XAU/USD Short Trade Setup – Bearish Rejection from ResistanceGold is showing **signs of weakness** near the **$2,903 - $2,863** resistance zone, which aligns with the Fibonacci retracement and previous price action. This setup favors a short position, aiming for a deeper retracement.
### 🔹 **Trade Setup:**
- **📍 Entry:** Around **$2,903 - $2,863**, key resistance levels.
- **🛑 Stop Loss:** Above **$2,942**, to avoid false breakouts.
- **🎯 Take Profit Targets:**
- **First TP:** **$2,843** (early support zone)
- **Second TP:** **$2,824** (-0.5 Fibonacci level)
- **Extended TP:** **$2,785** (-1 Fibonacci level for a deeper correction)
### 📊 **Trade Rationale:**
✅ **Key Resistance Zone:** Price is struggling around $2,903 - $2,863, suggesting a potential reversal.
✅ **Fibonacci & Market Structure:** The setup aligns with key retracement levels and past support zones.
✅ **Bearish Confirmation Needed:** Watching for rejection wicks or lower timeframe breakdowns before full commitment.
### ⚠️ **Risk Management:**
- If price **breaks above $2,942** with strong momentum, I will **exit** the trade.
- Monitoring **volume and candlestick patterns** for additional bearish confirmation.
Let’s see how this setup unfolds! 🚀📉
Would you adjust any levels, or does this match your plan? 🤔
Fibonacci
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/20/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 22235.50
- PR Low: 22208.50
- NZ Spread: 60.50
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
12:00 | Crude Oil Inventories
Daily inside bar, stalling en route to ATH
- Holding auction above 22100s interest
- Advertising rotation below previous session low
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 2/20)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 337.21
- Volume: 24K
- Open Int: 295K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -1.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
XAU/USD Technical Analysis 📈 XAU/USD Technical Analysis
🔺 Rising Wedge Formation – Price approaching key resistance!
📉 Potential Retracement Zones:
✅ 2902-2905 – First demand zone for a possible bounce
✅ 2872-2882 – Deeper correction level
✅ 2834-2853 – Stronger support
📊 Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Breakout Above – Bullish continuation 🚀
2️⃣ Pullback to Demand Zones – Before next move 📉
💡 Gold Traders, What's Your Plan?
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #SmartMoney #ForexAnalysis #PriceAction #LiquidityHunt #FXForever
Walt Disney Throwing off a Bullish Constellation. DISABC zigzag complete, then one bounce, and now:\
1.vWAP crossed by 2. engulfing bullish candle
3. signals on VZO/StochRSI
4. cross of MIDAS line
5. Cross of Bolinger Band %PCT
We like to use combinations or pairs of different indicator, as it improves chances. Similarly, every indicator we use looks at every market from completely different perspectives, be it volume, volatility, statistical deviation, price action, stochastics.
Plus on Thermo Fischer. TMOThe last take on TMO brought 7.5% profit in 13 days. It was manly based on Harmonic/RSX OBOS combo signature. The change in the candle stick tendency now might be an earliest of the earliest signs of a pivot. This is a very risky take, given limited evidence: Stoch/RSI cross, vWAP cross, US support and bullish encompassing candle, thus the stop is very tight.
Bounce Off Floor for Pepsico. PEPThis is a second bounce post completion of a fairly obvious downward five wave impulse. Usually, when this happens more than twice, price action turns around and goes the other way. Despite lagging, the VZO/StochRSI combo both produced signals. vWAP and Ehlers Ultimate Smoother are both supportive.
Bounce Off the Bottom for Merck. MRKWe believe a downward impulse (Elliott) is finished and this is somewhat evident by the two candlestick price action. A change in the tone and flavor of candle sticks in momental OBOS area, overstretched VZO/StochRSI combo can be suggestive of a pivot and we believe this to be happening here. If the outlook is wrong then the obvious and tight stop will prevent large losses. Interstingly Ehlers StochRSI already produced a signal and momentum RSX "tipped."
EOS Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 021925Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 0.63/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
POLKADOT Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 021925Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 5.1/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
DASH Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 021925Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 26.3/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Ebay Wave Analysis – 19 February 2025
- Ebay reversed from the support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 70.00
Ebay recently reversed up from the support area between the key support level 67.45 (which has been reversing the price from January), lower daily Bollinger band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from December.
The upward reversal from this support area continues the active minor impulse wave 3, which is a part of the sharp C-wave from last October.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Ebay can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 70.00 (which reversed the price earlier this month).
DCA Play $SOXL | Good R:Rhere are my key observations based 4-hour chart on AMEX:SOXL
Price is in a tight consolidation. must break $28.54 with an abs close to see upside potential.
If rejected, a revisit of $26.35 or lower could happen.
However, this sets us up for a great averaging play
$26.35 is a strong support, meaning price may bounce before reaching $25.57, a logical place to accumulate.
SL @ $23.77 (or close =< .79) a break below 23.80 will mean further downside. (best to confirm with close)
T1 @ $30.00 first aligns with 50% Fib. standard reversal area.
