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Fibonacci

GMT Analysis - What Shall we Expect !!!The price is within an ascending wedge and this can be a bullish signal for GMT. However, we need to wait for this wedge to be broken and then wait for the price to rise. Currently, the price can be bearish because more funds have been injected into Bitcoin to allow Bitcoin to find more stability in the coming days. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
$FX:NAS100 long update FX:NAS100 1. Market Context: • The NAS100 chart shows a recovery phase following a sharp “flash sale” (a sudden drop in price). • The Christmas rally pushed prices upward, indicating increased buying interest during the holiday season. 2. Liquidity and Demand: • Price revisited a demand zone, suggesting that institutions or retail traders had pending buy orders in that area. • The chart notes dark pool liquidity, where institutional buyers/sellers might have been active, hidden from retail traders. 3. Resistance Formation: • After bouncing back from the demand zone, the price faced resistance, possibly near a Fibonacci retracement or order block level. • This might suggest sellers gaining control temporarily. 4. Strategic Insights: • Buyers are defending the demand zone, showing a bullish bias for continuation. • Resistance at higher levels signals caution for long positions until confirmation of a breakout. 1. Key Levels to Monitor • Support Zone: • The demand zone near 21,250–21,300 (highlighted yellow) represents a critical support area. • Buyers have shown interest here, as evident from the price bounce. If the price revisits this zone, watch for bullish reactions or potential breakdowns. • Resistance Levels: • The inner sell-side liquidity (SSL) marked near 21,876 aligns with a significant swing high and could attract sellers. • Above this, a stronger resistance level appears around 22,100–22,200, aligning with the psychological round number and previous liquidity pool. 2. Fibonacci Insights • The 50% retracement level (21,561) acts as a mid-level pivot point. • A bounce off this level earlier suggests it remains a point of interest for bulls. • However, failure to reclaim this level could lead to a deeper retracement to test the demand zone again. 3. Potential Bullish Scenario • If the price breaks above 21,876 (inner SSL), the bullish momentum could target: • 22,000 (key psychological level) • 22,200 (outer SSL and strong resistance) 4. Bearish Scenario • A failure to sustain above the 21,561 pivot may trigger: • A retest of the demand zone (21,250). • A deeper push towards 21,160 (Fibonacci 50% retracement of the larger downtrend). 5. Dark Pool Liquidity • Given the mention of dark pool liquidity, these levels may contain institutional activity. • Demand zones below could see renewed buying pressure if liquidity was not fully absorbed earlier. • Resistance zones above might see hidden selling pressure as institutions secure profits. Bullish Scenarios (Buying Opportunities): 1. Rejection and Bounce from Demand Zone (21,250–21,300) • Entry Criteria: • Price forms bullish rejection (e.g., pin bar, engulfing candle) at the demand zone. • Confirmation via lower timeframe bullish structure or volume increase. • Stop-Loss: Below the swing low, around 21,190–21,200 (to avoid being stopped out by wicks). • Take-Profit Targets: 1. 21,561: Closest resistance and Fibonacci 50% retracement. 2. 21,876: Inner sell-side liquidity (SSL). 3. 22,100–22,200: Outer SSL and psychological level. 2. Breakout Above Inner SSL (21,876) • Entry Criteria: • Price breaks and closes above 21,876 with momentum. • Look for a pullback to retest the broken level as support. • Stop-Loss: Below the breakout candle or pullback low. • Take-Profit Targets: 1. 22,100: Immediate target aligned with psychological resistance. 2. 22,200–22,250: Extended target where outer SSL lies. Bearish Scenarios (Selling Opportunities): 1. Rejection from Inner SSL (21,876) • Entry Criteria: • Price forms a bearish reversal pattern (e.g., double top, engulfing candle) at 21,876. • Confirmation via lower timeframe bearish structure. • Stop-Loss: Above the swing high at 21,900–21,950. • Take-Profit Targets: 1. 21,561: Fibonacci pivot level and mid-range support. 2. 21,300–21,250: Demand zone and key support area. 2. Break Below Demand Zone (21,250) • Entry Criteria: • Price breaks and closes below 21,250, signaling bearish continuation. • Retest of the broken demand zone as resistance offers a better entry. • Stop-Loss: Above the retest high or broken level, around 21,300–21,350. • Take-Profit Targets: 1. 21,160: Fibonacci 50% level of the larger structure. 2. 20,900–20,755: Previous liquidity zone and significant support. Neutral (Range-Bound Trading) Scenario If price remains between 21,561 (mid-level) and 21,876 (inner SSL): • Scalping Opportunities: Buy at 21,561 support, sell near 21,876 resistance. • Avoid taking aggressive trades until a breakout confirms directional bias.
