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Fibonacci

$NAS100 may settle around 17300 @ 0.382 Fib Retracement PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is already in the correction territory with down more than 10%. If this bear market holds grip, then we might get into the bear market territory with 20% or more correction. This might be coincidental. Let’s get to the numbers behind this reasoning. The lows on Aug 5th carry trade set back was 17300. The Trump 1.0 tariff also send the PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 down by 23% before the market started a meaningful bounce. If we have a 23% drawdown from the top of PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 then we will be back @ 17300. If you plot the upward sloping Fib retracement levels on PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 which we discussed in this blog on 01 March when I sounded bearish predicting a 10% downturn in the near term. Link here. The 0.382 Fib retracement level in this long term upward sloping channel lies around 17300. Tell me coincidence but all these 3 indicators align at 17300. Will the PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 settle at 17300 before this bear market correction is done and dusted? No one knows. Buy PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 from here till 17300.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100
by RabishankarBiswal
XLM Crashes Below Key Support – Is a Reversal Near?XLM has broken its previous low, raising the question: where is the next major support zone? To determine this, we will focus on fibonacci, moving averages, and order blocks to find a high-probability bounce area for a potential long position. 🔍 Fibonacci Retracement – Locating the Next Support Level Using the Fibonacci retracement tool from the low at $0.0757 to the high at $0.6374: 0.618 Fib Retracement → $0.2903 (Already Lost) ❌ Current Price: $0.248 Next Major Fib Level – 0.786 Retracement at $0.1959 Since the 0.786 Fib level is a key retracement point, we need further confluence factors to confirm its strength as a potential support zone. 🔗 Confluence Factors Strengthening the Support Zone ($0.1959 – $0.17179) 1:1 Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension High: $0.6374 A: $0.3179 B: $0.515 1:1 extension aligns at $0.1902 → Strong confirmation near 0.786 Fib retracement ✅ Wave A-B Fibonacci Extension 1.618 Fib extension from wave A to B is at $0.1875 → Aligns with the 1:1 trend-based extension ✅ Daily Support Level at $0.1962 Sits almost exactly at the 0.786 retracement ($0.1959) ✅ 21 EMA & 21 SMA for Moving Average Support 21 EMA at $0.20338 21 SMA at $0.17187 Order Block Between $0.2208 – $0.1964 Demand area aligns with the major support zone ✅ Key Takeaway: A high-probability support zone is now identified between $0.1959 and $0.17179, with multiple confluences suggesting a strong potential bounce. Trade Plan – Scaling Into a Long Position Given the strong confluence at the support zone, the best approach is scaling into a long trade. DCA Entry Strategy: Start scaling in at $0.22, as an order block exists between $0.2208 – $0.1964 Main focus remains on the support zone ($0.1959 – $0.17179) Stop Loss: Below the 21 SMA ($0.17187) for invalidation Take Profit Levels for Optimal R:R: First TP at $0.25 → Resistance area Next TP at $0.30 → Strong psychological & resistance level R:R Approximation: 2:1 R:R for first TP ($0.25) 3:1+ R:R if targeting $0.30 High-Probability Support Zone Identified ✔ Multiple confluences confirm a strong support zone at $0.1959 – $0.17179 ✔ Scaling into a long from $0.22 to $0.17179, with stop loss below the 21 SMA ($0.17187) ✔ Take profit levels set at $0.25 & $0.30 for a solid R:R trade Alternative bullish scenario: A reclaim of lost key low at $2526 with rising volume could signal a long opportunity, only on confirmation. 💬 Will XLM bounce from this key support? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀🔥
Long
by SiDec
2
The gold long position is trapped, how to save yourself?Bros, gold suddenly continued to fall to the area around 2880. Are you afraid and scared about this? I would like to ask if your long position is trapped? Brother, I can tell you loudly that I now hold a lot of long positions, and the average price is around 2893. Do you think I will worry about my long position? I am confident to tell you that I am not worried about my long position being trapped at all. Although the continued decline of gold to around 2880 exceeded my expectations, gold is still in a long structure as a whole. The current decline of gold is only to cooperate with the recent low of 2832 to complete the construction of an effective "W" bottom structure, so I think gold will only fall back to the 2880-2870 zone at the lowest. So I think this is just the last decline of gold. Then gold will stop falling and rebound in the 2880-2870 zone, and is expected to hit 2930, or even around 2950. Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
