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Fibonacci

USDCAD Wave Analysis – 9 May 2025- USDCAD reversed from support area - Likely to rise to resistance level 1.3980 USDCAD currency pair recently reversed up from the support area between the support level 1.3800 (which has been reversing the price from April), lower daily Bollinger Band and the support trendline of the daily down channel from March. The upward reversal from this support area started the active short-term ABC correction 4. USDCAD can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.3980 (target price for the completion of the active ABC correction 4).
Long
by FxProGlobal
Bitcoin Smashes $103K: Is $150K Just Around the Corner?Bitcoin's Resurgence: Navigating the $100K Breakthrough and What Comes Next In a remarkable display of market resilience, Bitcoin has reclaimed the coveted $100,000 level, just three months after dropping below this significant psychological threshold. The flagship cryptocurrency's powerful comeback has sent shockwaves through financial markets, triggering a massive short squeeze and reigniting debates about Bitcoin's long-term potential. As the asset pushes beyond $103,000 and approaches its previous all-time high, traders and investors are scrambling to position themselves for what many believe could be the next phase of an extraordinary bull cycle. The Historic Reclamation of $100K Bitcoin's journey back to $100,000 represents more than just a numerical milestone—it's a testament to the asset's remarkable resilience in the face of significant headwinds. After briefly touching six-figure territory in early 2025, Bitcoin experienced a substantial correction that saw prices retreat below $90,000, triggering concern among market participants and no shortage of bearish predictions from skeptics. What makes this recovery particularly impressive is the speed with which it occurred. Historically, Bitcoin has often experienced extended consolidation periods after major corrections, sometimes lasting months or even years. The rapid three-month turnaround suggests underlying strength in Bitcoin's market structure that distinguishes this cycle from previous ones. On-chain data reveals fascinating dynamics behind the recovery. Throughout the correction, long-term holders continued accumulating Bitcoin, with wallet addresses holding more than 1 BTC increasing by 5.2% even as prices declined. This pattern of "smart money" accumulation during periods of retail fear often precedes significant upward price movements. The reclamation of $100,000 also coincided with several favorable macro developments, including renewed expectations for central bank easing and diminishing concerns about regulatory crackdowns. These factors, combined with Bitcoin's post-halving supply dynamics, created ideal conditions for a powerful recovery. The Massive Short Squeeze A key accelerant in Bitcoin's surge beyond $100,000 was an extraordinary short squeeze that forced bearish traders to cover their positions at increasingly higher prices. Data from cryptocurrency derivatives platforms reveals that over $850 million in short positions were liquidated during a 72-hour period as Bitcoin broke above key resistance levels. The mechanics of a short squeeze are particularly powerful in cryptocurrency markets due to the prevalence of leverage. Many platforms offer leverage ratios of 10x, 20x, or even higher, meaning relatively small price movements can trigger automatic liquidations. As these liquidations occur, trading algorithms automatically purchase Bitcoin to close the short positions, creating additional upward pressure on prices and potentially triggering more liquidations in a self-reinforcing cycle. What made this particular short squeeze especially impactful was its timing relative to market sentiment. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index had been hovering in "Neutral" to "Fear" territory for weeks, indicating widespread caution among market participants. This cautious positioning resulted in a market structure where relatively few traders were positioned for upside, creating the perfect conditions for a powerful squeeze when momentum shifted. Is $150,000 Now Conservative? In light of Bitcoin's powerful resurgence, price predictions that once seemed ambitious are being reevaluated. Earlier this year, several major financial institutions and research firms issued year-end targets of $150,000 for Bitcoin—forecasts that were met with skepticism by many market observers. Now, with Bitcoin already above $103,000 and demonstrating strong momentum, these once-ambitious targets appear increasingly conservative. Technical analysts point to several factors supporting the case for higher prices. The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI), despite the recent surge, remains below extreme overbought levels that typically signal exhaustion. Additionally, volume profiles show relatively little resistance above the previous all-time high, suggesting potential for rapid advancement if that level is breached. The most bullish analysts have begun floating targets of $170,000 to $200,000 for this cycle, basing their projections on Fibonacci extensions, comparative analysis with previous bull markets, and on-chain metrics indicating strong holder conviction. These projections represent a dramatic shift in market sentiment compared to just a few months ago when many were questioning whether Bitcoin would reclaim $100,000 within the year. Is It Too Late to Buy Bitcoin? As Bitcoin pushes beyond $103,000, the perennial question resurfaces: is it too late to buy Bitcoin? This query, which has appeared at virtually every significant price level in Bitcoin's history, reflects the challenge of evaluating assets in price discovery mode without extensive historical reference points. Historical perspective offers valuable context for addressing this question. Investors who asked whether it was "too late" to buy Bitcoin at $10,000, $20,000, or $50,000 and chose to remain