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Fibonacci

BTC - 4H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is an update for our BTC Elliott Wave count. In the past days we created another low and saw a very impulsive reaction to it which can be very well counted as five Wave move up. We assume that blue Wave 4 has bottomed in the dip below 90k on the 13th January 2025 and that we started blue Wave 5. We assume that the recent move up displayed as white Wave 1 is finished as a five wave move up displayed in green and that we started a retracement in white Wave 2. White Wave 2 support sits between the 0.382 FIB at 99337.8 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 92520.3 USD. After we finish white Wave 2 we can calculate targets for white Wave 3. I'd like to add some comments regarding the count. The recent price action is very bullish which opens us a few doors to different possibilities. I'll make another post for "BTC - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis" where I'll discuss a count in case we get a more direct breakout. I'll link it below as note. Be aware that we get the inauguration of Trump next week and the stock market is closed on Monday which both can have some effect on Crypto. Noteworthy is that the red Wave C only touched the 0.618 FIB at 92815.9 USD which is a rare target but a valid one. If we get an aggressive sell of in the coming days we'd assume that the recent move up was only a reset of the red Wave B but we deem that rather unlikely. Additionally I added the 0.382 FIB at 99337.8 USD to the white Wave 2 support area because the recent price actions was very aggressive and bullish which could mean we only get a shallow retracement. The 0.382 FIB is a rare target for a Wave 2 but a valid and we have seen it in the past in Bitcoin. Thanks for reading. NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Long
by KanashimiBro
XRP - 4H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is our Elliott Wave Analysis for the current XRP chart on the 4H timeframe. Enjoy! :) We assume that we have a blue Wave 1 in and work on a blue Wave 2 of the 5th Wave of a higher timeframe. Blue Wave 2 support sits between the 0.5 FIB at 2.8648 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 2.5587 USD. After blue Wave 2 is in we will look for an impulse to the upside in blue Wave 3. We assume blue Wave 2 is currently ongoing as a WXY displayed in red here. Where we finished Wave W & X and are working on the red Wave Y which is unfolding as an ABC displayed in orange where we are working or finished orange Wave B in the yellow ABCDE triangle. For targets areas we get plenty of confluences around that 2.83 USD to the 2.77 USD area where the 1 to 1 FIB ratio at 2.7972 USD sits. We also got a wick low right above at 2.8277 USD which could provide some liquidity for a bounce. Further support would be at the swing low at 2.7107 USD which sits right in the golden pocket displayed at the green box in our blue Wave 2 support area. And in case we go deep into the support area we have a 1.618 FIB at 2.5447 USD which is in confluence with the 0.786 FIB at 2.5587 USD of our blue Wave 2 support area. That would be a rather deep retracement and we don't want to see a sustained break of the support area. Be aware that a break above the yellow line at 3.2031 USD would be the first indication that we might be going up more directly up or that yellow Wave C of the Elliott Wave Triangle in orange Wave B is resetting. A break above the yellow A Wave at 3.2854 USD would invalide the Elliott Wave Triangle in the yellow ABCDE and indicate that the price is following another count or breaking out to the upside. Thanks for reading. NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Short
by KanashimiBro
Public trade #17 - #JUP price analysis ( Jupiter )Recently, the #JUP coin has been on various “interest lists” a lot. So we will share our OKX:JUPUSDT chart ✅ We will try to bribe #Jupiter for ourselves both in the investment's portfolio, for participation in airdrops, and in copytrading for speculation - as close as possible to the price of $0.75-0.80 ✅ And after that, it will be possible to hold at least $4.50-5 per LSE:JUP _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
5
Blendr Network - Low Cap Gem #14Altseason is upon us, and now is the time to start dollar-cost averaging into your favorite crypto gems. One of our picks for this altseason is Blendr Network - best characterized as an Artificial Intelligence and DePIN project. 🚀 Why? Our altcoin picks are based on the following criteria: High growth potential : Projects with room for exponential gains. Undervalued : Market cap still flying under the radar. Limited CEX listings (for now) : Undiscovered gems poised for exposure. Community-driven momentum : A strong, dedicated community pushing adoption. High risk, high reward : A speculative but calculated play. Partnerships and roadmap promises : Indicators of future expansion and relevance. Potential for major exchange listings : A game-changer that could drive price action. Circulating Supply Ratio : A circulating supply close to 100%, indicating robust tokenomics and minimizing dilution risk. 🌊 Prerequisites for Thrill and Euphoria For low-cap altcoins to thrive, specific market conditions need to align. Here's what we're assuming: Bitcoin follows the 4-year cycle: Maintaining historical trends of market phases. We remain in a crypto bull market: A rising tide lifts all boats. Altseason begins: A period of intense growth and volatility for altcoins. Retail money floods in: Increasing mainstream interest and participation. Global markets are "healthy-ish": No major economic black swans. Monetary policy shifts to QE (quantitative easing): A return to liquidity-friendly environments. 💬 What is your top picks for this altseason? This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before investing.