Will BTC drop to further supports?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. When we enter the one-day interval, we can see how the BTC price is moving under the local downtrend line. What's more, we can see here how we broke the uptrend line at the bottom, but we are still above the main uptrend line. Currently, we can see how the price is based on support at $ 79,339, but if we leave this support at the bottom, we still have strong support at $ 72,294, which is located at the golden FIB point 0.618, under it we can see the main trend line passing and then support at $ 62,217. Looking the other way, in a situation when the trend reverses, we can expect resistance at $ 85,562, then resistance is visible at $ 90,843, the next significant resistance is at $ 97,888, behind which we already have a very strong resistance zone from $ 103,060 to $ 109,481. On the MACD indicator, we can observe the continuation of the ongoing downward trend, in which at the moment there is no signal for the price to return. However, it is worth looking at the EMA Cross 50/200 indicator here, which, despite a strong decline, still maintains an upward trend, which may have a positive impact on the price in the coming weeks.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
Short term bearish Daily - 03/10/25 Broke and closed under 50MA; seems bearish. Trend: From 13.98 to 66.91. (Overnight trading price touched $40.00.) Gaps: There are gaps that may need to be filled between 25.31 - 34.20. Potential Buy Area: If the price tests and rejects 34.20, it could present a buying opportunity. Indicators: Use RSI and MACD to confirm that buyers are in control. If the price breaks & Rejects 34.20, we’ll most likely see it drop to 25.31 and close those gaps before we make our way back up for earnings. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice; invest at your own risk.
NASDAQ:HOODShort
by Cthedubs
S&P 500 Wave Analysis – 10 March 2025 - S&P 500 index broke support zone - Likely to fall to support level 5600.00 S&P 500 index recently broke the support zone between the support levels 5775.00 (monthly low from January) and 5690.00 (strong support from October and November). These support levels coincided with the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels of the earlier upward impulse from September. S&P 500 index can be expected to fall to the next support level 5600.00 (target price for the completion of the active short-term impulse wave (i)).
SP:SPXShort
by FxProGlobal
DXY Breakdown: Major Support in Play or More Downside Ahead?Welcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic , and let's kick off the week with a unique and exciting analysis of DXY. 🔍 Daily Time Frame Analysis Starting with the daily time frame, DXY recently hit a significant peak at 109.655 , followed by a sharp decline, breaking below the critical support zone at 107.405 . This breakdown resulted in forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish structure. Afterward, DXY retraced sharply to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of its major uptrend, signaling a potential corrective phase. Although the sentiment remains bearish for now, we must consider the possibility of a price reversal from this crucial support zone. ⏳ 4H Time Frame Analysis Now, moving to the 4-hour time frame, as discussed in the previous analysis, we anticipated a breakdown of 104.235 , which indeed played out, hitting our target of 103.398 . Currently, the 104.235 level serves as a 4H resistance, while 103.303 acts as a daily support. These two levels form our main triggers: 💚 Long Trigger: Above 104.259 (confirming a potential reversal) 🔴 Short Trigger: Below 103.303 (aligned with the short-term downtrend) The short trigger has a higher win rate and risk-to-reward ratio since it aligns with the ongoing bearish trend. 💡 Final Thoughts Thanks for sticking with me through this analysis! I hope your week ahead is profitable and insightful. Remember, planning and executing trades with clarity is the key to long-term success. Catch you on the next breakdown! 🚀
TVC:DXY
by SkepticWise
1
Buy gold aggressively and grab bargains!Bros, I have just clearly pointed out in the last article that gold will continue to rise after repeatedly testing and confirming the support of the 2900-2890 zone. I expect gold to at least test the 2920-2930 area again, and once gold stands above 2920, it will inevitably break through 2930 and even hopefully reach the previous high of 2955 again. So brothers, gold falling back to the 2900-2890 zone is a good time for us to pick up bargains. I have picked up a lot of bargains in this zone, have you picked them up? Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
AAL Trade Plan – Strategic Entry & Profit Targets📊Analyzing AAL, potential entry points are identified at $11.8, $11.0, and $10.0, with profit targets at $13, $14.8, and $18. This setup considers both short-term opportunities and longer-term potential, depending on market conditions and individual risk tolerance. 🎯 Strategy: First profit target: $13 – A reasonable short-term exit if momentum supports a rebound. Second target: $14.8 – A mid-term level where resistance may be tested. Final target: $18 – A more extended target, assuming a strong uptrend develops. This plan allows for flexibility, whether you prefer to secure early gains or hold for potential larger movements. As always, market conditions and external factors should be monitored closely. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research, assess risk carefully, and consult a professional if needed before making investment decisions.