FX:NAS100Long
by Saint876
(Update) !!! Daily Chart Analysis (READ)If the price can hold the support line, it could rise to the 0.618 Fibonacci line. previous analysis Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
EUR/AUD: Key Demand Zone – Preparing for the Next Leg UpWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** EURAUD Analysis ! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by OGT_Forex
2
Meyer Burger Technology AG | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Meyer Burger Technology AG - Double Formation * (Neckline) | Completed Survey Condition * 012345 | Wave Count | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * 3.8000 CHF | Area Of Value | Subdivision 2 * Retracement Numbered | Uptrend Bias | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Hypothesis Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Neutral
CAPITALCOM:MBTN
by TradePolitics
Elliott Wave Analysis: Wave 5 Target in Sight for Nifty 50Elliott Wave Structure and Current Market Context: The Nifty 50 daily chart shows a textbook Elliott Wave corrective pattern, currently in the final leg (Wave 5) of a downward move. Here's how the waves are structured: Wave 1: Initiated the bearish trend with a significant drop. Wave 2: A corrective bounce, retracing to the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which is typical in Elliott Wave corrections. Wave 3: The strongest and most impulsive leg of the move, extending below Wave 1, with high momentum and volume. Wave 4: A countertrend rally to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, indicating a weakening bullish momentum. Wave 5: The ongoing move, which is expected to extend downward and complete the cycle near key support levels. Technical Insights: Bearish Flag in Wave 5: The consolidation visible on the chart during Wave 5 resembles a bearish flag, a continuation pattern that usually precedes another downward move. A breakdown below the 23,750 level would confirm the flag's bearish potential, paving the way for further declines. Fibonacci Levels and Targets: Wave 5 often aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave 3, placing the primary target around 23,300–23,250. This area also coincides with horizontal support from previous price action, adding confluence to the target zone. In case of stronger bearish momentum, an extended Wave 5 could push prices toward 23,000, which serves as a psychological support level. Wave Invalidation Levels: For the bearish scenario to remain valid, prices must stay below 24,500. A sustained move above this level would signal the start of a new bullish trend or a more complex corrective structure, invalidating Wave 5. Refined Trade Plan: Bearish Scenario (High Probability): Entry: Enter short positions on a confirmed breakdown below 23,750, with increased selling volume and momentum. Stop-Loss: Place stops above 24,000, ensuring protection against false breakdowns. Targets: Target 1: 23,300, the expected end of Wave 5. Target 2: 23,000, in case of extended bearish momentum. Bullish Reversal Scenario (Low Probability): If prices break above 24,500, Wave 5 could be invalid. In this case, enter long positions above 24,600, targeting 25,200, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the larger downtrend. Key Indicators to Watch: Volume: A sharp increase during the breakdown would validate the bearish continuation. RSI Divergence: Check for bullish divergence in RSI near 23,300 to identify reversal potential. Candlestick Patterns: Monitor for strong bearish candles during the breakdown or reversal signals near support zones. This analysis provides a clear structure for trading Nifty 50 in the coming week, focusing on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci retracements for precision. The bearish scenario is currently favored, but traders should remain flexible and adapt to price action around key levels.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Rishabh1100
Immunovant Inc. Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Immunovant Inc. Stock Quote - Double Formation * 35.00 USD | Completed Survey | A+ Set Up)) * (Neckline) At 32.50 USD | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * Flag Structure | Conditions On Short Set Up Bias * Retracement Numbered | Configuration | Subdivision 2 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings | Subdivision Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
CAPITALCOM:IMVTShort
by TradePolitics
Understanding Fibonacci Retracementtool fans will like this one XD Fibonacci Retracement is a popular technical analysis tool used by traders to identify potential support and resistance levels. Based on the Fibonacci sequence, this tool helps traders predict price pullbacks and continuation levels in trending markets. What is Fibonacci Retracement? Fibonacci Retracement levels are derived from the Fibonacci sequence, a mathematical pattern where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (e.g., 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, etc.). Key ratios from this sequence, such as 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%, are used to indicate potential price reversal or continuation zones. How to Use Fibonacci Retracement 1.Identify a Trend: - In an uptrend: Draw the Fibonacci retracement from the swing low to the swing high. - In a downtrend: Draw the Fibonacci retracement from the swing high to the swing low. 2. Key Levels: -23.6%: Represents shallow pullbacks; usually seen in strong trends. -38.2% and 50%: Common retracement levels where price often consolidates or reverses. -61.8%: Known as the "golden ratio," a significant level for potential reversals. -100%: Indicates a full retracement of the trend. 