Long
by arcone
Bitcoin Triangle Breakout! What Next?Looking at the 4h, I anticipated at least ±10% on the breakout, which still might happen although it looks less likely as time passes. It made perfect sense to begin the week with liquidating the long positions. It would either have been the longs or the shorts - someone had to take the hit. I cautiously played both sides and benefitted from a short sell of around 2% marked on chart. Where next? It's either going up, down, or sideways. I'm playing both sides . Redrew a Fib between new high and low then chose my EP, TP and SL. It's still possible to lose with this method. The larger Fib remains in play as I'm not yet convinced price cannot reach my original ±10% despite it seeming unlikely. Once the last candle has passed the triangle I'll retire that idea. This won't stop me looking for setups in the meantime.
by ZorosonD
DOGE/USDT Weekly Chart (Updated)Detailed Analysis of DOGE/USDT Weekly Chart (Updated) DOGE/USDT is currently navigating a critical consolidation phase within Wave 4, as per the Elliott Wave framework. Below is a detailed breakdown of its technical structure, including key levels and momentum indicators. 1. Elliott Wave Count DOGE is in a corrective Wave 4 phase, following a strong impulsive Wave 3, which aligns with the Elliott Wave guidelines: Wave 1 was the initial impulsive move marking the beginning of the trend. Wave 2 retraced deeply but respected key Fibonacci retracement levels, establishing a foundation for Wave 3. Wave 3 was the most extended and powerful wave, as evidenced by a steep rise in price and volume, peaking near $0.523. Wave 4: Currently forming a correction, likely a flat or triangle structure. Typical of Wave 4, the correction is shallow compared to Wave 2, adhering to the guideline of alternation. Consolidating within the 23.6%–50% Fibonacci retracement levels of Wave 3. 2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels Wave 4 correction is respecting Fibonacci retracement levels: 23.6% retracement ($0.31736): Currently acting as a key resistance. 38.2% retracement ($0.24403): A strong support zone for potential reversal and Wave 5 initiation. 50% retracement ($0.19734): A critical level of last-resort support; a breakdown here could invalidate the current Elliott Wave structure. 3. Wave 5 Projection Upon completion of Wave 4, DOGE is expected to begin its final impulsive Wave 5. Probable targets based on Fibonacci extensions: 0.618 extension ($0.89646): Primary target, aligning with typical Wave 5 behavior. 0.786 extension ($1.412): Secondary target, achievable under strong bullish conditions. 1.0 extension ($2.229): A highly optimistic target, representing significant bullish momentum or speculative fervor. Wave 5 is likely to retest the previous Wave 3 peak ($0.523) before advancing to higher Fibonacci extension levels. 4. Volume Analysis Volume behavior reflects the consolidative nature of Wave 4: Volume has declined since the Wave 3 peak, indicating reduced market activity—a common characteristic of corrective waves. A volume breakout above the recent average will serve as a confirmation of the transition from Wave 4 to Wave 5. 5. MACD Indicator The MACD histogram remains in the negative zone but shows signs of shrinking, indicating that bearish momentum is weakening. The MACD lines are approaching a potential bullish crossover: A crossover above the signal line will confirm the start of bullish momentum for Wave 5. 6. RSI (Relative Strength Index) The RSI is currently at 56.79, within the neutral-to-bullish zone: This indicates a lack of extreme momentum but leaves room for further acceleration. A breakout above 70 during Wave 5 would confirm strong bullish momentum. 7. Key Levels to Watch Support Levels: $0.31736 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement): Current resistance; a breakout above this level signals strength. $0.24403 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement): A strong support level where Wave 4 could end. $0.19734 (50% Fibonacci retracement): Last-resort support; breaking below this invalidates the wave structure. Resistance Levels: $0.523 (Wave 3 peak): The first key resistance to break for Wave 5 confirmation. $0.89646 (0.618 extension): Primary target for Wave 5. $1.412 (0.786 extension): Secondary target, indicating extended bullish momentum. 8. Risk and Invalidations Break Below $0.24403: Suggests deeper retracement toward $0.19734. Break Below $0.19734: Invalidates the current Elliott Wave structure, signaling potential further downside. Broader Market Sentiment: DOGE's movement will likely be influenced by the overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, making external factors (e.g., BTC dominance, macroeconomic conditions) crucial to monitor. 9. Confluence Factors for Wave 5 Confirmation A breakout above $0.31736 with high volume. A bullish MACD crossover above the signal line. RSI moving into the 70+ zone, signaling strong upward momentum. Conclusion DOGE/USDT is currently consolidating within a Wave 4 corrective phase, hovering around key Fibonacci retracement levels. If the price respects the $0.24403 support and breaks above $0.31736, it is likely to enter Wave 5, targeting $0.89646 (0.618 extension), with stretch targets at $1.412 (0.786 extension). Risk lies in a break below $0.19734, which would invalidate the wave structure. Let me know if you’d like further analysis or adjustments!