NASDAQ:AALLong
by Robert_V12
ETH → Gearing Up for $10,000!? Or $1,200? Let's Answer.Ethereum finally fell into my buy zone this past week and I was able to buy with an average price of $2,185.18. This is a target I've been watching for months in anticipation. The best part is that it may go lower! How do we trade this? 🤔 ETH has landed on a key support area of $2,100 and is now flirting with falling to the .236 Fib level at $1,800. A final target would be around $1,500 which brings us back into the bear market range. ETH formed a triple top over the course of 2024 and as expected, it pulled back hard with the alt market. Bitcoin Dominance has been in a bull trend since the last cycle and hasn't shown any signs of weakness yet. Currently at 62%, it could jump up to 70% easily. Until it drops, ETH and the alts are going to remain bleeding out. I'm targeting the previous all-time high for a first profit target, around $4,800. Whether I take profits at that level depends on the price action leading up to it. If we get a strong push with strong candle closes leading up to that price, I'll likely hang on. Otherwise, I may take 25% of my position off the table and look for a potential re-entry. Final target price is $6,750, just below the 1.618 Fib level. This level also corresponds with a measured move target if the price attempts $4,000, pulls back to the 3-Year Support, then moves up again. I believe $10,000 ETH is absolutely possible for this run, but given how slumpy the alt market is, I don't see that probability being as high as the previous high of $7,000. This is why I'm taking my profits before that 1.618 Fib level is hit. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: $2,185.18 🟥 Stop Loss: $700 ✅ Take Profit #1: $4,800 ✅ Take Profit #2: $6,750 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. 2024 Triple top led to a retrace down to the 2023 range. 2. First buy at $2,185.18, potential buy at $1,800 and $1,500 3. Stop loss at $700 below the 2022 bear market low 4. Holding the position until the previous all-time high around $4,850 where the first take profit waits. $6,750 is the second take profit just before the 1.618 fib level 5. Weekly RSI is near 34.00 and below the Moving Average. This is a good level to buy. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 Ascending Wedges signal an increased probability of a bear breakout. Combined with three pushes up in a bull trend and strong sell bars (candles with large wicks on their tops), creates conditions where a counter-trend trade is reasonable. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
INDEX:ETHUSDLong
by TraderEngineering
2
Crude Oil: Is There More Downside?Following crude oil’s rebound from its September 2024 low of $65.20, the risk of a reversal remains uncertain amid ongoing bearish pressures. Key Events This Week: Chinese deflation risks OPEC monthly report US CPI data Trade war developments Potential Scenarios: 🔻 Bearish Scenario: A clean break below $65 could extend losses toward $63.80, a key level that may determine whether the market holds neutral and rebounds or breaks further into a steeper bearish trend towards $62, $60, and $55 (the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the 2020–2022 uptrend). 🔺 Bullish Scenario: If the rebound sustains above $67, resistance levels at $68.70, $70.80, and $72.50 could come back into play. - Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
[Opinion] Long position for NQ(NAS100)It is just idea and my view of trend. Based on W and 4H, it is confirmed now we are on downtrend. Now down to 15M, temporarily we are on uptrend for liquidity. Thus, I will take long position 1. Entry: 20159 - 20161 range 2. Stop Loss: 20100 -20070 range (but will trigger stop loss automatically at 20070 in my case). 3. Take Profit: 21000 - 21005 range (but will close all position maximum at 21005 In my case). If everything will happen what I am looking for, I will take short position at 21020 - 21050. Please share your view.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by UVS_FX_Trade
potential NASDAQ bearish reversal in the makingThe Nasdaq appears to be showing signs of a bearish reversal as technical and macroeconomic factors align against further upside. After a strong rally, the index is encountering key resistance, prompting concerns among traders about the sustainability of the recent gains. A pinbar candlestick pattern has emerged, signaling potential downside as buyers fail to sustain momentum. Historically, such formations indicate a rejection of higher prices, often leading to further declines. Additionally, selling pressure on rallies suggests that market participants are taking profits rather than betting on continued strength. From a momentum perspective, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is beginning to roll over, hinting at a potential shift in trend. If this bearish momentum continues, the Nasdaq could face increased selling pressure in the coming sessions. Beyond technicals, fundamental factors are adding to the uncertainty. The announcement of new tariffs under former President Donald Trump’s trade policies is weighing on market sentiment. Moreover, while Federal Reserve rate cuts are traditionally viewed as bullish, historical data suggests that in some cases, they coincide with economic slowdowns, leading to weaker market conditions. Looking at key downside levels, support can be found at 18,400, where buyers might attempt to stabilize the market. A break below this level could accelerate losses toward 16,500, a critical zone where stronger buying interest may emerge. Traders should closely monitor price action and market reactions at these levels. Confirmation of bearish signals and continued weakness in bullish sentiment could pave the way for a more extended correction. Caution is advised, with risk management strategies essential for navigating the potential downturn.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by fwalbaum