T2 @ $32.70 to gap fill if momentum is persists
Why this works:
no need to predict the exact bottom, nature of cost avg'ing
earlier rebound to $25.57 allows you to maintain exposure
scaling out at $30 and $32.70 locks in profits while allowing more upside
Good risk-reward ratio (~1:2.5 or better)
Risks to consider:
breaks <$23.79, will go lower (possibly retesting $22-$21 range)
If volume remains weak, recovery to $30 may take longer than expected
semiconductors remain somewhat bearish, meaning AMEX:SOXL could lag even if it stabilizes a bit
Watch for volume confirmation on the bounce
Play for T2: In the event that price reclaims $28.54 quickly, consider adding to the position for momentum play to $30.00
Other supporting indicators:
a descending wedge has formed, this occurs after a downtrend where price is making lower highs and lower lows, but the slope of the downward move is narrowing; a bullish signal because it shows sellers losing strength, and a breakout to the upside is likely.
Last Vol was at 43.88M, lots of involvement
Implied Volatility was at 91.45%
β 4.32 : market expects large swings
Put to Call ratio (0.67) indicate to me that there are more calls than puts out, a bullish sentiment for those who aren't familiar with options.
Grind and popThe scene looks set for a long squeeze, likely with repeated lower lows, ultimately forming a spring, resulting in a breakout.
There are many lines on this chart and they are all approximate.
I'm attempting to keep a fluid grasp of the price action, while keeping a long squeeze in mind.
My primary prediction is this:
Price will break to a lower low 3 more times, but the lowest low will not form a new monthly low, staying above 91K before launching up to about 104K.
FTM/USD 8H possible correction?Hello everyone, let's look at the 8H FTM to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has broken out of the local downtrend line, which it is currently moving above.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $0.75
T2 = $0.86
Т3 = $1.02
Т4 = $1.19
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = $0.60
SL2 = $0.49
SL3 = $0.42
SL4 = $0.32
It is worth looking at the RSI indicator, which shows how strongly we have broken out of the upper limit of the range, moreover, here we can see how we have touched the level of 81, at which price rebounds were previously visible.
GOOGL OUTLOOKFor GOOGL, key levels are identified to evaluate market entries and exits. One strategy could be to look for buying opportunities when the price approaches or falls within the 175 to 180 range, capitalizing on potential bounces or technical support. Conversely, taking profits or closing positions might be considered in the sell zone around 188 and 192, where resistance levels could occur. It is crucial to complement these strategies with additional technical analysis and to remain aware of market volatility.
Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves significant risks, and you should consult a financial advisor before making any decisions
Flowserve Corporation Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Flowserve Corporation Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (Continuation Argument)) | Completed Survey
* 012345 Wave Feature & Uptrend Bias | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* HH's & HL's & Channel Mark Up | Subdivision 2
* 0.786 Area Retracement Configuration | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
SOL on the Slide: Is a Bounce from $150 in the Cards?Solana has been in a downtrend for over 30 days after reaching its ATH at $295.83. For the past two weeks, SOL was stuck in a trading range that formed a descending triangle (a bearish pattern) which eventually broke down, confirming the downtrend. Additionally, SOL lost its yearly support level at $189.31. Where is SOL heading next? Let's find out!
Key Support Zone
Our main long opportunity is around the $150 level, where several confluences align:
Fibonacci Levels:
The 0.5 fib retracement of the entire 5-wave structure sits at $151.92.
The 0.786 fib retracement from the 5th wave is at $149.77.
A fib extension 1.618 of the descending triangle is at $148.65, which is very close to the $150 mark.
Volume Profile:
The Point of Control (POC), highlighted by the red horizontal ray, is around $144, adding another layer of support.
Trade Setup
Currently waiting for SOL to reach the support zone between $152 and $144. An alarm is set when price nears these levels for a long opportunity.
APA Corporation Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# APA Corporation Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (Downtrend Argument)) At 32.00 USD | Completed Survey
* 1.618 Area Retracement Configuration | Long Support Invalid | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* 012345 Wave Feature & Short Set Up Execution | Subdivision 2
* 1 Area Retracement Configuration | Reversal Potential & Uptrend Bias | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
Bitcoin - No one is expecting this move! (must see)A lot of people are turning very bearish on Bitcoin, but I don't think it's time to be bearish, the bearish trend is not confirmed at all, and the price of Bitcoin should first touch the long-term major trendline (2017 -> 2021 -> 2025). You want to sell at the touch of the trendline. The second option is to use the Fibonacci extension tool and look for the 1.618 FIB. I did it for you, and the 1.618 FIB is exactly at 122,069 USD.
Bitcoin is currently in the final stage of the bullish cycle that started in 2022 (15,632 USDT) and is predicted to end in 2025 (around 125,000 USDT). This was a pretty good investment, but if you are jumping in right now, you will most likely get hurt in 2025 and 2026. Let's take a look at history to see what we can expect in the next few years.
Bitcoin crashed by 84% (in 2018) and 77% (in 2021). These are the classic bear market crises that Bitcoin experiences every 3–4 years. It's because we have halving events (reducing rewards for miners in BTC) every 4 years from a fundamental perspective. You may know that Bitcoin is highly volatile. History is telling us that in 2025/2026 a huge bear market and crisis are ahead.
From the Elliott wave perspective, we are in the final wave (5). We can expect an ABC correction in 2025/2026 which would bring the price down to 50,000. I bring you very strong technical data that you can use on your trading decisions.
In conclusion, I am currently optimistic about the price of Bitcoin for the next weeks and months. I think Bitcoin will hit 120k to 125k before we experience a major drop or flash crash. It's safe to buy/long Bitcoin, but do not forget to take profit!
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!