on the sidelines missed substantial returns. However, those who purchased at local tops often endured extended drawdowns before seeing their investments return to profitability. On-chain data provides additional perspective for evaluating current price levels. The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio, which compares Bitcoin's market capitalization to its realized capitalization, currently sits around 2.8—elevated compared to bear market conditions but significantly below the extreme readings above 4.0 that characterized previous market tops. Similarly, the percentage of Bitcoin supply in profit currently stands at approximately 93%, approaching but not yet reaching the 98-99% levels typically seen at cycle peaks. These metrics suggest that while Bitcoin isn't in "bargain" territory, present valuations haven't reached the extreme overvaluation levels that preceded major corrections in previous cycles. Bull Run Warning: Navigating the Path Forward While enthusiasm surrounds Bitcoin's reclamation of $100,000, experienced market participants recognize the importance of maintaining perspective during periods of strong momentum. Several potential warning signs merit attention as traders navigate the current environment. The rapid nature of Bitcoin's ascent to $103,000 has created technically overbought conditions on shorter timeframes, suggesting the potential for near-term consolidation or pullbacks. The daily RSI has reached levels above 80, a zone that has historically preceded at least temporary pauses in uptrends, even during the strongest bull markets. Additionally, funding rates on perpetual futures contracts have reached extremely positive levels, indicating traders are paying significant premiums to maintain long positions. This condition often occurs near local tops as market participants become overly enthusiastic about near-term prospects. Risk management becomes particularly important during such periods of strong momentum. Many professional traders reduce position sizes when volatility increases, recognizing that while potential returns expand during such phases, so do potential drawdowns. Next Price Targets: From $106K to $1M As Bitcoin pushes into record territory, analysts have begun identifying potential targets for the next phase of the bull cycle. The immediate focus remains on the previous all-time high around $106,000, which represents both a psychological and technical resistance level. Beyond this point, limited historical price action creates a potential vacuum that could allow for rapid advancement if bullish momentum continues. Technical analysts have identified several key levels through Fibonacci projections and extension analysis. The 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the previous major correction projects a target around $122,000, while the 2.618 extension suggests potential toward $170,000. These levels represent natural points where the market might experience resistance or consolidation during continued uptrends. More ambitious predictions extend considerably higher. The stock-to-flow model, which relates Bitcoin's scarcity to its market value, suggests potential long-term valuations approaching $1 million per Bitcoin. While such forecasts remain highly speculative, they illustrate the wide range of potential outcomes for this emerging asset class. Support levels are equally important to monitor, particularly for traders managing risk in leveraged positions. The psychological $100,000 level now represents initial support, followed by the $94,000-$96,000 zone where significant buying emerged during the recent advance. The 50-day moving average, currently around $92,000 and rising, provides an additional technical reference point for potential support during pullbacks. Market Sentiment: Fear and Greed Dynamics Market sentiment indicators provide valuable context for understanding Bitcoin's current positioning. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has shifted into the "Greed" zone after spending much of the previous month in "Neutral" territory, reflecting improved market sentiment following Bitcoin's reclamation of $100,000. This transition marks an important psychological shift but also signals increasing risk of overexuberance. Historically, when the index reaches extreme readings in either direction, it has often served as a contrarian indicator. Extreme greed readings have typically occurred near local tops, while extreme fear has often presented buying opportunities. Social media activity metrics reveal a significant increase in Bitcoin-related discussions, with sentiment analysis showing predominantly positive expressions. Google Trends data indicates search interest for "Bitcoin" has reached its highest level since January, suggesting renewed attention from retail participants who typically enter during periods of strong price performance. Institutional sentiment provides a contrasting perspective to retail excitement. Surveys of professional investors indicate a more measured outlook, with many maintaining Bitcoin allocations but expressing concern about near-term volatility and the potential for consolidation after the recent surge. This divergence between institutional caution and retail enthusiasm creates an interesting dynamic that may influence price action in the weeks ahead. Trading Strategies for the Current Environment For traders navigating Bitcoin's volatile price action, adapting strategies to current market conditions is essential. Different approaches suit varying risk tolerances and time horizons, particularly during periods of expanded volatility and strong directional momentum. Trend-following strategies have performed exceptionally well during Bitcoin's recent advance, with systematic approaches based on moving average crossovers or momentum indicators capturing much of the upside movement. These strategies typically involve entering positions when short-term momentum aligns with longer-term trends and using trailing stops to protect