3. Support and Resistance Zones: - Price may bounce or consolidate near these Fibonacci levels, acting as dynamic support in an uptrend or resistance in a downtrend. How to Interpret Fibonacci Retracement Levels -Reversal Zones: - If the price retraces to a Fibonacci level and then resumes the trend, it confirms the level as significant. - **Breakouts:** - A break above or below a Fibonacci level may signal continuation in the direction of the breakout. Strengths of Fibonacci Retracement -Simple to Use:Visual and straightforward for identifying support and resistance levels. -Widely Applicable:Works across various markets (stocks, forex, crypto, etc.) and timeframes. -Combines with Other Tools:Enhances the effectiveness of indicators like RSI, MACD, and trendlines. Limitations of Fibonacci Retracement -Subjectivity:The placement of swing highs and lows can vary among traders, leading to different retracement levels. -Lagging Nature:Like most technical tools, Fibonacci Retracement relies on past price action and doesn’t predict future movement. -False Signals:Not all retracement levels lead to reversals, especially in volatile or news-driven markets. Best Practices for Using Fibonacci Retracement 1.Combine with Other Indicators: - Use with momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) or candlestick patterns for stronger confirmation. - Pair with trendlines or moving averages to validate Fibonacci levels. 2.Use Multiple Timeframes: - Analyze Fibonacci levels on higher timeframes for broader trends and lower timeframes for precise entries and exits. 3.Set Realistic Expectations: - Don’t rely solely on Fibonacci levels for decision-making. Use them as part of a broader strategy. Example of Fibonacci Retracement in Action Imagine Bitcoin (BTC) last uptrend movement which I'm showing here, and the price moves from $67,000 to $106,000. After reaching $106,000, the price begins to pull back. By applying the Fibonacci Retracement tool from $67,000 (swing low) to $106,000 (swing high), you can identify key levels at $97,000(23.6%), $91,300 (38.2%), $86,700(50%), and $82,100 (61.8%). If the price retraces to $ 91,300 and bounces upward, this confirms the 38.2% level as strong support. (Green line) (shown on the chart) Conclusion Fibonacci Retracement is a valuable tool for traders seeking to identify potential price reversal zones and continuation points. While it’s easy to use, its accuracy improves when combined with other technical indicators and a thorough understanding of market conditions. Practice drawing Fibonacci levels on historical charts to develop confidence and refine your trading strategy. 👉 Follow me for daily updates, 💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts, 📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources! Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
Education
by Cryptonic_Trading
BTC/USDT 4H Chart ReviewHi everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart, looking at the 4h time frame, we can see that the price is moving in a triangle where we are getting close to the exit and taking the direction of further movement. In the short term, we can start by defining potential SLs in a situation where the price continues to correct: SL1 = 94431 USD SL2 = 92902 USD SL3 = 91260 USD SL4 = 88598 USD However, if the price changes direction and the visible green candle starts to gain strength, it is worth moving on to setting goals for the near future, which include: T1 = 96526 USD T2 = 98225 USD T3 = 99528 USD T4 = 101113 USD When we look at the additional indicators, we can see how the CHOP indicator and the RSI indicator are around the middle of the range, which indicates a possible movement in both directions, but here we also have the STOCH indicator, which shows an upward movement below the middle of the range, which in the short term may raise the price a bit more.
by cryptodailyuk
NVIDIA and Tesla TechnicalsNVIDIA As much as I want the train to keep moving forward, we are at an inflection point where the bears are starting to really pile in. The bulls are pulling back, and we may experience that -10% S&P correction. Everyone says this would be "healthy" for the markets, which would align in the traditional sense. However, we live in a different time now. With emerging markets and excess capital, companies are healthy. But, the economy is weakening. The Biden Administration has propped up the stock market with faulty "jobs numbers" adding ridiculous amount of government employees to supplement Jots Jobs Reports. Furthermore, this is the time of year for reallocation for major capital holders. Hence, the volatility increase. I fear the Bears are taking advantage of this time to pile on. NVIDIA had an increase of shorted shares by 4.5% in December. If the Bears take over and the bulls pull back NVIDIA will move down to $120 NVIDIA at $120 is inside "The Golden Fibonacci Pocket", a round number, AND the HIGHEST VOLUME Price level for the entire year of 2024. 3 VERY significant technical reasons big money will wait for this $120 level to be reached. It will ALSO be where the Shorts of $139-$140 will cover. This could spawn a V shape recovery from $120 flying HIGH straight to $160 ($4 Trillion Market Cap). Apple is at $3.85 Trillion. NVIDIA currently does more Net income with 30% the Revenue that Apple does. Who will reach $4 Trillion first? TESLA In a much more simple analysis. TESLA is currently testing the 78% Fibonnaci Level. Already flushed through the short time frame "Golden Pocket". So, the 78% Fib is the last line of support for TESLA. The break of the 78% Fib level will be a clear sign of a move down to a lower low, with support being around the bottom of the downtrend channel seen in the chart. IF interested in shorting TESLA is the better one.... currently. However, that could change. I personally will only Day trade SHORTING TESLA looking for the $365 level to start buying in, and dollar cost averaging down. TESLA is here to stay, I'm sure. Same with NVIDIA JUST REMEMBER... Apple has gained 60,000% since 2001.... and I believe NVIDIA is the future. Because, AI is the future. Like smart phones were the future. I believe AI will be bigger than Tele-Communications.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Scottlee74136
