulled ABC as depicted in green. Which gives fibs. Currently 0.382 support. Not sure if were yet going to hit 0.236. If we do it's pointing to around June/July upswing.
Anyway, also at 0.382 speed fan support. 0.236 seems to align with the 0.75. Depicted in blue how I pulled the levels for the speed fan.
Similar BTC ideas can be found here:
Just an idea. Happy trading. :) Using Fibs in this example as a guide.
BTC Trend Based Fib Extension Levels & Descending Triangle 10/03Old Range Trend Based Fib Extension:
An idea based on previous range when price was at 50k. Notice fib levels from fib extension pulled from A to B to C how the levels were respected.
New Range Trend Based Fib Extension:
New range = Trend Based Fib Extension from Higher High to the range low and then to the lower high. Notice the fibs how they are respected!
Fib Speed Resistance Fan:
Also, pulled out the magic Speed Fan resistance, the old trick from the hat (thanks to Chart Champions). Fib Speed Fan Pull A to Fib Speed Fan Pull B. 0.75 always a massive support! Currently at 0.618 support.
Decending Triangle:
Bullish no doubt, the descending triangle pattern. Seems well respected now at the possible bottom.
Just an idea. Happy trading. :) Using Fibs in this example as a guide.
Just looking at this in hind sight. That bloody 0.382 at the top of both ranges that once lost seems a big one for down side. BUT, seems when reclaimed, its another story! :) (wink wink)!
Solana: Time to Buy or More Pain Ahead?Solana has been in freefall since peaking at nearly $300 on January 19, 2025, dropping a staggering 61% to $115,47 in just 50 days, currently trading at around $119. A support zone for potential reversals.
The big question now: Is this the time to go long, or is more selling pressure ahead? Let’s break it down.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Lost Key Level at $120
Solana lost the key support at $120, turning it into a resistance zone. For bulls to regain control, SOL must reclaim this level with confirmation and increased volume.
Next Key Lows to Watch
Below the current price, the next key liquidity zones are at $110 and $105, where buyers may step in.
Major Support Zone – $104 to $96
If selling continues, we have a strong support zone between $104.14 and $96.96, backed by multiple confluences:
Anchored VWAP Support: Taking the anchored VWAP from the 2023 lows at $8, we find it currently aligning near $100, a key psychological level.
Monthly Order Block: On the monthly timeframe, an order block sits right at $100 mark, reinforcing this level as strong support.
2024 Yearly Open: The yearly open from 2024 is at $101.72, adding another layer of confluence.
0.666 Fibonacci Retracement: Measuring from $8 to the all-time high of $295.83, the 0.666 Fib retracement is at $104.14, further strengthening this support zone.
Liquidity Pools: There's a lot of liquidity around the $100 area
Fib Speed Fan Support: The 0.7 Fib speed fan also aligns perfectly with this support zone.
Conclusion: The $104–$97 range becomes a high-probability long entry zone with minimal risk.
Long Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $118 – $97
Stop Loss: Below $95
Take Profit Target: $135
Average Entry: $105 (DCA)
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): a solid 3:1 or better
Strategy & Execution
With SOL already down over 60%, scaling into a long position makes sense. Here's how to do it the right way:
1️⃣ DCA Strategy – Instead of going all in, scale in gradually within the $118–$97 range for a better average entry.
2️⃣ Volume & Price Action – Watch for a spike in volume and bullish price action before adding to the position.
3️⃣ Psychological Level Play – There are likely many buy orders around $100, meaning a bounce before hitting lower support is possible.
Stay tuned for updates as this trade unfolds! 🚀
A New(Exhausting?) HighAfter the November/December high it had looked like a coming correction.
But then the February saw the price bounce back towards a new high,
As the price had not been corrected for 10 months this may bee seen as an exhausting spike.
The market is long and no new players may come in. The spike may have exhausted and a profit taking may set in within the next few weeks.
$NAS100 may settle around 17300 @ 0.382 Fib Retracement PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is already in the correction territory with down more than 10%. If this bear market holds grip, then we might get into the bear market territory with 20% or more correction. This might be coincidental. Let’s get to the numbers behind this reasoning.
The lows on Aug 5th carry trade set back was 17300.