profits. Countertrend strategies face greater challenges in the current environment but can still prove effective when applied with appropriate risk parameters. These approaches involve identifying potential exhaustion points where trends might temporarily reverse, typically using oscillators like RSI or Stochastic indicators to identify overbought or oversold conditions. For longer-term investors, dollar-cost averaging continues to demonstrate effectiveness in navigating volatile markets without requiring precise timing decisions. This approach involves regularly purchasing Bitcoin in fixed dollar amounts regardless of price, mathematically ensuring better average entry prices during periods of volatility. Conclusion: Navigating Bitcoin's New Era Bitcoin's resurgence beyond $100,000 represents a significant milestone in cryptocurrency market development, potentially signaling the beginning of the next phase in this remarkable asset's evolution. The speed and magnitude of the recovery from below $90,000 to above $103,000 demonstrates both the volatility inherent in this emerging asset class and the powerful market forces that can drive prices when technical breakouts coincide with favorable fundamental catalysts. For traders and investors, the path forward requires balancing enthusiasm about Bitcoin's demonstrated resilience with pragmatic risk management appropriate for an asset capable of significant price swings in both directions. While the backdrop appears favorable for continued strength, history suggests the journey will include both exhilarating advances and challenging retracements. As market participants position themselves for what may come next, maintaining perspective on both historical precedents and the unique aspects of the current market cycle provides the most sustainable approach to navigating this dynamic landscape. Bitcoin's breakthrough beyond $100,000 creates both opportunity and risk—the traders who successfully balance these competing forces while maintaining disciplined execution will likely find the greatest success in capturing the potential of this extraordinary market. The question is no longer whether Bitcoin can reach $100,000, but rather how far beyond this once-unimaginable milestone the current cycle might extend. For an asset that began trading at fractions of a penny, the reclamation of six-figure territory serves as a powerful reminder of cryptocurrency's capacity to challenge conventional financial assumptions and create paradigm-shifting returns for those willing to embrace both its potential and its risks.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Watching ETHBTC for a Double Bottom (Hidden Bullish Divergence)Introduction We are in the initial stages of seeing if ETH can set a "higher low" double bottom on the monthly chart. The first low was set September 2019 so this has been a multi year pattern. It might be playing out over several crpyot cycles to completion. Simple Price Analysis For a valid double bottom we want the lows within 10% of each other. The first low is about 8% below this second low so we are definitely within tolerance. We can also see that price is currently bouncing off top of the previous monthly bottoming structure until price moved to between the 0.618 level and created a double top (which I covered extensively in the linked idea. In the chart below we can see a similar pattern with bitcoin after the C19 crash. The low wasn't textbook, the first low being 18% lower than the second low. Thats fine. The most important think is that price set a higher low. Targeting off the fib draw is still the same. Looking for the 1.618 level. So I am watching to see eth hit a 27x against bitcoin from here Indicators Normal Divergence (Trend Reversal) Bearish: Higher highs on price action but lower highs on the indicator Bullish: Lower lows on price action but higher lows on the indicator Hidden (Trend Continuation) Bearish: Lower high on the price action and higher highs on the indicator Bullish: Higher low on the price action and a lower low on the indicator If you look at the primer we are looking for the main trend to continue. And that is up. Battle Plan In my linked idea I made it clear I was staying out of eth until I saw bullish divergence. Not just eth, but everything in the eth ecosystem. Now EHTBC provisionally bullish its time to look at the ETH ecosystem again. While ETHBTC looked bearish I didn't even bother to analyze tokens against eth, only BTC. Now I am going to be analyzing coins bullishness against eth. If I don't think it will outperform eth I don't buy it. And generally, I hope to be buying bull backs. Here is a great opportunity for a SUI buy when compared against eth on the 4h chart. Wish me luck. Linked Idea
Long
by This_Guhy
13
Chainlink (LINK) Update (12H) – Bullish Structure StrengthensIn our previous analysis, I outlined multiple technical reasons suggesting that LINK was preparing for a major bullish phase. Since then, LINK has surged over 25% from the level I initially highlighted. Upon reassessing the chart from a broader perspective, I’ve identified a reversed Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the higher timeframes — a classic bullish reversal signal. This has also prompted a revision of the Elliott Wave count on the macro structure. Updated Technical Insights: Wave Count: LINK is currently in Wave 3 of a larger bullish impulse, based on Elliott Wave Theory. Breakout Confirmation: The neckline of the reversed Head and Shoulders pattern is being breached, which aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension — a typical target zone for Wave 3. If you entered based on the prior setup, you’re likely sitting on a 20–25% gain even on a 1x position. There’s no need to add or chase the price at this point — the optimal move is to secure profits by moving stop-loss to break-even and continue managing your position with discipline. Updated Target: The mid-term projection for LINK now stands around the $25 mark. — Thanks for reading.
