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Fibonacci

CADJPY at strong resistance in the Daily chartHistorical context: +60% up since 2020 The CAD/JPY pair has demonstrated a remarkable upward trajectory since March 2020, recording an impressive increase of over 60%. This surge can be partly attributed to Japan's prolonged monetary policy, which maintained negative interest rates while many other countries raised their rates to combat inflation following the pandemic. Recently, the Bank of Japan signalled a significant shift in its monetary policy, indicating its intention to begin raising interest rates. This development has provided a boost to the Japanese Yen. The current pullback represents the sharpest decline observed since the onset of the uptrend in 2020, potentially signalling a change in market direction. This analysis will delve into the recent price action, loss of key support levels, and critical areas to monitor. Technical Perspective: Key Indicators Break Below the 200-Period Moving Average The recent breach below the 200-period moving average signifies a weakening uptrend. This movement suggests a potential reversal in the prevailing direction, accompanied by increasing selling pressure. The 200-period moving average is often regarded as a critical threshold separating bull markets from bear markets, making a drop below this level particularly significant. Accelerating Downward Movement The decline observed between 10 July and 5 August marks the steepest drop in CAD/JPY since 2020. Most notably, this downturn has effectively engulfed all gains made by CAD/JPY over the previous 12 months. The acceleration of this downward movement underscores significant selling interest in the pair. Fibonacci Analysis and Price Structure Following the breakout of the SMA200 on the daily chart, the price has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent downtrend. The 50% level is often viewed as a critical area of interest that can present opportunities aligned with the primary trend. The confluence of the 50% level with the 200-period moving average marks a pivotal point for sellers at this juncture. Possible Sell Scenario Given the breach of the 200-period moving average and the prevailing price structure indicating a potential reversal, a selling opportunity may arise if the pair continues to exhibit weakness. A sell signal could be triggered if the price breaks below the uptrend line on the daily chart (highlighted in black). Initial targets for this sell-off could include the 23.6% Fibonacci level at 105.7, with an extended target around the 103.00 region. A stop loss should be established if the price demonstrates a clear breakout above the range defined by the 50% Fibonacci level and the SMA200 on the daily chart, situated around 111.20. The CAD/JPY pair is beginning to exhibit signs of exhaustion following a prolonged uptrend. The breach below the 200-period moving average and the testing of Fibonacci levels suggest a potential period of correction or reversal ahead. Close monitoring of price action around the 108.229 and 110.258 levels will be crucial in validating any potential short entries. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/8/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 21230.75 - PR Low: 21202.50 - NZ Spread: 63.25 No key scheduled economic events Floating auction in new ATHs - AMP Futures margins restored to normal Session Open Stats (As of 1:55 AM 11/8) - Weekend Gap: -0.13 (filled) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 313.43 - Volume: 22K - Open Int: 270K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024Long
by mv3trader5
GBPUSD Wave Analysis 7 November 2024 - GBPUSD reversed from support level 1.2840 - Likely to rise to resistance level 1.3050 GBPUSD currency pair recently reversed up from the support level 1.2840 (which stopped the previous intermediate correction (A) at the end of October). The upward reversal from the support level 1.2840 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Piercing Line. Given the clear daily uptrend and the strong US dollar sales seen today, GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.3050 (top of the previous minor correction 4).
Long
by FxProGlobal
BTC new ATH what's next?BTC reaches new ATH, but the level around $76,600 is a key place in the four-year cycles lasting for BTC, because from its low in each cycle, it grows less by 5.3 times than in the previous cycle. However, the situation may change with the introduction of ETFs to the market, which changed price movements. If we manage to break out of the $76,600 level, we can see a move towards $83,800, and then the important level is at $89,000. When the price starts to recover, the first important thing for us is the support zone from $73,700 to $70,000, when this zone is broken, the price can quickly return to the level of $66,000, and then the important support is at the price of $59,300. We have also identified a visible upward trend line on which we can currently base critical points in the event of a correction.
Long
by cryptodailyuk
XAUUSD - gold waiting for the Federal Reserve meeting!Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe. In case of an upward correction by the FOMC today, we can see a supply zone and sell within that zone with a suitable risk reward. Donald Trump’s victory in the Tuesday presidential election could alter the economic outlook of the United States and influence the Federal Reserve’s policies in the coming months. Concerns about how much pressure Trump might exert on the U.S. central bank in his second term have resurfaced. In his campaign, Trump has pledged to impose stricter tariffs on America’s trading partners, deport millions of unauthorized immigrants, and extend the tax cuts approved in 2017. If these policies are implemented, they could exert upward pressure on prices, wages, and budget deficits, creating significant challenges for the Federal Reserve. Under these circumstances, the Federal Reserve will face increased obstacles in achieving its 2% inflation target while maintaining employment levels. Furthermore, if Trump continues his pattern of public criticism of Jerome Powell, the Fed chair, the U.S. central bank may find itself under political scrutiny. The Federal Reserve officials have decided to lower interest rates by 25 basis points today, following a half-point reduction in September. The September forecasts indicate another quarter-point cut for December and a full one-percentage-point cut planned for 2025. Following the rate announcement, Powell is likely to address questions in a press conference about the impact of the election on Fed policies. During Trump’s first term, he faced repeated criticism from him, and recently, Trump has criticized Powell for delays in policy decisions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
BITCOIN - There is no second bestThe absolute most favorable scenario for Bitcoin has just occurred, the US elections have finally brought some clean air to the markets, that being said the fact that the United States has officially become a pro-Bitcoin government could bring years of incredible prosperity for the crypto market. Speaking of technical analysis there is not much to say, Bitcoin closed the month above 69k again and right now it is retesting the old ATH, 150k is in play right now
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by MC_Capital_
SUI - PRICE DISCOVERYLet's go back to talking about SUI, but this time without a doubt, as we have seen, the most favorable scenario for the crypto world is occurring, the US elections have caused Bitcoin to enter price discovery, thus making the bullish trend official. In these cases the wisest thing to do is to find those coins that have been stronger than BTC during the cycle and here the choice is quite easy, SUI has performed better than any other L1 this cycle and continues to do so following the trend of BTC, the chart is very similar, there was a breakout entering price discovery months ago, deviation down and then returning again to ATH invalidating the deviation. That said, I am convinced that it will be the best bet for this cycle, I have personally tried the whole ecosystem and it works even better than Solana (the direct competitor for the title of best smart contract platform). In an ideal scenario, it could close this cycle at $50, let's see...
COINBASE:SUIUSDLong
by MC_Capital_
Nifty Bank Index Analysis (30-Minute Chart)Key Observations: 1.Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The chart shows a clear downtrend from around 54,497 to the recent low near 50,279. Key retracement levels include: 23.6% Retracement : Around 53,497, indicating minor resistance. 38.2% Retracement : Near 52,882, a level that has acted as resistance multiple times. 50% Retracement : Around 52,385, which has been retested recently. 78.6% Retracement is seen at 51,180.8, a key level of support. 2.Moving Averages (MA): The 30-minute chart shows price movement interacting with multiple MAs. The 200-period MA is an essential indicator of trend direction and resistance/support. Shorter MAs like the 20 and 50 periods can highlight entry points during trend reversals. 3.Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: 52,389.90 and 53,497.15. Breaking these could signal bullish momentum. Support: 51,195.90 and a lower support at 50,279.50, which marks the recent low. 4.Trendline Channels: The index is moving within a channel, with an upward support trendline. The price respecting these levels might suggest range-bound movement with breakout potential. 3.Volume Analysis: Recent volume spikes align with price testing key resistance levels, hinting at possible rejection or continuation if volume sustains.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by AngshumanSaikia