COINBASE:DOGEUSDLong
by WaveFibs
2
Solana faked us out with $TrumpChinas DeepSeek Ai triggered a massive bearish move of over 1000 points on the Nas100 and ensured a crash of 10% on Large Caps before market open. The last time something like this happened was the 29th July Week in 2024 with the Carry Trade. Solana tanked 43% in 7 days. We got the same news week as then. FOMC on Wednesday. With the Ecstasy in the air with Trump in office, I think we could see a classic Sell The News Event. My next target is the Liquidity Pool between 158 and 168 (Can be seen on Coinglass), aligning with 2.618 STDV of the last manipulation leg on the 4h chart, a daily OB and a weekly CISD. Solana broke correlation when Trump released his memecoin $Trump which catapulted Solana to All Time High. Right now, Solana is highly overbought and way to hot with the Memecoin Rugpulling game and being included into the Strategic Crypto Reserve of the USA. I expect a heavy correction before we moon in the next couple of weeks. This week with FOMC could defnietely deliver that. COINBASE:SOLUSD BINANCE:SOLUSDT BINANCE:SOLUSD
Short
by mats42
Ethereum Correction before RallyChinas DeepSeek Ai triggered a massive bearish move of over 1000 points on the Nas100 and ensured a crash of 10% on Large Caps before market open. The last time something like this happened was the 29th July Week in 2024 with the Carry Trade. Ethereum tanked 38% in 3 days. We got the same news week as then. FOMC on Wednesday. With the Ecstasy in the air with Trump in office, I think we could see a classic Sell The News Event. I entered short on 24th Jan. My next target is around 2500 aligning with 1.618 STDV of the manipulation leg. We got a liquidity pool there (which can be seen on Coinglass), a weekly Orderblock and the htf trendline. In my opinion that would be a huge buying opportunity in discount. With the announcement of Bitcoin, XRP and Solana being included into the Strategic Crypto Reserve of the USA, Ethereum highly underperformed. Then Trump buying Ethereum seems like he wants to buy in Discount, then adding Eth to the Reserve aswell. Just a conspiracy tho.
Short
by mats42
Expected Crash; Carry Trade 2.0?Chinas DeepSeek Ai triggered a massive move of over 1000 points on the Nas100 and ensured a NWOG on CME Bitcoin with nearly 4% to the downside. The last time something like this happened was the 29th July Week in 2024 with the Carry Trade. Bitcoin tanked 30% in 7 days. We got the same news week as then. FOMC on Wednesday. With the Ecstasy in the air with Trump in office, I think we could see a classic Sell The News Event with a correction around 30% like last year. That would bring us to an area of 76.000-70.000. That also aligns with 1.618 STDV of the manipulation leg. If we get that in the next few days, we could rally up before summer.
Short
by mats42
Bitcoin TA Alert: Perfect $97K Long Setup Incoming?Bitcoin remains range-bound between $107K and $100K as we approach the weekend. Let’s break down the current key levels and trade setups based on the data available. Support and Long Setup The GETTEX:97K level emerges as a strong support zone for a long trade setup: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to high aligns perfectly at GETTEX:97K The POC (Point of Control) from the 70-day trading range also sits at this level, adding confluence If the price reaches GETTEX:97K by Sunday or Monday, the trendline support will further strengthen this zone A laddered long position can be placed around GETTEX:97K , with: Stop-loss: Below $93K Take Profit: around $113K Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 4:1 - an attractive trade setup Resistance and Short Setup For the short trade setup, the current price around $106K offers an opportunity: Enter a short trade targeting the GETTEX:97K level Stop-loss: Above the all-time high (ATH) at $107K Take Profit (TP): GETTEX:97K R:R: 2:1 - reasonable given the tight risk management
Long
by SiDec
Banner Corp Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Banner Corp Stock Quote - Double Formation * (Continuation Argument)) At 67.00 USD | Subdivision 1 * (Reversal Argument)) | Uptrend Bias & Entry - Triple Formation * 012345 | Wave Count | Subdivision 2 * Not Numbered Retracement | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Buy
CAPITALCOM:BANRLong
by TradePolitics