Long
by vs_sayin
BTC/USD – 4H Quick AnalysisBTC just broke above the bearish OTE zone from the major retracement between 109K and 74K, confirming a strong bullish breakout. 📈 This aggressive move has shifted the market structure firmly to the upside, with momentum clearly in favor of buyers. 🔎 If we extend the Fibonacci levels from this breakout, the next major targets could be around the 130K region and potentially higher, assuming the current momentum holds. 💥 This breakout also indicates that liquidity has been reclaimed without a deep pullback, suggesting that buyers are confidently stepping in without waiting for lower prices. ⚠️ Key observations: No significant liquidity sweep below recent lows before the breakout – a sign of aggressive buying. Strong rejection of the FVG 4H, now acting as support if retested. Clear break of the bearish OTE, removing a major supply level from the market structure. 👉 As long as the price holds above 100K, the path to 130K+ seems increasingly likely, with minimal resistance in the way.
VANTAGE:BTCUSDLong
by BenMcyInsights
2
BTC Dominance Rejected Perfectly at 65.48%CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D Hi everyone, In my previous idea, I highlighted the 65.48% level as a key resistance — and today, we’ve seen a sharp and clean rejection right from that zone. The reaction aligns perfectly with the levels and path I mapped out earlier, reinforcing the idea that BTC Dominance may be topping out. This update confirms the original thesis. No need to overcomplicate — the plan is in motion, and unless the structure changes significantly, the outlook remains the same. Best regards, Stealth
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by SteaIth
TRUMPUSDT – Daily Technical AnalysisTRUMPUSDT – Daily Technical Analysis The price has reached a key daily support level at $10, showing potential signs of a bullish reversal. If the support holds, we may see a move toward the resistance area around $14, offering a decent upside opportunity. In a more bearish scenario, the price could extend its correction to the $9 support zone, which may serve as a stronger foundation for the next upward impulse. 🟢 Key Support Levels: $10 (daily), $9 (secondary support) 🔴 Resistance Zone: $14 Stay tuned for more technical insights and updates.
Long
by karaco2022
Bitcoin – Price Hits $100K, Will It Hold or Dive Into Demand?Bitcoin has officially reached the long-anticipated $100,000 mark, sweeping the psychological round number and clearing out a major pool of liquidity sitting just above it. This move came off the back of a sharp and impulsive leg, likely fueled by both spot demand and late-stage FOMO-driven breakout longs. At the same time, short liquidations added fuel to the upside, pushing price rapidly through thin areas on the volume profile. This type of vertical movement typically doesn’t last long without some form of corrective structure, and now that the $100K level has been tagged and liquidity taken, we can reasonably expect a period of cooling off, either through time-based consolidation or a more price-based retracement. Consolidation Structure The move up left behind two significant fair value gaps (FVGs) on the 4H chart. The first sits just beneath current price and represents the immediate imbalance created by the impulsive breakout candle. This is the shallowest inefficiency and would be the first area to watch for a potential short-term reaction. The second FVG lies deeper and overlaps perfectly with the 0.618 to 0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, the golden pocket. This deeper zone is structurally more important, not only because it aligns with the golden pocket ratio but also due to its proximity to the high-volume node clearly visible on the Volume Profile (VRVP). Below this zone, there’s a strong base of support built from the previous consolidation area, making it a prime candidate for a bounce if tested. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios Scenario 1: In the bullish continuation case, Bitcoin retraces slightly to fill the shallow FVG just beneath $99K. A clean reaction there, especially if backed by strong volume and low timeframe bullish structure, could lead to a resumption of the trend with a fresh leg upward. This scenario assumes that the current breakout is being respected by the market and that participants are eager to front-run deeper entries. If this plays out, we’d expect a relatively quick reclaim of $100K, potentially building a new higher-low formation before continuing into uncharted territory above $102K. Scenario 2: The second and more complex scenario involves a deeper retracement toward the lower FVG and golden pocket, between roughly $96.2K and $95.2K. This would constitute a cleaner reset of the recent move and allow the market to shake out weak