BTC - Mind the GapVERY IMPORTANT: This is not a prediction in time. In fact, there's a 40-45% chance of one more high in BTC. But, what is pointed out here is the target, whether it turns around here completely or makes a new high. You would be hard pressed to find a gap that hasn't filled since the inception of BTC futures. There's always a "This time is different" and I've heard every one of them since the inception of this contract. Gaps are a place in time where the market became extremely imbalanced (assuming the market has adequate liquidity). The market is always looking to find balance, so even if the gap holds for hours or days, it commonly revisits that old price area. Traders like to say “all gaps fill,” but the timing can be erratic. If it takes too long, you might go broke before it closes. It’s not a strategy by itself—context is everything. After the gap, I watch bar-by-bar follow-through. If momentum is strong, the gap might wait days or weeks to fill. If bars stall and reverse, the gap fill typically starts quickly. When the gap is left behind, it's only a matter of time. As I said, it is not a strategy in and of itself, so you would be wise to overlay it with other market concepts and the narratives that affect the market you're trading. One I left on the screen is the dashboard, which pulls over 100 signals from 14 indicators used in many trading systems. This metric sums to a bearish outlook (but it always will at the bottom of a downtrend too, so there is still no silver bullet). The orange line is predicated on k-clustering, Fibonacci systems, price action patterns, trend rules. The path is consistent with Elliott Wave Theory. There are other patterns that could develop, such as a prolonged B-wave (as a part of a larger 3-wave configuration rather than the 5 shown), a triangle. or some other pathing. Timing is hard to predict because time is not a critical feature of price development. Prices and price derivatives are the critical features and from those we can derive levels and paths (patterns). So timing is hard because time is irrelevant to price progression. ...something you're probably not going to be taught anywhere.
CME:BTC1!Short
by FuturesTradeClub
[ES] Has the S&P 500 Finished Its Runup?I doubt it. That move doesn't look like it's done. The general principle that this basic analysis follows is that the market moves in 3s and 5s. Now, that may sound a lot like Elliot Waves and it should. 3s and 5s were Ralph N. Elliot's primary discovery and contribution to the discovery of natural phenomena in markets. That said, it is dangerous to get dogmatic about rules. The same applies to Fibonacci extensions. But when you combine "3s and 5s" and "Fibonacci" you end up with a pretty reliable pattern. When there is a three wave move in progress (which could eventually turn into a five), you can pretty reliably trade that move (up in this case) to the 0.786 trend extension (highest probability), the 1.000 extension (high probability), or it could turn into a five wave move that goes clear up to the 1.618 extension (lowest probability move). It is not wise to be dogmatic about these strategies though, because you have to listen to the market. The market is the CEO of this enterprise, not the lines on your chart. That said, this works better than 50% of the time without question. It's a generally truthism that markets move in 3s and 5s. The challenge comes when it comes to 'wen buy, wen sell.' There is no right answer to that. Sure, the market moves in 3s and 5s, but to take advantage of it requires fluidity and a careful consideration of your (a) risks, (b) 'Bayesian priors" (if you will), and (c) the adjacent future outcomes as the come into view. This is not an endorsement of either methodology. It is merely a demonstration of the veracity of components of those methodologies. Trade well.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by FuturesTradeClub
7
"Rosy the Radiance Runner"-21/200 MA closing on Daily - Fibonacci Extension Embark on a mystical trading quest with a unicorn-inspired strategy, blending neutrality, Fibonacci analysis, and DeFi's decentralized treasures. Adopting a neutral stance akin to a wise unicorn, traverse the enchanted market forests with clear-headed adaptability. Harness Fibonacci retracement levels, ancient ratios guiding you to strategic entry and exit points, while exploring the almost-extinct treasures of decentralized finance (DeFi) like yield farming and liquidity mining. Navigate the untamed wilderness of decentralized exchanges (DEX), the modern-day hidden gems of trading. Develop algorithmic trading strategies that integrate Fibonacci principles and DeFi dynamics, unlocking mythical profits within the mystical realms of the market.
Long
by bovinebreed