1
Bitcoin - Will history repeat itself?In this analysis, we are observing the potential repetition of market history by comparing the current Bitcoin price action to the previous bullrun cycle. By utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, and the current macroeconomic landscape, we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails. Historical Comparison During the last bullrun, Bitcoin experienced significant price appreciation before eventually reaching a new all-time high (ATH). However, one key observation from the previous cycle is that before Bitcoin reached its ATH, the price retraced to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level multiple times. This level acted as a critical support zone, where the price found demand before making the next leg upward. Currently, we are seeing a similar pattern unfolding. Bitcoin has recently experienced a parabolic rise, reminiscent of the previous bull cycle. As the market is showing early signs of exhaustion, the possibility of a deeper retracement towards the 0.618 Fibonacci level (around $50,000) is becoming increasingly plausible. If history repeats itself, this level could act as a springboard for the next significant price increase. Last bullrun we had a 77% drop, and from the current ATH its only a 55% drop to the fib level: Bearish Sentiment and Market Dynamics Despite positive news emerging globally, such as the USA announcing its Bitcoin reserves and other adoption-related headlines, the market has reacted negatively, which is a characteristic of bearish sentiment. This kind of price action aligns with what we saw in previous cycles, where good news failed to provide upward momentum as the market was already in a distribution phase. The fact that Bitcoin has failed to sustain gains even amid positive news further reinforces the likelihood of a deeper retracement. The market is driven by liquidity cycles, and the large players may still be in the process of shaking out retail investors before the next parabolic move. Key Fibonacci Levels to Watch 0.618 Level (~$51,500): Historically tested in the last cycle before the final leg up. 0.65 Level (~$48,500): Another confluence zone that could provide significant support. 0.786 Level (~$36,000 - $40,000): If the market becomes extremely bearish, this level could act as the final capitulation zone before the next macro bullrun. Psychological and Macro Factors Additionally, the broader macroeconomic environment plays a crucial role in this scenario. With ongoing geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and central banks' monetary policies, investors are more risk-averse, which could further contribute to the bearish price action. Historically, Bitcoin has shown strong correlation to traditional markets, especially during uncertain times. If the macroeconomic environment remains unstable, Bitcoin could follow traditional markets into a corrective phase before making a recovery. Daily Chart Imbalance Zones On the daily chart, Bitcoin is currently trading between two key imbalance zones. These zones represent areas of liquidity where the market could either find support or break down further. The current price action suggests that if Bitcoin holds the imbalance zones as support, the market structure will still be intact, leaving the possibility for a continuation of the upward trend. However, if these imbalance zones fail to hold, it would signal a bearish continuation pattern. In this case, the probability of Bitcoin testing the $50,000 level as the next major support becomes highly likely. Traders should closely monitor these zones, as they will play a pivotal role in determining the market’s next major move. Conclusion While no analysis can predict the future with certainty, the confluence of technical, historical, and macroeconomic factors suggests that Bitcoin might follow a similar pattern as the previous bullrun. A retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level around $50,000 is highly plausible before a new ATH is achieved. However, if bearish sentiment continues to dominate, we could see lower levels before the market finds its true bottom. The current price action, coupled with negative market reactions to positive news, is an indication that larger players might still be accumulating before the next leg up. Traders and investors should remain cautious, monitor key Fibonacci levels, and be prepared for heightened volatility in the coming months. Only time will tell if history will indeed repeat itself, but the current evidence suggests that the market might be following a familiar path once again.
by TehThomas
74