The Trump 1.0 tariff also send the PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 down by 23% before the market started a meaningful bounce. If we have a 23% drawdown from the top of PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 then we will be back @ 17300.
If you plot the upward sloping Fib retracement levels on PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 which we discussed in this blog on 01 March when I sounded bearish predicting a 10% downturn in the near term. Link here. The 0.382 Fib retracement level in this long term upward sloping channel lies around 17300.
Tell me coincidence but all these 3 indicators align at 17300. Will the PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 settle at 17300 before this bear market correction is done and dusted? No one knows.
Buy PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 from here till 17300.
XLM Crashes Below Key Support – Is a Reversal Near?XLM has broken its previous low, raising the question: where is the next major support zone? To determine this, we will focus on fibonacci, moving averages, and order blocks to find a high-probability bounce area for a potential long position.
🔍 Fibonacci Retracement – Locating the Next Support Level
Using the Fibonacci retracement tool from the low at $0.0757 to the high at $0.6374:
0.618 Fib Retracement → $0.2903 (Already Lost) ❌ Current Price: $0.248
Next Major Fib Level – 0.786 Retracement at $0.1959
Since the 0.786 Fib level is a key retracement point, we need further confluence factors to confirm its strength as a potential support zone.
🔗 Confluence Factors Strengthening the Support Zone ($0.1959 – $0.17179)
1:1 Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension
High: $0.6374
A: $0.3179
B: $0.515
1:1 extension aligns at $0.1902 → Strong confirmation near 0.786 Fib retracement ✅
Wave A-B Fibonacci Extension
1.618 Fib extension from wave A to B is at $0.1875 → Aligns with the 1:1 trend-based extension ✅
Daily Support Level at $0.1962
Sits almost exactly at the 0.786 retracement ($0.1959) ✅
21 EMA & 21 SMA for Moving Average Support
21 EMA at $0.20338
21 SMA at $0.17187
Order Block Between $0.2208 – $0.1964
Demand area aligns with the major support zone ✅
Key Takeaway:
A high-probability support zone is now identified between $0.1959 and $0.17179, with multiple confluences suggesting a strong potential bounce.
Trade Plan – Scaling Into a Long Position
Given the strong confluence at the support zone, the best approach is scaling into a long trade.
DCA Entry Strategy:
Start scaling in at $0.22, as an order block exists between $0.2208 – $0.1964
Main focus remains on the support zone ($0.1959 – $0.17179)
Stop Loss:
Below the 21 SMA ($0.17187) for invalidation
Take Profit Levels for Optimal R:R:
First TP at $0.25 → Resistance area
Next TP at $0.30 → Strong psychological & resistance level
R:R Approximation:
2:1 R:R for first TP ($0.25)
3:1+ R:R if targeting $0.30
High-Probability Support Zone Identified
✔ Multiple confluences confirm a strong support zone at $0.1959 – $0.17179
✔ Scaling into a long from $0.22 to $0.17179, with stop loss below the 21 SMA ($0.17187)
✔ Take profit levels set at $0.25 & $0.30 for a solid R:R trade
Alternative bullish scenario: A reclaim of lost key low at $2526 with rising volume could signal a long opportunity, only on confirmation.
💬 Will XLM bounce from this key support? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀🔥
The gold long position is trapped, how to save yourself?Bros, gold suddenly continued to fall to the area around 2880. Are you afraid and scared about this?
I would like to ask if your long position is trapped? Brother, I can tell you loudly that I now hold a lot of long positions, and the average price is around 2893. Do you think I will worry about my long position? I am confident to tell you that I am not worried about my long position being trapped at all.
Although the continued decline of gold to around 2880 exceeded my expectations, gold is still in a long structure as a whole. The current decline of gold is only to cooperate with the recent low of 2832 to complete the construction of an effective "W" bottom structure, so I think gold will only fall back to the 2880-2870 zone at the lowest. So I think this is just the last decline of gold. Then gold will stop falling and rebound in the 2880-2870 zone, and is expected to hit 2930, or even around 2950.
Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
Will BTC drop to further supports?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. When we enter the one-day interval, we can see how the BTC price is moving under the local downtrend line. What's more, we can see here how we broke the uptrend line at the bottom, but we are still above the main uptrend line.
Currently, we can see how the price is based on support at $ 79,339, but if we leave this support at the bottom, we still have strong support at $ 72,294, which is located at the golden FIB point 0.618, under it we can see the main trend line passing and then support at $ 62,217.