longs who entered during the euphoric breakout. It also opens the door for a possible inducement setup, drawing in early sellers only to reverse at a key confluence zone. The golden pocket, combined with the high-volume node just below, makes this a high-probability demand zone. If we see bullish SFPs, displacement candles, or lower timeframe market structure shifts from there, it would be a strong long entry zone for a reattempt at the highs. Price Target and Expectations If Scenario 1 plays out, we can expect price to reclaim the $100K level fairly quickly, with upside potential toward $102K to $103K in the near term. The risk here is limited, given the shallowness of the retracement, but continuation would likely be more gradual and grindy due to the lack of a proper reset. If Scenario 2 plays out, the bounce from the golden pocket could produce a much healthier structure for further upside, and in that case, targets beyond $104K become more viable. The lower retracement would offer a better R/R and allow the market to rebuild momentum organically. Current Stance Right now, we remain bullish on the higher timeframes, but recognize the need for a local correction. We’re not interested in chasing the breakout blindly, the move has already cleared a major liquidity level and needs to rebalance before any sustainable continuation. We’re watching both FVGs closely. If the first one fills and holds, we’ll look for signs of strength and continuation. But if price breaks deeper, we’ll shift our focus to the golden pocket and bottom FVG as the more attractive long entry. Below that, the VRVP shows thick support, so our bias remains bullish unless we get a confirmed breakdown beneath that base. Conclusion Bitcoin has done its job in tagging $100K and clearing the obvious liquidity pool above. What comes next is all about how the market digests that move. Either we get a shallow retracement into the first imbalance and continue higher from there, or we go deeper into the golden pocket and establish a more meaningful base. Both scenarios still lean bullish, the key is patience and waiting for the right structure to develop. There’s no need to force entries here. Let price come to your levels, wait for confirmation, and take the trade when the setup aligns. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
54
EUR/USD — Smart Money Concept (SMC) AnalysisStrategy Framework: SMC (CHOCH, POI, Supply/Demand Zones) --- Key Concepts on Chart CHOCH (Change of Character) Confirmed bullish CHOCH from higher timeframe demand zone (orange). Signals intent of bullish reversal. ✅ Strong Demand Zone (Yellow Box) H4 demand zone holds — price swept liquidity below recent swing low and respected demand. ✅ Target Supply Zones (Marked in Yellow) 1st target: 1.1450 – 1.1500 2nd target: 1.1550 (High timeframe supply) ✅ Elliott Wave Context Wave (4) completion + bullish impulse toward Wave (5) continuation possible — aligning with SMC bias. Entry Idea: > Long after confirmed CHOCH & mitigation of minor demand zone (~1.1240 – 1.1260) Target 1: > 1.1420–1.1450 Supply Zone Target 2: > 1.1500–1.1550 Higher Supply Zone Invalidation (Stop Loss): > Below major demand (
Long
by Greenfireforex
XPEV: Setting Up for a Breakout Consistent high/mid double-digit quarterly sales and earnings growth, along with high annual EPS growth estimates. Weekly volume indicates substantial institutional accumulation. Price has been tightening around the 10-week moving average on decreasing volume, with tight weekly closes (a good sign of accumulation) As long as the price holds above the April 21 lows, I anticipate at least a mid-term bounce in the coming weeks. Or, potentially, a start of a new macro uptrend to retest 2021 highs. Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
NYSE:XPEVLong
by artemfedorov
2
[ TimeLine ] Gold 5-6 May 2025📅 Today is Friday, May 2, 2025 📌 Upcoming Signal Dates: May 5, 2025 (Monday) or May 5 & 6, 2025 (Monday & Tuesday) 🧠 Trading Plan & Notes: ✅ Gold has undergone a significant reversal of over 2000 pips, from its ATH of 3500 down to 3200 ⚠️ If the upcoming Hi-Lo range is wide, consider reversal entries or setups based on Fibonacci retracement levels ✅ I will personally be trading both signals as part of my research and ongoing strategy ⚠️ If you're risk-averse or uncertain, it’s okay to skip the May 5–6 signals 📋 Execution Plan: 🔹 Wait for the price range from the selected candles to fully form (marked by green lines on the chart) 🔹 Entry will be triggered upon breakout, including a 60-pip buffer 🔹 If SL is hit, cut/switch and double the position on the next valid setup for potential recovery 📉📈 Chart Reference: 🔗 Copy & paste this code into TradingView URL: TV/x/C5zZyXar/
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
Fibonacci Extensions: Mapping Market Psychology Beyond the TrendHello, traders! 💫 Fibonacci numbers have traveled far from ancient Italian math to modern trading charts. In technical analysis, Fibonacci Extensions aren’t just mystical ratios; they’re a structured way to project potential price targets based on crowd psychology and trend continuation. But what are they really, and why do so many traders draw those lines with near-religious fervor? 🧠 A Quick Historical Detour Leonardo Fibonacci introduced the sequence to the West in the 13th century based on patterns he observed in Indian mathematics. The key idea is that each number in the sequence is the sum of the two before it: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21... When you divide specific numbers in the sequence, you get ratios that repeat throughout nature — and, intriguingly, financial markets. These include: 0.618 (the “golden ratio”) 1.618 2.618, and so on. While Fibonacci Retracements look backward to gauge potential pullbacks, Fibonacci Extensions look forward to mapping possible continuation levels after a price move. 📊 Fibonacci Extensions To use Fibonacci Extensions, you need three points: The Start of a Trend (Point A) The End of the Trend or Impulse Move (Point B) A Retracement Low/High Where Price Bounces or Consolidates (Point C) This ABC move applies Fibonacci ratios to project levels beyond point B, helping traders visualize where the price might go if the trend continues. Common Extension Levels Include: 1.272 1.618 (golden ratio) 2.0 2.618 Each level acts as a kind of psychological milestone — not a guarantee, but a place where market participants may take profits, reassess, or react. 🔎 Let’s Take a Real Example: BTC/USDT Weekly It's not that Fibonacci numbers have magical power. The theory is based on self-fulfilling behavior. When enough traders watch the same levels — and act on them — they can influence real outcomes. The chart illustrates how Fibonacci retracement levels can be used to understand the depth and structure of a correction during a bullish cycle. Low (~$4,783) in March 2020 (COVID-19 Сrash) to the High (~$65,834) in November 2021 (Bull Market Peak) From there, the price corrected throughout 2022–2023. Let’s look at what happened at each level — and what it tells us on the graph. 🔍 Why This Matters Your retracement levels aren’t just lines — they mapped the psychology of the market: Investors Testing Conviction at 0.5 Panic at 0.618 Capitulation Near 0.786 — but Without Full Breakdown And Finally: A Rebound in 2023, Leading to New Highs in 2025 This kind of structure is textbook Fibonacci behavior — and is part of why retracement levels remain a core part of institutional technical analysis. ⚖️ Final Thought Fibonacci Extensions are not about telling you where the price will go — they’re about framing where the price might go if the current trend keeps moving. It’s a lens through which to read market psychology, momentum, and expectation. Combined with volume, structure, and broader trend context, they potentially help analysts build a more nuanced market narrative. And maybe Leonardo Fibonacci would have appreciated that his 800-year-old math is still trying to decode modern human emotion, just on candlestick charts.
Education
by WhiteBIT
Start buying goldTechnical aspects: Gold has bottomed out and rebounded after a rapid decline today. It has now stood above 3330. When gold breaks above 3330, it has to some extent broken away from the technical repair structure and began to tend to a bullish pattern in terms of form. Although gold is currently under pressure in the 3350-3360 area, as the center of gravity of gold moves up, the support below has gradually moved up to the 3325-3315 area. So I think there is still room for gold to rise, and it may continue to rebound to the 3345-3365 area. Trading strategy: Consider going long on gold in the 3330-3320 area, TP: 3345-3365
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Has the EUR/USD Uptrend Ended?After trending upward since early 2025 on a weaker dollar, EUR/USD saw a notable pullback this week. For the first time, we can technically say that the uptrend has ended. But what are the reasons? The price dropped below the 1.12640 level, which represents the most recent higher low recorded by the market, and closed the day below it, forming a new low. This signal on the daily timeframe is negative and indicates a trend reversal from bullish to bearish. The 1.14931 level represents potential selling pressure, from which the price may decline after testing it, targeting the 1.12860 level. As for the 1.15734 level, it is considered an important resistance line that keeps the bearish scenario valid. However, if the price rises and records a daily close above it, this would indicate a return to the bullish trend and the failure of the bearish scenario.
by CFI