Looking the other way, in a situation when the trend reverses, we can expect resistance at $ 85,562, then resistance is visible at $ 90,843, the next significant resistance is at $ 97,888, behind which we already have a very strong resistance zone from $ 103,060 to $ 109,481.
On the MACD indicator, we can observe the continuation of the ongoing downward trend, in which at the moment there is no signal for the price to return. However, it is worth looking at the EMA Cross 50/200 indicator here, which, despite a strong decline, still maintains an upward trend, which may have a positive impact on the price in the coming weeks.
Short term bearish Daily - 03/10/25
Broke and closed under 50MA; seems bearish.
Trend: From 13.98 to 66.91. (Overnight trading price touched $40.00.)
Gaps: There are gaps that may need to be filled between 25.31 - 34.20.
Potential Buy Area: If the price tests and rejects 34.20, it could present a buying opportunity.
Indicators: Use RSI and MACD to confirm that buyers are in control. If the price breaks & Rejects 34.20, we’ll most likely see it drop to 25.31 and close those gaps before we make our way back up for earnings.
Disclaimer: This is not investment advice; invest at your own risk.
S&P 500 Wave Analysis – 10 March 2025
- S&P 500 index broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 5600.00
S&P 500 index recently broke the support zone between the support levels 5775.00 (monthly low from January) and 5690.00 (strong support from October and November).
These support levels coincided with the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels of the earlier upward impulse from September.
S&P 500 index can be expected to fall to the next support level 5600.00 (target price for the completion of the active short-term impulse wave (i)).
DXY Breakdown: Major Support in Play or More Downside Ahead?Welcome back, guys! 👋
I'm Skeptic , and let's kick off the week with a unique and exciting analysis of DXY.
🔍 Daily Time Frame Analysis
Starting with the daily time frame, DXY recently hit a significant peak at 109.655 , followed by a sharp decline, breaking below the critical support zone at 107.405 . This breakdown resulted in forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish structure. Afterward, DXY retraced sharply to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of its major uptrend, signaling a potential corrective phase.
Although the sentiment remains bearish for now, we must consider the possibility of a price reversal from this crucial support zone.
⏳ 4H Time Frame Analysis
Now, moving to the 4-hour time frame, as discussed in the previous analysis, we anticipated a breakdown of 104.235 , which indeed played out, hitting our target of 103.398 . Currently, the 104.235 level serves as a 4H resistance, while 103.303 acts as a daily support.
These two levels form our main triggers:
💚 Long Trigger: Above 104.259 (confirming a potential reversal)
🔴 Short Trigger: Below 103.303 (aligned with the short-term downtrend)
The short trigger has a higher win rate and risk-to-reward ratio since it aligns with the ongoing bearish trend.
💡 Final Thoughts
Thanks for sticking with me through this analysis! I hope your week ahead is profitable and insightful.
Remember, planning and executing trades with clarity is the key to long-term success.
Catch you on the next breakdown! 🚀
Buy gold aggressively and grab bargains!Bros, I have just clearly pointed out in the last article that gold will continue to rise after repeatedly testing and confirming the support of the 2900-2890 zone. I expect gold to at least test the 2920-2930 area again, and once gold stands above 2920, it will inevitably break through 2930 and even hopefully reach the previous high of 2955 again.
So brothers, gold falling back to the 2900-2890 zone is a good time for us to pick up bargains. I have picked up a lot of bargains in this zone, have you picked them up?
Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
AAL Trade Plan – Strategic Entry & Profit Targets📊Analyzing AAL, potential entry points are identified at $11.8, $11.0, and $10.0, with profit targets at $13, $14.8, and $18. This setup considers both short-term opportunities and longer-term potential, depending on market conditions and individual risk tolerance.
🎯 Strategy:
First profit target: $13 – A reasonable short-term exit if momentum supports a rebound.
Second target: $14.8 – A mid-term level where resistance may be tested.
Final target: $18 – A more extended target, assuming a strong uptrend develops.
This plan allows for flexibility, whether you prefer to secure early gains or hold for potential larger movements. As always, market conditions and external factors should be monitored closely.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research, assess risk carefully, and consult a professional if needed before making investment decisions.